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Frequent Trader
4 Years
我们的目标，是星辰大海！
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PINNED
Daily line rebounds from zero axis, 3-day line crosses zero axis, weekly line rebounds from zero axis, 3 major cycle levels resonate, I don’t need to explain what it means.
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$1000SATS Qiaoli, are you done falling? Who knows the information of the operator? I will open a box for him and cut him offline.
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It's fine if there are no interest rate cuts; first, let's see if U.S. Treasuries can hold up.
Binance News
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Fitch forecasts global economic growth to slow to 2.3%, with US growth downgraded to 1.7%
According to Jinshi Data, Fitch said in its latest global economic outlook that global economic growth will slow to 2.3% this year, below trend and 2.9% in 2024. Fitch lowered its forecast for US economic growth from 2.1% in December last year to 1.7%, and lowered its growth forecast for 2026 from 1.7% to 1.5%. The tariff increase will lead to higher consumer prices in the United States, lower real wages and increase corporate costs. Policy uncertainty will affect corporate investment. The tariff shock is expected to increase US inflation by 1% in the near term, and the Federal Reserve may postpone further easing until the fourth quarter of 2025. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates only once this year and three more times in 2026.
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Shark Arm Thing, Get Lost!
Trading cryptocurrency has been 9.5 years since 2025, from liquidation to achieving financial freedom, supporting my family through trading. By 2024, my funds multiplied by 50 times; if it weren't for withdrawing funds twice to buy a house, it should have been 85 times. If you also plan to make a dramatic comeback in life, read carefully! 1. On the road of cryptocurrency investment, the price fluctuations are like the ups and downs of life. When the coin price enters a stable upward trend, each pullback is like a rest stop on the way, and this is our perfect opportunity to enter the market. Understand that there is no coin price that rises endlessly; a pullback is like a compressed spring, preparing for a more powerful leap later. 2. If trapped in a definite downward channel, any rebound should signal our exit. Once the trend deteriorates, returning to an upward trajectory may require a long wait. Do not blindly hold on; do not waste time unnecessarily. 3. Short-term price fluctuations are mainly influenced by emotions and fundamentals. In the long run, do not be misled by small profits in front of you. Just like the current market situation, although the influence of emotions is important, the fundamentals determine the extent of the rise and the duration of the increase. 4. Manually determined bottoms are often not the real bottoms; they may just be halfway up the mountain. The formation of a true bottom depends on market sentiment and capital movement. Therefore, do not blindly try to catch the bottom; often, nine out of ten attempts to catch the bottom end up trapped. 5. Do not overly rely on good news; the key to a real market lies in expectations. Many retail investors prefer to trade based on news, but what they hear is mostly what others want them to know. Even if the news is true, by the time it reaches you, the market may be nearing its end. 6. Avoid indiscriminately increasing leverage; this does not increase the probability of winning. Once losses occur, the numbers will be magnified infinitely. Do not add unnecessary risks to yourself. 7. Try to go against the trend; you may find unexpected gains. 8. In cryptocurrency investment, maintaining calm is key. In the face of the market's clamor and temptation, do not be swayed by emotions, and make rational decisions. Know that impulsiveness is often the great enemy of investment. 9. Continuously learning and summarizing experiences is crucial. The cryptocurrency market is ever-changing; only by continuously improving your understanding can you better seize investment opportunities and avoid repeating mistakes. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #加密市场反弹
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Does the teacher feel that Ethereum's weakness during this cycle is 'strange'?
Recently quite anxious, BTC, entering a bear market, plummeting endlessly, a bunch of altcoins like dead dogs, unable to lift up. Especially ETH, heavily invested, now I'm feeling down.
Originally thought about going to Twitter to make a living, suddenly realized that there are none of us, those who write little essays, in the crypto veteran market. People there prefer graceful and attractive young ladies with good figures.
Strike a pose, post a picture, enticing and charming, gaining traffic quickly.
We think about heaven and earth, astonishing ideas, my hair has turned white trying to come up with a post. A flurry of operations as fierce as a tiger, in the end, traffic is 250. Damn, how is this possible, there's no chance of winning at all.
Looking at today, BTC is making a rebound, initially wanted to go all in, but seeing the volume, I know it's a trap to lure in buyers. I can only lie flat silently, nibbling on steamed buns and pickled vegetables, self-entertaining with tears streaming down my face.
Initially wanted to find a rural dog, a wave of wealth freedom, but Zhao Si has been unreliable lately, he called a trade again, can't dare to hop on, just climbed the wall and looked, MUBARAK, 50 times already. My thigh directly ran off, my petty little heart, deserves to be poor for a lifetime.
1. Industry experts expect that if Ripple's legal issues are resolved, the XRP ETF may be approved by the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2025. This could attract a large inflow of institutional funds, pushing up the XRP price. Anyway, I won't chase it, if XRP falls, it can fall to death.
2. Yesterday, the US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of $59.2 million, ETH, outflow of $49.6 million. Institutions have been offloading, can we chase the rise?
3. About 5 hours ago, Chainlink conducted a quarterly unlock, releasing 19 million LINK, valued at approximately $262 million. However, around 12.5-8 can be entered in batches.
4. In the past 48 hours, whales bought more than 20,000 BTC. I don't believe it, why not buy at 78,000, but insist on buying at 85,000. Definitely trying to fool retail investors into taking over, going long.
5. If Bitcoin breaks $87,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $609 million. On Monday, US stocks continue to rise, BTC could even reach $89,000. Everyone should be cautious with shorting, remember to set stop-losses.
6. Data analysts indicate that the ETH cost basis for positions built between January and February 2025 is between $3,200 and $3,500. As the coin price falls, new demand gradually weakens. Trump also got trapped. Heard that his family lost $1.2 million. So can you call a trade, don't you want to break even? #比特币反弹 $BTC
Originally thought about going to Twitter to make a living, suddenly realized that there are none of us, those who write little essays, in the crypto veteran market. People there prefer graceful and attractive young ladies with good figures.
Strike a pose, post a picture, enticing and charming, gaining traffic quickly.
We think about heaven and earth, astonishing ideas, my hair has turned white trying to come up with a post. A flurry of operations as fierce as a tiger, in the end, traffic is 250. Damn, how is this possible, there's no chance of winning at all.
Looking at today, BTC is making a rebound, initially wanted to go all in, but seeing the volume, I know it's a trap to lure in buyers. I can only lie flat silently, nibbling on steamed buns and pickled vegetables, self-entertaining with tears streaming down my face.
Initially wanted to find a rural dog, a wave of wealth freedom, but Zhao Si has been unreliable lately, he called a trade again, can't dare to hop on, just climbed the wall and looked, MUBARAK, 50 times already. My thigh directly ran off, my petty little heart, deserves to be poor for a lifetime.
1. Industry experts expect that if Ripple's legal issues are resolved, the XRP ETF may be approved by the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2025. This could attract a large inflow of institutional funds, pushing up the XRP price. Anyway, I won't chase it, if XRP falls, it can fall to death.
2. Yesterday, the US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of $59.2 million, ETH, outflow of $49.6 million. Institutions have been offloading, can we chase the rise?
3. About 5 hours ago, Chainlink conducted a quarterly unlock, releasing 19 million LINK, valued at approximately $262 million. However, around 12.5-8 can be entered in batches.
4. In the past 48 hours, whales bought more than 20,000 BTC. I don't believe it, why not buy at 78,000, but insist on buying at 85,000. Definitely trying to fool retail investors into taking over, going long.
5. If Bitcoin breaks $87,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $609 million. On Monday, US stocks continue to rise, BTC could even reach $89,000. Everyone should be cautious with shorting, remember to set stop-losses.
6. Data analysts indicate that the ETH cost basis for positions built between January and February 2025 is between $3,200 and $3,500. As the coin price falls, new demand gradually weakens. Trump also got trapped. Heard that his family lost $1.2 million. So can you call a trade, don't you want to break even? #比特币反弹 $BTC
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Why are there so many mother dogs taking selfies in the square? Is there nowhere to lay eggs or are they bringing people to play the pig-killing game?
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Usually frugal, then suffers a big loss 😭
Today I continued to not make many trades, just stayed idle. The trades I made in the morning saw profits fluctuating back and forth throughout the day, and I didn't pay much attention to them. In the evening, I went out for a barbecue and had a hearty meal, spending around 28 USD. In the crypto world, 28 USD might seem very low, but in real life, it's enough to have a big meal with friends. So, it can be said that the crypto world sometimes really distorts our perception of money. #btc
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Where is the address? Please reveal it!
After monitoring, Trump's son opened a short position of 517.35 BTC = 61,455,784.28 USDT at position 92900 yesterday. Then Trump announced a trade war, and at that moment, Bitcoin plummeted by 10%, and ETH dropped by 20%. The day before yesterday, at position BTC 86,250, he took a long position of 953.66 BTC = 60,260,716.18 USDT. Then he released the information about BTC as a national strategic reserve, causing BTC to surge by 10%. At this moment, any data is completely ineffective in the face of such insider operations. In the future, any trades we make can only follow this line of thinking; if he goes long, we go long; if he goes short, we go short. [Grin]$BTC
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Smelly shark arm Ethereum keeps getting good news, but it's as if it can't pull up like it's invisible.
Oh hey, a bit of bad news, hitting it hard to death, endlessly smashing.
It's like having two big hands pressing down to prevent it from rising.
So strange #ETH
Oh hey, a bit of bad news, hitting it hard to death, endlessly smashing.
It's like having two big hands pressing down to prevent it from rising.
So strange #ETH
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The Americans said that this gold has dirty money, which has been frozen and needs to be returned. Where are the victims? I don't know. How much dirty money is there? I don't know.
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This is a Chinese person who lost 700 million RMB a few days ago, and it has been posted online.
Trump's Mouse Warehouse has started building again
It seems like Trump is fighting insider battles, running low on funds, he sends out a tweet to open a position in advance, profits after the hype, and occasionally harvests from the crypto circle.
#CZ新代币模型设想 #美国加密战略储备
It seems like Trump is fighting insider battles, running low on funds, he sends out a tweet to open a position in advance, profits after the hype, and occasionally harvests from the crypto circle.
#CZ新代币模型设想 #美国加密战略储备
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#白宫首届加密货币峰会
More or empty? Knockoff season or knockoff festival? The benevolent see benevolence and the wise see wisdom.
More or empty? Knockoff season or knockoff festival? The benevolent see benevolence and the wise see wisdom.
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The US stock market is teetering and continuing down this path will lead to a several thousand point drop.
Trump is artificially creating a financial crisis in the United States, and then starting to pressure the Federal Reserve to implement rapid monetary easing and take actions to rescue the market. The probability of this happening is quite high! Nvidia's earnings report looks good, yet it plummeted by 8 points, causing the U.S. stock market to evaporate a trillion overnight!
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I said you 🐎 I am a minor, I apply for a refund!!! Give me my money back 😭😭
I used to think that Dongda people were cruel and bad for setting up various campuses to cheat their compatriots. It was not until BlackRock took control of Dapian that I realized that Jews were the cruelest.
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I used to think that Dongda people were cruel and bad for setting up various campuses to cheat their compatriots. It was not until BlackRock took control of Dapian that I realized that Jews were the cruelest.
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There is no alt season this year. I live streamed on Binance and ate a pound of shit.
There must be alt season, yes, there must be!
In the final analysis, the cryptocurrency circle is a zero-sum game. If someone makes money, someone loses. You want the meat in the dealer's mouth, and the dealer wants your principal. It's that simple.
If the alt market keeps falling in 2025, and the big pie reaches a high point after the new year and then goes straight to a bear market in 2026, then I will definitely quit the circle. I believe that 80% or even 90% of retail investors will quit the circle. Why? Because it hurts too much, because they can't make money and suffer, and even get bullied by the Argentine president... And it can be found that the big pie has obviously changed the trader in this round of bull market. The trend is very disgusting. It either keeps falling, or breaks through and pulls sharply, or fluctuates endlessly, and frequently inserts and explodes. The profit effect of the contract is also very poor. If this continues in the next cycle, most of the old leeks will quit the circle, and new leeks will not be attracted. BlackRock can't find leeks to take over, and Trump brags in vain. Is this what they want to see?
Let me change the analogy
Will there be a large flow of people in a business district with only one shopping store open?
Will anyone go to a night market with only one barbecue stall?
Why do all restaurants that do catering open on the same street without considering peer competition?
Siphon effect, joint marketing, complementary business formats are all profitable buffs. Everyone is doing well, and that is the real good.
The currency circle is flourishing, and the ecosystem is thriving. Not only do we retail investors need it, but Bailey also needs it. #BTC
There must be alt season, yes, there must be!
In the final analysis, the cryptocurrency circle is a zero-sum game. If someone makes money, someone loses. You want the meat in the dealer's mouth, and the dealer wants your principal. It's that simple.
If the alt market keeps falling in 2025, and the big pie reaches a high point after the new year and then goes straight to a bear market in 2026, then I will definitely quit the circle. I believe that 80% or even 90% of retail investors will quit the circle. Why? Because it hurts too much, because they can't make money and suffer, and even get bullied by the Argentine president... And it can be found that the big pie has obviously changed the trader in this round of bull market. The trend is very disgusting. It either keeps falling, or breaks through and pulls sharply, or fluctuates endlessly, and frequently inserts and explodes. The profit effect of the contract is also very poor. If this continues in the next cycle, most of the old leeks will quit the circle, and new leeks will not be attracted. BlackRock can't find leeks to take over, and Trump brags in vain. Is this what they want to see?
Let me change the analogy
Will there be a large flow of people in a business district with only one shopping store open?
Will anyone go to a night market with only one barbecue stall?
Why do all restaurants that do catering open on the same street without considering peer competition?
Siphon effect, joint marketing, complementary business formats are all profitable buffs. Everyone is doing well, and that is the real good.
The currency circle is flourishing, and the ecosystem is thriving. Not only do we retail investors need it, but Bailey also needs it. #BTC
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Playing in the trading circle 21 years ago, there were many who ran away and still issued announcements. I even saw project parties cursing members as idiots in the member WeChat group.
Good job 🤣🤣🤣
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WIF spot entry, small target 1.38, limited downside potential, unbeatable risk-reward ratio. Next, let's look at the charts.
First, look at the first chart: the candlestick shows three consecutive lower points, but the momentum at position 2 is diverging compared to the momentum at position 1. The momentum at position 3 is also diverging compared to the momentum at position 1. It's like a paper airplane thrown out: initially fast with low height, then it wobbles on the second throw, slower than the first but a bit higher. Finally, it flops down, even slower, but still a bit higher. So what is the final result? Of course, it falls back to the ground.
Now, looking at the second chart, the momentum at position 2 clearly lacks strength, yet the trading volume is much higher than at position 1. So I can only interpret this as the operator accumulating shares here.
First, look at the first chart: the candlestick shows three consecutive lower points, but the momentum at position 2 is diverging compared to the momentum at position 1. The momentum at position 3 is also diverging compared to the momentum at position 1. It's like a paper airplane thrown out: initially fast with low height, then it wobbles on the second throw, slower than the first but a bit higher. Finally, it flops down, even slower, but still a bit higher. So what is the final result? Of course, it falls back to the ground.
Now, looking at the second chart, the momentum at position 2 clearly lacks strength, yet the trading volume is much higher than at position 1. So I can only interpret this as the operator accumulating shares here.
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The altcoin season may be late, but it will never be absent.
Let’s start with the conclusion: the altcoin season will either kick off in March or July.
Imagine this: if the cryptocurrency market experiences a bull run this year and all altcoins, including Ethereum, go bust, what will happen to the market?
With Bitcoin fluctuating around 100,000, and all altcoins dead in the water, apart from a few large holders buying spot, the rest will have to play with leverage to make money. Then, if Bitcoin moves up or down by ten points, both longs and shorts will get wiped out. There’s no need for it to go up or down; as long as there’s daily fluctuation, it will never stop making money. Consequently, the market will become increasingly indifferent and lack liquidity. Don't even talk about attracting new retail investors; even seasoned ones will gradually lose hope and exit the market. Just like in Myanmar, retail investors who have suffered will all leave. Institutions will start cutting each other off: BlackRock will cut Fidelity, Fidelity will cut Grayscale, and Grayscale will jump up to take on BlackRock. Hahaha
The high-risk and high-reward financial attributes of the cryptocurrency market mean that those who enter are all gamblers, longing for financial freedom and social mobility. Do those who find even ten times leverage unsatisfactory care about one or two times in traditional industries?
Thus, a bull market in the cryptocurrency sphere must see a frantic bull run, a crazy bull run. It must have the legendary wealth-building myths of Dogecoin and Shitcoin from 2021 flooding social media platforms, causing retail investors to keep chasing and buying, attracting more new entrants from outside the circle to line up and contribute their capital. This also aligns more with human nature and serves their interests.
Without an altcoin season, apart from the diamond hands of large holders like a8 and a9 making value investments, which retail investor would buy at the high price of 100,000? With Bitcoin pushed this high, who are the chips being distributed to?
Without an altcoin season, according to AnAn's pattern of one falling for every one that rises, retail investors will increasingly refuse to buy in. Who will take the chips that market makers acquire? Who will take the chips from the coin issuers?
Some might say that unlimited leverage can be harvested. The counterparty of leverage is the exchange; it’s you gambling against AnAn, what does it have to do with BlackRock or the coin issuers? (If you lose at the Victoria with your soft currency, what does it have to do with the central bank? Of course, if the central bank finds someone to gamble with you at the table, that’s another story.) From another perspective, if it’s determined that there is no altcoin season, and the whale doesn’t make money from spot trading but only profits from leverage, then what’s the point of pushing Bitcoin from 1.5 to 100k? Wouldn’t it be better to just start at 1.5 and fluctuate every day?
Believe me, not only have you waited four years, but they have too.
#山寨季何时到来？
Let’s start with the conclusion: the altcoin season will either kick off in March or July.
Imagine this: if the cryptocurrency market experiences a bull run this year and all altcoins, including Ethereum, go bust, what will happen to the market?
With Bitcoin fluctuating around 100,000, and all altcoins dead in the water, apart from a few large holders buying spot, the rest will have to play with leverage to make money. Then, if Bitcoin moves up or down by ten points, both longs and shorts will get wiped out. There’s no need for it to go up or down; as long as there’s daily fluctuation, it will never stop making money. Consequently, the market will become increasingly indifferent and lack liquidity. Don't even talk about attracting new retail investors; even seasoned ones will gradually lose hope and exit the market. Just like in Myanmar, retail investors who have suffered will all leave. Institutions will start cutting each other off: BlackRock will cut Fidelity, Fidelity will cut Grayscale, and Grayscale will jump up to take on BlackRock. Hahaha
The high-risk and high-reward financial attributes of the cryptocurrency market mean that those who enter are all gamblers, longing for financial freedom and social mobility. Do those who find even ten times leverage unsatisfactory care about one or two times in traditional industries?
Thus, a bull market in the cryptocurrency sphere must see a frantic bull run, a crazy bull run. It must have the legendary wealth-building myths of Dogecoin and Shitcoin from 2021 flooding social media platforms, causing retail investors to keep chasing and buying, attracting more new entrants from outside the circle to line up and contribute their capital. This also aligns more with human nature and serves their interests.
Without an altcoin season, apart from the diamond hands of large holders like a8 and a9 making value investments, which retail investor would buy at the high price of 100,000? With Bitcoin pushed this high, who are the chips being distributed to?
Without an altcoin season, according to AnAn's pattern of one falling for every one that rises, retail investors will increasingly refuse to buy in. Who will take the chips that market makers acquire? Who will take the chips from the coin issuers?
Some might say that unlimited leverage can be harvested. The counterparty of leverage is the exchange; it’s you gambling against AnAn, what does it have to do with BlackRock or the coin issuers? (If you lose at the Victoria with your soft currency, what does it have to do with the central bank? Of course, if the central bank finds someone to gamble with you at the table, that’s another story.) From another perspective, if it’s determined that there is no altcoin season, and the whale doesn’t make money from spot trading but only profits from leverage, then what’s the point of pushing Bitcoin from 1.5 to 100k? Wouldn’t it be better to just start at 1.5 and fluctuate every day?
Believe me, not only have you waited four years, but they have too.
#山寨季何时到来？
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When there is only one voice, this voice is certainly ineffective. Of course, when only praise is allowed and criticism is not permitted, praise becomes criticism.
Powell's speech just came out.
The meaning is very simple. Given the current strong economy in the United States, there is no rush to cut interest rates. Only when the labor market is weak and inflation drops to 2% will interest rate cuts be considered.
To put it bluntly, there is one sentence: postpone interest rate cuts indefinitely, and of course there will be no interest rate hikes.
The market has had this expectation for a long time and has begun to digest it in advance. Bitcoin has dropped by 2,000 points.
Although this is a negative, it is expected for the market, and the reduction is just a normal reaction of the market.
Next, we may face a longer period of volatility.
Of course, the focus is still on Wednesday's CPI data.
Recently, the United States has not been peaceful. The ambitious Song Shenzong encountered Wang Anshi, who was determined to reform, and it was bound to set off a wave of rice fields.
Various scandals broke out one after another, and each one was extremely explosive.
This may be freedom. It is ugly, but it can be put in front of the world. As long as it is put out, it can be contained and changed.
So many people say that the United States is rotten to the root and there is no hope.
In fact, only when people know that it is rotten, Wang Anshi will come out to reform, and there will be changes, and there will be hope in the future.
But we can only see beautiful things, always positive energy, and always flawless, but in reality it is not the case. The ugliness is always covered up. This is the real problem and there is no hope.
Even if it is just a small problem now, it will become a big problem over time.
Who can popularize what political economy is to Thirteen?
That’s all, and we’ll be well.
Thirteen’s exclusive 30% rebate link: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=CH3VL36C
Just click to register, or enter the invitation code: CH3VL36C
The meaning is very simple. Given the current strong economy in the United States, there is no rush to cut interest rates. Only when the labor market is weak and inflation drops to 2% will interest rate cuts be considered.
To put it bluntly, there is one sentence: postpone interest rate cuts indefinitely, and of course there will be no interest rate hikes.
The market has had this expectation for a long time and has begun to digest it in advance. Bitcoin has dropped by 2,000 points.
Although this is a negative, it is expected for the market, and the reduction is just a normal reaction of the market.
Next, we may face a longer period of volatility.
Of course, the focus is still on Wednesday's CPI data.
Recently, the United States has not been peaceful. The ambitious Song Shenzong encountered Wang Anshi, who was determined to reform, and it was bound to set off a wave of rice fields.
Various scandals broke out one after another, and each one was extremely explosive.
This may be freedom. It is ugly, but it can be put in front of the world. As long as it is put out, it can be contained and changed.
So many people say that the United States is rotten to the root and there is no hope.
In fact, only when people know that it is rotten, Wang Anshi will come out to reform, and there will be changes, and there will be hope in the future.
But we can only see beautiful things, always positive energy, and always flawless, but in reality it is not the case. The ugliness is always covered up. This is the real problem and there is no hope.
Even if it is just a small problem now, it will become a big problem over time.
Who can popularize what political economy is to Thirteen?
That’s all, and we’ll be well.
Thirteen’s exclusive 30% rebate link: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=CH3VL36C
Just click to register, or enter the invitation code: CH3VL36C
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