黑马斯坦

2025.4.16.BTC.ETH.日内行情分析
大饼这波下跌回踩刚好才到83000支撑附近，目前的行情就是日线级别的震荡，昨晚我也在跟兄弟们说回踩支撑83000.防守支撑82000.只要这两个位置不踩破行情都属于正常回踩，还有机会上去，目前第一支撑已经踩到了，行情能不能上去要看上方压力84500这个位置是否能企稳，反弹压力先看这个位置，如果四小时级别收线收盘价格高于84500这波四小时级别回踩完成，行$BTC
情有机会二次冲高86000压力，四小时未企稳84500之前不要轻易看多，说明行情没回调完成，只是小级别反弹，有继续下探的可能，做多的思路：可在82000-81000这个区间尝试，带好止损，防止插针点位在79000附近，未下探到的情况下，一定要等四小时企稳84500在考虑，
ETH
姨太目前四小时级别也走空了，短期先看反弹压力1610.最少要四小时级别企稳此价格行情才有机会继续冲高，稳健多单可等四小时级别企稳1610在考虑，目标可看1650.1690.没企稳之前不要轻易看多，可等二次下探1505-1470这个区间建仓多单$BTC

2025.4.15.BTC.ETH.日内行情分析
BTC
前天晚上四小时破位，踩了一下又收上来了，昨天晚上也是，十二点破位四点收上来，凌晨四点四小时支撑又再次企稳，目前就看86000压力破不破了，短期回踩支撑还是84500.四小时收线不在次跌破的情况下随时有可能重86000压力，突破了看87500.88300. 这两个位置附近，空单可在88300附近做尝试，日内关键位置就在84500.多空走势以84500做参考，如果四小时收线在次跌破了845000.多单要先离场，下方的支撑就在83000.82000.81000
ETH
姨太多头形态好一些，短期回踩支撑1630.防守1610.回踩这个区间附近都可以尝试做多，只要一小时级别收线不跌破防守支撑，行情可继续看反弹上方目标压力1690.1730.若四小时级别收线跌破1610.这波反弹多头形态走坏，多单可离场，继续看下方支撑$BTC #比特币与美国关税政策

BTC.ETH. Night Market Analysis
BTC
Good evening, brothers. This wave of four-hour level rise for Bitcoin has been hindered. Tonight, it briefly approached the daily resistance near 86000 but quickly pulled back. If we cannot break through the daily resistance at 86000, the market will likely move sideways at the daily level, in the range of 86000-83000, with defensive support at 81800. This range will form fluctuations. So, brothers, do not rush to open long positions; at least wait until near 81800 to try small positions, and only if the defensive support holds, will there be a chance to go up. Once 81800 is broken, the market is likely to spike down to wash out long positions, as the weekly chart has not yet started to retrace this week. The spike location may be in the range of 80000-79000, where positions can be built for long trades. Short-term support and resistance for the night are at 84500. If the four-hour closes again stabilizing at 84500, the market may try to challenge the 86000 resistance again. Once this resistance is broken, the next important resistances are near 87500 and 88300. Currently, the four-hour chart has not stabilized at 84500. Until the four-hour closes and stabilizes at 84500, we will look for a pullback to the downside, with target supports at 83000, 81800, and 81000.
ETH
Ethereum is doing a bit better, at least it surged to the high of 1690 in the afternoon and has now pulled back to the four-hour support near 1625. The four-hour support has not temporarily broken, so we first look at the rebound resistance near 1650 and 1690. At least the four-hour level needs to stabilize at 1650 to have a chance to break 1700. If the rebound cannot break 1650, the market will continue to weaken and move downward, with target supports continuing to look at 1560, 1500, and 1470. Long positions can be monitored near these levels.

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2025.4.14.BTC.ETH.Intraday Market Analysis
BTC

The market is still strong. Last night, there were two dips around the support at 82800, which recovered, completing a four-hour level correction. Today is Monday, and from the weekly perspective, it has not yet retested. Therefore, this wave of increase is only at the four-hour level, with short-term support at 84200. As long as the one-hour close does not fall below this level, the market can continue to look for a rebound, with the upper target resistance initially at 86000 and 88300. If it can reach around 88300, one might consider shorting, as 88300 is a critical support and resistance level. Since Trump has postponed tariffs for 90 days, whether it can rally will depend on these three months. Brothers, remember that once the weekly stabilizes around the 88300 resistance, the market will aggressively liquidate shorts, with expectations between 90000 and 100000. Therefore, shorting should only be considered before the weekly stabilizes around the 88300 resistance. Once the weekly stabilizes around 88300, the strategy needs to change, and do not easily look for shorts. If today’s one-hour close first falls below 84200, there is no need to rush into long positions; wait for around 82000 to attempt a small long position, with protective stop orders in the range of 80000-79000. If it dips into this range, one can establish long positions.
ETH
Currently, ETH is also in a four-hour level upward wave, with short-term support at 1610. As long as the one-hour close does not fall below this level, the market can continue to look for a rebound, with the upper target resistance at 1690 and 1730. If the one-hour level dips below the 1610 support, long positions should exit first, and one should look for lower support at 1560, 1500, and 1470. For a more cautious approach, one can wait to establish positions near the second and third support levels.

2025.4.13.BTC.ETH..Intraday Market Analysis
BTC
Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a pullback after hitting a high resistance level. The short-term support is around 84000. Short positions can be reduced or exited near this level. The key factor is whether the four-hour closing will fall below 84000. As long as the four-hour closing does not break below this level, there is a possibility for the market to continue pushing higher, with the target resistance still looking at 86000 and 88000. If the four-hour closing falls below 84000, then this wave of four-hour gains will end, and we can look for a second test of lower support around 82800-81800. Conservative long positions can be monitored around these two levels.
ETH
Ethereum has just tested the support at 1598, which is relatively key. As long as the four-hour closing does not break this support, the market will continue to push higher. From the daily chart perspective, it shouldn't drop too much in the short term. The upper resistance to watch is 1630. The one-hour closing needs to break this resistance to add positions again, with targets at 1668 and 1730.
Note ⚠️: Do not blindly add positions before stabilizing above 1630 on the one-hour chart, as it is uncertain whether the four-hour closing will break below 1598. Once the four-hour closing falls below 1598, the market weakens, with lower target support around 1545, 1500, and 1470.

2025.4.12.BTC.ETH.Intraday Market Analysis
BTC
After a wave of price increase yesterday, the market has not seen much volatility, and since it hasn't dipped down from the high level, it indicates that this wave of rebound is not over yet. My target for this rebound is around 88000. As long as the pattern does not deteriorate, we only need to pay attention to the support at 81600. As long as the four-hour closing does not break this position, the market will still look for a rebound. The short-term pressure is in the range of 84500-85500. Once broken, we will look at around 88000. Currently, there are no trades to be made in this small-level consolidation, and no buying points. Let's see if we can retest around 81600. If we can retest this position, aggressive traders can try long positions, but if the four-hour level breaks this position, exit manually. The second scenario is if the one-hour closing breaks 83500, try a light long position, with a stop at 82700. Target 84500.85500.
ETH
Although ETH is weak, it really can't go up. Fortunately, the four-hour support has not broken yet. Currently, the four-hour trend is still a rebound trend. After a night of consolidation, the small-level pullback has completed, and the current price is 1568. Aggressive traders can try a light long position, with a stop at 1540. Target around 1590.1630. If the four-hour closing breaks below 1540, this wave of rebound will end, with support at 1500-1470 near these two positions.
SOL
The daily level rebound for SOL has currently reached the pressure near 125. Pay attention to the small-level support at 121 and 117. If these two positions are not broken on the pullback, we can continue to look for a rebound, with rebound pressure at 125, 130, and 136. The rebound will only be considered ended if the four-hour closing breaks below 117. The support below is at 112 and 107.
BNB
BNB has started to rebound at the daily level, with support at around 580. As long as the four-hour closing does not break this position, the market will look for a rebound, with target pressure at 600 and 620. Before the four-hour closing does not break 580, be cautious about bearish views, with a stop at 565. If it dips down, aggressive traders can try to enter long positions around $SOL .

2025.4.11.BTC.ETH.Intraday Market Analysis
BTC
Good afternoon, brothers. I am Master Zhao, the eternal profit maker. I really had a few drinks last night and couldn't find my way around, which delayed my analysis for you guys. Fortunately, I released a strategy for you in the afternoon yesterday, and this pullback just happened to reach the right position. It's normal for the market to reach a high and then pull back; this is a normal pullback. Please, spring brothers, don't run out to spread negativity just because it dips a little more. It's disgusting to watch. If you don't want to see it, just unfollow.
This wave of decline just happens to let you guys hop on board. Currently, Bitcoin is making a secondary push to a high, with the upper target pressure first looking at 83,500. This rebound is a daily level rebound, and as long as this pullback doesn't break the position, and the four-hour close doesn’t fall below 81,000, we can expect this rebound to reach around 88,300. For those holding long positions, pay attention to this pullback; if it doesn’t break 81,000, you can continue to hold your long positions. Near 83,500, you can consider reducing your position. The next pressure levels are at 85,500 and 88,300. For short positions, it is recommended to wait near these two levels.
ETH
The altcoin just happened to pull back to the support near 1,482, allowing you guys to hop on board. Currently, there is continuous pressure from the four-hour chart that is preventing a breakout. Pay close attention to this pressure at 1,580. Whether the four-hour close can stabilize above this level is crucial. If the four-hour close can break this pressure, the market will have a wave of secondary highs, and you might consider taking a small long position. The upper target pressures are at 1,627 and 1,689. Note ⚠️ Until the four-hour close breaks 1,580, the market is not stable, so do not be too aggressive. The defensive support is at 1,546. If the hourly close falls below this position, the rebound will end, with the lower support being tested at 1,470, 1,390, 1,489, and 1,101, 1,122.

2025.4.10.BTC.ETH Intraday Market Analysis
BTC: The Sino-US tariff trade countermeasures have reached a pause, as Trump just implemented new measures this morning, and the Chinese side immediately retaliated. They even add another move to undermine you: when you come here to buy things, not only is there no signing fee, but it's also cheaper, and when you go back, you'll get a tax refund. By the evening, the Americans couldn't hold back anymore, urgently calling for a halt, postponing for 90 days. The global financial market began to surge, and Bitcoin was no exception. In the next three months, almost all the bearish news has been digested, and there shouldn't be any major negative news. Whether Bitcoin can make a second high will depend on these three months. Fortunately, for the past two days, I've been reminding everyone to position long positions. Currently, the daily resistance for Bitcoin has broken through, so pay attention to the support range of 80000-79500 during a pullback. If it pulls back without breaking this support range, the market will continue to experience a daily-level rebound, and if it can pull back into this range, you can still try to build a long position. This daily-level rebound can aim for around 88300. Once the weekly chart breaks the resistance at 88300, the market will welcome a second wave of highs, around ninety to one hundred thousand. Therefore, those with such low-cost chips in hand must hold on tight; if you're right, there's a big profit. If it doesn't break through, we don't lose, right? If today's market trends wash out the long positions and break the 79500 support, you can continue to increase long positions by 1% at 77000-74500. For the next three months, just betting on this one-sided market is enough.
ETH
ETH's daily resistance has not yet broken through. Pay attention to the support around 1530 during a pullback. As long as it doesn't break this support, the market can continue to look for a rebound, with rebound resistance at 1711 and 1800. If it pulls back and closes below 1530 on the four-hour level, this rebound will also end. Continue to pay attention to the lower support of 1482 and 1389. If it pulls back into this range, you can build long positions.

2025.4.9.BTC.ETH.Intraday Market Analysis
BTC
The big coin just dipped down to around 74500, which is two hundred points away from the support level I provided to my brothers last night. This dip can be considered a second low test, and currently, on the hourly level, it is starting to rebound. The current price is 76400, and an aggressive 1% position can be entered first, with the rebound target resistance initially set at 77500 and 78300. If the four-hour closing can break the 78300 resistance, an additional 2% position can be added, with the target resistance looking at 81000. Wait to add positions once the daily line stabilizes.
Note ⚠️ Before blindly adding positions, this rebound cannot be considered stable until the four-hour closing breaks and stabilizes above 78300. The market is not considered stable, and the rebound strength will not be too great. Pay attention to the secondary low test support at 74500. Similarly, this position can accommodate a 1% position, and if it falls below, a 2% position can be added around 68000.
ETH
The little coin's lowest dip was 1380. The support for adding positions I provided is at 1360. Currently, at 1410, those who are entering should pay attention to the rebound resistance at 1497 and 1530. Once the four-hour closing entity breaks above 1530, an additional 1% position can be added, with the rebound target resistance looking around 1630. Before the four-hour closing breaks above 1530, no additional positions should be added. Continue to pay attention to the support levels below at 1360 and 1080. These two positions can accommodate a 2% position.

2025.4.8.BTC.ETH.日内行情分析
BTC
$BTC $ETH 夜间行情持续走反弹震荡上行，昨天插针74500附近开始反弹到现在也反弹了5000多点，现在想想昨天要是冲进去现在赚麻了，没有早知道，昨天喊大家头仓打进去的时候，你心里可能在想，这个傻逼，跌成这样了，还喊大家做多，现在行情走出来了又在后悔没有上车，你说你是不是贱，
目前行情还在走四小时级别反弹，说明这波反弹还没走完，留意回踩支撑79000，只要四小时收线不跌破此位置，行情会继续走四小时级别反弹，上方反弹压力看81100.82200.83500.空单可在第二三压力位附近尝试，没到压力位也要等四小时级别收线跌破79000这波反弹才算结束，下方二探支撑继续看77000.745000..下方建仓点位依旧参考昨晚给兄弟们的点位，
ETH
姨太刚好反弹昨晚给到的压力1630附近，就看下方支撑1545这个位置会不会踩破，只要一小时级别收线不跌破1545行情可继续看反弹，反弹压力不变1630.1690.1750.若这波回踩一小时级别收线跌破1540这波小级别反弹结束，继续看下方二探支撑1478.1416.

2025.4.7.BTC.ETH日内行情分析
BTC
全球历史性暴跌时刻，全球股市都在暴跌，关税贸易战升级，特朗普靠一己之力让全球99%的人跟着遭殃，美股更是出现熔断，历史上的数据少见，币圈的比特币还算坚挺，，这波下跌也刚好踩到前低76500附近，这个位置我在昨天的分析里就给到了兄弟们，兄弟们不要去管有没有跌停，管理好仓位问题不大的，还没进的可按以下操作思路做参考，
76500头仓多单，1%仓位，73000二仓2%仓位，65000三仓3%仓位，只要管理好仓位，进可攻退可守，
ETH
姨太我我在上周就说了姨太一旦跌下来就会直接插针1530附近，中间是没有任何支撑的，好多兄弟还不可思议，这不早上就精准下探了，2000得姨太你敢买，1530得姨太不敢买了？点位到了看你敢不敢试错，起码性价比打满，管理好仓位1530附近头仓做进去，只笋放$BTC 前低就好，只要不打只笋吃一两百点反弹问题不大，只笋要是被打，下方还有几个支撑在1360.1000.800.哈哈，这几个位置分批进#

我们客观的从数据上看看各个币种的表现，主要是主流币种，如果我没说全的，大家可以补充。
时间周期从川普当选到今天，为了方便统计从2024.11.4到今天
btc 66800-79200
eth 2357-1600
bnb 543-564
sol 155-107
xrp 0.4957-1.9263
sui 1.79-1.92
ada 0.32-0.57
aave125-129
om 1.25-6.1
ton 4.5-2.9
zro 2.9-2.5
doge 0.148-0.149
ray 3.12-1.57
pendle 4.04-2.65
arb 0.4597-0.2751
mkr 1106-1156
shib 1639-1148
op 1.299-0.614
zk 0.1117-0.0521
strk 0.3272-0.1241(这个项目v神投资了)
pixel 0.1322-0.02122
ordi 29-6
统计的时候，心都在滴血，越统计心越疼，算了就这些吧，这一轮行情，真是绞肉机，出了大饼，xrp bnb aave om sui ada等在早些时间拿住到现在不亏，其他的不是手麻就是脚麻，有的币是全身麻！！！亏10-20%都能跑过80%的人，要是还能赚钱，那就跑赢了95%-99%的人。百分比是我自己猜的，没有做数据统计。
这还真不能怪川普，现阶段美股他都救不起来，更别说币圈的山寨了。#加密市场回调 $BTC

2025.4.6.BTC.ETH.SOL.BNB.Intraday market analysis
BTC
Currently, the market has been trading sideways below the four-hour pressure of 83,500. The overall bullish strength is not too strong. Let's first look at the lower defensive support of 81,200. Don't break this position. If you don't break this position, it will not go down in the short term. The upper long and short pressure is at 83,500. As long as the four-hour level closing can stabilize this pressure again, the rebound will be stronger. For aggressive positions, you can try a 2% position position, and defend around 81,500 with a 3% stop loss of 81,000. The upper target pressure is 84,500.85,500. If these two pressures can stabilize, the target can be rushed to 88 000, if this wave of decline knocks down our long orders, this wave of market will have to go down for the second time, and long orders can be opened in the range of 78200-76500
ETH
At present, it is oscillating in the range of 1750-1840. The focus is on which side will be broken first. If the stable type waits for the daily line to stabilize at 1840 tomorrow, then this wave of market will continue to follow the daily rebound trend. The upper pressure can be seen at 1900.1950. Near these two positions, if it falls below the support of 1750, which market will be the second wave of decline, you can see the pin position near 1530, and the intraday short-term can try to eat the rebound near 1750, and only shoot near 1730. $BTC

整个市场，包括美国社会，都对特朗普激进的关税政策表示出极大的不满情绪，美国民众则开始走上街头游行抗议。数据显示，由于美股的暴跌，全球前500名富豪一周的资产损失为5360亿美元，创下一个新的历史记录。尤其是几个科技大佬，怎么也想不到，在特朗普上任后纷纷去捐款表示祝贺，却被这一棒打得措手不及。对于加密市场来说，自大特朗普上任之后市值缩水了大几千万美金，也是醉了。
每当这个时候，我都会想到一个人，那就是巴菲特老爷子。在这轮暴跌之前，巴菲特让手上的现金比例达到一个新的高点，此前的抛售还被外界嘲笑，如今看来姜还是老的辣。不过目前似乎还没有看到老爷子出手的消息，或许对于他而言，在等一个美股引发的金融危机也说不定，到时候真的是遍地黄金。
无可否认的事实是，这次的关税保护政策后续影响难以估量，以至于悲观情绪非常浓厚，但市场的周期性却也是客观存在的事实。就像老爷子高位卖出手持现金一样，他也曾在市场绝望之时频频出手购入资产，对于我们来说，在熊市增持资产，想办法让手上的币变得更多，才不枉费大盘疯狂暴跌所带来的机会。
行情方面，由于周末两天美股停盘，币圈大概率也是维持横盘。当前市场可能会寄希望于美联储的降息，只不过目前并没有相关的消息放出，下周的行情才是一个更大的挑战，因为如果两天的缓冲期都不能给美股一个喘息的机会，而是继续暴跌，那美股会经历流动性枯竭与市场信心不足的至暗时刻，届时币圈估计也难以独善其身。如果还有资金的，看下周的情况再考虑是否加，其他的就继续守着现货好了，这个时候也没有割肉的必要了，已经到了绝望的底部区间。
感谢关注和点赞。$BTC

Since 1.20, the BTC trend has been dominated by bears (altcoins turned bearish since 12.19), and there has been no change, nor is there likely to be a reversal in the short term. A trend reversal requires very strong positive stimuli or positive expectations to drive it. Before a trend reverses, as long as it pauses and rebounds near support points, it can be strategically shorted according to the rules. However, shorting every day requires skill; it's not just about starting to decline and then shorting, but rather respecting the resistance levels before shorting.
Recently, we have had a 100% win rate for over 10 days, and a 73.3% win rate over the past 30 days. This is because our mindset has become more peaceful, avoiding arrogance and impatience, which naturally improves our state. We open positions almost every day following the rhythm of fluctuations, not chasing longs during rebounds, nor chasing shorts when retesting lows. We have been timely in taking profits and cutting losses, and we have started to emphasize trading discipline, which is an area of improvement compared to before. In the past two years, we primarily focused on low longs, as the overall trend was upward, and short-term trading didn’t emphasize strict rules as much. Now, however, as we are in the latter half of a bull market or at the cusp of a bull-bear transition, neglecting trading discipline is not an option. Being able to earn a little every day and survive in this current market makes you luckier than most traders. In the last 4-5 weeks, we have also taken some low long positions, such as after the significant dip from 3.7-3.11 with a new low of 76560, followed by over two weeks of daily rebounds. During these rebounds, we have made several low long trades. Aside from that, most of the time we are still shorting rebounds.
Since February, we have been using formulas to calculate rebound waves and downward waves for short-term trades, making short-term trading much smoother than before, sometimes with BTC being accurate within 3 points. Since Bollinger Bands are also dynamic indicators that are constantly changing, especially since February, the changes have been quite significant. If you are trading medium-term trends and only looking for points based on price action, there can be considerable deviation. The Fibonacci levels only provide relatively more accurate points when they are real-time. Therefore, when volatility is slightly larger, using formulas to calculate can correct errors and clarify short and medium-term directions.
Every day we calculate rebounds and pullbacks, just like opening a business; we check the inventory list daily. Although it’s a bit tiring, if you want to make money, there's no way to slack off. We must be responsible for everyone. I hope we all get better and better! $BTC

$BTC 大家可能忘记了一点，就是特朗普是一个很厉害的人，比一般人都要聪明、有谋略、智商高、经验丰富，如果认为他比我们傻，那十有八九，错的应该是我们。
我越来越觉得，他的关税战可能要赢，将为美国带来巨大的利益，让美国变得更加强大，美股将迎来世纪级大反弹。
周末，不断听到有国家对特朗普的关税政策表示屈服，选择关税投降的国家渐成主流，澳大利亚、印度、新西兰、菲律宾、柬埔寨和以色列直接服软，表示接受，欧洲国家已经四分五裂各怀心思，而我们的邻国越南书记苏林直接把电话打到美国，愿意把对美关税降到零。目前，宣布提高关税反制的国家，全世界只有中国。
可不要小看了越南，据美国数据显示，2024年越南对美贸易顺差达1235亿美元，仅次于中国、欧盟和墨西哥。妥妥的对美贸易大国，所以越南的表态具有举足轻重的示范意义。
客观讲，如果全世界大多数国家选择接受对等关税，对美国的关税下降以后，肯定有利于美国企业的出口啊！外贸出口竞争力暴涨，出口量可能会飞速攀升，美国企业开始爆赚！相应政府税收开始大幅增加！然后进口这块，美国是世界最大的市场，虽然大幅提高了关税，但是各国依然要向美国出口，不可能放弃美国这市场，那么美国的关税收入将剧增！
美国出口企业爆赚+美国政府税收增加+美国政府关税增加=美国政府和企业越来越有钱！有钱自然其他一切都不是问题了。什么美国居民买不到中国电视，超市里买不到拖鞋和玩具这些小问题都会迎刃而解。
当然这对币圈来讲应该是好事，美国经济增长了，美国股市肯定会强劲反弹暴涨，而一直跟着美股走的币市，应该也能搭上顺风船，跟着好起来！所以，也许现在的困难只是一场深刻变革的阵痛，让我们拭目以待！

交易很多时候要有一种豁达的心态，当我们把方法准备好了，资金准备好了，认知刷到为了，年化目标也设定好了，接下来就不要着急，不用上下求索，欲速则不达，坐守大本营，等待建仓的机会，等待行情的开始，等待好事的发生，交易就是一个内求的修行过程。

It's currently brewing, and the next main upward wave is about to begin! If all goes well, May to June; if slower, the second half of the year. Start entering the market, the bull market is still here, so sit tight.
1. U.S. tariffs and Federal Reserve policy direction
Trump's tariff increases boost U.S. fiscal revenue, which can lead to inflation. In the context of stable GDP growth, inflation isn't a major concern. Trump's call for interest rate cuts is an attempt to shift responsibility to the Federal Reserve. He argues that to make America stronger, he has increased fiscal revenue, but now the U.S. stock market is down, and the economy is experiencing a brief downturn, so the Federal Reserve should cut rates. The Federal Reserve must maintain its independence and cannot immediately cut rates, but it has already taken steps to reduce its balance sheet from $25 billion to $5 billion. Additionally, bond auction methods are also indirectly lowering rates; facing expectations of economic recession, they are hesitant to take the blame. Ultimately, a rate cut is necessary; today's speech also mentioned that the 2% inflation expectation may loosen. Before March, there was not such a high probability of rate cuts; the news came in April (I believe there is a high chance of four cuts this year), which is also a preliminary indication. Finally, when the U.S. cuts rates, expands its balance sheet, liquidity will follow.
2. U.S. stocks
I mainly look at the Nasdaq in comparison to the S&P and Dow Jones. The last monthly level correction for the Nasdaq was from 16,000 to 11,000, a drop of 5,000 points. This time, it went from 20,000 to 16,000; technically, it could drop to around 14,000, meaning there is still a 10% drop potential. Looking at the recent declines in U.S. stocks, the performance of Bitcoin shows that it is stronger; Bitcoin might drop a maximum of 10% to 74,000, but it may not even reach 74,000. 76,500 could be the bottom, and it is currently in the second buying range.
3. Bitcoin's performance
Setting aside international finance, Bitcoin is just being mischievous; not focusing on Bitcoin's fluctuations while ignoring altcoins shows a lack of interconnected thinking. The wave structure and indicators for Bitcoin on a weekly level all point to a rebound; there are at most 3-4 weeks of adjustment left. Even if it drops to 740, buying is good; it may not reach 780-760, which would be the bottom. April is an opportunity to build positions, so buy on dips.
I still insist that now is the opportunity to enter before takeoff. Enter Bitcoin at 820-800, keep a good position at 780-740; if it drops to that level, buy in; if it doesn’t, pursue right-side positions later.
Predictions do not consider black swans or gray rhinos, which can't be anticipated. Just analyze Bitcoin; altcoins will follow, so lower the expectations for price increases.
Waiting for the wind to rise!!! #鲍威尔发言 #加密市场回调