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Finance Research Society ~ June 18, 2025

1. The US SEC delays approval of Franklin's XRP and Solana spot ETFs;
2. Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin financial services company Fold Holdings has signed a $250 million equity financing agreement, with the funds primarily aimed at increasing Bitcoin reserves.

After a four-hour rebound in Bitcoin, a flash crash occurred last night, dropping directly to around 103,500 in just four hours. The price has once again fallen below the middle Bollinger Band in the four-hour chart, retreating to support near the lower band, while the daily Bollinger Bands remain weak. The market has seen significant declines, and a small cycle rebound is expected today. Recently, Bitcoin has experienced sharp rises and falls, exhibiting high volatility. It is believed that during short-term trading, every rebound of Bitcoin to the previous high of around 110,000 presents an opportunity to take profits, as the previous high has not been broken. Quick gains should be sold off, and quick dips should be bought; patience in waiting for opportunities is key to achieving good returns!

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 104,500, around 103,500, around 102,800
Resistance levels: around 106,000, around 107,500
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 2,500, around 2,460, around 2,441
Resistance levels: around 2,570, around 2,620 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH

Finance Research Society – June 13, 2025

Israeli Defense Minister Katz stated that following Israel's attack on Iran, missile and drone strikes targeting Israel and its civilians are expected in the near future.
The war escalates, and the cryptocurrency market plummets, with Bitcoin dropping to around 102688, retracing to the lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart. The market is weakening, currently in a downtrend, but it is approaching the previous low of around 100350 from the last plunge, so reaching this key support level may lead to a rebound. After the plunge to the low, the market needs to consolidate a bit before a decent rebound occurs. Just like after a surge, it needs to oscillate at a high level for a while before falling back.

Bitcoin today's oscillation range reference:
Support levels: around 103000, around 102400, around 101500
Resistance levels: around 105100, around 106000
Ethereum today's oscillation range reference:
Support levels: around 2480, around 2431, around 2391
Resistance levels: around 2560, around 2620

When there is a sharp decline in profits, it is an opportunity to gradually accumulate spot positions, paying attention to controlling reasonable positions. Bitcoin has fallen below the daily Bollinger Band middle line, and the market is in a downtrend. Short-term participation is for small cycle rebounds. It is advised to be cautious about taking profits at the hourly and four-hour resistance levels. The impact of war and news is significant, so be sure to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.

Finance Research Society – May 24, 2025

Trump's speech suggests imposing a 50% tariff directly on the EU starting June 1, 2025. There will be no tariff on products manufactured or produced in the United States. This has impacted the decline of the cryptocurrency market.
The MACD and moving averages for Bitcoin have formed a death cross on the four-hour level, and currently, this death cross resonance has created a four-hour pullback, while the daily chart is testing the support of the ten-day moving average. The pullback of Bitcoin is affecting the altcoin market, which has also seen nearly all coins experiencing a decline.
Ethereum's pullback remains significant, testing the support near 2500, which is also around the ten-day moving average on the daily chart. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart is currently the key dividing line for bullish and bearish sentiment.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 107300, around 105400, around 104500
Resistance levels: around 109000, around 110000
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 2513, around 2448, around 2428
Resistance levels: around 2590, around 2640

After last night's decline, market bullish sentiment has been affected, and the rebound has weakened. The daily chart still maintains a bullish trend, but Bitcoin's four-hour level has a death cross resonance, sustaining a four-hour adjustment. The suggestion for altcoin short-term operations is to manage profits and losses well; pay attention to taking profits and reducing positions during today's rebound. For short-term trades, do not be greedy and avoid capturing the last wave of gains.

Financial Research Society - May 3, 2025

1. Bitcoin's market value has surpassed silver, becoming the seventh largest asset globally, with a current market value of $1.933 trillion.
2. The market value of IBIT holdings has reached $58,892,429,661.09, with holdings touching 607,685.49 BTC.
3. Today, 10 U.S. Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of 3,215 BTC, with BlackRock contributing 3,636 BTC. Currently, BlackRock holds 607,685 BTC, valued at $58.86 billion;
9 Ethereum ETFs had a net outflow of 358 ETH, with Grayscale's ETHE seeing an outflow of 4,070 ETH. Currently, Grayscale's ETHE holds 1,140,412 ETH, valued at $2.09 billion.

Bitcoin is in a continued high position on the four-hour chart, still in a top divergence pattern, with short-term stagnation.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 95,700, around 94,900, around 94,200
Resistance levels: around 97,000, around 97,500
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 1,813, around 1,770, around 1,735
Resistance levels: around 1,850, around 1,870

Bitcoin has a slight pullback, altcoins are weakening accordingly. Pay attention to the pullback strength of Bitcoin; a retest of the four-hour lifeline is a critical support level. If it holds here, we can continue to capture rebounds. $BTC $ETH #Market Analysis

Finance Research Society～April 24, 2025

U.S. President Trump stated that the current high tariffs on China will significantly decrease, but will not reach zero. He will adopt a friendly attitude in negotiations with China, rather than a tough stance. Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant mentioned in a closed-door investor meeting that the trade war between the U.S. and China is unsustainable and he expects it to ease. Following this statement, the U.S. stock market rebounded significantly.

Bitcoin has continued to rise to around 94,700, but the current market is in a period of stagnation and requires a pullback. The four-hour MACD and KDJ indicators are at high levels with a slight dead cross, and there is a divergence at the one-hour peak, indicating that a pullback and adjustment of indicators is needed for the short cycle.

Bitcoin today's fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 90,600, around 89,500, around 88,600
Resistance levels: around 93,500, around 94,000
Ethereum today's fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 1,700, around 1,658, around 1,635
Resistance levels: around 1,790, around 1,830

Ethereum is at a high level on the one-hour chart, and on the four-hour chart, it has moved away from the upper Bollinger band. The short cycle will also follow Bitcoin's pullback; high-level fluctuations will not drop directly but will require some time at high levels before adjustment. #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 $BTC $ETH

The market awaits Powell's speech tonight
The three major index futures are collectively down, Nvidia fell more than 6% in pre-market trading, with speeches and data releases causing significant market fluctuations. Everyone should pay attention to risk control! #比特币与美国关税政策 $BTC $ETH

April 16, 25
Bitcoin Long Position Reference:
Initial Position: Around 83300
Add Position: Around 82000
Take Profit Level: Around 85200, Around 85800
Stop Loss Level: Around 81600

Bitcoin has pulled back quite a bit, the current price around 83300 can be considered for a long position, small position size, manage your take profit and stop loss operations, risk is controllable! The above is just personal opinion, for your reference, not investment advice! #比特币与美国关税政策 $BTC $ETH

Financial Research Society ~ April 11, 2025

Bitcoin has once again dropped to the middle Bollinger band level on the four-hour chart, with a decline of nearly $4,000. Currently, the support here is effective. The tariff issues are unpredictable, and their impact on the market will gradually diminish. Bitcoin is no longer experiencing a drastic crash, and with a small cycle adjustment, it can be a good opportunity to buy on dips, with decent returns on rebounds.

Today's Bitcoin fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 79,500, around 78,600, around 77,400
Resistance levels: around 81,700, around 82,500
Today's Ethereum fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 1,520, around 1,480, around 1,430
Resistance levels: around 1,600, around 1,660

When there are regular fluctuations, it’s an opportunity to make range trades. During major declines, still pay attention to Bitcoin, as it rebounds quickly and is resilient. Participation in altcoins must be accompanied by good profit-taking and stop-loss strategies, and it’s advisable to participate with small positions. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

What Does a 104% Tariff Mean
A 104% tariff means that the United States has implemented unprecedentedly high tariffs on imported goods from China. This policy was enacted under President Trump's leadership, with the primary aim of increasing trade pressure on China to force concessions on trade issues. Here are several key points:
Economic Impact: The 104% tariff has led to a significant increase in the selling price of Chinese goods in the U.S. market; for example, the price of Chinese electric vehicles in the U.S. has risen from $30,000 to $61,200, directly affecting the purchasing power of American consumers.
Supply Chain Disruption: The high tariffs have made it difficult for Chinese goods to enter the U.S. market, while also increasing costs for American businesses, potentially leading to a reconfiguration of supply chains and affecting the stability of global supply chains.
Political and Diplomatic: This policy has sparked widespread attention and reactions from the international community, with many countries and economies implementing retaliatory tariff measures, exacerbating tensions in global trade.
Burden on Consumers and Businesses: The increase in tariffs is ultimately passed on to consumers, raising the cost of living for ordinary families. At the same time, businesses face the dual pressure of rising costs and weakened market competition.
Overall, a 104% tariff is a complex economic and political strategy, and its consequences affect not only China and the United States but also have repercussions for the global economic system #美国加征关税 $ETH $BTC

Financial Research Society ~ April 6, 2025

Recently, tariff issues have triggered significant volatility in the cryptocurrency, U.S. stock, and gold markets. Trump has urged Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut interest rates, claiming that now is the best time for a reduction.
Powell stated that weak economic growth and rising inflation offset each other, leading the Federal Reserve to maintain expectations of two rate cuts in 2025, completely disregarding Trump.
The market's fear and greed index is at 34, indicating fear, and the market continues to undergo choppy adjustments with weak rebounds. Bitcoin's daily chart is constrained by its lifeline and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and it has not yet stabilized at the daily level.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 82,500, around 82,000, around 81,300
Resistance levels: around 83,500, around 84,200
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 1,770, around 1,750, around 1,680
Resistance levels: around 1,810, around 1,840

The market rebound is weak. For short-term operations, consider entering in batches during deep corrections, controlling position sizes, and taking profits during rebounds. It is recommended to only engage in short-term rebound trades until Bitcoin stabilizes on the daily chart.

Financial Research Society～March 30, 2025

Today's cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is 32 (yesterday's index was 26), indicating that the market remains in a "state of fear."
The Bitcoin seller ratio has just dropped to 0.086%. Over the past two years, a seller ratio below 0.1% has typically indicated a significant price rebound.

Bitcoin's daily chart shows one bearish candle breaking three support levels, and after a drop to the previous low support around 82000 in the four-hour timeframe, it rebounded; the market remains relatively weak, and the one-hour rebound did not see increased volume, with trading volume being sluggish.

Today's Bitcoin fluctuation range reference:
Support levels: around 82200, around 81300, around 80200
Resistance levels: around 84000, around 85000
Ethereum's fluctuation range reference for today:
Support levels: around 1800, around 1760, around 1729
Resistance levels: around 1860, around 1910

Ethereum remains weaker than the market; it has retraced to previous low support in the four-hour and daily charts. From the indicators, the market trend is still in a bearish phase, but as it approaches the key previous low support, there will be small cycle rebounds at the one-hour and four-hour levels.

Eno recommends focusing on Bitcoin for layout during declines; altcoins should only be engaged in short-term when the market stabilizes. Bitcoin's stability and winning rate will be higher; slow is fast, and accumulation is important. #加密市场回调 #大盘走势 $BTC $ETH

Financial Research Society ~ May 26, 2025

BlackRock will launch a Bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) in Europe, the iShares Bitcoin ETP, which is scheduled to be listed on Xetra and the Euronext Paris on Tuesday local time, with the stock code IB1T; in addition, this ETP will also be listed on the Euronext Amsterdam, with the stock code BTCN.
The positive news has driven a rebound in Bitcoin, which stood above its lifeline the next day, and the four-hour chart saw a second rebound that did not break the previous high of 88,700, falling back to around 88,500. The short cycle needs to go through some adjustments, while the daily chart is slowly strengthening.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 86,400, around 85,500, around 84,800
Resistance levels: around 88,000, around 88,500
Daily pressure is at: around 89,500
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 2,031, around 1,990, around 1,979
Resistance levels: around 2,080, around 2,150

The progress of Sol's ETF is relatively smooth, which is good news for Sol and tokens in the same sector, including Ray, which we are also focusing on as it is forming a bottom on the daily chart. Continue to pay attention! #GameStop将比特币纳入储备资产 #大盘解析 $BTC $ETH

Financial Research Society – March 25, 2025

Bitcoin has rebounded above the life line on the daily chart and is currently undergoing a pullback adjustment. The daily line has broken through the middle Bollinger band, but the middle band still needs adjustment in terms of its shape. The four-hour chart has stabilized above the middle Bollinger band, indicating strength in the short cycle. The daily MACD and KDJ have formed a golden cross, while the weekly KDJ has reached the bottom shape, both indicating a transition from bearish to bullish trends. After the adjustment, the potential for another rebound is around 89,500.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 85,800, around 84,900, around 84,400
Resistance levels: around 87,500, around 88,500
Strong resistance at: around 89,500
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 2,041, around 2,013, around 1,985
Resistance levels: around 2,080, around 2,150

The four-hour chart for Ethereum has stabilized, with the daily chart showing bottom oscillation. Ino believes the daily life line is currently a key resistance level and is also following Bitcoin's upward movement. The recent rebounds of altcoins Ray and Cake that we have been monitoring have been quite good. The recent new issuance in BSC chain wallets will drive BNB's rebound, which is worth paying attention to.
#大盘动态 $BTC $ETH #大盘走势

Financial Research Club ~ March 24, 2025

Today, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index rose to 45 (up from 30 yesterday), still indicating fear.

According to a Metaplanet announcement, the company has once again purchased 150 bitcoins as part of its Bitcoin treasury strategy, at an average price of 12,570,173 yen per bitcoin, totaling approximately 1.886 billion yen. As of now, the company holds a total of 3,350 bitcoins, with a cumulative purchase amount of about 42.216 billion yen.

Bitcoin has rebounded on the daily chart, once again approaching the resistance level near 86,600, and has established support at the Bollinger middle band on the four-hour chart. After breaking through the Bollinger middle band on the daily chart, there is a need for a pullback. The four-hour chart is stabilizing, while the daily chart is experiencing slight adjustments at resistance levels.
Ethereum is experiencing narrow fluctuations on the four-hour chart, with the 30-day moving average currently acting as support, and rebounds are being suppressed by the 60-day moving average, leading to a small volatility range.

Bitcoin's reference for today's trading range:
Support levels: around 84,600, around 83,800, around 83,300
Resistance levels: around 86,500, around 87,200
Ethereum's reference for today's trading range:
Support levels: around 1,980, around 1,952, around 1,888
Resistance levels: around 2,050, around 2,120

Ino believes the four-hour chart is strengthening, and the daily chart is experiencing a pullback at the resistance level. Altcoins are following the market rebound, and attention should be paid to the bottom altcoins we have highlighted, which can be operated in isolation.

Financial Research Society ~ May 23, 2024

Bitcoin maintains around 84,000, under pressure from the lifeline on the daily chart, while the Bollinger middle band on the four-hour chart is flat, resulting in narrow fluctuations.
Ethereum is strengthening at the four-hour level, standing above the four-hour lifeline, with the Bollinger middle band also currently being a key dividing line, consolidating around 2,000.
The daily MACD shows a golden cross at the bottom, and the moving averages are still consolidating at the bottom, with 2,150 being a key resistance level on the daily chart.

Bitcoin's reference for today's fluctuation range:
Support levels: around 83,690, around 82,800, around 81,900
Resistance levels: around 85,000, around 86,200
Ethereum's reference for today's fluctuation range:
Support levels: around 1,980, around 1,940, around 1,910
Resistance levels: around 2,050, around 2,150

Inno suggests focusing on altcoins in the Binance Chain series, such as Cake, BB, and Ray in the Solana chain, which can continue to be monitored as it pulls back to the weekly bottom.

Bitcoin fell back to 83600, precise delivery in place! #ETF关注 #BNBChainMeme热潮 $BTC
$ETH

Yesterday's Bitcoin pullback support at 83600 hit precisely, rebounding, low position buying profits! #BNBChainMeme热潮 $BTC $ETH

Financial Research Society - March 22, 2025

Bitcoin is still under pressure from the life line and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, maintaining a box range oscillation on the four-hour chart with a relatively small fluctuation range.

Today's oscillation range reference for Bitcoin:
Support levels: around 83600, around 82800, around 81700
Resistance levels: around 85000, around 86200
Today's oscillation range reference for Ethereum:
Support levels: around 1952, around 1910, around 1880
Resistance levels: around 2000, around 2050

The market's altcoin rebound is still relatively strong, mainly concentrated in tokens on the BSC chain, such as Cake and BB, which have rebounded well and can be continuously monitored in the short term. #BNBChainMeme热潮 $BTC $ETH

Many people think that only through trading can one make money.
In fact, the core of making money lies in not trading and patiently waiting.
After opening a position, if there is a profit, hold it patiently; trading can bring the pleasure of immediate feedback, while waiting is extremely counterintuitive.
80% of the market movements are designed to challenge human nature.
They may seem enjoyable, but what feels good will definitely not lead to making money, at least not significant amounts.
Significant profits are always a combination of luck (major market movements) and self-awareness (the part that can be improved).
No matter how skilled an individual is, without a major market trend, it is impossible to make money.
To change one's fate, one must rely on a bull market or a trend.
Because it is only in a bull market or during a trend that most people can make money, and you can make money.
Put in your utmost effort to prepare; otherwise, the market will end.
Looking back at the entire major market movement, it would be like drawing water with a bamboo basket, all in vain.
#加密市场反弹 $BTC

Research Society ~ March 19, 2025

Bitcoin has once again dropped to the support level near 81200 at the lower Bollinger Band, initiating a rebound. It is constrained by the middle Bollinger Band and the lifeline on the four-hour chart, resulting in a relatively weak rebound. The daily chart is still oscillating below the middle Bollinger Band and the lifeline. In terms of indicator patterns, it is at the bottom of the four-hour level, with multiple retests at the 80,000 integer mark without breaking through, which helps the market rebound.

Bitcoin's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 81600, around 80400, around 79500
Resistance levels: around 83500, around 84400
Ethereum's reference range for today:
Support levels: around 1889, around 1860, around 1770
Resistance levels: around 1940, around 2000

Ethereum is oscillating at the bottom of the four-hour level, stabilizing above the middle Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing. As long as there is no negative news impact, Ethereum will gradually strengthen, driving a rebound at the four-hour level. Among altcoins, it is believed that BNB remains the main token of the BSC chain, with high popularity, suitable for short-term trading. #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH