晨曦-逐币

When I was young, I couldn't understand why Squidward often had a stern face; now that I am grown, I can't understand why SpongeBob can always smile.

The bigger the waves, the more expensive the fish; this wave must be full of wealth! ​​​$BTC $ETH #以色列伊朗冲突

Aunt Kong 70, Kong River, Brother 1000, Kong River. ​​​$BTC $ETH

Xixi has been weaving all day long. Continuously weaving and collecting bags

$BTC $XRP $ETH #币安Alpha上新 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调 #美国国债 #特朗普施压鲍威尔

Just say that the inner Mongolia is comfortable with two words. ​​​

Experts advise expanding domestic demand in the second half of the year: increase residents' income and strengthen "investment in people"
On June 23, according to news from June 21, the China Macroeconomic Forum 2025 Mid-Term Forum was held in Beijing, where Wang Yiming, vice chairman of the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, stated that expanding domestic demand should focus on addressing the shortcomings in consumption. Currently, China's household consumption rate is relatively low compared to countries with similar income levels, and efforts are needed to correct this structural deviation. In terms of short-term policies, efforts should focus on increasing residents' income. Specifically, this means increasing the proportion of fiscal spending on public services and people's livelihoods, increasing the proportion of household consumption in total demand, and increasing the proportion of disposable income to national income. The current constraints on service consumption stem from entry restrictions and price controls in certain areas, resulting in a lack of differentiation in service supply, making it difficult to meet diverse demands. Additionally, when investment growth is fast, consumption often also grows rapidly. It is necessary to promote the linkage between consumption and investment. Since a significant rebound in consumption is unlikely in the short term, it is essential to better leverage the driving role of public investment in the short term. Wang Yiming further pointed out that it is also necessary to advance reforms in key areas. For example, promoting fiscal and tax system reform to enhance local governments' enthusiasm for expanding consumption and changing the behavior pattern of local governments that prioritize investment over consumption. $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新 #剥头皮策略 #加密市场回调

The second molybdenum marker is directly dry, isn't this another several dozen points ​​​$BTC $ETH

June 23, Monday Sol's Brief Commentary:
With the mainstream coins plummeting, Sol has also experienced a significant decline, with the lowest support around 125.5. Looking at the early intraday developments, the market has shown some signs of recovery, oscillating around 132 again. In terms of the overall trend, it remains bearish. On a smaller scale, we have returned to a high sell, low buy oscillation.
Today's cryptocurrency fear and greed index is 47 (up from 42 yesterday), indicating a return to a neutral market. On the hourly level, the upward momentum is insufficient, with resistance between 134-136, where one can continue to hold light positions. Looking down, it is advisable to consider the area around 130-128.

The first wave of Zaojian's thinking, once you have the right direction, you must act; where is the opportunity if you don't? Continuing to hold on. ​​​

Shanghai Gold Exchange Gold T+D (Monday) early morning rose 0.35% to 779.5 yuan/gram;
Shanghai Gold Exchange Silver T+D June 23 (Monday) early morning rose 0.38% to 8717.0 yuan/kilogram.
$BTC $ETH

Early Morning Commentary on 6.23:
After a two-day weekend break, back on track. During the weekend, the market fell into chaos, with a waterfall washout, and both whale and ETF purchases halved, leading to weakness in the market.
Currently, Bitcoin is once again in a repair phase, with a rebound that looks relatively optimistic. The daily chart shows a pin bar forcefully pulling back into the Bollinger Bands range, with a long lower shadow, and the sentiment remains strong. It is operating near the middle band on the hourly chart. The Bollinger Bands have widened, and KDJ has formed a golden cross upwards. Coupled with the tense situation in the Middle East, it cannot withstand any fluctuations. Personally, I believe:
Bitcoin rebound: around 101100-101900
Molybdenum mark: around 100100-99300
Altcoin rebound: around 2250-2280
Molybdenum mark: around 2200-2170

The so-called bottomless abyss, going down is also a journey of a thousand miles.

Panic selling on Sunday morning caused the pancake price to drop rapidly to 100000. The main explosive force is the army, and from the perspective of the pattern, this drop has not yet completed. However, attention should be paid to the intraday rebound situation. There is no problem in rebounding on short-term support.

102000-101000, target 103000 ​​​

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report: It is still too early to assess the impact of tariffs on the economy
On June 20, the Federal Reserve released its latest monetary policy report to Congress on Friday, stating that the U.S. inflation rate has risen, the labor market remains robust, but suggesting that the impact of Trump's tariff measures may just be beginning to show, and reiterated the Fed's view that it can wait for clearer situations before taking action. The Fed stated in the report: "The impact of increased import tariffs on U.S. consumer prices this year is highly uncertain, as trade policies continue to evolve, and it is still too early to assess how consumers and businesses will respond. Although the effects of tariffs cannot be directly observed from official consumer price statistics, the pattern of net price changes for various goods this year suggests that tariffs may be one of the reasons for the recent rise in goods inflation." The report also stated that despite uncertainties, the financial system has remained "resilient." $BTC $ETH

6.20 Bitcoin Evening Commentary:
The Bitcoin price fell to around 104,100 early in the day, then surged to around 106,400 during the afternoon. Let's welcome Black Friday with a stable temperature for 3 days!

From the hourly perspective, the Bollinger Bands have broken above the upper band, and the MACD shows a significant increase. The KDJ indicator is forming a golden cross upward. Personally, I believe:
Bitcoin pullback: around 105,500-104,600
Target: around 106,400-107,200

​​​$BTC $ETH

6.20 Auntie Late Stream Shallow Says:
Looking back at the recent market of boiling frogs in warm water, the early stream from Xixi gave a perfect hit at 2500 followed by a rebound. In the afternoon, it started to rise dramatically to around 2570. From an hourly perspective, Bolin Dai has broken through the upper track, and the MACD shows a significant increase. The KDJ is showing a golden cross upwards. Xixi personally believes:
Auntie will retrace: around 2540-2510
Looking towards: around 2580-2610 ​​​

June 20 Early Stream:
Warm Water Boils the Frog
Big Pancake Rebound: Around 105000-105600
Target: Around 104100-103300
Auntie's Rebound: Around 2550-2580
Molybdenum Marker: Around 2510-2480 ​​​

God knows such a big market movement overnight, I jumped in near the pullback point and woke up to this 😂. The direction is fine, and the result is ultimately very good. ​​​$BTC $ETH

Trump: "Mr. Too Late" Powell is a disgrace to America! Should lower interest rates by 250 basis points!
On June 19, U.S. President Trump stated, "Mr. Too Late" Powell has cost our country hundreds of billions of dollars. He is indeed one of the most foolish and destructive people in the government, and the Federal Reserve Board is complicit. Europe has cut rates 10 times, and we haven't. Our rates should have been lowered by 2.5 percentage points (250 basis points), which would save billions on Biden's short-term debt. Our inflation rate is very low! "Mr. Too Late" is a disgrace to America!
#鲍威尔发言 #以色列伊朗冲突 #我的交易风格 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储FOMC会议

6.19 Evening Shallow Discussion:
There is not much to say about the market during the day, the afternoon's thoughts basically treaded water. In the evening, US stocks are closed, but it does not affect market fluctuations. Currently, the large coin is still at the 104900 mark, which is unchanged from the afternoon's position. In the evening, I personally believe there will be a pullback to buy:

Large coin pullback: around 104600-104000
Molybdenum target: around 105500-106300
Auntie's pullback: around 2510-2500
Molybdenum target: around 2560-2590
$BTC $ETH

On June 19, due to June 19 (Thursday) being the Juneteenth holiday in the United States, the U.S. stock market will be closed for one day, and normal trading will resume on June 20 (Friday). ​​​$BTC $ETH $SOL

Must-Read for Beginners! 7 Life-Saving Guidelines from Real Losses in the Crypto Market!

After countless lessons learned with real money, I have summarized these practical experiences in hopes of helping you avoid detours! It is recommended to bookmark this, as it may help you protect your principal at critical moments.

1. Off-Peak Trading: Avoid the 'News Fog'

During the day, the crypto market is filled with unverified good and bad news, leading to drastic fluctuations and potential misjudgments in buying high and selling low. It is advisable to concentrate trading activities after 9 PM, when market news becomes clearer, and candlestick patterns hold more reference value, allowing for more accurate trend judgments.

2. Lock in Profits: Reject the Trap of Greed

After making a profit, avoid the urge to 'get greedy'! For instance, if your current position has gained 1000 USDT, consider locking in 50% of that profit and holding the remaining position. Many investors miss the best profit-taking points due to greed, ultimately giving back all their gains or even losing their principal.

3. Data First: Reject Subjective Guesswork

Abandon 'guesswork' trading and use professional tools to assist in decision-making. Focus on three core indicators:

• MACD: Bullish on golden cross, bearish on death cross
• RSI: Watch for pullbacks when overbought, and rebounds when oversold
• Bollinger Bands: Constriction indicates a trend change, breakout confirms direction
Only consider entering the market when at least two indicators reach a consensus.

4. Dynamic Stop-Loss: Flexibly Respond to Risks

• Monitoring Status: After making a profit, manually adjust the stop-loss position upwards. For example, if the purchase price is 1000 USDT and it rises to 1100 USDT, you can adjust the stop-loss to 1050 USDT to lock in some profits.

• Non-Monitoring Status: Set a hard stop-loss at 3% to guard against extreme market conditions leading to liquidation.

5. Regular Withdrawals: Reject the Game of Numbers

Establish a 'profit withdrawal' mechanism, recommending to transfer 30% of profits to your bank card every Friday. Converting virtual numbers into actual assets enhances investment security and provides a tangible sense of profit accumulation.

6. Candlestick Techniques: Accurately Seize Opportunities

• Short-Term Trading: Reference the 1-hour candlestick; if two consecutive bullish candles appear, consider going long.

• Volatile Markets: Switch to the 4-hour chart and look for entry points near support levels.

7. Pitfall Guide: Protect Your Principal

• Leverage Control: Keep leverage no more than 50 times to reduce liquidation risk.

• Coin Selection: Stay away from meme coins like Dogecoin and Shitcoin to avoid being exploited by project teams.

• Trading Frequency: Limit trading to no more than 3 trades per day to avoid emotional imbalance from frequent operations.

6.19 Afternoon Commentary:
The morning market performance was below expectations, and a short-term interest rate cut is unlikely to materialize, which has limited impact on the overall market. The index has attempted to break through the 106,000 level multiple times without success, indicating insufficient upward momentum. Although there was a rebound this morning, the trend has not changed, and the afternoon strategy remains unchanged - recommend shorting at highs. Currently, the major index is at 104,900 and the secondary index is at 2,520. I personally believe:
Major index rebound: around 105,200-105,800
Secondary index: around 104,300-103,500
Secondary index rebound: around 2,540-2,570
Secondary index: around 2,500-2,480

$BTC $ETH