晨曦-逐币

The price of the currency is fluctuating sideways.
Early dip [heart]
Around 111200-110600.
Look: Around 112800-113600.

Around 4430-4400.
Look: Around 4500-4545. $BTC $ETH

Midnight has come again, and I haven't properly shared posts with my cousins these past couple of days. Are my cousins going to forget about Xixi?
The molybdenum front coin price is running around 112100, with a slow upward trend during the day; the highest resistance in the evening is around 112400, followed by a pin drop. The hourly level KGJ golden cross is moving upwards. Increasing volume.
Around 111800-111200, look at: 112800-113600

Around 4440-4410, look at: 4500-4550

Those who you think are unreliable in life are filled with things you don't have the courage to do.

$BTC $ETH

The calm before the storm? A global data bombardment on September 3rd, a countdown to a major market shock!
Attention everyone! Today (Wednesday, September 3rd) global financial markets will be bombarded with a flurry of data—from the ECB's statements to core US economic indicators, each of which could ignite a market trigger!

First Wave: European Session (starting at 3:30 PM)
ECB President Lagarde's speech and final PMI figures for Germany, France, and other countries will be released simultaneously. If European economic data (especially the services PMI) falls short of expectations, the Euro may face downward pressure, with a high probability of capital flowing back into US dollar assets. A stronger US dollar will undoubtedly put direct pressure on the high-risk sectors we focus on.

Second Wave: US trading continues into the early morning, with a series of bombshells dropping.
The Fed's hawkish-dovish game: Successive speeches by Musallem and Kashkari, coupled with the release of the Fed's Beige Book, signal a hawkish "unfinished" interest rate hikes. This will tighten market liquidity expectations and inevitably increase short-term volatility. Crude oil and employment are the two main focus points: A significant increase in API crude oil inventories this morning might appear to ease inflationary pressure, but this could be a false alarm. The key figures, however, are the US JOLTS job openings and monthly factory orders, released at 10:00 PM. If these figures exceed expectations, expectations of a Fed rate cut will be further dampened, market sentiment could flip at any moment, and there's a high probability of large-scale capital manipulation.

My prediction: First volatility, then a firming trend. Be wary of overnight spikes.

Today will likely be the first to experience a period of "spinning volatility first, followed by data-driven direction." Sudden spikes are particularly likely around the release of US data. A reminder: The real impact of the data unfolds half an hour after the data is released. I'll monitor the market until 4:00 AM, not for trading, but to identify turning points in market sentiment.

Soul-searching question: If panic selling strikes, will you buy the dip or wait and see?

Tonight is both a sleepless night and a window of opportunity. Remember: data is just a catalyst; the true market direction always lies beneath the surface of market sentiment!

What event today are you most wary of? Let us know in the comments! Follow Su Xiaowan as she shares real-time trading strategies, helping you penetrate the data fog and accurately grasp market trends.

Click to follow for tonight's real-time analysis. See you there!$ETH $BTC

A wave heads south in the morning, directly reaching the molybdenum position $BTC $ETH

Good morning, brothers! The price of the cryptocurrency dropped to support near 4255 and rebounded. Currently, it is fluctuating around 4330. No matter how you look at it, a kiss is just a high kiss[dirty]

Around 111400-112000, look: around 110300-109500.

Around 4360-4390, look: around 4290-4250.

If you always rely on others, you will never become an independent person. The so-called choice of path does not necessarily mean choosing a path that is easy and safe. Whatever is wrong, even if it's late, you must strive until the end. $BTC $ETH

Roller coaster market sentiment, alternating between long and short positions. Operating around the 110700 level for molybdenum. MACD energy is shrinking.

Looking around 111000-111600, watch: around 109900-109000.

Looking around 4320-4350, watch: around 4260-4220.

The trivialities derived from you, over the years in the perpetual white nights, converge into a gentle and distant river of light, no longer touching me, yet still illuminating me. $BTC $ETH

If the fragrant direction is correct, then it's an easy question $BTC $ETH

Evening:
Yesterday's plunge, today's rebound. The sky collapses and turns upside down. Near the 110200 level for molybdenum, the market shows that it is still high in the morning.

Around the 110500-111100 level, look: around 109400-108600

Around the 4410-4440 level, look: around 4350-4300

I am increasingly convinced that the cost of creating something beautiful is: effort, disappointment, and perseverance. First comes the pain, then the joy. $BTC $ETH

September Market Warning: Don't Be Led By The "Interest Rate Cut Consensus"

Right now, the market is almost one-sided— the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September has been pushed to 90%. However, the more unanimous the "consensus," the more hidden risks often lie behind it that are easy to overlook. Regardless of whether the rate is cut or not in the end, this September, we must stay alert and be wary of significant market adjustments or even a sudden "black swan" event.

In fact, we don't even have to wait for the final outcome; the market has already begun to "rehearse" in advance. Last month, as soon as Powell made a speech, U.S. stocks, gold, cryptocurrency, and various currencies immediately reacted. The rises and falls behind those movements are essentially funds positioning themselves in anticipation of the "rate cut expectation." However, the more this "preheating" is done, the stronger the backlash may be once the wind changes.

Specifically looking at the implementation of the rate cut in September, it is highly likely that it will not escape three scenarios, but none of them can guarantee investors will make a profit:

1. If the rate is cut by 50 basis points as expected: This completely aligns with the mainstream market judgment, in plain terms, it means "good news fully digested," and the market is likely to remain calm, making it very difficult to wait for a new market breakthrough;

2. If the cut is only 25 basis points: This is less than the general expectation, and even if it can still be considered "good news," market sentiment will shift, likely leading to a slight reversal;

3. The scenario to be most wary of is postponing the rate cut: If the September non-farm data, PPI, and CPI do not support a rate cut, Powell could very well pause the plan. It’s worth noting that this isn’t the first time the Fed has "affected the global market"; if they do pause the rate cut, global traders may have to face a collective "being trapped" reversal market.

Ultimately, regardless of which scenario comes true, it will not be easy for the market to have a good performance after the rate cut decision is announced. After all, the rules of investment markets have never changed: only a small number of people can make money, and when the majority crowd into a favored direction, it often turns into a big pit for harvesting the "leeks."

For A-shares, the current upside is already limited, and a pullback is needed to "create space." However, from an internal perspective, a clear reason for a pullback has not yet been found, and the Fed's rate cut could just become an opportunity for A-shares to "adjust with the trend"—using the volatility of external markets to complete their own rhythm switch.

$BTC $ETH

Eat bowl fat bullet. Bottom position秒刹$BTC $ETH

The price of Yitaicoin has plummeted significantly, once again testing the support level near $4207, indicating that there is still support present. The 4-hour level shows a long lower wick, with a focus on the 4290 level. Don't ask how Chen feels, just go with the trend and take a high-risk approach.
Near 109100-109700, look: around 108000-107200.

Near 4320-4350, look: around 4260-4220.

In life, there are more disappointments than satisfactions. Often think of one or two, and not of eight or nine, and everything will go as you wish. $BTC $ETH

Cash out again. Awesome~$BTC $ETH

Summary:

Intraday capture of 4076 points in Kongjian, 15916 USD🔪
Capture of 224 points in Kongjian, 5🥚🈴24724 USD🔪. ​​​

Recently, the aviation services have been volatile, with rises and falls ultimately being fleeting. The four-hour level shows a decline in low points, while the daily line remains under pressure at the 4500 level.

Look around 108900-109500: 407900-107100.

Look around 4400-4430: 4340-4300.

You always want to rely on others, but in the end, you'll find that every difficult moment in life is something you have to get through on your own. $BTC $ETH

The so-called 'Golden September, Silver October'! Is 135,000 still a major correction? A battle between bulls and bears!

For the cryptocurrency market, September has always been a month full of expectations and uncertainties. On one hand, it is traditionally seen as a period where market sentiment gradually warms up; on the other hand, the dense occurrence of policy and economic events makes it a key node for the struggle between bulls and bears.

The most noteworthy event this month is undoubtedly the expectation of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The market generally predicts that a round of interest rate cuts may come in mid-September, which will become an important driving force for a new round of increases in the crypto market. From a timing perspective, the first week of September will likely be a stage for emotional brewing, with the market primarily oscillating; entering the second week, the speculation around interest rate cut expectations will gradually heat up, and the market may react positively in advance.

The current market correction precisely provides investors with the opportunity to gradually position themselves. Buying on dips before the market officially starts can help gain an advantage when the interest rate cut brings positive momentum. However, it should be noted that "good news often leads to bad news" — once the interest rate cut is officially implemented, the market may also see a short-term profit-taking, leading to a wave of correction. After that, investors' focus will shift to the expectations for the next interest rate policy, cycling into a new round of speculative rhythm.

What ultimately determines the market direction is still macro policies, especially the guidance of the Federal Reserve's statements. Powell's attitude is crucial — will he continue to release easing signals, or will he emphasize inflation control as a priority? This will directly determine whether the market reaches the peak of a new bull market or faces a phase adjustment.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's weekly chart is still in a trend of oscillating upward. Although there has been a short-term correction, the overall bullish pattern remains unchanged, with strong support below. Coupled with the gradual reduction in Bitcoin's supply, the long-term upward movement of the price center is highly probable. Short-term fluctuations do not change the trend direction, and the market still has the potential to reach new highs.

In summary, September should not be seen as an endpoint, but rather more likely as the starting point for a new wave of market brewing. In the medium to long term, Bitcoin still looks to target the range of 115,000 to 135,000 USD. The strategy suggests seizing the opportunity during the correction, building positions in batches, and maintaining rationality amidst the interplay of interest rate cut expectations and policy implementation, responding flexibly.

Show a little silver grain! Little pink is not wrong in climbing and forging - steady!

Direction Correct $BTC $ETH

Daytime fluctuations, high throws and low absorptions. The currency price is near the 109500 mark.

Near 109800-110400, watch: near 108700-107900.

Near 4460-4490, watch: near 4410-4370.

In a square, people are crowded, you don't know where the direction is, but if you stand a little higher and look a little farther, you will know that all the surrounding crowding is actually meaningless to you. $BTC $ETH

Very impressive, this report↓ basically covers up. $BTC $ETH