Crypto清水

I have to say, the friends who follow my orders have a keen eye for people; as long as they are patient with me, everyone profits. I do not use leverage, so I cannot achieve very high returns like those who do leverage in the short term, but I know that once leverage is used, as the timeline stretches, there will always be an extreme market event that will wipe out profits—profits cannot be retained, they are fleeting. What use is that? What I want is to retain profits, achieve stable compound interest, and the ability to maintain stable compound interest over the long term is the most important.

After a month, my average is about 20%. Those who are impatient cannot follow me; only those who pursue stability are my kindred spirits. Time will continuously test and eliminate those short-lived individuals, while I will keep pushing upward like a bulldozer. (Let me emphasize, I am not using a Martingale strategy)

Let me ask, do you like this curve?

After enlightenment, I have opened a trading account and achieved stable profits for 7 consecutive weeks. Without leverage, this Binance trading account has a return of 41% over 35 days. While this may not compare to some high-yield traders with leverage, many of those leveraged traders are just short-term flashes. After years of trading, I genuinely believe that in trading, it ultimately matters who goes the farthest; stability is the most important. This is why I want to eliminate leverage and continue to document my progress. I hope to become a top trader in the crypto space, and one day, with over 100 million, I will secure a real account.

Let me talk about the script before the delisting at 5 PM today for #ALPACA :

This speculator initially thought that they had already eaten enough from the fees in the past two days, and it didn't matter whether the spot was sold or not. They could have directly crashed it to zero yesterday. However, it seems they are very greedy; not only do they want to eat the fees, but they also want to sell the spot today, rather than tomorrow or the day after. Because after the contract delists at 5 PM today, the spot will have no liquidity. The script for this afternoon is to perform the doomsday cycle, continue to lure in buyers and make a sharp rise, possibly even pushing it above 1, and then in the last half hour, or even the last 10 minutes, sell off and go to zero. Let's see if it goes this way.

I haven't gone long, but I've placed a 1X short order at a very high position, waiting. If I lose during the liquidation, I accept it; if it goes to zero, I'm very happy. Wish me luck, haha.

By the way, I will often share my views and logic at 清水的小天地.

BTC: Are the dual kills of long and short positions approaching?!

The day before yesterday, I mentioned that #BTC 96000 is a significant hurdle, and we have been unable to surpass it, yet we also can't drop below it. It is evident that there is a strong force supporting the price. Here’s my latest outlook on the upcoming movements:

1. From the estimated liquidation perspective: upwards 97500 could liquidate 1.5 billion, downwards 86000 could liquidate 3.2 billion, which seems more favorable for a downward movement. However, I can't see it dropping that deep; at most, it could return to around 91000, where it could liquidate 1.5 billion, resulting in a dual kill of long and short positions.

2. From the chip structure perspective: there has been no change in the last few days. There is a force continuously supporting BTC to oscillate around 94000. This is a form of price washing because there are too many trapped positions above 96000. However, just washing like this is not enough; without significant volatility, the trapped positions above will not cut their losses.

In summary, I am optimistic about the upward trend in May, but before that, the trapped positions above 96000 need to be washed out. If these positions do not cut their losses, they will dump at higher levels above 100,000 later on. The best way to wash the price is through this dual kill approach—unlimited sideways movement combined with long and short dual kills. Prices can’t go up, and we don’t know how much they can drop. We need to let these positions suffer and try to liquidate at low levels around 91000. Many times, human nature is like this; during a rise, people won’t sell, and they tend to chase prices and kill dips.

Additionally, speaking about altcoins, recently altcoins have actually risen for two consecutive weeks. It can be said that this is the strongest wave in the past six months, with an average increase of 50%-200%. The profit-taking potential is significant. I believe that along with BTC’s dual kill, altcoins will also need to realize some profits, and we can expect a collective drop of around 30%.

Finally, I will frequently share my latest views at 清水的小天地.

#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币

BTC: 96000 faced resistance, 91000 in sight?

The day before yesterday, I publicly stated that #BTC 96000 is a significant resistance level. There are many trapped positions here, and as expected, the highest it dared to go was only 95769, not breaking above 96000. Now, let me share my latest thoughts:

1. Based on liquidation estimates: If BTC is to break through 96000, it can explode 1.15 billion up to 97500, and 1.3 billion down to 91000. If it goes further down to 82000, it can explode 4.3 billion. From the perspective of contracts, a downward movement would be better.

2. From the chip structure perspective: The chips trapped above 96000 are no joke; they definitely didn’t dare to release them the first time. There is strong support at 88000, but in the short term, I think the probability of returning to 91000 is higher, and the downward movement won’t be too deep.

In summary, considering that many negative factors have recently landed and eased, along with expectations of interest rate cuts in May-June, the market is clearly in a bullish trend. The previous bearish trend has been broken. However, recently, altcoins have surged too much, generally averaging 50%-200%. BTC has also rebounded significantly. With rises come falls, and I think there may be a relatively widespread major correction within the next three days, with BTC seeing 91000, while many low-quality altcoins may experience a general correction of 20%-50%. For those who missed the previous wave, you might consider replenishing when BTC returns to 91000.

Lastly, I will frequently share my views and logic at 清水的小天地.

#币安Alpha上新 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

#ALPACA is like sending money to me. How could I, a garbage knockoff short-seller, lose? After a nap, I woke up to find that the waterfall of pins had me lying in victory. Let’s take a look at this ID's precise guidance 😄

Just to mention, I will share my viewpoints and logic at 清水的小天地.

$ALPACA

#TRUMP is really fierce, 16.3 now, very comfortable, huge surge, hard to imagine.
$TRUMP

#TRUMP I mentioned earlier that I would reach 35 with TRUMP, and I still hold that position. Many friends have asked me about my short-term view, so I'll elaborate again. It won't reach 35 all at once; there will be several waves of fluctuations beforehand. Currently, it's stabilized at 13.5, and the next target is 17, as 17-19 is a significant resistance level. I'm considering reducing my position a bit as it approaches 17, and then buying back at 13.5 to make a short profit.

I will often share my logic at 清水的小天地.

#加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新

BTC: Is it about to drop to 88000?

Yesterday I mentioned that after #BTC hits 96000, there will be a significant correction. It peaked close to 95000 before starting to correct, so let me update my latest views:

1. From the estimated liquidation perspective: going up to 96000 could trigger 700 million, while going down to 88000 could trigger 1.4 billion. If it drops to 82000, it could trigger 3.6 billion. From this angle, it’s very likely that after another attempt to hit 96000, it will drop back down to 90000 or 88000.

2. From the chip structure perspective: the resistance at 96000 is very strong, it cannot be broken through easily in one go. The support at 88000 is also very strong. I believe that in the next half month, it might oscillate repeatedly between 88000 and 96000, and neither level will be easily broken.

In summary, my script is quite simple: if it goes up to 96000, I will exit; if it goes down to 88000-90000, I will enter. After several rounds of washing the chips, a real main rise will start in mid-May.

Lastly, I will share the latest logic at 清水的小天地.

#加密市场反弹 #TRUMP晚宴 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

#TRUMP 6 days ago, perfectly bottomed Trump and clearly stated that there would be a huge surge, unimaginable. I said it would reach 35, many people criticized me, and within a week it has doubled, you can line up to apologize now.

Let me say, I will often share my views on 清水的小天地.

$TRUMP

BTC: After breaking 96000, is a crash about to start??!

I posted yesterday afternoon saying that 90500 would definitely be reached by tonight, with resistance at 96000. Today, the highest point reached was 94000, so here's my latest perspective:

1. From the liquidation estimate: upwards to 96000 can only trigger 280 million, while downwards to 81500 can trigger 3.4 billion. This huge disparity is similar to what I mentioned earlier at 75000, where the estimated liquidation gap was also 10 times as large. This often indicates that the market is nearing a turning point. However, I don't believe it will drop back to 81500; a return to 89000 in the short term would be good enough.

2. From the chip structure perspective: I mentioned yesterday that after stabilizing at 88000, there wouldn't be significant pressure until reaching 96000. As expected, it surged directly to 94000 today. The real heavy pressure is at 96000; the closer we get to this level, the more likely a change in trend will occur.

In summary, my script is that #BTC will continue upwards to 96000, then consolidate a bit before suddenly dropping back to around 89000-90000. This scenario will happen within a week, and that position will be a great opportunity for many who missed out.

Lastly, I’d like to mention that I share my latest views daily at 清水的小天地.

#加密市场反弹

This ID publicly mentioned #TRUMP 9.3 five days ago, just reached a high of 9.24. I will continue to hold my order that I copied at 7.4 to the bottom, all the way to 35, a huge surge, unimaginable!

I am waiting for you at 清水的kol专属聊天室, feel free to reach out for a chat.
#加密市场反弹
$TRUMP

In the afternoon, I said that #BTC would meet at 90500 in the evening, just asking if it is a horse-drawn cannon???!!

At the same time, I shorted dozens of junk clones in real trading, and it had no impact at all, welcome to watch.

BTC: Will we see 90500 tonight?!!

As I mentioned yesterday, after BTC stabilized at 87000, it will continue to push upward, with a peak at 96000. However, there will be some fluctuations before that, so here are my views for today:

1. From the liquidation estimate: going up to 90500 could trigger 500 million in liquidations, while going down to 85000 could trigger 800 million. The difference isn't that significant. Personally, I lean towards pushing up to 90500 first, and just when everyone thinks the bull is back, there will be a sudden drop catching them off guard.

2. From the chip structure: 88000 is also a small pressure point. Once 88000 stabilizes, the pressure to continue upward tonight actually decreases, so I think reaching 90500 is quite easy. One impulse could complete it, but jumping directly to 96000 isn’t realistic, especially since interest rates haven’t been cut yet. Even if there’s a market expectation for an early rate cut, I estimate that won’t happen until mid-next month. Therefore, there will definitely be more fluctuations before that, and the major support below has now moved up to 85000.

In summary, even though BTC couldn't drop when the Nasdaq fell last night, if the Nasdaq is up tonight, it will be easier for BTC to rise. Plus, with 88000 already stabilized, reaching 90500 is almost certain. However, the higher it goes, the less you should chase it. Instead, be careful of another drop; you can't get rich quickly in one bite.

For those wanting to boast, I’ll be waiting for you at 清水的小天地.

#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹

All my friends who trade with me are profitable, and the longer the time, the better the results. I don't use leverage; I just want to slowly reach the peak. People like me who trade contracts without leverage are truly unique.

Additionally, I want to remind you that if you want to fully replicate my strategy, you need to increase your copy trading amount to over 1000u. Otherwise, you can only replicate part of the strategy. For instance, if it involves going long on BTC, if you are using 200u at 10%, that would be 20u, but I generally only use 10% of my position to go long on BTC. Without leverage, at the current price of 87000, I need at least 87u. If it's below 870u, you won't be able to fully replicate my strategy, which is why it's essential to aim for 1000 or more.

BTC: Can it hold 87000 and challenge 96000?!!!

In the past three days, after a narrow fluctuation of #BTC , today, Monday, before Wall Street starts working, it has already reached a maximum of 87400. Here’s the latest view on the upcoming movements:

1. From the estimated liquidation perspective: An upward move to 88000 could trigger a liquidation of 500 million, while a downward move to 81500 could trigger a liquidation of 1.9 billion. From this angle, the downward move is more favorable for the main players. Could this lead to a scenario of double killing for both long and short positions?

2. From the chip structure perspective: The previously mentioned strong resistance at 84000 has been completely broken and stabilized. Now it is challenging the second position at 87000, and it currently seems stable here is not an issue. Since it can hold here, the next position at 90000 should also not be a problem. I feel that if it really wants to surge, it can go straight through. After breaching, it may pull back a bit before challenging 96000. Because there is no other pressure.

Although this wave of major movements looks towards 96000, it is very likely that there will be a small pullback before that. The points I see for this small pullback are: 83450 and 84350. If it returns to these two positions, it might be the last best opportunity before reaching 96000.

For those who want to brag, I am waiting for you at 清水的小天地.

#加密市场反弹

Yesterday it was clearly stated that the main forces of #VOXEL and #BROCCOLIF3BUSDT have already secretly switched from long positions to short positions at the top, and sure enough, a large number of people got trapped. I withdrew completely.

I am waiting for you at 清水的小天地, come and boast.

The main force of #brocoolif3b has secretly changed tactics, turning long positions into short ones. My long position has exited, and I have also shorted. This coin is going to trap a large number of people and will inevitably face a massive crash!!!

I will be waiting for you at 清水的小天地.

#VOXEL has made a big profit. Trading requires boldness and attention to detail.

I am waiting for you at 清水的小天地.

Of course I know this rate is terrifying, but isn't that exactly what the main force wants? The more extreme it is, the more it should be countered. Those who go long want interest, while the main force wants the opponent's principal. #VOXEL