Crypto清水

I have to say, the friends who follow my orders have a keen eye for people; as long as they are patient with me, everyone profits. I do not use leverage, so I cannot achieve very high returns like those who do leverage in the short term, but I know that once leverage is used, as the timeline stretches, there will always be an extreme market event that will wipe out profits—profits cannot be retained, they are fleeting. What use is that? What I want is to retain profits, achieve stable compound interest, and the ability to maintain stable compound interest over the long term is the most important.

After a month, my average is about 20%. Those who are impatient cannot follow me; only those who pursue stability are my kindred spirits. Time will continuously test and eliminate those short-lived individuals, while I will keep pushing upward like a bulldozer. (Let me emphasize, I am not using a Martingale strategy)

Let me ask, do you like this curve?

No matter if the market is up or down, my curve is always upward!!!

There are only three days left for the multi-army, from the 11th to the 13th.
I'm not trying to dampen the spirits of the multi-army; I'm only speaking to those who can understand.

On the 11th, the big pie will suffer losses but generate wealth; on the 12th, it will be a prosperous day for the big pie; on the 13th, it will be average; on the 14th, it will encounter the Seven Killings; starting from the 15th, it will begin to fluctuate downward, continuing to oscillate until the end of the month, and by early July, it will directly drop without any pretenses, beginning a month-long decline, during which there will be black swans, urine will drop, and there will be wailing all around.

Note: This was forwarded from someone else; I found it quite amusing, haha.

#BTC

My earnings in the past 30 days are close to 15%, with a maximum drawdown of only 0.98%. Among many leveraged players, my followers' profits rank 13th. Only those who understand trading know how difficult this is. Once my asset management scale increases, my followers' profits will definitely enter the top 5 this year. Don’t talk to me about high yield rates; those are all illusions. The most real thing is that followers can steadily profit over the long term.

With my stability, Binance doesn’t even promote me. The promotion algorithm still seems to have issues, and the exposure direction is all focused on short-term profit-driven leveraged players. I, who am steadily moving upward without leverage, hardly have any traffic direction. There are only about 400 simulated users. Sigh, I can only continue to silently amaze everyone. See you at the peak!

The dealer of Anime, you are too good to me, haha

Chat in 清水的小天地

BTC: Crash warning, is a pullback to 7000 points coming soon?!!

Yesterday I said we might see a high of 108,000, and today it surged to 110,000. When BTC rises, it often exceeds expectations. I already took profit on my long position near 107,800 yesterday and started gradually shorting altcoins at higher prices. Here are my latest thoughts:

1. From the perspective of liquidation estimates: going up to 112,500 can only liquidate 350 million, while crashing down to 103,000 can liquidate 1.77 billion. This significant disparity has reappeared, similar to what I mentioned a few days ago when I expected a rebound to 108,000. At that time, not much could be liquidated on the way down, but a lot could be liquidated on the way up. Each time this kind of gap is large, it is prone to reversal.

2. From the chip structure perspective: it is always difficult to firmly establish above 110,000. The first support below is around 106,000, and the second support is around 103,000.

In summary, in the short term, it might fluctuate around 110,000 to lure more buyers, and then it will likely crash back. I am still inclined to see it oscillate between 100,000 and 110,000 for a while because we are currently in a window before the interest rate cut in September, and there is no real money entering the market; it's just existing funds being juggled, and the trade negotiations from June to July are still unresolved. There might still be some unexpected events. Recently, Musk and Trump have been at odds, and there are immigration issues causing unrest. With so much instability and no real financial backing from interest rate cuts, it is difficult for the financial market to maintain continuity. Therefore, I believe it will still oscillate and come down. Don't think that just because yesterday it was a bear market, today it has turned into a bull market. Right now, it's a monkey market—oscillating.

Chat at 清水的小天地.

#加密市场反弹

#BTC is currently in a high-level oscillation trend; it is very difficult to reach a new high here, but it is likely to oscillate between 100,000 and 110,000 in the next few days. The market is quite boring. I am also systematically shorting junk coins at highs and buying BTC at lows. Both rises and falls are possible, but there is a lack of volatility. Will there be a big move tonight??

Trading does not always present opportunities; a good hunter is always good at waiting for the best moment.

Chat in 清水的小天地.

My follower's profit has ranked 15th. To be honest, as a contract player who doesn't use leverage, it is quite difficult to rank among the top followers in a group dominated by high-leverage contract players. I have no doubt I can break into the top 10 this month. All those high returns are illusory; do you dare to follow someone who doubles today and gets liquidated tomorrow? And those who make money through leading trades while followers lose are just high-leverage strategies that scrape fees in a small space. Do you dare? In my opinion, only those who can provide stable profits for followers over the long term are truly impressive.

The trading competition is about to start, and my real account has been steadily rising, yet there are only a few dozen people. This indicates that there are still too few people with vision. Friends with insight are welcome to join us; let’s silently amaze everyone together!!!

To join my team, contact 清水的小天地. Sometimes I will share my views here.

My copy trading started with only a few thousand USDT, and now the profits of the copy traders have ranked in the top 19. I said from the beginning that I operate without leverage and will quietly amaze everyone. It won't be long before the profits of copy traders in the top 10 are not a problem. Welcome everyone to observe, simulate, and copy trade.

Where can this BTC rebound go?!

Although I was slightly trapped in my long position at #BTC yesterday, fortunately I still had some short positions in altcoins, and after a drop, the profits from the altcoin shorts are substantial. This rebound is about to reach new highs again; it may be slow, but it is steadily going up, allowing for a peaceful sleep. Here are my latest thoughts:

1. From the perspective of chip structure: there is resistance above at 104000/105000/107200/108700, and it's challenging to break through these four resistance levels consecutively during a rebound. Currently, BTC is in a bearish trend in the small time frames below 4-6 hours. Although I have long positions, I must objectively say that starting with small time frames indicates weakness. The first target for the rebound is 104000, and we will discuss further afterwards.

2. From the perspective of estimated liquidation: going down to 100000 can only trigger 280 million, but pulling up to 107000 can trigger 1.5 billion. This difference is quite significant. Whenever such a huge discrepancy appears, the market is prone to reversal, but considering the chip structure currently, I believe it's also quite difficult to reach 107000.

In summary, there is definitely going to be a rebound here, but the potential seems limited. After all, it didn't break 107000 even when there were no bearish news in the last two days. Given that market sentiment is already so poor, breaking 107000 again seems quite challenging. Once it surpasses 104000, I will start gradually taking short positions in altcoins while considering closing my long positions. Regardless, reaching a new high in the actual market is not an issue.

Lastly, I want to mention that you can chat with me at 清水的小天地; sometimes I share my opinions there.

#BTC走势分析 #BTC☀ $BTC

BTC is about to rally, aiming for 108000?!!

Five days ago, I mentioned that #BTC would induce a short squeeze down to 10.4, followed by a rebound. As a result, it hit a low of 103032. The past few days have seen narrow fluctuations; although weak, the short-term trend remains bullish. I haven't shared my views in the past few days due to laziness, so here is my latest perspective:

1. From the chip structure perspective: support is at 102300, while there are two resistance levels above. One is around XXXX, which is a smaller resistance, but I will choose to take profits on long positions here since BTC is currently only in a weak bullish trend, and I want to be conservative. The other resistance is around 108700, and I don't foresee higher levels in the short term.

2. From the estimated liquidation perspective: a drop to 102300 could trigger a liquidation of 1.6 billion, while a rise to 108700 could trigger a liquidation of 1.7 billion. Actually, both long and short positions are quite similar in this regard.

In summary, I believe the recent market is mainly in a consolidation phase. Many trend-based short-term traders are finding it very difficult to make trades lately, and many are getting hit on both sides, resulting in significant losses. Meanwhile, I have chosen to continue with my slow money printing strategy: buying BTC on dips and shorting junk altcoins on highs, gradually building my positions and patiently waiting for volatility to appear. Both long and short positions can be profitable. If the market rallies, I will take profits on my BTC long positions before hitting 108700; if it drops, my shorts on junk altcoins will also profit. Let's see some volatility!

Chat in 清水的小天地; sometimes I will share my views there.

#美国加征关税 #美国加征关税

Binance's trading competition, welcome everyone to join the Qingshui Capital team, give it a try, have some fun 😁

The work uniform has arrived. In the future, when I quit my job, I will wear this outfit and pretend that I am not unemployed 😄

The market for #BTC has been too boring these days. I am patiently waiting for a rebound. By the way, I booked a Wenti M8, and I will pick it up in 2 months. I plan to resign at that time and become a travel blogger + full-time trading blogger, step by step moving towards my goal of becoming a digital nomad.

Chat in 清水的小天地, sometimes I will share my views here.

#加密市场回调 #美国加征关税

Can ETH Reach 3300?

ETH has been performing strongly these past few days. If it breaks through and stabilizes at 2730, there won't be much pressure until it reaches 3300, and a surge to 3300 can't be ruled out. During this rally, BTC appears relatively weak, even weaker than U.S. stocks. I believe it still lacks incremental capital; after BTC's new high of 110,000, its momentum has weakened. At this time, capital is coming in to boost ETH, which is essentially a game of existing capital.

The real big market movement will have to wait until after interest rate cuts when incremental capital enters the market. Let's not forget, the China-U.S. tariff negotiations have a deadline of August 12, and the EU-U.S. tariff negotiations have a deadline of July 9. According to Trump's style, it's easy to apply extreme pressure towards the end of negotiations, and unstable factors could lead to a significant market drop.

Therefore, when capital comes in to boost ETH, it actually confirms my thought that market funds are insufficient. When a rally can't move the leaders, and funds start to do a catch-up, it indicates we are in the latter half of this emotional cycle. Before the interest rate cuts in September, the incremental funds in the market will not be enough to push BTC above 120,000; at most, it might reach a new high of around 115,000 in June and then cool off temporarily. If this wave pulls ETH up to 3300, it would signal a short-term top.

Chat in 清水的小天地; I sometimes share my views here.

94349807007#币安Alpha上新

Wang's speech today is very important, but unfortunately many people in the country cannot see it. Wang has made it very clear that the dollar is pegged to stablecoins, this is the eve of Bretton Woods System 2.0. We must seize the moment of the era, all in BTC!!!

Chat in 清水的小天地, sometimes I will share my views here.

#比特币2025大会

BTC: Is a slight dip to 104000 coming soon??

On Saturday the 24th, I mentioned that BTC would drop for three consecutive days and then welcome a new high on the 27th. My long position cost is 106810, which I consider to be a short-term low point. However, last night, despite the surge in the US stock market, BTC only reached a maximum of 110700, and continued to decline afterwards. Therefore, I need to change my short-term view. Here are my latest thoughts:

1. From the perspective of chip structure: It couldn't hold the 110000 level twice upwards, indicating significant pressure. The surge in the US stock market couldn't push it to new highs, so it's highly probable that it will look down for support. I choose the support level of 104000, which coincides nicely with the trend line, but in reality, it might not drop that low.

2. From the perspective of estimated liquidation: Pulling up to 112000 would only explode 1.6 billion, whereas dropping to 104000 could explode 3.15 billion. From this angle, a downward drop is more favorable; since the pressure cannot be overcome, it's best to follow the easiest direction.

In summary, since it's quite difficult to go up and below expectations, we should objectively adjust our expectations. The probability of a short-term downward movement is greater, but it’s important to note that this is merely a short-term weakening trend; the larger scale is still a bullish trend. Therefore, I have only taken a small short position in altcoins and am preparing to place larger orders below to buy long.

Chat at 清水的小天地, sometimes I will share my views here.

#比特币2025大会 #特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库

Trump has gone all in, are you still bearish #BTC ?!

Chat in 清水的小天地, sometimes I will share my views here.

#加密市场反弹

I opened a long position at 106810 today with the number #BTC , which is only 90 points above the lowest point of 106720. In the last round of long positions, my lowest was 102289, which was only 200 points above the lowest. My opening weapon model is my source of confidence.

The market is actually still strong; the Americans are off work for the weekend, and it's almost back to 110,000, so reaching a new high might not even take 3 days.

Chat at 清水的小天地, sometimes I will share my views here.

#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调