The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September has reached 90%, which is also positive for the entire market. In recent days, Ethereum's performance has been remarkable, with a continuous rise that has made the entire market 'explode'. In April, when Ethereum was around 1380, despite the market's ongoing pessimism, I clearly told everyone that we had reached the bottom. Although the order at 1340 failed, I entered around 1550 during Ethereum's rapid rebound and predicted at that time that it would break the high of 4100, eventually surging to 5200-5600. Throughout this period, I have always encouraged everyone to hold onto their positions, and those who have kept up with the rhythm have seen their spot profits exceed at least double. Additionally, in the days leading up to the breakthrough of the 4000 mark, I continually reminded that this time 4100 would definitely break and that there would be a temporary stop around 4300, which has already been realized. Only the final 5200-5600 has yet to be reached, and we are waiting to see.
No matter how astonishing the past predictions have been, I have always been working hard to improve my abilities and value. This week, I will start live streaming in the evenings when I am free. Interested partners can join the live stream for interaction. The live stream will be a meeting-type live broadcast and is not public, only open to people around me, so please register first before entering. The specific start time will be announced to everyone.
Latest Ethereum strategy reference: Long positions 1. Long 4115-4085, Stop loss 4075, Take profit 4140-4170-4215
2. Long 4040-4010, Stop loss 4000, Take profit 4065-4100-4150
3. Long 3975-3945, Stop loss 3930, Take profit 4000-4030-4090
4. Long 3905-3875, Stop loss 3865, Take profit 3930-3960-4010
Short positions 5. Short 4295-4325, Stop loss 4335, Take profit 4265-4260-4180
6. Short 4375-4405, Stop loss 4415, Take profit 4350-4320-4270
7. Short 4455-4490, Stop loss 4505, Take profit 4415-4380-4335
8. Short 4545-4580, Stop loss 4595, Take profit 4510-4475-4430
Important reminder: Day trading emphasizes a fast pace, do not hold positions that turn short-term trades into long-term trades, as this defeats the purpose and risks will continue to expand.
The above is for reference only, please treat it with caution. #ETH走势分析
Ethereum 4280-4380 will take a break for a while, the road from 5200-5600 is full of bumps! Brothers who are shorting need to pay attention to the risks, at least wait until it's about the right time to short, don't panic, there are still plenty of opportunities. As long as Bitcoin continues to maintain volatility, there's no need to expect a significant drop, that is unrealistic, although it is already very close to the final target of 128000-134000. I can only say to continue following yesterday's approach; when Bitcoin once again stabilizes at 120K, then it will be the time when the major trend is about to end, and also an opportunity for everyone to get on board. #eth突破4000
Market Analysis on August 8, 2025 Good morning everyone, I have returned to a normal routine.
The performance of Bitcoin (BTC) has begun to show signs of a rebound after being stimulated by yesterday's news, with the major target remaining unchanged at 128,000-134,000 as the endpoint of this bull market, which has been predicted since two years ago, and we are one step closer to the target.
Currently, the biggest resistance for Bitcoin is at the 120,000 level. As long as it stabilizes upward and holds above 120,000, it will accelerate towards the finish line. In the coming days, we will attempt to break through, focusing primarily on long positions, with short positions as a supplement. Daily reference range: 118,500-116,000
Ethereum (ETH) has a strong upward trend, once again challenging the significant level of 4,000. As mentioned before, the target of 4,100 will experience some fluctuations; it has already been fluctuating for over twenty days. After a steady breakthrough, the next target after breaking the historical high is 5,200-5,600. This is the predicted endpoint for this round. Daily reference range: 3,950-3,785
Important Reminder: Day trading emphasizes a fast pace; do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as this would lose its meaning and continuously increase risk.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution. #比特币流动性危机
Dear partners, the big pie of 113050 and Ethereum 3555 that was given yesterday have both arrived and made a profit. The main focus is to make money and leave, without being greedy for the market. My principle is not to rely on a single trade to get rich; wealth is accumulated over time, and trading is a marathon. Only stable output can ultimately reach the finish line.
Specific market analysis and other details will be announced later today. #香港稳定币新规
I've been traveling everywhere these past few days that I've almost forgotten what my plate looks like 😳 This morning I found the order I hung up got connected, then I sold it, and made a short trade, successfully sold it off 😀 This really aligns with my principles, short trading is about selling off 😁😁😁#以太坊十周年
Market Analysis on July 25, 2025 BTC continues to fluctuate, and the previously mentioned support levels of 10700-113500 have not been reached, so the overall daily trend is slightly bearish. Today's support is at the position of 116000, with resistance at 118500.
ETH's trend is relatively stronger; although it is fluctuating, the fluctuation is developing horizontally. Currently, the main resistance is at 3800, and the main support is at 3500, providing a fluctuation space of 300 points, which is a good intraday short-term trading range.
Recently, large holders and institutions have been increasing their holdings of Ethereum, providing strong support for future price increases, and any pullbacks are viewed positively.
Important Reminder: Intraday short-term trading emphasizes a fast pace; do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as this would defeat the purpose and continually increase risk.
The above is for reference only; please proceed with caution. #以太坊交易量反超比特币
Market Analysis on July 21, 2025 BTC entered a consolidation mode after reaching around 123000. As mentioned last time, the daily chart shows a short-term peak, with the trend exhibiting consolidation. The weekly chart closed moderately, and after a pullback, we continue to look bullish. This week's main support is at 107000-113500. Today's support is at 115500, with resistance at 118500.
ETH's performance is as expected; as mentioned previously, while BTC consolidates, it has its own independent market. It broke through 3500, getting closer to the next target of 4100. 4100 is a key level; once it stabilizes above this, the next target will be around 5620. We continue to look forward to this. Today's support is at 3600, with resistance around 3800.
Important Reminder: Short-term trading during the day emphasizes a fast pace; do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones. This negates the purpose and increases risk continuously.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution. #以太坊突破3700
Ethereum ETH has sprinted as expected, and 3500 is about to be reached, laying a solid foundation for the subsequent breakthrough of 4100. The daily chart continues to look bullish, with some fluctuations around 3500, so there is no rush to short.
Market Analysis on July 16, 2025 BTC broke through and reached around 123,000, with the daily line showing a short-term peak, and the trend exhibiting a volatile adjustment, with major support at 113,700. Today's support is at 116,000, with resistance at 118,500.
ETH's trend continues to showcase a sluggish performance, as the main cryptocurrency fluctuates independently with the daily line showing a volatile upward trend, getting closer to 3,500, with today's support at 3,000 and resistance near 3,150.
Important Reminder: Day trading emphasizes a fast pace; do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as this defeats the purpose and the risk will continue to expand.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution.
Do not believe in so-called signals that claim to change your destiny; everything relies on your own efforts. Learning skills is more reliable than following so-called big players, as even big players can fall back to square one. The essence of trading is skills + mindset (the courage to accept losses), so trading itself is quite simple; the complexity lies in human nature (greed, panic, self-doubt, madness).
Therefore, to excel in trading, everyone must overcome these weaknesses and persist in doing one thing over the long term. #CPI数据来袭 #
Market Analysis on July 14, 2025 (Monday) BTC has stabilized after a week of surge, with the big target unchanged at 132800. The current trend remains very strong, with a large bullish weekly close and a daily upward fluctuation. Today's support is at 117200, and resistance is at 119500.
ETH's weekly chart also followed BTC with a large bullish close, and the daily chart shows a fluctuating trend. The next target remains at 3500, with today's support at 2900 and resistance around 3050.
Important Note: Intraday short-term trading emphasizes a fast pace. Do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as it loses its meaning and the risks will continue to expand.
The above is for reference only; please treat it cautiously.
July 11, 2025 Market Analysis Bitcoin has continuously broken new highs in the past few days and has achieved the previous minimum target. The next target is 132,800, but this target will not be easily reached. The current trend of BTC is very strong, and the daily chart continues to look bullish. Do not easily attempt to short; today's support is at 113,200, and resistance is at 118,000.
After nearly three months of adjustment, ETH has finally surpassed 3,000. It has been emphasized that after the adjustment ends, the next big target is above 3,000, which has now been achieved. Achieving this target is significant, as it lays the foundation for breaking 4,100 soon. However, one should not be overly optimistic; the next important resistance before breaking 4,100 is 3,500. Today's support is at 2,740, and breaking resistance at 3,100 will further accelerate, with a pause only after reaching 3,500.
Important Reminder: Day trading requires a fast pace; do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as this negates the purpose and continuously increases risk.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution. #BTC再创新高
BTC daily chart shows a rebound and consolidation trend, with the main resistance remaining at 110500. The weekly chart shows a fluctuating trend, and the next significant change is expected on the 12th, 13th, or 14th. Today's consolidation range reference: 109800-108000 for adjustment.
ETH's trend has always been like a mystery, with main resistance at 2680 and support at 2400. It was previously mentioned that there would be significant selling pressure above 2500 mainly due to concentrated short liquidations. This range will undergo a certain period of consolidation, and it will only move further upward once it stabilizes. Today's consolidation range: 2680-2495.
Important Note: Day trading focuses on a fast pace; do not hold positions too long, making short trades into long ones, as it loses its significance and the risk will continuously expand.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution. #马斯克计划成立美国党
Market Analysis on July 4, 2025 (Analysis three times a week, daily strategy focused) The fluctuations over the past three days have been quite large, providing 10 long and short strategies, activating 5 of them, and based on the first profit-taking position, the current win rate is 100%. New strategies will be updated around noon, and previous strategies will become invalid.
The BTC daily chart shows a fluctuating upward trend, with a significant reversal initiated the day before yesterday. Currently, the main pressure is at the previous high position. The importance of the 106500 position has been emphasized since the end of last month; as long as it holds, it will challenge the previous high again. The pullback after the breakout has not been deep; it only reached 105000 before ending, and the overall rebound remains quite strong. Today, it will show a fluctuating market; the duration will not be long, and a breakout will be completed within today, the 4th, 5th, and 6th. The target after the breakout is at the position of 113660. Today's fluctuation range reference: 110500-10870.
ETH's recent trend is still in a cautious development phase. When BTC rises, it rises slowly; when BTC fluctuates, it follows an independent trend, which has become the norm. Based on the current trend, the weekly chart is quite important over these two weeks. If it continues to stabilize upwards and firmly stands above the pressure of 2750, a significant rebound will follow, with a target of at least above 3000. Overall, the outlook remains relatively optimistic. Today's fluctuation range reference: 2640-2550.
Important Reminder: Short-term trading during the day emphasizes a fast pace. Do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as it will lose its meaning, and the risks will continually expand.
The above is for reference only, please proceed with caution. #非农就业数据来袭
July 1, 2025 Market Analysis I整理好了 in the morning, just remembered I forgot to post it 😂 BTC daily chart looks bearish, recent trend shows a downward fluctuation, with the main fluctuation range at 108000-106000. Today's important support is around 106600, trading can be done in this range, with a focus on short positions.
ETH's trend is neutral, showing a fluctuating pattern with no obvious breakout. The main resistance is at 2500, and the main support is at 2480. If it breaks down, it will continue to fall to 2460-2430. A short position can be arranged around 2495.
Important Reminder: Day trading emphasizes a fast pace; do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as this loses its significance and increases risk continuously.
The above is for reference only, please treat it cautiously. #Strategy增持比特币
June 28, 2025 Market Analysis (Three analyses around the week after the event, mainly focusing on strategy) As we approach the end of the month and the last two days of the week, there will be significant fluctuations in the market, so extra caution is required when trading. BTC's current trend shows a downward adjustment with fluctuations primarily in the range of: 107500-106000, slowly converging, waiting for an explosive move after these two days reach their extremes, with bulls slightly in the lead.
ETH maintains fluctuations within the range of 2450-2400; before a significant one-sided conversion occurs, trades can be positioned at the high and low points within this range. If it exceeds 2500, there will be substantial resistance and both bulls and bears may experience major liquidations, so it's essential to focus on short-term trades and avoid holding positions.
Globally, there is some expectation from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts in July, but the growth rate of spot demand in the market is slowing down, and the purchasing volume from ETFs and large investors is decreasing. Therefore, the market direction over the next few months is closely related to interest rate cuts.
Important Reminder: Intraday short-term trading emphasizes a fast pace; do not convert short-term trades into long-term positions, as this loses its meaning and increases risk continually.
The above is for reference only, please approach with caution. (No analysis tomorrow)
June 25, 2025 Market Analysis BTC is currently in a short-term upward channel, with a strong rebound and almost no pullback. If it can stabilize above the 106,500 level, it may further challenge the key resistance level of the previous high at 112,000. The main support remains at the 100,000 level. Today's volatility range: 105,500-107,600 can be used for long and short positioning. Overall, it is mainly a low long strategy, with short positions only as a supplement.
ETH follows the trend of BTC. When BTC is strong, ETH becomes weaker, and when BTC is volatile, ETH strengthens. Therefore, Ethereum's current performance is normal; although it is weaker than BTC, its volatility is still slightly greater than BTC. Today's volatility range: 2,430-2,500 can be used for long and short positioning.
Important Reminder: Intraday short-term trading emphasizes a fast pace. Do not hold positions and turn short-term trades into long-term ones, as this defeats the purpose and the risk will continuously expand.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution. #加密市场反弹
Market Analysis on June 24, 2025 On Sunday, I was joking with friends that Monday might see a surge, as breaking the 100,000 mark is not easy. Once it breaks, a rebound is inevitable. I placed two positions: one long order at 99,000 and one supplementary buy at 98,100. As expected, there was indeed a sharp rebound yesterday. Although I didn't manage to supplement the second position, overall, it was a win just lying down on the second day 😂😂
BTC's closing yesterday was quite good, exceeding the expected important level of 103,500, reaching the pressure level of 106,000. The daily line closed strongly with a large bullish candle. The most important pressure currently is at the 106,000 level, which needs to be stabilized. Today, adjustments will continue around this level. You can trade long and short at this level of 106,000-103,500.
ETH continues to follow the trend of BTC with little change. The main pressure is at 2,400-2,460, where you can layout short positions, and for the range of 2,330-2,360, you can layout long positions.
Important Reminder: Intraday short-term trading emphasizes a fast pace. Do not hold positions for too long; turning short-term trades into long-term trades eliminates the purpose and continuously increases risk.
The above is for reference only, please treat it with caution. #加密市场反弹
Market Analysis on June 21, 2025 BTC had significant fluctuations yesterday, rising to the maximum of the resistance zone in the morning but failing, and then breaking below the lowest point at night. Today’s closing is average, and the overall outlook remains bearish. The next key support is at 100,000; a break below this will further reinforce the bearish outlook. The next two days will see a change in trend, so be mindful of the risks. Today, as with yesterday, it will rise first and then fall. Range: 104600-102000. Short-term long and short positions can be arranged near this range. ETH (Ethereum) has been performing quite uniquely lately, experiencing a large-range consolidation for nearly two months, with a tendency to fall before rising. The main support levels are at 2315-2180-2150. Today's fluctuation range: 2490-2315.
Important Reminder: Day trading emphasizes a fast pace; do not hold short-term positions as long-term ones, as this defeats the purpose and will continuously increase risks.
The above is for reference only; please proceed with caution. #特朗普施压鲍威尔
June 20, 2025 Market Analysis BTC continues to fluctuate within a range, with 105500 still being an important resistance level. A potential change in trend may occur in the next three days. Today, the fluctuation range remains the same as yesterday: 103500-105500-106000.
ETH continues to move within a fluctuating market, with the important resistance unchanged at 2550-2580 and support gradually moving up to 2480.
The above is for reference only; please treat it with caution. #鲍威尔发言