Trader加密猫交易员XBT

Career bubbling, hoping to gain some attention from Binance Square and Twitter～

Binance Square releases professional information simultaneously.
No matter how many insights and analyses there are, if they can't help you make money, or at least prevent you from losing too badly, then they are actually of limited significance.

「AAVE 4-Hour Chart」

Both price and RSI have formed a slight horizontal bottom.
The K-line bottom is slowly rising, corresponding to the RSI gradually rebounding from a low level, showing signs of repair after a divergence between price and momentum.

Currently, the RSI has just broken through its own moving average (RSI-based MA), and momentum has shifted from a sluggish state to an active one.
The price has just risen above the central point of a short-term small platform, with the potential to continue oscillating upwards.

In simple terms, this wave resembles a tentative repair movement after a period of stagnation; it is not strong, but if it can continue to push higher and bring the RSI back to around 60, it may initiate a small trend.
#AAVEUSDT.P

Cold Dish

The amount of active selling in Bitcoin spot and futures has exceeded $10 million, which constitutes a clear market dump.

The open interest continues to decrease, indicating that many long positions have been forcibly liquidated or have voluntarily exited the market.

The funding rate remains predominantly positive, but has significantly declined compared to before, indicating a weakening of long sentiment.

The price on Coinbase is lower relative to other platforms, reflecting cautious spot buying from Europe and the United States.

Overall, this is a short-term leverage cleansing market, where market sentiment is disrupted, waiting for capital to flow back and for the market to stabilize.$BTC

$BTC Currently, this wave is just a standard short-term fluctuation range.

The price is now swaying back and forth in the middle of the range, neither going up nor down. You can understand it as——
Both sides are still probing, and neither is willing to reveal their hand first.

In such situations, if you're not familiar with the rhythm of range trading, it's advisable not to make random moves in the middle position. Because:

👉 The middle is the easiest place to get swept back and forth, and to fall victim to false breaks, which can be used as 'fuel'.
👉 The truly good positions are when the price reaches the upper or lower edges, to see if there is strong rejection, baiting long or short, or changes in volume.

In simple terms:
Don't move in the middle of the fluctuation, wait for the extreme area to react, then decide whether to act or not.
The most stable strategy within the range is 'to catch at the edges, react at the edges, and capture the first wave to exit'.
$BTC
#比特币巨鲸动向

📌 $BTC This wave of increase, some people say "the shorts are getting more numerous," which is completely wrong.

The actual data is not like that at all.

Throughout the entire rebound process, the real shorts are actually reducing their positions continuously, they are being forced to run. The real "buying on the rise" is not the shorts, but the leveraged longs charging forward.

To put it more bluntly:

The shorts are fleeing for their lives, while the leverage is on the rise.

Also, on the spot market, the order book depth has always been negative — indicating that someone is continuously selling spot, but leveraged funds don’t care about this and are desperately picking up the shares.

This is a typical case of:
Spot selling pressure + Leverage chasing high, the market is actually not healthy at all, the structure is very distorted.

So this wave of rebound, although the price is rising, is actually being propped up by short-term funds, not a rise that has solid underlying support. $BTC

$BTC Heat Map Summary:

BTC Heat Map Interpretation:

In the range of 126,000 to 130,000, there is a dense order book, indicating that a large number of historical positions are queued to sell here. This could be due to previous high positions being trapped or short-term traders looking to take profits. They are now closing their positions, waiting for the subsequent bullish buyers to take over.

In other words, this is a typical "supply zone"—when you push up, others sell off, making it difficult to rise.

The short-term trend is still upward, but it has a hint of "pump and dump".

At this point, chasing price movements, especially with high leverage, makes it easy to enter at points where others are selling. If others run and you take their place, it becomes a textbook case of "buying high and selling low".

SUI Classic Structure Case Study | Trend Line + Structure Confirmation

This is a typical confirmation pullback after a standard downtrend breakout.

In this chart, SUI has broken the previous downtrend line, which is the first signal: the trend may be about to change.

But the most crucial step is the following: it pulled back to the previous supply-demand transition zone (previous resistance turned support), which is the light blue area we have drawn. The price completed a turnover and stabilized within this area, without showing a deep retracement or breaking down, confirming that the failure did not occur.

This structure is called:
Breakout - Pullback Confirmation - Stabilization - Continuation of Upward Movement

From a structural logic perspective, this is a low-risk confirmation buying pattern, usually appearing at trend reversals or the beginning of a wave.

📌 Brief Conclusion:
1 Trend line break ≠ immediately chasing long positions
2 The real opportunity often lies in the pullback confirmation
3 Having structure, turnover, and stabilization indicates a high-quality entry logic
$SUI

$BTC | 4H Chart —— A or B?

Currently, it seems that the buyers are quite strong, the momentum hasn't broken, and there might still be a possibility of an upward push.

In the short term, if it continues to rise, it could directly aim for a new high around 123k.
However, if there is a slight pullback, the daily FVG area around 112k–115k could also be a good point of interest.

I am currently leaning bullish, but I would prefer to wait for confirmation of the momentum, what do you think?
$BTC