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#ETH走势分析
📉 1. Hourly Technical Structure Interpretation
1. Price
Current price has pulled back to the vicinity of MA99 (2557), which is a short-term moving average support area.

Above, MA7, MA25, MA60, and the middle Bollinger Band all form resistance (2600~2630).

2. Trading Volume
Significantly shrinking, indicating that funds are on the sidelines, with no obvious selling pressure or aggressive buying.

3. RSI
RSI 14 value is 42.4, in the mid-low range, not yet oversold, but showing weakness.

4. MACD
Death cross structure has formed, with the histogram continuously shrinking, indicating a shift from strong to weak momentum.

Indicators have not yet flattened, suggesting that the short-term pullback has not yet stopped declining.

5. OBV
Currently, OBV shows no significant volume divergence, indicating that there has not been a large-scale exit from the market.

Conclusion: Currently in the observation area of "pullback confirmation," can be considered as a technical support area for gradual accumulation.

📌 Strategy:
First wave accumulation range: 2550 ~ 2580 (current area), small position long.

Confirm support before increasing position: If a lower shadow line appears to stop the decline + decreasing volume, add to the position again.

Stop-loss reference line: If it falls below 2470 + increases in volume, then exit the position.

#ETH走势分析
Hourly Line Analysis (5/12)

1. Candlestick Pattern
Continuous oscillating bearish candles are close to the middle to lower Bollinger Bands;
Presenting a short-term small platform at a high level, moving sideways → testing downward structure.

2. Technical Indicators
MACD: A death cross has formed, with short-term bearish momentum strengthening;

RSI: Falling below 50, momentum has shifted from strong to weak, currently in a neutral to weak area;

OBV: Signs of high-level oscillation and stagnation have appeared, with net capital inflow momentum weakening.

Daily Line
1. Candlestick Pattern
A bearish candle with an upper shadow has appeared, showing signs of volume stagnation, which is the first pullback after a rise to the previous resistance area.

2. Technical Indicators
RSI: 77.70, still in the overbought area, although there is no divergence, it has become dull at a high level, and the probability of a short-term downward adjustment is increasing;

MACD is still in a strong golden cross state, but the histogram is shortening, and upward momentum is slowing;

OBV’s upward momentum is slowing, and the volume-price relationship has not further increased in cooperation.

The daily line has not yet formed a top structure, but short-term indicators and candlestick patterns indicate an expected adjustment, currently definable as a preliminary consolidation after a rise, with the tug-of-war between bulls and bears intensifying.

✅ ETH Hourly Technical Analysis Points:
🟠 1. Price Position
The current price is around 2474 USDT.

MA20 (2519) and MA60 (2491) form short-term resistance above, and there hasn't been a breakout yet.

MA99 (2443) and MA34 (2466) slightly form a support zone below.

🟣 2. Indicator Status
MACD: Death cross state, the histogram is below the 0 axis, and the rebound momentum is weak;

RSI: 48.51, entering a neutral to weak range, indicating a slight bias towards the bearish side in the balance between bulls and bears;
OBV: Remaining in a high-level oscillation, no large-scale capital outflow has occurred in the short term, with volume being cautious but stable.

🔵 3. BOLL Channel
Upper band 2588, middle band 2500, lower band 2411, with the current price slightly below the middle band;

The price is operating below the Bollinger middle band, indicating that the bulls have not yet regained dominance.

📌 Hourly Strategy Suggestion:
Currently not suitable for increasing positions, suitable for:

Mainly observing and waiting for a clear direction;

Support observation area below: 2440~2450, if broken, it may test 2410;

Resistance above: 2500~2520 area, only after a breakout can it restart the upward structure.