#ETH走势分析

📉 1. Hourly Technical Structure Interpretation

1. Price

Current price has pulled back to the vicinity of MA99 (2557), which is a short-term moving average support area.

Above, MA7, MA25, MA60, and the middle Bollinger Band all form resistance (2600~2630).

2. Trading Volume

Significantly shrinking, indicating that funds are on the sidelines, with no obvious selling pressure or aggressive buying.

3. RSI

RSI 14 value is 42.4, in the mid-low range, not yet oversold, but showing weakness.

4. MACD

Death cross structure has formed, with the histogram continuously shrinking, indicating a shift from strong to weak momentum.

Indicators have not yet flattened, suggesting that the short-term pullback has not yet stopped declining.

5. OBV

Currently, OBV shows no significant volume divergence, indicating that there has not been a large-scale exit from the market.

Conclusion: Currently in the observation area of "pullback confirmation," can be considered as a technical support area for gradual accumulation.

📌 Strategy:

First wave accumulation range: 2550 ~ 2580 (current area), small position long.

Confirm support before increasing position: If a lower shadow line appears to stop the decline + decreasing volume, add to the position again.

Stop-loss reference line: If it falls below 2470 + increases in volume, then exit the position.