刘公子交易思维

When it rose to 81,000, it took 5,000 points. This time you have another opportunity; will you seize it? When volatility is high, ultra-short opportunities are limited!

The price has returned to the range of the past few days, and currently, the fear index is at 18, back to where it was a few years ago. The news has only led to both bulls and bears being hit; have you experienced this? Especially in the recent market!

Bitcoin has shown considerable resilience. After the tariff news, it can return to the technical and fundamental aspects. If you don't buy the dip now, then when?

Just now at 75,000, I already called for a buy; continue to buy around this line, with a short-term target of 80,000 and a swing target of 85,000!

Ethereum at 1,400 is a buy; this round number can continue to buy, with a short-term target of 1,680 and a swing target of 2,000!

The time frame is this month!

In the world of trading, understanding is crucial. Although many people have been working in the field of trading for 20 to 30 years, they still fail to understand its essence. Trading is as difficult as climbing to the sky, and its tortuous road is like the path of practicing Buddhism.

I also studied day and night for eight years before I finally realized something:
In 2016, I first got involved in the cryptocurrency circle. I thought it would be a natural thing to operate based on the experience of foreign exchange and the market, but I didn’t realize that the cryptocurrency circle has its unique fluctuation trajectory and characteristics, and I suffered losses.

From 2016 to 2020, I was deeply involved in the research of technical indicators and entanglement theory, and I went astray. I wasted two years in vain, trying to find the 100% certain opportunity, pursuing the lowest purchase and the highest sale, but the result was unsatisfactory!

In 2020, I began to contact trend theory and embarked on the right path. I learned the breakthrough trading method of "buy high and sell higher", but I went astray and tried to distinguish true and false breakthroughs and screen trading opportunities in order to improve the winning rate. This is the wrong direction.

In 2021, I realized that there is no need to distinguish true and false breakthroughs, give up looking for certainty and high winning rate, and just make a bold breakthrough as long as the profit and loss ratio is high.

In 2022, I practiced a lot of brainless breakthrough trading, both long and short, but ignored the general trend. As a result, false breakthroughs occurred frequently, making it difficult for me to stick to the breakthrough trading strategy.

In 2023, I realized the epiphany of "unity of knowledge and action". The secret lies in position control, light position operation, keeping calm about losses, daring to act, and daring to hold floating profit orders, but at this time I have not yet realized the importance of the general trend.

In 2024, I completely realized the importance of the general trend, became a general trend cycle trader, and was promoted to a long-term trend trader. I no longer blindly trade long or short, but first determine the general trend, only go long in a bull market and only go short in a bear market, firmly moving in one direction, and holding long-term positions for a few months to a few years.

The above is my trading enlightenment journey, to be continued...

A bearish outlook was also released in the evening, with one release each in the morning and noon!

The empty of 109000 was also released in the afternoon, very firm and clear!

The 109300 short given today, continues to fall, still bearish, very clear!

The market is bullish, believing that after the sharp rise in the early morning session, the trend of the day has stabilized, and there are already signs of fluctuations. This is the uncertainty of the market!

Is it necessary to feel as if holding a long position is like printing money, not realizing that the future market will become a hot potato!

In the evening, the focus is on short positions, especially on Bitcoin and Ethereum!

BTC, ETH Today's Direction: Short, above 109000 are all short positions, hold short, rebound short, after the decline increase short positions!

A very clear idea, left-side layout, the market will show its direction today and tomorrow!

Monday did not meet everyone's expectations. Since January 20th, the 110,000 level has appeared at least 6 times. This week's trade news will be unfavorable, and a wave of selling by large holders is coming. The future market sentiment is very bearish, so feel free to grasp short-term and trend opportunities!

Short position near 109,300, with a short-term target of 103,000.

Short position near 2,580, with a short-term target of 2,380.

Currently, BTC is in a critical time window of 'breakthrough or pullback', how should you choose the direction?

In the past two months, Bitcoin has been oscillating narrowly between 93000-111000, and has not yet shown a strong bull market. This week, market attention will focus on the progress of taxes. Once market concerns and uncertainties arise, a significant drop may occur again!

Amid the frenzy of the Nasdaq, Bitcoin has stalled. Once the water level rises, it is impossible to predict what other sectors will face!

During high consolidation, it is essential to take short positions, and there is a considerable space below, indicating a need to escape the peak and go short!

Short around 005801, with a short-term target of 103000, trend target remains unchanged!

If before the market opens next Monday, Trump only issues the "first batch of tariff letters," it indicates that he hopes his words and actions profoundly influence (manipulate) the financial market (gradually releasing, controlling the pace while moving forward, daily a little "bad news," making it impossible for the market to fully price in).

If he issues "two batches of tariff letters," then it means his intention is to force other countries to make concessions.

Yesterday, if you followed my thinking, rolling from 109500 down to 107300, with a space of over two thousand points, it would be enough to defeat 80% of people in the market, because yesterday, many people adopted the idea of buying the dip, thinking that the U.S. stock market wouldn't drop much since it wasn't open!

Yesterday, if you followed my thinking, rolling from 109500 down to 107300, with a space of over two thousand points, it would be enough to defeat 80% of people in the market, because yesterday, many people adopted the idea of buying the dip, thinking that the U.S. stock market wouldn't drop much since it wasn't open!

Main funds have significantly exited, retail investors are attempting to go long, the decline from 110400 has not yet ended, do not consider bottom-fishing!

This pullback is viewed as a reversal at a phase high point!

Short near 108500, with a short-term target of 102000!

Short near 2530, with a short-term target of 2300!

After the pullback, the reaction to go long is a habitual way of thinking. This is because we are still in the silence of the strong momentum from the previous two days, and we are still influenced by the market's many voices breaking through the highs!

If you think this way and execute trades like this, the institutions will be pleased; I can almost hear their laughter!

Please abandon this thought and continue to go short. Break the habitual thinking; the short for 004011 remains unchanged with a target of 105000!

Those who are still holding short can continue to do so; the established target for the W9 wave has not changed!

In terms of overall judgment, Young Master Liu is very confident, always having forward-thinking ideas, and the future will still be the same. It’s useless to criticize; these are all timely directions that have been announced!

When you feel it is the least possible, that is the best position; without sufficient understanding, effort is in vain!

In terms of overall judgment, Young Master Liu is very confident, always having forward-thinking ideas, and the future will still be the same. It’s useless to criticize; these are all timely directions that have been announced!

When you feel it is the least possible, that is the best position; without sufficient understanding, effort is in vain!

11W bearish outlook is very firm; I won't waver due to the previous bearish performance. My trend positions are beyond your understanding. Others laugh at my madness, but I laugh at their inability to see through!

The overall direction this month sees the target of 100K unchanged, with the ultimate goal of 90K!

跌下来不是进多时，更要继续空，滚仓进空！

最佳机会都是在绝望、恐慌、低迷时产生，就是昨晚在110400时，当时也有及时发布！

有封神时刻，自然有错的时候！

Continue to hold high positions short, add to short positions, at this time the conventional thinking in the market is to go long after a pullback. After seeing the previous surge, everyone is eager to enter the market, but don't operate like this!

It's been said for a long time, don't look for new highs, bearish in the third quarter, and it's a volatile decline plus a crash!