币圈加密之狼

Here it comes, new article fresh out of the oven https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cart/23262612610841?r=167288111&l=en-US&uco=sebeRTaV-6Cct2A_0r__fQ&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink

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#加密市场反弹
1. Core Conclusions Overview
• Bitcoin returns above $87,000, with a 24-hour increase of approximately 4%, recovering more than half of this month's decline.  
• Ethereum breaks through $1,650, reaching a daily high that is the highest in nearly three weeks. 
• Altcoins overall outperform the market: Stacks (STX) rises by up to +20% in a single day, while Solana (SOL), BNB, and XRP also record increases in the range of 5–8%; the meme sector shows improved sentiment.   
• The U.S. Dollar Index falls below 99, raising concerns that Trump's actions against Powell may undermine the Federal Reserve's independence, providing a macro tailwind for crypto assets.  
• Weekly net inflow of spot BTC ETF shrinks to a year-to-date low, but the price rebound triggers expectations of passive accumulation. 
• On-chain activity has yet to fully recover with the price: The CMC Altcoin Season Index is only 17, indicating that the "long positions" are still concentrated in top assets. 

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2. Three Major Drivers Behind the Rebound

1. Sudden Weakness of the U.S. Dollar
• Both Reuters and Bloomberg report that Trump's team is exploring legal avenues to remove Powell from office, which undermines market confidence in the Federal Reserve's independence, pushing the dollar to a three-year low.  
• After the dollar index falls below 99, gold and bitcoin rise simultaneously, highlighting the dual attributes of "safe haven + de-dollarization." 

2. Technical "Key Moving Average" Resonance
• Bitcoin breaks out after finding support at the 50-day moving average (approximately $82,900) three times, leading to short positions being liquidated for over 8,000 BTC contracts within the day. 
• Ethereum follows BTC's rebound and successfully holds above the 200-day moving average ($1,600), with the technical indicator RSI returning to 55 (neutral to strong). 

3. Capital and Sentiment
• Although last week's net inflow of spot ETF was only $15.8 million, the lowest since 2025, the price rebound triggers arbitrage and market-making buybacks, amplifying spot buying pressure. 
• Thin liquidity during the holiday exacerbates one-sided volatility, with short position liquidations in the futures market exceeding $140 million, further pushing up spot prices. 

#国会议员交易限制

Title: 【Congressional Trading Restrictions Upgrade, Full Ban on Stock Trading Starting in 2027! New Opportunities in the Crypto Market?】 

Body:

Recently, bipartisan senators in the United States jointly proposed a new bill that plans to fully prohibit members of Congress, their spouses, and minor children from holding or trading individual stocks starting in 2027. Violators will face hefty fines, up to 10% of the value of each violating asset or the monthly salary of the member, whichever is higher. 

This measure aims to curb the phenomenon of 'Congressional Stock Gods' and prevent lawmakers from using their positions for insider trading. Previously, several lawmakers have been exposed for allegedly using policy information for stock trading, raising public concern about fair markets.  

Impact on the Crypto Market:
• Change in Capital Flow: As traditional stock trading is restricted, some funds may shift to alternative investment channels such as cryptocurrencies.
• Increased Regulatory Attention: The crypto market may become a new regulatory focus, requiring close attention to related policy developments.
• Enhanced Market Confidence: Strengthening regulation of traditional markets can help improve overall financial market transparency and credibility, indirectly benefiting the development of the crypto market.

Discussion Topics:
• Do you think this bill can effectively curb insider trading?
• Will the crypto market benefit from this?
• Should there be similar regulations on the trading of crypto assets in the future?

#SEC加密资产证券披露指南

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently released a draft of disclosure guidelines for cryptocurrency assets when classified as securities, indicating that regulators are accelerating the process of 'legitimizing' and 'regulating' crypto assets. This move not only provides a compliance direction for crypto companies but may also have far-reaching effects on the financing, operations, and listing methods of the entire crypto industry.

Highlights of the guidelines:
1. Standardization of information disclosure: Project teams must disclose core elements including network consensus mechanisms, token distribution, circulation mechanisms, and smart contract permissions.
2. Strengthened risk warnings: Detailed explanations are required for technical vulnerabilities, unstable governance mechanisms, market manipulation risks, and more.
3. Transparent regulatory path: Project teams can proactively indicate whether the asset has 'security attributes' when submitting documents, in order to seek a clearer regulatory status.

My perspective:
This guideline may not necessarily be a 'crackdown', but rather a 'paving the way'. In the past, the SEC's enforcement leaned towards 'post-factum enforcement', whereas now they are starting to provide 'preemptive rules'. This is favorable for crypto projects looking to operate long-term in the U.S., but it will bring a certain level of deterrence for those projects that do not intend to follow a compliance route.

An implied signal: If the SEC adopts these guidelines in the future, it may mean that discussions around mainstream tokens like ETH being classified as 'securities' will have further clarification. It may also provide a compliance basis for ETH spot ETFs.

#特朗普暂停新关税

U.S. President Trump announced on April 9 that the new tariff measures for most countries will be paused for 90 days, but the import tariffs on China will be increased to 125%. This decision was made against the backdrop of global market turbulence and growing concerns about economic recession. Trump stated that over 75 countries wish to engage in trade negotiations with the United States. However, China strongly opposed this move and raised tariffs on U.S. goods from 34% to 84%. In response to this news, the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq indices recorded their largest single-day gains. The Trump administration emphasized that this move aims to achieve a fairer trade agreement through negotiations.   

#止损策略

Content Sharing | Essential Stop-Loss Strategies for Retail Investors, Don't Just Hold On!

It's not that you're slow to earn, but rather that you're quick to lose. In the world of investment, stop-loss is more important than making money.

Today, let's discuss a few practical stop-loss strategies, I recommend saving this!

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1️⃣ Fixed Percentage Stop-Loss
The most common and simplest. For example, set each loss to not exceed 5% of the principal.
Example: If the account has 100,000, only allow a loss of 5,000 per trade.
Advantages: Clear and easy to execute.
Disadvantages: Easily shaken out by short-term fluctuations.

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2️⃣ Technical Stop-Loss
Stop-loss when breaking key support levels, trendlines, or central structures.
Example: If a coin/stock breaks below MA60, previous lows, or fails to make new highs, just exit.
Suitable for: Friends who can analyze charts and have some technical analysis foundation.
Advantages: Aligns with trend logic.
Disadvantages: Stop-loss points are subjective and require judgment.

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3️⃣ Time Stop-Loss
If the price has been stagnant for too long without rising, switch assets.
Example: If held for 2 weeks with no movement, funds do not wait.
Suitable for: Traders focusing on swing or short-term trades.
Advantages: Increases capital efficiency.
Disadvantages: Easy to miss the “shakeout” before a surge.

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4️⃣ Risk-Reward Ratio Stop-Loss (R-value Rule)
Only enter when potential gains are at least twice the risk.
Example: Prepare to earn 30%, and the maximum loss is 10%; if not met, do not engage.
Advantages: Strong systematic approach, suitable for strategic players.
Disadvantages: Tests ability to pick points.

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Conclusion:
Stop-loss is not weakness, but respect for the market. Many people are unwilling to stop-loss, leading them deeper into trouble without the ability to escape. Don't be a trader who is “blind and stubborn”; discipline brings freedom.

#分散资产
A friend of mine who is in business entered the cryptocurrency space at the end of the bull market in 2021, going all in on ETH and a few altcoins, with his account balance tripling at one point. At that time, he told me, "This is the first time in my life I feel like money is so easy to make."

But later, the market collapsed, and he didn't run away; he held on until the end of 2022, enduring significant losses. At his worst, he told me, "I can't dare to tell my family that I've lost so much; I'm relying on borrowing against my credit card every day."

Last year, when I saw him again, he had changed his strategy:
• Dividing his main holdings into three parts: one part in BTC, one part in stablecoin investments, and a small amount for high-risk short trading.
• As domestic funds gradually moved abroad, he opened an account in Singapore, converting a fixed amount to USDT every month.
• Conducting asset reviews weekly, ensuring stablecoins do not exceed 40% of total assets.
• He even learned to use a Ledger cold wallet to store BTC.

He said, "Now is not the time to bet on price fluctuations; it's about considering survival and longevity."

We have all learned painful lessons in the market. One thing the crypto world teaches us is: never put all your eggs in one basket.

Asset diversification is not cowardice; it's maturity.
Preserving principal is more important than making quick money.

#比特币对抗市场

The traditional market is turbulent, with geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation shadows, and unclear Federal Reserve interest rate policies... In such an environment, Bitcoin once again demonstrates its unique value: it does not rely on centralization, is not subject to manipulation, and serves as the 'digital gold' against the uncertainties of traditional finance.

When the stock market is volatile and currencies depreciate, Bitcoin proves its worth on the blockchain:
• Total supply is fixed at 21 million, and will not devalue due to money printing
• Globally tradable, available 24/7
• Minimized sovereign risk, code is law

The more chaotic the market, the more it highlights the consensus and decentralized power of BTC.
Not everyone understands it, but it will not disappear simply because it is misunderstood.

What you cannot comprehend now may be the next mainstream in the future.

#鲍威尔发言

In response to President Trump's announcement to increase tariffs on countries around the world, especially China, Japan, and the European Union, the reactions are as follows:

China:

The United States raised tariffs on Chinese goods to 54%, triggering strong opposition from the Chinese government. The Ministry of Commerce of China condemned this move as "unilateral bullying" and urged the U.S. to immediately cancel the relevant tariff measures, emphasizing that there are no winners in a trade war and that protectionism has no way out. China stated that it will take resolute countermeasures, possibly retaliating against U.S. agricultural products.

Japan:

Japan expressed disappointment and regret over the 24% tariffs imposed by the United States on its goods. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba called the move "difficult to understand" and stated that Japan would take "bold and swift" measures in response, including seeking direct negotiations with the United States for tariff exemptions while supporting affected domestic industries. Additionally, the Japanese stock market was impacted, with the Nikkei index falling more than 4% at one point.

European Union:

In the face of the United States imposing a 20% tariff on EU goods, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen expressed strong opposition, stating that this is a significant blow to the global economy and warned that it could lead to increased global economic uncertainty. The EU plans to take countermeasures and is preparing to impose retaliatory tariffs on approximately $26 billion worth of U.S. goods, targeting products including whiskey, jet skis, and motorcycles. However, the EU also expressed a desire to resolve disputes through negotiations to avoid an escalation of the trade war.

Overall, the tariff policy of the Trump administration has provoked strong reactions from major global economies, with countries expressing their opposition and preparing corresponding countermeasures to safeguard their economic interests.

$BTC

Handsome, here is the analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC) market on April 3, 2025:

Market Volatility and Background

Recently, U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariff measures against multiple countries, triggering turmoil in the global market. As a result, the price of Bitcoin experienced significant fluctuations on April 3, reaching a low of $82,162 and a high of $88,398, before retreating to around $83,056.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently facing the following key levels:
• Support Level: $82,000 
• Resistance Level: $88,000 

If the price falls below the support level, it may further decline to the $76,500 area. Conversely, if it can break through the resistance level, it is expected to challenge levels above $90,000. 

Market Sentiment and Future Outlook

In terms of market sentiment, investors are concerned about the global trade tensions, leading to a rise in risk-averse sentiment. However, some analysts believe that in the long term, macroeconomic policies may prompt investors to reassess the role of cryptocurrencies in the global economy, potentially enhancing their status as a safe-haven asset.

Summary

Currently, the price of Bitcoin is influenced by global macroeconomic events, showing a volatile trend. It is recommended that investors closely monitor market dynamics and formulate corresponding investment strategies based on technical analysis and fundamental factors.

#美国加征关税

U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new round of tariff measures on global imports on April 2, 2025, including a 10% base tariff on all countries and higher tariffs on specific trading partners, such as a 34% tariff on Chinese goods and a 20% tariff on EU goods. These measures had a widespread impact on global financial markets, particularly in the cryptocurrency sector.

Short-term Reaction of the Cryptocurrency Market

Following the tariff announcement, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped by 2.3%, and Ethereum (ETH) fell by 3.3%. Additionally, cryptocurrency-related stocks were affected, with Coinbase Global down about 4%, major Bitcoin holder Strategy down 3%, and mining companies MARA Holdings, Riot Platforms, and Bitfarms down approximately 4%, 5%, and 6%, respectively.

Increase in Investor Risk Aversion

Faced with the risk of escalating trade wars, investors tended to shift towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold, reducing their holdings in high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. This led to a decline in the prices of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Long-term Effects and Market Expectations

Although the cryptocurrency market was negatively impacted in the short term, some analysts believe that the tariff policy could weaken the dollar's dominance, potentially benefiting decentralized digital assets like Bitcoin in the long run. Moreover, as global economic uncertainty increases, cryptocurrencies may be viewed as a tool to hedge against risks in the traditional financial system, attracting more investor attention.

Conclusion

The new round of tariff measures in the U.S. had a significant short-term impact on the cryptocurrency market, leading to price declines and market volatility. However, in the long run, these policies may prompt investors to reassess the role of cryptocurrencies in the global economy, potentially enhancing their status as safe-haven assets. Investors should closely monitor the developments in trade policy and its ongoing impact on the cryptocurrency market.

#冲币新时代

The winds of change are stirring on the blockchain, opportunities belong to the action-takers.
No more bystanders, no more hesitation, charge forward, right now!

Once missed the BTC breaking a thousand
Once passed by the ETH soaring
Now, Blast's golden points, IO network, LayerZero, rising stars of Sol, Ton ecosystem...
One after another, a "new era" is unfolding!

This is the era for the pioneers
This is the era for the blockchain scouts
Ranking, placing orders, grabbing airdrops, seizing new coins, chasing hot topics
We do not rely on fantasies of financial freedom
We rely on awareness, on execution, on waking up early, on not lying flat!

Don't wait for the next bull market to regret doubling your investment
#冲币新时代 starts today!

#AmericanBitcoin发布会

Today, the highly anticipated #AmericanBitcoin launch event officially takes place, with highlights continuously emerging!

This is not just the birth of a token, but an elevation of narrative. Rallying under the banner of "Decentralized American Spirit", American Bitcoin aims to create a next-generation asset network that is "harder than traditional, faster than BTC".

Highlights overview:
• The founding team has an all-on-chain practical background, coming from the early Ethereum and Solana communities;
• Launching an independent consensus mechanism "ABPoW", focusing on high efficiency + green energy;
• Announcing first batch of partners including Coinbase Labs and several domestic American capitals;
• Emphasizing "compliance narrative", which may become the first stop for mainstream American institutions to engage with crypto.

Market sentiment is rapidly heating up, and related sectors are beginning to interact. Can American Bitcoin become a new parallel world to BTC, similar to how Solana relates to Ethereum? Stay tuned!

Would you consider betting on American Bitcoin? Feel free to discuss in the comments!

#BNBChain爆发

Recently, #BNBChain's on-chain data has seen a comprehensive explosion, with the number of active addresses, transaction volume, and Gas usage rate all reaching new highs in recent months! Multiple popular projects such as FusionX, zkBNB, and BNB Greenfield are driving the entire ecosystem into a new growth cycle.

More importantly, the price of BNB has also begun to move in tandem, with on-chain enthusiasm and coin prices forming a positive interaction, indicating that it is not just 'bustling', but rather genuine attention and capital inflow.

Behind this wave of on-chain prosperity is a comprehensive recovery of ecological practicality, genuine user growth of DApps, and developer activity.

Do you think this explosion is a short-term phenomenon, or a prelude to a bull market? Feel free to discuss in the comments!

#金狗势不可挡

Recently, the Meme coin market on Binance Smart Chain (BSC) has been exceptionally hot, with several highly regarded 'Golden Dogs' emerging. Below are brief introductions to some of the popular tokens: 

1. $Mubarak

$Mubarak means 'blessed' in Arabic. In March 2025, Binance founder CZ mentioned 'Mubarak' on social media, attracting widespread attention from the community. Subsequently, the token's price skyrocketed, and its market cap once surpassed $270 million. 

2. $Mubarakah

As a derivative version of $Mubarak, $Mubarakah is referred to as the 'female version of Mubarak.' Although it has not received official recognition, it has reached a market cap of several million dollars thanks to community promotion. 

3. $BNB Card

Inspired by the early construction cards released by Binance, the community launched the $BNB Card token. After He Yi posted related tweets, the price surged, but later fluctuated due to large holders selling off. 

4. $TUT (Tutorial)

$TUT was initially used to demonstrate how to issue tokens on BSC. In the recent craze, $TUT has attracted market attention, with a market cap exceeding $50 million. 

5. $Palu

Originally serving as Binance's mascot, $Palu was mentioned in the organizational structure chart released by Binance, sparking lively discussions in the community, leading to a price increase. 

6. $SIREN

$SIREN is a pioneering AI agent project on the BSC chain, recently gaining significant attention within the community. With the active BSC ecosystem and support from Binance, $SIREN is expected to become a dark horse in this ecosystem. 

Risk Warning:

Most of the recent BSC Meme coins are related to CZ and He Yi, and after the hype fades, there will be significant price fluctuations. Investors should be alert to related risks and avoid blindly following trends. 

#土狗冲锋

At 5 AM, when the sky is still dark, the group is already buzzing:
"Brothers, XXX is about to open!"
"It's taking off, it's taking off! Cancel the orders, let's charge!"
"I’m all in, I just believe it can give me a dream of wealth!"

You might think this is a farce, but it’s actually a kind of faith.
This is the battlefield for underdogs, the cruelest corner of the crypto world. There are no fundamentals, no market cap support, only passion, courage, and a bit of luck from fate.

In the eyes of others, we are a joke, victims of the 'intelligence tax', forever the bag holders.
But we know that every charge could be the moment when fate’s gears start to turn.

We know it has a 99% chance of going to zero, but we charge anyway.
We understand this is a hellish start, but we gamble on paradise.
Because we are the players at the bottom of the crypto world, unable to afford institutional trades, unable to qualify for presale whitelists; all we have left is one thing—charge!

What does "underdog charge" mean?
It means knowing it's a mountain of knives and a sea of fire, yet still leading the way;
It means while others are still watching, we are already all in;
It means that even three hundred floors can't crush our passion.

Underdogs don’t distinguish between day and night, and charging has no reason.
Sometimes, a single image, a phrase like "prepare to charge", can ignite a whole night of fervor.

We are not speculators; we are a group of believers in the torrent of the times.
We are not fodder; we are the ruthless ones who charge at the opening and laugh when it hits zero.

So what if it hits zero today?
"Tomorrow the new underdogs will battle again, the next token could be a hundredfold!"