白探长日记1
白探长日记创始人，辉升资本合伙人，数字货币量化基金策略师，七年以上投资经验，准确预测两轮牛市
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#do a survey
If I give you 100 btc now, the current price is 26,000 US dollars.
The total market value is 2.6 million US dollars, equivalent to nearly 20 million RMB.
(In first-tier cities, it is not enough to have free wealth)
The question is, what will you do with this asset?
1. Just smash it all, leave tx, buy a car or a house, and go to the third and fourth tier cities to live peacefully.
2. Hold it all and wait for a new round of opportunities, striving to get 50 million or more.
3. Smash half of it: stick to half and tx half
If it were you, how would you choose?
If I give you 100 btc now, the current price is 26,000 US dollars.
The total market value is 2.6 million US dollars, equivalent to nearly 20 million RMB.
(In first-tier cities, it is not enough to have free wealth)
The question is, what will you do with this asset?
1. Just smash it all, leave tx, buy a car or a house, and go to the third and fourth tier cities to live peacefully.
2. Hold it all and wait for a new round of opportunities, striving to get 50 million or more.
3. Smash half of it: stick to half and tx half
If it were you, how would you choose?
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But Band, the enemy you have to fight, exists all the time:
1. Today you are inexplicably worried. Do you still dare to buy if it falls?
2. Tomorrow you will be trapped in the band and you will be very anxious to get out. Will you cut your flesh?
3. Your sow gave birth to piglets the day after tomorrow and you forgot to watch the market go back up. Do you still dare to get in the car?
The market has countless trading hours, and you have countless trading mentality. How do you ensure that your trading strategy and your prediction are correctly matched one by one?
In addition to the cycle, your enemies include yourself, the project itself, etc. The real super positive line must be the ceiling that breaks through this person's cognitive ceiling.
1. Today you are inexplicably worried. Do you still dare to buy if it falls?
2. Tomorrow you will be trapped in the band and you will be very anxious to get out. Will you cut your flesh?
3. Your sow gave birth to piglets the day after tomorrow and you forgot to watch the market go back up. Do you still dare to get in the car?
The market has countless trading hours, and you have countless trading mentality. How do you ensure that your trading strategy and your prediction are correctly matched one by one?
In addition to the cycle, your enemies include yourself, the project itself, etc. The real super positive line must be the ceiling that breaks through this person's cognitive ceiling.
See original
Why A-shares have not experienced a bull market for so many years has its inherent objective laws.
A new stock can easily fetch tens of billions of dollars, who can bear it? Fortunately, the cryptocurrency market is not yet so crazy, so the pace of the bull market will be much faster than that of A-shares.
At least there is still super faith in BTC in cryptocurrencies, but not in A-shares.
As long as BTC falls back to a reasonable range, no matter how new the market is outside, once this big brother takes effect, it will be ever-changing and full of unlimited potential.
“When BTC stands up, even Buffett has to be silent!”
A new stock can easily fetch tens of billions of dollars, who can bear it? Fortunately, the cryptocurrency market is not yet so crazy, so the pace of the bull market will be much faster than that of A-shares.
At least there is still super faith in BTC in cryptocurrencies, but not in A-shares.
As long as BTC falls back to a reasonable range, no matter how new the market is outside, once this big brother takes effect, it will be ever-changing and full of unlimited potential.
“When BTC stands up, even Buffett has to be silent!”
See original
Although cryptocurrencies are now in a value depression, there is one thing that many exchanges do that is relatively good.
It is to remove and remove junk projects. This intensity is much greater than that of A-shares.
In this case, if cryptocurrency can continuously clean up junk projects and launch limited new projects, users will have a wider range of choices and the power of fund accumulation will be greater. This step will, to a certain extent, Accelerate the explosive efficiency of the bull market.
To take an extreme example, if an exchange, a certain fire, or a certain g exchange can clear out 20% of the rubbish copycats, then the remaining 80% will have greater room for selection. If it can clear out 90% of the rubbish projects, Then the room for BTC to be chosen will become larger.
It is to remove and remove junk projects. This intensity is much greater than that of A-shares.
In this case, if cryptocurrency can continuously clean up junk projects and launch limited new projects, users will have a wider range of choices and the power of fund accumulation will be greater. This step will, to a certain extent, Accelerate the explosive efficiency of the bull market.
To take an extreme example, if an exchange, a certain fire, or a certain g exchange can clear out 20% of the rubbish copycats, then the remaining 80% will have greater room for selection. If it can clear out 90% of the rubbish projects, Then the room for BTC to be chosen will become larger.
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What are the most people in the market currently doing? I am shorting, why I am shorting, mainly because I don’t believe that the bull is coming, and at the same time, I am seriously short. After being short, I can only hope that my brother can fall a little more, so that I can get on the bus, but the bus is so easy to stop before it reaches the end. , asked you to come up? Remember, keep the parking wheel in the hands of the driver, they decide where the car goes.
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People who lose money always have a mentality: I will never play again when I get my money back.
People who return their capital also have a mentality: I will stop playing when I make a little bit more money.
People who make a little money have another mentality: Why should I sell when I just make this little money?
People who make a lot of money have a different mentality: Why didn’t they invest more money in the first place?
So both those who lost money and those who made money were reluctant to leave.
Those who lose money wait to get their money back, those who get their money back wait to make a profit, those who make a profit wait to get rich, and those who get rich wait for freedom.
People who return their capital also have a mentality: I will stop playing when I make a little bit more money.
People who make a little money have another mentality: Why should I sell when I just make this little money?
People who make a lot of money have a different mentality: Why didn’t they invest more money in the first place?
So both those who lost money and those who made money were reluctant to leave.
Those who lose money wait to get their money back, those who get their money back wait to make a profit, those who make a profit wait to get rich, and those who get rich wait for freedom.
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Many people believe that the bear market has not ended yet, and the bull market has not yet started. Their fundamental starting point is insufficient external funds, because the Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates and released water, and because the global economy has not picked up...
Here is a question for everyone to discuss: For the encryption industry, is the industry’s own narrative more important or external funds (environment) more important?
Let me first conclude: both are very important, but if you have to choose one, I think the narrative of the industry itself is more important!
#btc
Here is a question for everyone to discuss: For the encryption industry, is the industry’s own narrative more important or external funds (environment) more important?
Let me first conclude: both are very important, but if you have to choose one, I think the narrative of the industry itself is more important!
#btc
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Do a small investment survey:
In your opinion, which coin has you held for the longest time? how long?
Come and experience our investment process!
In your opinion, which coin has you held for the longest time? how long?
Come and experience our investment process!
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A piece of advice for currency speculators! ! ! Whether you hold BTC or ETH, take three minutes to take a look! The last nine things you don’t want when it comes to financial freedom in the currency circle. First, don’t let people around you know that you are speculating in currencies. There are many reasons, and those who understand will understand. Second, don’t let others know how much money you make, and don’t post income and asset charts to avoid unnecessary trouble. Third, don’t post about your wealthy life in your circle of friends. Except for your close relatives, no one wants you to live well. Showing off can easily lead to jealousy. Fourth, after acquiring a large amount of wealth, keep a distance from the people you originally knew. After reaching financial freedom in the bull market of 2013, 2017, or 2021, the first thing many big names in the cryptocurrency industry did was to resign, and they never worked again. The second thing is to delete all the people I knew before. Fifth, don’t touch gambling and drugs. Gambling will destroy people on a psychological level, and drugs will destroy you on a physical level. Sixth, don't call people stupid, peace is more important, anger will affect your wealth. Stay away from trash people and people who consume you. If you have any disagreements, just block them and delete them. Adding more punctuation marks is a waste of time. Seventh, do not take the initiative to do good deeds, do not pity anyone, let go of the complex of helping others, and respect the fate of others. Just be yourself and let the rest take its course. Eighth, don’t make random investments in areas you are unfamiliar with. People cannot make money beyond their knowledge. Ninth, resolutely do not start a physical business unless you do it for fun and not for the purpose of making money. In the current economic environment, brick-and-mortar entrepreneurship has a narrow escape.
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Celebrities are generally optimistic about the price of#Bitcoinin 2024, and the breath of institutional giants is coming! Sister Mumu’s price of 1 million is so passionate!
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You are constantly selling, and others are constantly buying. XXX purchased an additional 5,445 BTC for US$147.3 million.
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To evaluate whether you have the potential to truly get rich, you can judge from the length of time you hold the currency and your perseverance. A person who truly gambles on the cycle is very capable of dormancy.
Frizzy friends, when the bull market comes, they will make money, but it is difficult to really change their financial level. It may be a luxury car or a house in a second- or third-tier city.
Frizzy friends, when the bull market comes, they will make money, but it is difficult to really change their financial level. It may be a luxury car or a house in a second- or third-tier city.
See original
90% of people will fall for the three big positive lines that break through before the bull market comes. They may get off the bus before the first 30% to 40% floating profit, and then never have the chance to get on the bus.
Many projects may experience a correction after a sharp increase, or even a deep correction. You may still be frustrated by why you didn’t sell after the increase. But you didn’t make this decision. God’s compensation for you is:
He still reserves the potential and qualifications for you to become rich!
You still have a chance to make your first 5 million or 10 million+!
Those who sell when prices rise, although they make 30 to 50% of the current profit, are relatively more likely to suffer losses in the real cycle.
Many projects may experience a correction after a sharp increase, or even a deep correction. You may still be frustrated by why you didn’t sell after the increase. But you didn’t make this decision. God’s compensation for you is:
He still reserves the potential and qualifications for you to become rich!
You still have a chance to make your first 5 million or 10 million+!
Those who sell when prices rise, although they make 30 to 50% of the current profit, are relatively more likely to suffer losses in the real cycle.
See original
If there is no bear market, who would be willing to do swing trading? Bands are simply not a way to make money! It's just a survival rule forced to derive from market changes.
Just like being a mistress, who would want to be a mistress? Wasn't it just because he couldn't get it that he was forced to take this step?
So don't be fooled.
Swing trading does not exist in the market itself! Have you ever seen Buffett preach the band theory?
You have only one opponent who firmly holds the currency: betting that the cycle will come.
Just like being a mistress, who would want to be a mistress? Wasn't it just because he couldn't get it that he was forced to take this step?
So don't be fooled.
Swing trading does not exist in the market itself! Have you ever seen Buffett preach the band theory?
You have only one opponent who firmly holds the currency: betting that the cycle will come.
See original
The most painful thing is that in the bull market, they often have to endure the pain of short selling:
"If I had taken it yesterday, I would have made 30% more today."
"If we didn't bother, it should have tripled."
You said you worked hard for 3 or 4 years just to turn 200,000 into 400,000 or 500,000? The average annualized income is not high, so why don't you work more and get to know more people?
Therefore, don’t envy your friends who have taken off in the bear market band. There is nothing to envy.
"If I had taken it yesterday, I would have made 30% more today."
"If we didn't bother, it should have tripled."
You said you worked hard for 3 or 4 years just to turn 200,000 into 400,000 or 500,000? The average annualized income is not high, so why don't you work more and get to know more people?
Therefore, don’t envy your friends who have taken off in the bear market band. There is nothing to envy.
See original
A normal person neither invests a sum of money that doesn’t matter if it returns to zero, but also has almost no extremely firm belief and insists on holding on to the money, so how does he become rich in the end?
The possibility of getting rich suddenly is almost zero!
But in a bull market, it may increase 3 to 5 times, or even 10 times, and earn about 500,000 from 100,000 or 5 million from 500,000. It is very difficult to make more than 5 million. This is the ceiling of this cognitive stage.
An interesting phenomenon extends here, that is, people who often do swing trading in bear markets, although they have withstood the long and severe beatings of the bear market, the probability of this type of people getting rich is much lower than that of people who hold on in the bear market.
The possibility of getting rich suddenly is almost zero!
But in a bull market, it may increase 3 to 5 times, or even 10 times, and earn about 500,000 from 100,000 or 5 million from 500,000. It is very difficult to make more than 5 million. This is the ceiling of this cognitive stage.
An interesting phenomenon extends here, that is, people who often do swing trading in bear markets, although they have withstood the long and severe beatings of the bear market, the probability of this type of people getting rich is much lower than that of people who hold on in the bear market.
See original
It is a very simple thing to look at holding coins. In fact, the whole process is no less than taking the exam for Peking University and Tsinghua University.
Because the entire currency holding cycle is absolutely against human nature.
In other words, there are only two types of people who can truly hold currency and survive the bear market:
1. The fund is too small, I didn’t care or the account number was forgotten.
2. Be truly optimistic about the market and firmly hold the currency
The former accounts for 80% or even 90%, while the latter only accounts for 10 to 20%. This type of people is also very scary because they can persist in doing something completely unhuman for a long time.
Okay, here comes the question, do you think you are normal?
Because the entire currency holding cycle is absolutely against human nature.
In other words, there are only two types of people who can truly hold currency and survive the bear market:
1. The fund is too small, I didn’t care or the account number was forgotten.
2. Be truly optimistic about the market and firmly hold the currency
The former accounts for 80% or even 90%, while the latter only accounts for 10 to 20%. This type of people is also very scary because they can persist in doing something completely unhuman for a long time.
Okay, here comes the question, do you think you are normal?
See original
Do you have the physique to get rich quickly?
I have written an article before that getting rich relies on patterns. It sounds like the logic of getting rich is actually very simple. It means sticking to one currency, not doing any swings, and betting on two conditions:
1. Your own currency can survive the bear market
2. The bull market will definitely come
It is a very simple thing to look at holding coins. In fact, the whole process is no less than taking the exam for Peking University and Tsinghua University.
Because the entire currency holding cycle is absolutely against human nature.
In other words, there are only two types of people who can truly hold currency and survive the bear market:
1. The fund is too small, I didn’t care or the account number was forgotten.
2. Be truly optimistic about the market and firmly hold the currency
1. Your own currency can survive the bear market
2. The bull market will definitely come
It is a very simple thing to look at holding coins. In fact, the whole process is no less than taking the exam for Peking University and Tsinghua University.
Because the entire currency holding cycle is absolutely against human nature.
In other words, there are only two types of people who can truly hold currency and survive the bear market:
1. The fund is too small, I didn’t care or the account number was forgotten.
2. Be truly optimistic about the market and firmly hold the currency
See original
Anyone who has played in DeFi knows, what is the source of the second pool income? Of course it is the mining currency itself. So don’t worry, the longer the high interest rate is maintained, the more water will be stored, and the more spectacular it will be when the floodgates are opened and waterproofed.
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A sector is rising
In fact, I have been thinking about this sector for a long time. The main reason is that you need to know a lot about this field, and it has not seen any improvement or real implementation. I have not even seen a single horoscope. To say too much is to brag, but from the third quarter At first, this did not hinder capital speculation, and the wind kept blowing in this direction - the RWA sector, causing some agents to rise particularly sharply, and some were ready to move.
So I think you should understand it. Forget about the general direction, start with some basic direction knowledge.
Many friends should have seen me talk about the RWA sector in multiple channels, but I have never mentioned subdivisions. Today we will first understand the concept of RWA in essence. Now a certain non-X account has designated it as a separate sector. It is divided into 24 tokens, such as AAVE, etc. Its explanation refers to projects that support the tokenization of real-world assets. There is also another view that "valuable" assets in the real world belong to the category of RWA. .
So I think you should understand it. Forget about the general direction, start with some basic direction knowledge.
Many friends should have seen me talk about the RWA sector in multiple channels, but I have never mentioned subdivisions. Today we will first understand the concept of RWA in essence. Now a certain non-X account has designated it as a separate sector. It is divided into 24 tokens, such as AAVE, etc. Its explanation refers to projects that support the tokenization of real-world assets. There is also another view that "valuable" assets in the real world belong to the category of RWA. .
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