tomorrow投资日记
原高级焊工，2017年进btc市场，2018辞职全职交易权重分享，交易技巧，策略，记录日常币安二级市场现货https://twitter.com/tomorrowTZRJ
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Correct way to buy coins: Buy on dips, buy sideways, buy on shrink, do not buy large bullish candles
Buy on dips, do not break the selected trend channel's dip (first choice is the core one)
Buy sideways, buy after the selected period when the moving averages are converging
Buy on shrink, buy after small bullish candles when the distance to the platform point has a risk-reward ratio and shows reduced volume
Do not buy large bullish candles, do not buy a single candle with dozens of percentage increases or distance to platform support with dozens of percentage increases
Buying coins, timing, pricing, the key is patience, this is for you, take it if you understand, and please give a thumbs up if you can easily do so
#BTC
Buy on dips, do not break the selected trend channel's dip (first choice is the core one)
Buy sideways, buy after the selected period when the moving averages are converging
Buy on shrink, buy after small bullish candles when the distance to the platform point has a risk-reward ratio and shows reduced volume
Do not buy large bullish candles, do not buy a single candle with dozens of percentage increases or distance to platform support with dozens of percentage increases
Buying coins, timing, pricing, the key is patience, this is for you, take it if you understand, and please give a thumbs up if you can easily do so
#BTC
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Some influencers are too annoying, but the key is that they keep pushing them to me, so I have to force them to block them. Sorry, brother, I really don’t want to read your short-selling analysis in the bull market. Let’s release you when the market is bearish.
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BTC's recent adjustment, several mainstream altcoins have not weakened in exchange rates, this is a good start, if they don't perform better, there will really be no opportunities left;
The mainstream altcoin market may become a turning point starting this week, if you're not afraid of being misled, you can try trusting it once more.
The mainstream altcoin market may become a turning point starting this week, if you're not afraid of being misled, you can try trusting it once more.
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In this round of the bull market, the biggest consensus has been shattered. What was supposed to be a time to increase positions has now turned into a time to cut losses. Aside from BTC, any failed breakout means cutting losses. If you cut losses multiple times, the next opportunity will be missed, and your position won't be able to keep up. This is the reality. Why do we say that altcoins no longer have a bull market? Because a shattered consensus needs to rebuild trust, which requires a bull-bear cycle to change mindsets. It's very obvious that the current conditions do not support this;
What is a bull market? In a bull market, the manipulators are not afraid of you chasing after them; what they fear is that you don't know when they are going to stretch the market. It's clear that we do not have that either. Everyone says that once ETH breaks 4000, altcoins will rise. I can irresponsibly say that even if ETH reaches 40000, it still won't happen, so don't worry.
What is a bull market? In a bull market, the manipulators are not afraid of you chasing after them; what they fear is that you don't know when they are going to stretch the market. It's clear that we do not have that either. Everyone says that once ETH breaks 4000, altcoins will rise. I can irresponsibly say that even if ETH reaches 40000, it still won't happen, so don't worry.
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Missed ETH, go buy the ecological coins of ETH
Missed BNB, go buy the ecological coins of BNB
These are the same type of people, who still don't understand the leader mentality and still think that the cheaper option has more potential 😂. According to this mentality, BTC is the least worth buying, but BTC is actually the one that allows you to make money most reliably;
Leader mentality, only leaders have the capital to push, and related sectors may also rise, but once the leader consolidates, the related sectors will drop back to where they started. Why? Because the rise is driven by the consensus of retail investors like you, which cannot be sustained. Remember, when retail investors stand together, it will be difficult to get a single dish for a lifetime;
Missed BNB, go buy the ecological coins of BNB
These are the same type of people, who still don't understand the leader mentality and still think that the cheaper option has more potential 😂. According to this mentality, BTC is the least worth buying, but BTC is actually the one that allows you to make money most reliably;
Leader mentality, only leaders have the capital to push, and related sectors may also rise, but once the leader consolidates, the related sectors will drop back to where they started. Why? Because the rise is driven by the consensus of retail investors like you, which cannot be sustained. Remember, when retail investors stand together, it will be difficult to get a single dish for a lifetime;
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Sharing a practical strategy for everyone, the content is for reference only;
If you believe BTC is at the beginning of a new cycle, and if you must allocate a certain position in altcoins, how to operate, the captain shares the strategy he uses;
Using fundamentals as a reference point, whether an altcoin has a future market mainly depends on the bottom consolidation pattern (5-step method to judge) or the high consolidation pattern. As we mentioned earlier, bottom box consolidation and high box consolidation, as long as the BTC trend is not over, and with equal cycle predictions, the next change cycle can be inferred. If you are firmly optimistic and have grasped the above content, that's okay;
In the current market, the probability of a coin exploding is definitely very low. You can choose 2-3 coins, looking for potential main narrative tracks, and ambush 2-3, for example, allocate one layer of position for each track and wait (but here you must predict the BTC change cycle; the more it fluctuates, the more it helps you judge which of your altcoins is strong);
A: You currently have 3 altcoins, you have judged the strengths and weaknesses, adjust your positions, strengthen the weak;
B: You currently have 3 altcoins, one is a strong breakout, and when BTC is experiencing a sharp drop, if it drops with volume and reduces volume to recover, then this is also a strong performance; (this must be noted, you can go weak to strong before a cycle's second wave starts, but if it's the third wave, the risk is high)
Basically, the captain uses this method. The current market where everything is chaotic is definitely over, but there are still phase-based mainline markets; you cannot predict the future, so ambushing a bottom position is extremely important. At worst, you won't make a profit, but you won't lose money. Here, you need to focus on mainstream and liquidity; the targets you ambush must pay attention to liquidity;
However, the reality is that many old friends don't even understand what liquidity is, let alone its impact on fundamentals;
Trading is a practice, constantly strengthening and improving, so you can stand undefeated. I admit that the captain has had a bit of luck over the years, but there is also a bit of sensitivity; purely sharing experience, just for your reference;
All are insights, if useful, please comment, like, and share more; (limited flow, let's see how many loyal fans are still paying attention to the dry goods);
If you believe BTC is at the beginning of a new cycle, and if you must allocate a certain position in altcoins, how to operate, the captain shares the strategy he uses;
Using fundamentals as a reference point, whether an altcoin has a future market mainly depends on the bottom consolidation pattern (5-step method to judge) or the high consolidation pattern. As we mentioned earlier, bottom box consolidation and high box consolidation, as long as the BTC trend is not over, and with equal cycle predictions, the next change cycle can be inferred. If you are firmly optimistic and have grasped the above content, that's okay;
In the current market, the probability of a coin exploding is definitely very low. You can choose 2-3 coins, looking for potential main narrative tracks, and ambush 2-3, for example, allocate one layer of position for each track and wait (but here you must predict the BTC change cycle; the more it fluctuates, the more it helps you judge which of your altcoins is strong);
A: You currently have 3 altcoins, you have judged the strengths and weaknesses, adjust your positions, strengthen the weak;
B: You currently have 3 altcoins, one is a strong breakout, and when BTC is experiencing a sharp drop, if it drops with volume and reduces volume to recover, then this is also a strong performance; (this must be noted, you can go weak to strong before a cycle's second wave starts, but if it's the third wave, the risk is high)
Basically, the captain uses this method. The current market where everything is chaotic is definitely over, but there are still phase-based mainline markets; you cannot predict the future, so ambushing a bottom position is extremely important. At worst, you won't make a profit, but you won't lose money. Here, you need to focus on mainstream and liquidity; the targets you ambush must pay attention to liquidity;
However, the reality is that many old friends don't even understand what liquidity is, let alone its impact on fundamentals;
Trading is a practice, constantly strengthening and improving, so you can stand undefeated. I admit that the captain has had a bit of luck over the years, but there is also a bit of sensitivity; purely sharing experience, just for your reference;
All are insights, if useful, please comment, like, and share more; (limited flow, let's see how many loyal fans are still paying attention to the dry goods);
See original
In a bull market dominated by spot trading, we can use the M top head and shoulders pattern to predict the left-side top in advance (from 2017 to 2022, the captain had two precise escape tops and bottom-fishing experiences);
In a bull market dominated by contracts, the selling usually does not lead to an upward consolidation or perhaps an upward channel, high-level sideways movement, and the end of inducement, which is vividly reflected in this round of altcoins. Whether BTC will follow suit in the future remains to be seen;
Learning just the basics of technical analysis will only lead to more losses for many people, so a lot of them only follow fundamentals without combining data, often resulting in significant losses;
Those who do not understand fundamentals and purely trade on emotions, only know to increase their positions when trapped, have already learned a good lesson during the previous two rounds of bull-bear transitions;
Experienced fundamental traders in the past two bull markets might indeed find that BTC is played less and less, because you always need to reduce holdings to confirm the next major upward wave's formation. The downside is that BTC is played less and less, but the advantage is that you cannot incur significant losses. However, this round of professional traders, if not making big profits, certainly will not lose money;
Is it so? Perhaps as a professional, you have been mocked countless times by diamond hands over the past decade, always washing your face with tears in the quiet of the night, anxious about missed opportunities. However, with the maturation of the market, those who mocked you will soon be countered (perhaps this round of the bull market has already countered it);
The road ahead is long; in the first 10 years, we may have truly made money by luck. In the future, without dividends and incremental support, I hope you won't give it back.
In a bull market dominated by contracts, the selling usually does not lead to an upward consolidation or perhaps an upward channel, high-level sideways movement, and the end of inducement, which is vividly reflected in this round of altcoins. Whether BTC will follow suit in the future remains to be seen;
Learning just the basics of technical analysis will only lead to more losses for many people, so a lot of them only follow fundamentals without combining data, often resulting in significant losses;
Those who do not understand fundamentals and purely trade on emotions, only know to increase their positions when trapped, have already learned a good lesson during the previous two rounds of bull-bear transitions;
Experienced fundamental traders in the past two bull markets might indeed find that BTC is played less and less, because you always need to reduce holdings to confirm the next major upward wave's formation. The downside is that BTC is played less and less, but the advantage is that you cannot incur significant losses. However, this round of professional traders, if not making big profits, certainly will not lose money;
Is it so? Perhaps as a professional, you have been mocked countless times by diamond hands over the past decade, always washing your face with tears in the quiet of the night, anxious about missed opportunities. However, with the maturation of the market, those who mocked you will soon be countered (perhaps this round of the bull market has already countered it);
The road ahead is long; in the first 10 years, we may have truly made money by luck. In the future, without dividends and incremental support, I hope you won't give it back.
See original
Why are we obsessed with escaping from the left side? Because a top is formed, such as an M top or a head and shoulders top, to confirm the right side's shape, it's generally normal to see a distance of -20-30% from the top;
Taking the weekly line as the trading trend cycle, for example, the current price of BTC is 115,000 USD, dropping to 97,000 USD just touches the upper median line. Here, we need to observe the volume and contract data to see if it's a sudden drop due to news or a gradual decline. These two natures are different. A sudden drop with heavy volume may allow for bottom fishing, but a gradual decline that breaks down is not suitable for bottom fishing. Using the weekly line as the cycle, we need to confirm an effective drop below 80,000 USD to confirm the shape of the weekly line and that the bull market has ended. This range of 120,000-80,000 is generally where the doubts between bulls and bears are the greatest. Both bulls and bears have reasons, but they are all speculation. Simply from the market, no viewpoint can be supported or refuted, so that's why smart traders habitually reduce their positions to take profits after a main upward wave has completed, waiting for opportunities;
The larger the arbitrage space, the higher the risk. Remember what the captain said about contract-led hedging, with spot market cooperation for stretching. The early cooperation of contracts and spot market growth is supportive, but once the distance from the bottom becomes large enough, this may no longer hold. Now there are still people with money wanting to rush in. I can't say the trend has ended, but the risk is also increasing. Most chasing high prices are floating profits without understanding stop-loss control of positions, ultimately getting trapped and resorting to adding positions, which leads to being stuck; (Remember I mentioned that breaking and effectively breaking are two different concepts)
The current play of BTC is the standard play of leading stocks in the US stock market. So what are the characteristics of the trend of US technology stocks? They keep falling, falling to the bottom, with no rebound for months, and any rebound is a V-shape, with no retracement. Will BTC behave this way? Time will tell;
I advise everyone not to bring more people into the market. If you make a profit, they won't thank you; if they incur losses, you will have to bear the consequences.
Taking the weekly line as the trading trend cycle, for example, the current price of BTC is 115,000 USD, dropping to 97,000 USD just touches the upper median line. Here, we need to observe the volume and contract data to see if it's a sudden drop due to news or a gradual decline. These two natures are different. A sudden drop with heavy volume may allow for bottom fishing, but a gradual decline that breaks down is not suitable for bottom fishing. Using the weekly line as the cycle, we need to confirm an effective drop below 80,000 USD to confirm the shape of the weekly line and that the bull market has ended. This range of 120,000-80,000 is generally where the doubts between bulls and bears are the greatest. Both bulls and bears have reasons, but they are all speculation. Simply from the market, no viewpoint can be supported or refuted, so that's why smart traders habitually reduce their positions to take profits after a main upward wave has completed, waiting for opportunities;
The larger the arbitrage space, the higher the risk. Remember what the captain said about contract-led hedging, with spot market cooperation for stretching. The early cooperation of contracts and spot market growth is supportive, but once the distance from the bottom becomes large enough, this may no longer hold. Now there are still people with money wanting to rush in. I can't say the trend has ended, but the risk is also increasing. Most chasing high prices are floating profits without understanding stop-loss control of positions, ultimately getting trapped and resorting to adding positions, which leads to being stuck; (Remember I mentioned that breaking and effectively breaking are two different concepts)
The current play of BTC is the standard play of leading stocks in the US stock market. So what are the characteristics of the trend of US technology stocks? They keep falling, falling to the bottom, with no rebound for months, and any rebound is a V-shape, with no retracement. Will BTC behave this way? Time will tell;
I advise everyone not to bring more people into the market. If you make a profit, they won't thank you; if they incur losses, you will have to bear the consequences.
See original
How to measure a healthy rise of a coin;
A without any news explanation;
B without KOL promotion, marketing;
C reduced volume, maintaining a steady rise, but ensuring a basic turnover rate;
If a coin has sufficient controlling funds and confidence, it won't seek KOLs for promotion; the best promotion is to appear on the exchange's daily gainers list. The first time it attracts attention, the second time it triggers value analysis, naturally adding to watchlists, the third time, the pattern starts building positions. Three appearances on the list, the price may not be cheap, but it doesn't hinder entry-level technical traders from chasing high based on patterns;
Why do many in the market ridicule us for focusing on fundamentals and claim candlestick analysis is useless? If you don't understand or only understand superficially and have lost, you just follow along and say it's ineffective. If you don't learn the logic behind candlesticks, a head-top is a top, a head-and-shoulders top is a top. If you think you can make money just by looking at simple local screenshots online, and you don’t understand the application of combined patterns at different stages of candlesticks, then don’t generalize. Trading for 1 year makes you a novice, trading for 3 years still makes you a novice; this industry is really not suitable for you;
Yesterday I heard Teacher Da Baojian say that ORDI is a purely community coin, with large holders but no manipulators. I'm not clear on what you define as the boundary between manipulators and large holders. The funds that can control the coin price are manipulators. Without manipulators, who would seek KOL promotions? OKX has held several SPACE events. If it’s a purely community coin, after a period of rising, there is fundamentally no support (high probability of a downward trend). Don't say anything; the community is the future. Those who establish communities generally have some ulterior motives;
The purpose of capital is to repeatedly tell stories and harvest. No matter how the story is spun, as long as it reflects in the price, naturally, someone will follow (even if they don't believe it, they won't go against making money);
Those who bought early shout to deceive those who buy later, the goal is to find more people to take over; this is the nature of the market;
Knowing all this is of no use, are you going to stop? Play, just think you can run faster than others, and that's enough
😂
A without any news explanation;
B without KOL promotion, marketing;
C reduced volume, maintaining a steady rise, but ensuring a basic turnover rate;
If a coin has sufficient controlling funds and confidence, it won't seek KOLs for promotion; the best promotion is to appear on the exchange's daily gainers list. The first time it attracts attention, the second time it triggers value analysis, naturally adding to watchlists, the third time, the pattern starts building positions. Three appearances on the list, the price may not be cheap, but it doesn't hinder entry-level technical traders from chasing high based on patterns;
Why do many in the market ridicule us for focusing on fundamentals and claim candlestick analysis is useless? If you don't understand or only understand superficially and have lost, you just follow along and say it's ineffective. If you don't learn the logic behind candlesticks, a head-top is a top, a head-and-shoulders top is a top. If you think you can make money just by looking at simple local screenshots online, and you don’t understand the application of combined patterns at different stages of candlesticks, then don’t generalize. Trading for 1 year makes you a novice, trading for 3 years still makes you a novice; this industry is really not suitable for you;
Yesterday I heard Teacher Da Baojian say that ORDI is a purely community coin, with large holders but no manipulators. I'm not clear on what you define as the boundary between manipulators and large holders. The funds that can control the coin price are manipulators. Without manipulators, who would seek KOL promotions? OKX has held several SPACE events. If it’s a purely community coin, after a period of rising, there is fundamentally no support (high probability of a downward trend). Don't say anything; the community is the future. Those who establish communities generally have some ulterior motives;
The purpose of capital is to repeatedly tell stories and harvest. No matter how the story is spun, as long as it reflects in the price, naturally, someone will follow (even if they don't believe it, they won't go against making money);
Those who bought early shout to deceive those who buy later, the goal is to find more people to take over; this is the nature of the market;
Knowing all this is of no use, are you going to stop? Play, just think you can run faster than others, and that's enough
😂
See original
Retail investors, wow, this XXX coin is amazing, I'm optimistic about the XX sector in the long run, wow it has increased 10 times, 100 times, so impressive, the technical aspect is good, the technical outlook is bullish, I can't help it, let's buy a little, I'm stuck in a position, let's add to the position, add to the position, if there's any similarity, it's purely nonsense！！！！
Zhang San and Li Si are sitting together drinking tea, and there's a guaranteed way to profit. How about we give it a shot?;
Li Si has good connections and can find the project party, Ma Zi. He asks Ma Zi, 'Why is your coin performing so poorly on the X exchange?' Ma Zi replies, 'Bro, the money from the financing circle has been spent, and I don’t have any funds left to work on the project. The team originally had six people, and now there's only one aunt left to maintain the community, write posts, and clean the office.';
Li Si pats Ma Zi on the shoulder and says, 'Ma Zi, you're just too honest. You seriously burned money on the project (doing marathons, community roadshows). You raised the funds, and now that you have the money, why worry about the project? When the deposit and agreement with the exchange expire, just stop messing around. Wouldn’t that keep the money? Do you really think blockchain has a future?' Ma Zi nods and says, 'By the time I understood, it was too late.';
Li Si says, 'Your coin hasn’t been delisted on X exchange yet, right?' Ma Zi replies, 'Yes, but we can’t do market making anymore.' Li Si then says, 'Ma Zi, do you want to give it another shot?' Ma Zi says, 'Bro, I have no capacity left.' Li Si holds Ma Zi's hand and says, 'We can collaborate. Look at how many coins you still have left from the batches unlocked over the years. Why not package them for me? The market liquidity is poor anyway, and you can’t sell them.' Ma Zi excitedly says, 'Are you really interested? I still have 70% of the coins left, and the project’s circulating market value is still 30 million USD. How much can you offer?' Li Si says, 'It’s all up to you, brother.' Ma Zi says, 'How about giving me 15 million USD?' Li Si's eyes widen, 'You’re just a shell. You want 15 million? If it weren't for the fact that you're still on the X exchange, you wouldn't be worth anything. Once it’s delisted, it’ll really be worth zero. I can give you 2 million USD, how about that?' (After some back-and-forth, a deal was struck);
Li Si contacted Wang Er from the exchange to inquire about the project's situation, checking if there were any risks of delisting or if the exchange could cooperate (sign a contract). Everything is OK;
Zhang San and Li Si are working on the market, Wang Er provides data support, and Ma Zi is responsible for posting and finding KOLs to promote the community;
After a while, Ma Zi noticed the hype around the X concept was rising. Ma Zi tweeted and modified the project development roadmap to ride the trend, and got started...
Li Si has good connections and can find the project party, Ma Zi. He asks Ma Zi, 'Why is your coin performing so poorly on the X exchange?' Ma Zi replies, 'Bro, the money from the financing circle has been spent, and I don’t have any funds left to work on the project. The team originally had six people, and now there's only one aunt left to maintain the community, write posts, and clean the office.';
Li Si pats Ma Zi on the shoulder and says, 'Ma Zi, you're just too honest. You seriously burned money on the project (doing marathons, community roadshows). You raised the funds, and now that you have the money, why worry about the project? When the deposit and agreement with the exchange expire, just stop messing around. Wouldn’t that keep the money? Do you really think blockchain has a future?' Ma Zi nods and says, 'By the time I understood, it was too late.';
Li Si says, 'Your coin hasn’t been delisted on X exchange yet, right?' Ma Zi replies, 'Yes, but we can’t do market making anymore.' Li Si then says, 'Ma Zi, do you want to give it another shot?' Ma Zi says, 'Bro, I have no capacity left.' Li Si holds Ma Zi's hand and says, 'We can collaborate. Look at how many coins you still have left from the batches unlocked over the years. Why not package them for me? The market liquidity is poor anyway, and you can’t sell them.' Ma Zi excitedly says, 'Are you really interested? I still have 70% of the coins left, and the project’s circulating market value is still 30 million USD. How much can you offer?' Li Si says, 'It’s all up to you, brother.' Ma Zi says, 'How about giving me 15 million USD?' Li Si's eyes widen, 'You’re just a shell. You want 15 million? If it weren't for the fact that you're still on the X exchange, you wouldn't be worth anything. Once it’s delisted, it’ll really be worth zero. I can give you 2 million USD, how about that?' (After some back-and-forth, a deal was struck);
Li Si contacted Wang Er from the exchange to inquire about the project's situation, checking if there were any risks of delisting or if the exchange could cooperate (sign a contract). Everything is OK;
Zhang San and Li Si are working on the market, Wang Er provides data support, and Ma Zi is responsible for posting and finding KOLs to promote the community;
After a while, Ma Zi noticed the hype around the X concept was rising. Ma Zi tweeted and modified the project development roadmap to ride the trend, and got started...
See original
Zhang San and Li Si are sitting together drinking tea, and there's a guaranteed way to profit. How about we give it a shot?;
Li Si has good connections and can find the project party, Ma Zi. He asks Ma Zi, 'Why is your coin performing so poorly on the X exchange?' Ma Zi replies, 'Bro, the money from the financing circle has been spent, and I don’t have any funds left to work on the project. The team originally had six people, and now there's only one aunt left to maintain the community, write posts, and clean the office.';
Li Si pats Ma Zi on the shoulder and says, 'Ma Zi, you're just too honest. You seriously burned money on the project (doing marathons, community roadshows). You raised the funds, and now that you have the money, why worry about the project? When the deposit and agreement with the exchange expire, just stop messing around. Wouldn’t that keep the money? Do you really think blockchain has a future?' Ma Zi nods and says, 'By the time I understood, it was too late.';
Li Si says, 'Your coin hasn’t been delisted on X exchange yet, right?' Ma Zi replies, 'Yes, but we can’t do market making anymore.' Li Si then says, 'Ma Zi, do you want to give it another shot?' Ma Zi says, 'Bro, I have no capacity left.' Li Si holds Ma Zi's hand and says, 'We can collaborate. Look at how many coins you still have left from the batches unlocked over the years. Why not package them for me? The market liquidity is poor anyway, and you can’t sell them.' Ma Zi excitedly says, 'Are you really interested? I still have 70% of the coins left, and the project’s circulating market value is still 30 million USD. How much can you offer?' Li Si says, 'It’s all up to you, brother.' Ma Zi says, 'How about giving me 15 million USD?' Li Si's eyes widen, 'You’re just a shell. You want 15 million? If it weren't for the fact that you're still on the X exchange, you wouldn't be worth anything. Once it’s delisted, it’ll really be worth zero. I can give you 2 million USD, how about that?' (After some back-and-forth, a deal was struck);
Li Si contacted Wang Er from the exchange to inquire about the project's situation, checking if there were any risks of delisting or if the exchange could cooperate (sign a contract). Everything is OK;
Zhang San and Li Si are working on the market, Wang Er provides data support, and Ma Zi is responsible for posting and finding KOLs to promote the community;
After a while, Ma Zi noticed the hype around the X concept was rising. Ma Zi tweeted and modified the project development roadmap to ride the trend, and got started...
Li Si has good connections and can find the project party, Ma Zi. He asks Ma Zi, 'Why is your coin performing so poorly on the X exchange?' Ma Zi replies, 'Bro, the money from the financing circle has been spent, and I don’t have any funds left to work on the project. The team originally had six people, and now there's only one aunt left to maintain the community, write posts, and clean the office.';
Li Si pats Ma Zi on the shoulder and says, 'Ma Zi, you're just too honest. You seriously burned money on the project (doing marathons, community roadshows). You raised the funds, and now that you have the money, why worry about the project? When the deposit and agreement with the exchange expire, just stop messing around. Wouldn’t that keep the money? Do you really think blockchain has a future?' Ma Zi nods and says, 'By the time I understood, it was too late.';
Li Si says, 'Your coin hasn’t been delisted on X exchange yet, right?' Ma Zi replies, 'Yes, but we can’t do market making anymore.' Li Si then says, 'Ma Zi, do you want to give it another shot?' Ma Zi says, 'Bro, I have no capacity left.' Li Si holds Ma Zi's hand and says, 'We can collaborate. Look at how many coins you still have left from the batches unlocked over the years. Why not package them for me? The market liquidity is poor anyway, and you can’t sell them.' Ma Zi excitedly says, 'Are you really interested? I still have 70% of the coins left, and the project’s circulating market value is still 30 million USD. How much can you offer?' Li Si says, 'It’s all up to you, brother.' Ma Zi says, 'How about giving me 15 million USD?' Li Si's eyes widen, 'You’re just a shell. You want 15 million? If it weren't for the fact that you're still on the X exchange, you wouldn't be worth anything. Once it’s delisted, it’ll really be worth zero. I can give you 2 million USD, how about that?' (After some back-and-forth, a deal was struck);
Li Si contacted Wang Er from the exchange to inquire about the project's situation, checking if there were any risks of delisting or if the exchange could cooperate (sign a contract). Everything is OK;
Zhang San and Li Si are working on the market, Wang Er provides data support, and Ma Zi is responsible for posting and finding KOLs to promote the community;
After a while, Ma Zi noticed the hype around the X concept was rising. Ma Zi tweeted and modified the project development roadmap to ride the trend, and got started...
See original
BTC
The weekly chart will choose a direction next week;
Bullish, but liquidity doesn't support it;
Bearish, but the logic doesn't support it;
In a contradictory market, how will you respond? Go all in with your eyes closed, if it fails, so be it.
😀😀😀
#BTC
The weekly chart will choose a direction next week;
Bullish, but liquidity doesn't support it;
Bearish, but the logic doesn't support it;
In a contradictory market, how will you respond? Go all in with your eyes closed, if it fails, so be it.
😀😀😀
#BTC
See original
The trading sentiment cycle is divided into four stages. Currently, apart from BTC which is still in a bullish technical pattern, altcoins are basically determined to be in a bear market. Therefore, the logic of the transition from bull to bear must follow the sentiment cycle;
Bullish wait-and-see period, FOMO chasing high period, getting trapped and averaging down period, and resting and stop-loss recovery period;
Based on the sentiment cycle, currently, altcoins should be in the resting and stop-loss recovery period. If this complete cycle is followed, those altcoins may have the possibility of rebirth. This is difficult. Let us know in the comments what your thoughts are on XX coin, and I will consider buying some.
Bullish wait-and-see period, FOMO chasing high period, getting trapped and averaging down period, and resting and stop-loss recovery period;
Based on the sentiment cycle, currently, altcoins should be in the resting and stop-loss recovery period. If this complete cycle is followed, those altcoins may have the possibility of rebirth. This is difficult. Let us know in the comments what your thoughts are on XX coin, and I will consider buying some.
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I used to want to be an idealistic warrior, thinking I could help some people make money and then enjoy the process of being pursued, caring a lot about the profits of those who followed me. That was in the past; didn't we all like to listen to something unrealistic when we were young?
😀
Now I just share; I don't want to think about anything else. The bull market in cryptocurrency is disappearing, and as the tide goes out, we can barely take care of ourselves, let alone others.
😂
I earn and I lose, and I accept that. I hope you do too.
😀
Now I just share; I don't want to think about anything else. The bull market in cryptocurrency is disappearing, and as the tide goes out, we can barely take care of ourselves, let alone others.
😂
I earn and I lose, and I accept that. I hope you do too.
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What is taboo in trading is to make trades based on news, the emotions of FOMO and panic. Even if you plan to enter at xxx points, under the influence of news, you will hesitate. Personally, I basically do not communicate with anyone about the market; it's not that I'm reclusive, but communication is useless. I still prefer to enjoy the process of losing my own money.
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The logic of a bull-to-bear transition is high leverage combined with FOMO sentiment. A technical bull market has a characteristic: when the cycle widens, it will not change its final form due to news. So, is it a technical pullback or another bear market? Everyone can place their bets;
The captain has no bull or bear view, it's up to you to judge. Since I couldn't escape the peak on the left side, I choose to escape the peak on the right side;
Earlier, between 104-108, the captain said there was no risk-to-reward ratio, now it's at 98, and 97-100 has a corresponding risk-to-reward ratio, but some people may have already started to cut losses;
#BTC
The captain has no bull or bear view, it's up to you to judge. Since I couldn't escape the peak on the left side, I choose to escape the peak on the right side;
Earlier, between 104-108, the captain said there was no risk-to-reward ratio, now it's at 98, and 97-100 has a corresponding risk-to-reward ratio, but some people may have already started to cut losses;
#BTC
End
🎙️ 「从K线读出买点真相，揭秘交易员的建仓密码」——特邀嘉宾:tomorrow投资日记
01 h 33 m 02 s · 3k listens
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BTC has reached a new high. I asked my wife if she was happy, and she said she wasn't, because she wasn't fully invested and made less profit. The group is so quiet; is it the same situation? Those who aren't fully invested are hoping for a crash, even though they still have positions in the market. This mindset needs to be treated, haha; for those of you who are fully invested, you probably aren't happy either because you didn't use 125x leverage, right?
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This round of bears is actually working hard, but unfortunately, they have no chips in hand, and those who missed out dare not chase. The sentiment of concentrated shorting is very severe. There is always a contradiction in the market, which is the contradiction in liquidity fundamentals. The spot market is like this, so the final battle is in the futures market, where there won't be enough counterparties for a while, making it difficult to go down in the short term. Previously, we mentioned that the market is not short of money; what's lacking is a favorable stimulus after a rise to let retail investors take over. So tell me, when will good news come out? Have you got on board? These are the key points. Subjectively, a rapid rise followed by a slow decline is a sign of concentrated chips. You don't have to chase the highs, just avoid shorting;
Subjectively, I believe this wave of market should indeed enter an adjustment phase. Right now, nothing has a risk-reward ratio, except for the logic of holding BTC combined with the long-term cycle, which continues to look bullish. Everything else can be regarded as garbage, including ETH. If you can't help but FOMO into BTC, there may still be hope after getting stuck, but the indicators for BTC have deviated too severely. Consolidation can be divided into sideways and pullbacks. If BTC can move sideways, then this wave will not go up; we are still looking at June.
Subjectively, I believe this wave of market should indeed enter an adjustment phase. Right now, nothing has a risk-reward ratio, except for the logic of holding BTC combined with the long-term cycle, which continues to look bullish. Everything else can be regarded as garbage, including ETH. If you can't help but FOMO into BTC, there may still be hope after getting stuck, but the indicators for BTC have deviated too severely. Consolidation can be divided into sideways and pullbacks. If BTC can move sideways, then this wave will not go up; we are still looking at June.
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For traders, a bull market has not reached its end, and the core position should never be lost no matter what. The core position is a trader's bottom line; it ensures that you have the courage to chase the trend next time. For example, if something worth 1 yuan rises to 10 yuan, and the trend and logic continue to indicate an upward movement, if you take profits on the left side, you can only offload the leveraged and fluctuating portion of your position. Never lose your core position. If next time you encounter a buying pattern at 11 or 12 yuan, if you still have your core position, it will be very easy for you to chase it. However, if your core position is gone, you might end up in a trading dilemma. Having been through it, you understand.
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