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#FOMCMeeting

📉 The Fed is on pause: June meeting without surprises, but with a hint of worry

🔍 What you need to know before Wednesday and why the “dots” are more important than the rate

🪙 Interest rate — unchanged
The Federal Reserve System of the USA is unlikely to change the rate at the June meeting: 4.25%–4.50% remains with us. The reason is simple — inflation seems to be easing, and the labor market is still breathing. So the Fed can afford to wait.

📉 The rate is not the main intrigue. The main thing is the “dots”
On Wednesday, the market will be watching not so much the rate, but the updated dot plot — the forecast map of the Fed members themselves. In spring, they still hoped for 2 rate cuts in 2025, but since then a lot has changed:
— Trump’s tariffs,
— sticky inflation,
— deterioration in economic sentiment.
Now the market is ready to accept even one cut as a gift. And if there are many dots with zeros — we expect a “hawkish storm” in the markets.

📦 The economy is holding up for now, but…
CPI — softer, labor market — healthy, but:
• consumers are anxious,
• businesses are being cautious,
• tariffs have not hit yet — but are on the way.
The Fed will wait for the “pain to manifest” in the statistics.

#MetaplanetBTCPurchase

🟧 Metaplanet records a psychological milestone of 10,000 BTC
🇯🇵 The Tokyo company continues to follow a Bitcoin-first strategy.

The public Japanese firm Metaplanet Inc. (TSE: 3350 / OTCQX: MTPLF) announced the acquisition of an additional 1,112 BTC, bringing its total bitcoin assets to 10,000 BTC. This event turns Metaplanet into one of the most aggressive public companies in Bitcoin accumulation outside the USA — a kind of 'Asian MicroStrategy'.

💰 Details of the latest purchase:
• Average purchase price: 15,182,668 yen (approximately $105,000 per BTC)
• Total transaction amount: 16.88 billion yen (~$117 million)

🏦 Total on the balance sheet now:
• 10,000 BTC
• Average entry price: 13,915,230 yen (~$96,000/BTC)
• Total investment amount: 139.15 billion yen

📈 Metaplanet actively monitors the effectiveness of its strategy through the BTC Yield metric — a sort of 'ROI in BTC'. The yield for the last quarter was +87.2%, and in previous quarters, the figures were even more impressive:
• Q1: +41.7%
• Q4 2024: +309.8%
• Q3 2024: +95.6%

📊 This is not just a game of exchange rate differences. Metaplanet is building a full-fledged Bitcoin-oriented treasury model, where BTC is not a speculative asset, but the foundation of a strategic balance.

🚀 SUI on the brink of a new rally? Analyst: “Very interesting moment for entry”

Against the backdrop of rising key metrics and a stable technical picture, the SUI token appears to be preparing for a new impulse.
According to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, SUI is currently “on the verge of a breakout to new highs.”

📊 Current numbers:
— Price: $3.11 (+3.85% over 24 hours)
— Local high: $3.1554
— Key resistance: $3.30 — breaking it could trigger the rally
— Support: $3.09, then — $2.97

📈 Technical picture:
— Price broke through $3.08 and has consolidated above it.
— Trading volumes remain high: >12 million tokens in the morning, with a notable spike at $3.12.
— Ascending lows are forming — this is a signal of an ongoing uptrend.

⸻

🔍 Fundamental growth drivers:
1. 📦 TVL in the SUI network reached $1.8 billion — third place among non-EVM blockchains.
2. 💵 The volume of stablecoins tripled over six months — from $400 million to almost $1.2 billion.
3. 👛 SuiLend (lending platform) — TVL growth of 90% in a month (over $600 million).
4. 🧑‍💻 Increase in the number of wallets after the integration of Phantom and the relaunch of the Slush wallet.
#SUI🔥

Cardano: sleeping, but not dead 💀

📊 What does the ADA chart show?
— Since December 2024, ADA has been moving in a descending channel. This is a classic technical formation where the asset is compressed in a corridor between falling support and resistance levels.
— At the beginning of the year, there was a brief breakout — after a loud tweet from Trump. But now the situation is heating up again.

🧱 Recently, a descending wedge has also formed on the chart — another bullish pattern. In the past, such patterns often led to breakouts upward.

⸻

🎯 Targets and scenarios:
— In case of a pullback: support at $0.63
— In case of a wedge breakout: short-term target — $0.77–0.78
— With a stronger impulse, ADA may aim for $1.10–1.13 — levels where it was at the beginning of 2025.

⸻

📉 Meanwhile, the overall influx of altcoins to exchanges remains at a minimum (less than 30,000 per day in June), indicating a low readiness for sell-offs.

🔥 Conclusion: the altseason is still just breathing down our necks. But technical signals and market behavior hint: it might get loud in the coming weeks.
#ADA

$BTC

🐳 Whales and retail are synchronously holding positions: a rare coincidence — and a potential signal

Analysts note an unusual phenomenon in the market: both large BTC holders (whales) and retail investors are adhering to a holding strategy, despite volatility and increasing uncertainty in global markets.

📌 What does this mean?
Under normal conditions, there is a clear behavioral distinction between large and small players:
— Whales tend to act strategically, responding to macroeconomics and liquidity.
— Retail, on the other hand, is generally more emotional, susceptible to short-term movements and panic.

But now — both camps are demonstrating a rare unity in approach: a slowdown in BTC outflows from wallets of all levels is being recorded, along with a growing share of long-term holding.

📉 Previously, such synchronization was observed only twice during the current market cycle — and both times at local peaks.
However, the current situation is not about securing profits, but about anticipating continued growth. The difference is fundamental.

📊 Against this background:
— The level of short-term sales is minimal.
— On-chain metrics signal a sentiment towards holding.

#VietnamCryptoPolicy

🇻🇳 Vietnam launches the digital era with a new law!

On June 14, the National Assembly of Vietnam approved the 'Law on Digital Technology Industry' — the world's first (!) specialized document fully dedicated to the digital transformation of the country.
Official start: January 1, 2026, but global implications — already now.

📌 What was decided:
— Digital assets are now clearly divided into virtual and cryptocurrency.
— Securities, digital analogs of fiat, and traditional finance — not included. This is about a different future.
— International standards for AML are introduced.

👨‍💻 But crypto is just the beginning.
The law is part of a larger strategy: to turn Vietnam into a regional hub for AI, semiconductors, and digital infrastructure. Foreign investors are already being offered tax incentives, but with a condition: share technology and befriend the locals.

📊 For reference:
— In October 2024, Vietnam already adopted a national strategy for blockchain.
— Now — legal frameworks, business support, and judging by the tone of the statement, seriously and for a long time.

🧠 Meanwhile, while Western countries debate whether to regulate DeFi and what to do with ETFs, Vietnam opens the gates to the digital tomorrow with a single law.

$BTC

📈 Bitcoin bounces back to $106K amid geopolitical tensions

After a decline to $102,600 due to the escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel, BTC temporarily recovered to $106,000, but by evening it retreated slightly again — the current price is around $105,200. This is still approximately 6% below the all-time high.

🧮 The market is generally under pressure:
• The CoinDesk 20 index fell by 4.4%.
• Ethereum ($ETH), Avalanche ($AVAX), and Toncoin ($TON) — a decline of 6% to 8%.
• Shares of crypto companies are predominantly in the red. Miners MARA and RIOT were particularly affected.

💡 An exception is Circle (+13%), thanks to a successful IPO and interest from Amazon and Walmart in stablecoins. This could be an important signal for the market and a step towards broader adoption of digital payments in the real sector.

📉 What do analysts say?
• Markus Thielen (10x Research): a drop below $106K is a “false breakout.” Consolidation in the $100K–$101K range is possible.
• John Glover (Ledn): BTC has entered a correction phase. The potential target for the decline is $88K–$93K. However, if support is confirmed, movement towards $130K may begin.

📌 Conclusion:
The market remains volatile and sensitive to external factors. Investors have taken a wait-and-see position amid rising geopolitical risks.

#TrumpBTCTreasury
💥 Trump is seriously considering putting Bitcoin in the US treasury. Yes, the very $BTC that yesterday cost as much as an apartment, and today — as much as a bicycle. 🇺🇸💰

Under the hashtag #TrumpBTCTreasury cryptoenthusiasts are already building castles out of blockchain: "Finally, digital gold will have registration in the White House!" 🏛️

Meanwhile, at the IMF they are nervously sipping valerian root, and the heads of central banks are whispering: "He can't be serious?.." But he is — quite serious. What if tomorrow instead of the eagle at the Fed, we see a little Bitcoin?

If this continues, we will have:
• National reserve in memes and candles 📉📈
• Press conferences with charts from TradingView
• And most importantly: a state budget dependent on Elon Musk's tweet 🤯

But who knows? Maybe this is how a new era begins… or yet another pump.

#IsraelIranConflict
🧨 Geopolitics has collapsed the cryptocurrency market: Bitcoin and Ethereum are in the red

🔻 On June 12, Bitcoin fell by 3.6%, dropping to $103,970.
🔻 Ethereum lost 9.2%, trading at $2,503.

The reason is geopolitical instability. According to AP, Israel has struck Iranian military and nuclear facilities. A state of emergency has been declared in the country — retaliatory attacks are expected.

📉 Investors are leaving risky assets, including cryptocurrencies.
🛢 Against this backdrop, oil prices have surged:
• WTI — up to $71.94
• Brent — up to $73.16

The rise in energy prices traditionally leads to increased inflation expectations and a reevaluation of high-risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

📌 Let us remind you that just three days ago, on June 9, Bitcoin reached a local maximum of $107,000. At that time, capital outflows from spot ETFs and the unstable situation in the U.S., including mass protests and riots, supported the price.

📈 XRP: mini golden cross and chance for growth?

XRP is once again showing bullish signals — but not due to the classic 'golden cross' (50/200 EMA), but through a lesser-known yet potentially powerful signal: the 50-day moving average is approaching a crossover with the 100-day moving average, forming a mini golden cross.

Such a signal often indicates a short-term upward momentum — especially for volatile altcoins like XRP.

🔹 The price has recovered from the support level of the 200 EMA ($2.08)
🔹 A consolidation is currently observed in the range of $2.20–$2.25
🔹 The price is already slightly above, and the momentum may push it to $2.70
🔹 RSI is turning upwards, indicating a return of demand
🔹 The candlestick structure suggests accumulation
🔹 Volumes are still low — this is a limiting factor

If XRP holds above $2.25 and confirms the crossover of the 50/100 EMA, the path to $2.30, $2.55, and $2.70 will open up. But without an increase in volumes, the movement may be unstable.

📌 The technical picture is favorable, but caution remains — the market is waiting for confirmation in the form of volumes. This mini cross could be an early opportunity for investors.
#Xrp🔥🔥

🧊 Freezing in the market: no one is buying, no one is selling
Spot trading is in a state of suspended animation. 📉 According to CryptoQuant, spot volumes have fallen to a minimum since October 2020. Coins are not only not being sold — they are not even moving on-chain.

In essence:
• Selling — everyone who wanted to sell has already sold;
• Buying — either there’s nothing to buy, or it’s scary;
• There are no newcomers — there’s nothing to infect, no FOMO.

🐻 A popular bearish thought is circulating that “the remaining ones are exit liquidity for the whales.”
The idea is that the big players will dump on us.

🤔 But think about it: “What liquidity is there if no one is buying?”
The current situation is radically different from 2022–2023.
Back then, there was a frenzy, now — fear and paralysis.

📌 In my opinion, it’s all obvious:
This is not an exit for the whales, everyone is just frozen. And as soon as the market gives a 2–3X, that’s when it will become clear: is it a reversal or a ballast drop.

🙄 Meanwhile — silence before something bigger.

🇺🇸📉 Bitcoin is stagnating while Hang Seng rises amid hopes for US-China trade talks

💹 Key points:
• Asian markets are rising — the Hang Seng index has surpassed 24,000 for the first time since March, amid optimism about trade talks.
• Bitcoin ($BTC) remains sluggish at around ~$105,650, despite the positive sentiment in the markets.
• Bitcoin's network activity has fallen to a year-low — averaging 315K transactions per day.
• XRP and Dogecoin are also stagnant: XRP — $2.24 (-1%), DOGE — down 2%, around $0.18.
• Deflation in China is intensifying: consumer prices in May -0.1%, producer prices -3.3%.
• New stimulus measures from China are possible — this could support the crypto markets.

📊 What’s next?
An important inflation report (CPI) will be released in the US on Wednesday:
• Forecast: inflation will remain at 0.2% m/m but accelerate to 2.5% y/y.
• Core inflation (excluding food and energy) may rise to 2.9%.
• Higher inflation could slow the Fed's plans for rate cuts, which would negatively impact the markets.

🇺🇸 Trump Again Against Powell: Crypto Markets on Edge of Anticipation 🧨

Yes, yes, again.
On June 6, Donald Trump once again hinted that he intends to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, although his term does not expire until May 2026.
And the market, as usual, caused a mini-earthquake.

📉 The last time Trump spoke about this, the dollar index (DXY) plummeted, and Bitcoin soared on the wave of expectations for a soft policy.

Now — a new series:

"I will soon present my candidate for the position of Federal Reserve Chair," Trump stated.

👀 What this means for the crypto market:
— If Powell leaves, the independence of the Federal Reserve may be in question
— A possible successor would be more "compliant," which means more willing to lower rates
— This could lead to a sharp influx of liquidity, which, of course, Bitcoin loves (and especially altcoins)

💬 "Bitcoin has become not just a hedge against inflation — it is now a hedge against political instability"
— says Jeff Kendrick from Standard Chartered.

⚠️ But there is a nuance:
The law is not that simple. The removal of the Federal Reserve Chair is only possible for a compelling reason (not just for mood). Therefore, Trump will either have to wait or maneuver — by appointing his own yes-man😔

🟣 XRP — not just a token, but a VIP persona in XRPL: Ripple's CTO put all the dots over the 'i' 😎

📢 On June 4, Ripple's tech director David Schwartz decided to prioritize things a bit in his social network (X). The reason? Users began hinting that XRPL is no longer just about XRP — there are so many new things: stablecoins, tokenized assets, DeFi, loans, DEX, and all sorts of fun.

📌 Why XRP is 'the one':
— It can be held in any wallet
— It has no counterparty (no bank, no issuer — freedom!)
— All fees on the network are paid with it
— Pathfinding initially looks at XRP
— Autobridging works in its favor

💥 So, wherever you try to exchange token for token — XRP is already there, helping, routing, bridging.

🎯 Schwartz ends a bit philosophically:

"XRPL can create a lot of value… but how much does it actually affect the price of XRP itself? That is the question."

🤔 And indeed: XRP seems to be 'built-in' to the system, but the market doesn't always appreciate it.
📉 Maybe it doesn't appreciate it yet? Or… is this already a spiritual value?🙄
#Xrp🔥🔥

🟠 BTC continues sideways trading in the range of $102K–$111.9K: altcoins remain stable, but the risk of correction persists 💹

📊 Technical picture:
Bitcoin remains within a broad consolidation with boundaries of $102,000 — $111,900.
🔸 As long as the price stays above the support of $102K, the potential for growth and an exit to the upper boundary of the range remains.
🔸 Altcoins demonstrate relative strength, confirming the local resilience of the crypto market.
⚠️ However, a downward breakout will open the way for a deeper correction — down to $98K–$92K.

📌 Key levels:
🔻 Support:
• $102,000 — a critical zone, the retention of which determines the further direction.
• $98,000–$92,000 — a likely area for stopping the decline and forming a reversal.

🔺 Resistance:
• $105,700 — a local level, a breakout of which will confirm the resumption of bullish momentum.
• $111,900 — the target in the event of upward movement and the upper boundary of the range.

📈 Movement scenarios:
🔹 Holding above $102K → likelihood of growth to $105.7K and further to $111.9K
🔹 Breakout and consolidation below $102K → scenario of decline to $98K–$95K

🚨 CRYPTO MARKET IN THE RED ZONE: Bitcoin is storming $100K from below, amid the conflict between Trump and Musk 🔥

What's happening:

🔻 BTC is falling again — already -4%, the price drops below $101,000.
📉 The CoinDesk 20 index loses 5%. SOL and SUI are the underperformers with -7%.
📉 Shares of Coinbase (-4.6%), MicroStrategy (-2.4%) and miners like MARA, RIOT, CORZ — all in the red.

💥 The reason? A loud scandal between Trump and Musk.
It all started with a quarrel over "Big, Beautiful Bill", and ended with:
— Trump called Musk crazy and promised to take away government contracts from SpaceX and Tesla.
— Musk accused Trump of having ties to Epstein and hinted at impeachment.
— Tesla fell by -14%.

📈 Meanwhile, Circle (CRCL) conducted an IPO: starting at $31, soaring to $100, closing at $83. Someone remembered Coinbase-2021… and not without reason? 🤔
#BTC

🔥 Alt season? Or will we be fooled again?

It seems the market is brewing something again. And no, it's not a new meme coin with a dog-werewolf logo. We're talking about the potential for altcoins. Yes, those very ones that have been "about to explode" since 2021.

📊 We studied two indicators:
1️⃣ Altcoin dominance (excluding stablecoins)
2️⃣ Altcoin dominance (excluding ETH and stablecoins)

So what?

🔹 The 25% level (excluding stablecoins) historically is like that friend everyone goes back to. As soon as the alt market drops to this zone (24–25.3%), a rise suddenly begins. Alt season. Songs, dances, candles on the 4H.

🔹 Without ETH and stablecoins, it gets even more interesting: the support level here is 18%. ETH literally carries altcoins on its shoulders. And even if small shitcoins hold at this level — the market could be on the verge of “that very turnaround.”

😏 Of course, this doesn't mean that tomorrow SOL, ARB, and even your favorite ALPHA will skyrocket 10x. But every time these levels were touched, Bitcoin began to lose market share. And that means — altcoins went into battle.

⚠️ This is not a signal to "put everything into altcoins and head to the Maldives." This is a signal to "open your eyes and don't miss the moment." History doesn't always repeat itself — but it rhymes, as one wise grandfather used to say.

🚀 Classover invests up to $500 million in Solana!

Classover Holdings — an online education provider for children — has entered into a strategic agreement with Solana Growth Ventures to issue convertible bonds up to $500 million. Up to 80% of these funds will be used to purchase SOL tokens 🪙

🔹 6,472 SOL (~$1.05 million) have already been acquired
🔹 The first tranche of funding — $11 million
🔹 Total crypto investment plan — up to $900 million
🔹 Possible purchase of locked tokens at a discount

💬 CEO of Classover Hui Lo: "We want to become one of the first public businesses to integrate Solana into our financial model"

Financial advisor for the deal — Chardan.

💡 Reminder: Canadian SOL Strategies is also preparing to raise up to $1 billion for the development of the Solana ecosystem.
#solana

🤖 When you thought BTC was already at its peak... but it's like: "Hold my beer"

On May 21, Bitcoin waltzed through a new ATH — $110,797, and on May 22, it almost decided to touch $112K. Let's remember: in April, it was somewhere around $74,500, while the world was watching the trade battles between the USA and China. Since then — a rally without a break. At the time of writing, BTC is trading around $104,820. So yes, volatility is alive and well.

🤷‍♂️ ETH and SOL are still in the role of the laggards
While BTC rolls out new records, Ethereum and Solana look like students before exams — they seem to be trying, but clearly not keeping up. Even with an almost 97% increase from April's lows, they are still in the red compared to their former peaks. The result? BTC dominance — 65% (and this is not scores from the Unified State Exam, but a maximum since 2021).

🧠 What does the blockchain say?
Data from the chain is signaling with an alarming tone:
– The Net UTXO Supply Ratio indicator has signaled sell 4 times in a row
– Decrease in UTXO Ratio = potential profit taking
– Lots of BTC are now in the zone of unrealized profits = traders are itching to sell

In human terms: the market might be overheated, and the next stop — is not the finish line, but a cold shower.

📉 Scenarios from analysts (spoiler: no lambos for now):
#BTC

📈 Bitcoin mining difficulty is hitting records again!

New maximum — 126.98 T, +2.13% after a dip earlier in May.

📉 Increase in difficulty → decrease in hash price:
💸 $57 → $52 per PH/s per day (−9%)
🔋 Profitability has returned to early May levels, before the BTC rally > $100K.

🔧 Hashrate (7DMA) — 919.3 EH/s, still below the peaks of April and May (~925 EH/s).

📉 BTC price at the time of posting — < $104,000, pressure on profitability is increasing.

⚖️ The community is discussing:
• Threat to network stability?
• Or a sign of strong fundamentals for "digital gold"?

🛠️ Bitmain has rolled out a response — Antminer S23 Hydro with energy efficiency of 9.5 J/TH. Miners are betting on efficiency 💡
#BTC☀️