小治说币
微博同名：小治说币 八年交易经验
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【Market Analysis】Overnight, Bitcoin briefly surged to 82,500 before quickly retreating to 81,200, continuing the range-bound oscillation pattern. The daily level remains in a downward channel, with current bullish and bearish momentum temporarily balanced; direction decisions need to wait for a breakout signal from the range.
【Trading Strategy】During the day, consider lightly shorting in the 83,500-84,300 area on a rebound, targeting the 81,500-80,500 range. Pay attention to strict stop-loss controls on positions; conservative traders are advised to watch and wait for a clear direction. Market volatility is increasing, so adhere strictly to the first principle of risk control.
【Trading Strategy】During the day, consider lightly shorting in the 83,500-84,300 area on a rebound, targeting the 81,500-80,500 range. Pay attention to strict stop-loss controls on positions; conservative traders are advised to watch and wait for a clear direction. Market volatility is increasing, so adhere strictly to the first principle of risk control.
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【Market Analysis】This Wednesday (March 13), BTC began to recover after reaching the support level of 80,600, with the highest intraday test of the 83,900 resistance zone failing.
Currently, the MACD bearish momentum on the four-hour level is gradually weakening, and the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a consolidation trend. The hourly chart shows significant selling pressure in the 84,000-84,900 range. Attention should be paid to price fluctuations caused by thin trading during the early morning hours.
【Trading Suggestions】
• Long Position Setup: Build positions in the 82,500-82,800 range
• Stop Loss Setting: Around 82,000
• Target Space: 84,400 area
Currently, the MACD bearish momentum on the four-hour level is gradually weakening, and the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a consolidation trend. The hourly chart shows significant selling pressure in the 84,000-84,900 range. Attention should be paid to price fluctuations caused by thin trading during the early morning hours.
【Trading Suggestions】
• Long Position Setup: Build positions in the 82,500-82,800 range
• Stop Loss Setting: Around 82,000
• Target Space: 84,400 area
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【Xiao Zhi 12.26 Analysis Thought】
In terms of the current market, the daily structure has entered a correction phase, and the space for this correction is shallow. It does not affect the main trend's operation and will ultimately return to the technical formation.
From the four-hour level, after being pressured by the upper Bollinger band, it broke through the middle band and closed above it, breaking the strong upward pattern relying on the middle band. At the same time, the short-term strong pattern has broken and is returning to a correction; this correction is not a trend reversal, but still a correction and accumulation, with the next surge likely to explore higher positions. During the previous rise, there was no significant correction, and the local pullback strength has been established. Therefore, there is still good upward space for bulls in the future!
For Bitcoin, buy around 97800-98300, looking at 100000-102000.
For Ethereum, buy around 3420-3450, looking at 3550-3650.
In terms of the current market, the daily structure has entered a correction phase, and the space for this correction is shallow. It does not affect the main trend's operation and will ultimately return to the technical formation.
From the four-hour level, after being pressured by the upper Bollinger band, it broke through the middle band and closed above it, breaking the strong upward pattern relying on the middle band. At the same time, the short-term strong pattern has broken and is returning to a correction; this correction is not a trend reversal, but still a correction and accumulation, with the next surge likely to explore higher positions. During the previous rise, there was no significant correction, and the local pullback strength has been established. Therefore, there is still good upward space for bulls in the future!
For Bitcoin, buy around 97800-98300, looking at 100000-102000.
For Ethereum, buy around 3420-3450, looking at 3550-3650.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.25 Morning Thoughts】
On Christmas morning, I extend my sincere greetings to everyone. May you all enjoy a wonderful Christmas! Merry Christmas 🎄!
Looking back at yesterday's Christmas Eve, the price of Bitcoin surged in a straight line from around 94035 to near 98716, and then retreated to around 97250. The current price fluctuates roughly around 98500, with the US stock market closed, and it is expected to mainly consolidate sideways. Key levels to focus on include 92400, 93000, 94850, and 97250. Based on this, today's strategy will primarily focus on buying low.
Bitcoin: Buy on the dip around 96500-96900, targeting around 100000.
Ethereum: Buy on the dip around 3370-3400, targeting around 3600.
On Christmas morning, I extend my sincere greetings to everyone. May you all enjoy a wonderful Christmas! Merry Christmas 🎄!
Looking back at yesterday's Christmas Eve, the price of Bitcoin surged in a straight line from around 94035 to near 98716, and then retreated to around 97250. The current price fluctuates roughly around 98500, with the US stock market closed, and it is expected to mainly consolidate sideways. Key levels to focus on include 92400, 93000, 94850, and 97250. Based on this, today's strategy will primarily focus on buying low.
Bitcoin: Buy on the dip around 96500-96900, targeting around 100000.
Ethereum: Buy on the dip around 3370-3400, targeting around 3600.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.23 Morning Thoughts】
Recently, the market has been oscillating downward, and the bearish forces have strengthened again, leading to last night's market decline. Currently at a downward support position, the bulls are lacking strength to recover, and attention should be paid to the 94000 level.
The four-hour chart shows that the Bollinger Bands are opening downward and are still in a downward channel.
Operation Suggestion: Short Bitcoin at the 96000-96500 level, with a target of 94000; if it breaks, then look for 93000; Short Ethereum at the 3330-3380 level, with a target of 3200; if it breaks, then look for 3100.
Recently, the market has been oscillating downward, and the bearish forces have strengthened again, leading to last night's market decline. Currently at a downward support position, the bulls are lacking strength to recover, and attention should be paid to the 94000 level.
The four-hour chart shows that the Bollinger Bands are opening downward and are still in a downward channel.
Operation Suggestion: Short Bitcoin at the 96000-96500 level, with a target of 94000; if it breaks, then look for 93000; Short Ethereum at the 3330-3380 level, with a target of 3200; if it breaks, then look for 3100.
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[Xiaozhi's thoughts on the evening of December 20]
The idea at noon was to go long at a low position, and when it was almost at the entry point, go long decisively, and win 1,000 points, it was so easy.
Another student was greedy and did not get out of the long position. After a small loss of 200 points, he went short and turned to make a profit of 2,000 points.
The late market has now gone out of the decline, and rebound shorting is the main thing. Pay attention to the large unilateral market on Friday. If the direction is opposite, you must stop loss in time.
Operation suggestions:
Short the big cake in the range of 95,800-96,400, with a target of 92,000;
Short the second cake in the range of 3,300-3,320, with a target of 3,000.
The idea at noon was to go long at a low position, and when it was almost at the entry point, go long decisively, and win 1,000 points, it was so easy.
Another student was greedy and did not get out of the long position. After a small loss of 200 points, he went short and turned to make a profit of 2,000 points.
The late market has now gone out of the decline, and rebound shorting is the main thing. Pay attention to the large unilateral market on Friday. If the direction is opposite, you must stop loss in time.
Operation suggestions:
Short the big cake in the range of 95,800-96,400, with a target of 92,000;
Short the second cake in the range of 3,300-3,320, with a target of 3,000.
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Today's financial data will be released intensively: At 15:00, pay attention to Germany's November PPI monthly rate and the UK’s adjusted retail sales monthly rate for November; At 19:00, the UK’s December CBI retail sales balance will be released; At 20:30, Federal Reserve's Daly will be interviewed, the market impact remains to be observed; At 21:30, Canada’s October retail sales monthly rate and multiple core data from the US will be released, including the November core PCE price index; At 23:00, the Eurozone's December consumer confidence index preliminary value and US inflation, as well as the preliminary value of the consumer confidence index will be announced; The next day at 02:00, the total number of oil rigs in the US for the week ending December 20 will be released. These data have a profound impact on the market, please pay close attention.
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[Xiaozhi 12.20 Order 4]
I was greedy and didn’t exit the long position at noon. After a small loss of 200 points, I went short and made a profit of 2,000 points. Don’t be greedy when investing.
I was greedy and didn’t exit the long position at noon. After a small loss of 200 points, I went short and made a profit of 2,000 points. Don’t be greedy when investing.
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According to the current liquidation map analysis: If Bitcoin breaks above 107617, the mainstream CEX short liquidation volume will reach 4.123 billion; if it breaks below 86180, the long liquidation volume will reach 1.561 billion. Key liquidation points need to be closely watched: short liquidation points 98429, 101491, 104554, 107617; long liquidation points 86180, 89242, 92305, 95367.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.20 No. ② Basket】
In the morning, the Silk Road focuses on pullbacks to go long. Be optimistic but do not blindly chase the trend. Light positions to layout long orders for rebounds, go long at the 96200 level, sell near 97400, take 1200u, and collect 7400u.
In the morning, the Silk Road focuses on pullbacks to go long. Be optimistic but do not blindly chase the trend. Light positions to layout long orders for rebounds, go long at the 96200 level, sell near 97400, take 1200u, and collect 7400u.
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[Xiaozhi's thoughts on noon on December 20]
The lowest price in the morning fell back to around 96,000, and then rebounded to around 97,700. The thought point was perfectly reached, and 1,700 points were easily reached.
Consider going long in the morning. Today is Friday. Pay attention to the fact that Friday is prone to large unilateral market conditions.
Operation suggestions:
Go long on the big cake in the range of 95,500-96,400, with a target of 99,000;
Go long on the second cake in the range of 3,350-3,300, with a target of 3,530.
The lowest price in the morning fell back to around 96,000, and then rebounded to around 97,700. The thought point was perfectly reached, and 1,700 points were easily reached.
Consider going long in the morning. Today is Friday. Pay attention to the fact that Friday is prone to large unilateral market conditions.
Operation suggestions:
Go long on the big cake in the range of 95,500-96,400, with a target of 99,000;
Go long on the second cake in the range of 3,350-3,300, with a target of 3,530.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.20 First Case】
In the early hours, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant fluctuations, dropping 7000 points and 400 points respectively during the day.
The previous high short strategy was validated, with Bitcoin shorted at 101000 and Ethereum at 3626, later closing positions at 98370 and 3474 respectively, achieving profits of 2600 points and 150 points, totaling a gain of 56600u.
In the early hours, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant fluctuations, dropping 7000 points and 400 points respectively during the day.
The previous high short strategy was validated, with Bitcoin shorted at 101000 and Ethereum at 3626, later closing positions at 98370 and 3474 respectively, achieving profits of 2600 points and 150 points, totaling a gain of 56600u.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.20 Morning Thoughts】
Yesterday morning, the long position strategy had a small loss on one order, and this morning successfully captured a rise of 2000 points. Throughout the day, there were four orders with two wins and two losses, and timely stop losses resulted in small losses. The total gain from Bitcoin was 2600 points, and the total gain from Ethereum was 160 points. This morning, there was a significant pullback, with a low of 95,000.
Currently, there isn't much space below, and the overall trend is bullish.
Trading Suggestions:
Long Bitcoin in the range of 95,500-96,400, with a target of 99,000;
Long Ethereum in the range of 3,350-3,300, with a target of 3,530.
Yesterday morning, the long position strategy had a small loss on one order, and this morning successfully captured a rise of 2000 points. Throughout the day, there were four orders with two wins and two losses, and timely stop losses resulted in small losses. The total gain from Bitcoin was 2600 points, and the total gain from Ethereum was 160 points. This morning, there was a significant pullback, with a low of 95,000.
Currently, there isn't much space below, and the overall trend is bullish.
Trading Suggestions:
Long Bitcoin in the range of 95,500-96,400, with a target of 99,000;
Long Ethereum in the range of 3,350-3,300, with a target of 3,530.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.19 Summary】
Yesterday morning, there was a small loss on a long position, but in the morning, we successfully captured a 2000-point upward movement. Throughout the day, there were four trades with two wins and two losses, with timely stop losses resulting in small losses. The total gain from Bitcoin was 2600 points, and the total gain from Ethereum was 160 points.
Yesterday morning, there was a small loss on a long position, but in the morning, we successfully captured a 2000-point upward movement. Throughout the day, there were four trades with two wins and two losses, with timely stop losses resulting in small losses. The total gain from Bitcoin was 2600 points, and the total gain from Ethereum was 160 points.
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[Xiaozhi's thoughts in the early morning of December 20]
After the price of the currency touched 102800 at night, it quickly fell and fell below 100000 again. After a small loss, the strategy was quickly changed to win the second victory of the day.
The current four-hour chart shows that the price is under pressure near 102800 and is now running near 100000. The short-term bearish trend is obvious. It is recommended to pay attention to the pressure level of 102800 and the support level of 98500.
Evening operation suggestions: short the big cake in the range of 102000-102500, with a target of 98000; short the second cake in the range of 3650-3680, with a target of 3530.
After the price of the currency touched 102800 at night, it quickly fell and fell below 100000 again. After a small loss, the strategy was quickly changed to win the second victory of the day.
The current four-hour chart shows that the price is under pressure near 102800 and is now running near 100000. The short-term bearish trend is obvious. It is recommended to pay attention to the pressure level of 102800 and the support level of 98500.
Evening operation suggestions: short the big cake in the range of 102000-102500, with a target of 98000; short the second cake in the range of 3650-3680, with a target of 3530.
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【Xiao Zhi 12.19 Third Order】
After exiting the high position long position stop loss, it was determined that there is still space below, decisively switched to short, and the market also cooperated with the downward movement, took down the big pie 800 points, the second pie 50 points, earning 15,000u.
After exiting the high position long position stop loss, it was determined that there is still space below, decisively switched to short, and the market also cooperated with the downward movement, took down the big pie 800 points, the second pie 50 points, earning 15,000u.
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Timely stop loss for long positions in the evening, enter at 100730, exit at 100361, loss of 369 points, if you're wrong, you must admit it, if you take a hit, you must stand at attention
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Tonight at 21:30, the unemployment data will be released. Where will the market trend go, will it continue to rise or face a correction? At this moment, stay true to your direction, follow the market trend, and walk alongside Xiao Zhi. Let's move forward together, seize the opportunity, and enjoy the rewards together!
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