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2025.6.20 Same Day Short-Term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum
Resistance Level: 2540-2565-(Sell at 2585-2600)
Support Level: 2500-2480-(Must rise first to drop to 2460-2410)
(If it effectively breaks 2450 tonight and over the weekend, it will be bearish)
Bitcoin
Resistance Level: 104800-105500-106100 Short Sell-(Sell at 106500-107500)
Support Level: 104000-103800-(If it effectively breaks 103500, it will be bearish-103300-102500-100800)
Today's thinking is similar to yesterday, but with slightly larger fluctuations. Just look for opportunities at resistance and support levels. It's safer to short on Friday than to go long. Key point: We need to rise first and then fall to see lower levels.
Recently, we have been in a large-scale upper range consolidation market, constantly using news to shake positions up and down. In June, there was a bullish tail end market, and long positions must not be too aggressive.
Recently, pay close attention to news: When will the stablecoin bill be reported by the House and smoothly pass? It will create another upward lure, and then the bearish market will begin (Prepare a separate account to be ready to go long and short at any time; if it really drops, it won't give you much time to prepare).
108500-11w
2600-2700
From the daily technical shape, there is at least one more upward push (hope it's in the first half of next week).
Having positions to guard against weekend surprise rises or falls.
Another point is whether there's news in the next two weeks about the U.S. joining Israel to attack Iran (an attack means bearish, and reconciliation means short-term bullish).
In short, the strategy is: trade small shorts and small longs during the day, see if it goes up first or down; if there are higher resistance levels at night or midnight, take a short position to capture a bit of space;
Then, on Sunday or next Monday or Tuesday, if there are good low levels, continue to take non-aggressive long positions. When there's an expected high level, gradually layout medium to long-term short positions (do not mix long positions with short-term trades).
For trading, setting stop losses is recommended: Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit dynamically based on proximity to resistance and support levels.
Be sure to manage position control. Large funds use a leverage of 20 times or less with a 10% position, small funds use 100 times with a 2% position;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
Ethereum
Resistance Level: 2540-2565-(Sell at 2585-2600)
Support Level: 2500-2480-(Must rise first to drop to 2460-2410)
(If it effectively breaks 2450 tonight and over the weekend, it will be bearish)
Bitcoin
Resistance Level: 104800-105500-106100 Short Sell-(Sell at 106500-107500)
Support Level: 104000-103800-(If it effectively breaks 103500, it will be bearish-103300-102500-100800)
Today's thinking is similar to yesterday, but with slightly larger fluctuations. Just look for opportunities at resistance and support levels. It's safer to short on Friday than to go long. Key point: We need to rise first and then fall to see lower levels.
Recently, we have been in a large-scale upper range consolidation market, constantly using news to shake positions up and down. In June, there was a bullish tail end market, and long positions must not be too aggressive.
Recently, pay close attention to news: When will the stablecoin bill be reported by the House and smoothly pass? It will create another upward lure, and then the bearish market will begin (Prepare a separate account to be ready to go long and short at any time; if it really drops, it won't give you much time to prepare).
108500-11w
2600-2700
From the daily technical shape, there is at least one more upward push (hope it's in the first half of next week).
Having positions to guard against weekend surprise rises or falls.
Another point is whether there's news in the next two weeks about the U.S. joining Israel to attack Iran (an attack means bearish, and reconciliation means short-term bullish).
In short, the strategy is: trade small shorts and small longs during the day, see if it goes up first or down; if there are higher resistance levels at night or midnight, take a short position to capture a bit of space;
Then, on Sunday or next Monday or Tuesday, if there are good low levels, continue to take non-aggressive long positions. When there's an expected high level, gradually layout medium to long-term short positions (do not mix long positions with short-term trades).
For trading, setting stop losses is recommended: Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit dynamically based on proximity to resistance and support levels.
Be sure to manage position control. Large funds use a leverage of 20 times or less with a 10% position, small funds use 100 times with a 2% position;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
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2025.6.19 Same Day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Level: 2535-2545-2585
Support Level: 2500-2480-2455-2405-(below)
Bitcoin
Resistance Level: 105300-106200-106500-107000
Support Level: 104000-103300-(if it breaks 12000, look for 100000 and below)
Last night, the Federal Reserve news was as expected, with no particularly good aspects. This morning, a Senate bill on stablecoins was passed, which caused a slight rise that was quickly reversed.
The bill will only take effect after being passed by the House of Representatives (so there is still a possibility of a final wave of baiting after it is passed). Therefore, the main strategy is to short at high levels, as all good news may be a trap.
If you achieve good profits at high levels, consider taking part of the position to protect your capital and hold long short positions (or split accounts for long and short).
The overall direction remains firmly bearish, with a major bearish market in July. Bitcoin is expected to drop 20%-35%, Ethereum 40%-50%, and altcoins 50%+ (this is just a reference for expectations, be cautious of stop-loss risks).
When placing orders, it is recommended to set stop-losses for Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profits dynamically based on resistance and support levels.
Always control position management. Large funds should use 20x leverage with 10% position, while small funds can use 100x leverage with 2% position;
The above is for educational and communication reference only. #btc #eth #比特币
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Level: 2535-2545-2585
Support Level: 2500-2480-2455-2405-(below)
Bitcoin
Resistance Level: 105300-106200-106500-107000
Support Level: 104000-103300-(if it breaks 12000, look for 100000 and below)
Last night, the Federal Reserve news was as expected, with no particularly good aspects. This morning, a Senate bill on stablecoins was passed, which caused a slight rise that was quickly reversed.
The bill will only take effect after being passed by the House of Representatives (so there is still a possibility of a final wave of baiting after it is passed). Therefore, the main strategy is to short at high levels, as all good news may be a trap.
If you achieve good profits at high levels, consider taking part of the position to protect your capital and hold long short positions (or split accounts for long and short).
The overall direction remains firmly bearish, with a major bearish market in July. Bitcoin is expected to drop 20%-35%, Ethereum 40%-50%, and altcoins 50%+ (this is just a reference for expectations, be cautious of stop-loss risks).
When placing orders, it is recommended to set stop-losses for Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profits dynamically based on resistance and support levels.
Always control position management. Large funds should use 20x leverage with 10% position, while small funds can use 100x leverage with 2% position;
The above is for educational and communication reference only. #btc #eth #比特币
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2025.6.19 Jin Yuan Reference News
1. The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time during its June meeting. The dot plot shows two rate cuts expected this year, but the number of officials expecting no rate cuts this year has risen to seven, and the expectation for rate cuts next year has been reduced to one. Powell continues to emphasize uncertainty, stating that the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and observing. He also expects inflation driven by tariffs to rise in the coming months.
2. The U.S. government resumes processing foreign student visas.
3. U.S. State Department: Congo (DRC) and Rwanda have reached a peace agreement.
4. Trump reiterates that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates: a 200 basis point cut is needed, and a 250 basis point cut would be very good.
2. The U.S. government resumes processing foreign student visas.
3. U.S. State Department: Congo (DRC) and Rwanda have reached a peace agreement.
4. Trump reiterates that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates: a 200 basis point cut is needed, and a 250 basis point cut would be very good.
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2025.6.18 Same-day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Level: 2545- (Short Position Observation Zone 2580-2630-2670)
Support Level: 2500-2480- (If 2450 breaks, look at 2410 and below)
Bitcoin
Short Position Resistance Level: 106300-107500- (Recently, above 109000 is a long short position)
Support Level: 104500-104000-103500- (If 12000 breaks, look at 100k and below)
Today is the last chance for a long position this week or to wait for a short opportunity. There will be a monetary policy meeting and the announcement of the dot plot along with Powell's speech at 2 AM tonight, which may result in significant volatility; please be aware of the risks.
If the price is around 2590-2600 before the US market opens at 21:30 tonight, then a spike upwards at midnight may result in a drop;
If it only rises to around 2550-2580 by tonight and then continues to fluctuate downwards, there may be a double kill for both long and short positions at midnight.
The overall direction is firmly bearish, with a major bearish trend expected in July, Bitcoin dropping 20%-35%, Ethereum dropping 40%-50%, and altcoins dropping over 50%. (This is only for reference; be cautious of stop-loss risks)
For trading, it is recommended to set stop losses for Ethereum: 10-25 contracts, Bitcoin: 500-1000 contracts; for take profit, dynamically take profit as it approaches resistance and support levels.
Be sure to manage your position sizes; for large funds, use a leverage of no more than 20 times with a 10% position size, and for small funds, use 100 times with a 2% position size;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Level: 2545- (Short Position Observation Zone 2580-2630-2670)
Support Level: 2500-2480- (If 2450 breaks, look at 2410 and below)
Bitcoin
Short Position Resistance Level: 106300-107500- (Recently, above 109000 is a long short position)
Support Level: 104500-104000-103500- (If 12000 breaks, look at 100k and below)
Today is the last chance for a long position this week or to wait for a short opportunity. There will be a monetary policy meeting and the announcement of the dot plot along with Powell's speech at 2 AM tonight, which may result in significant volatility; please be aware of the risks.
If the price is around 2590-2600 before the US market opens at 21:30 tonight, then a spike upwards at midnight may result in a drop;
If it only rises to around 2550-2580 by tonight and then continues to fluctuate downwards, there may be a double kill for both long and short positions at midnight.
The overall direction is firmly bearish, with a major bearish trend expected in July, Bitcoin dropping 20%-35%, Ethereum dropping 40%-50%, and altcoins dropping over 50%. (This is only for reference; be cautious of stop-loss risks)
For trading, it is recommended to set stop losses for Ethereum: 10-25 contracts, Bitcoin: 500-1000 contracts; for take profit, dynamically take profit as it approaches resistance and support levels.
Be sure to manage your position sizes; for large funds, use a leverage of no more than 20 times with a 10% position size, and for small funds, use 100 times with a 2% position size;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
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2025.6.18 Golden Source Reference News
1. The U.S. Senate passes the stablecoin bill.
2. Trump: Drug tariffs are coming soon.
3. The Mayor of Los Angeles has lifted the curfew in downtown.
4. IEA Monthly Report: Downgrades oil demand growth expectations for this year and next.
5. Musk's XAI is negotiating to raise $4.3 billion through equity financing.
6. The World Gold Council: 95% of central banks expect gold reserves to increase in the next 12 months.
7. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office: The 'Build Back Better' plan will increase the fiscal deficit by $2.8 trillion.
8. Federal Reserve spokesperson: If not for the risks posed by tariffs to prices, the Federal Reserve would have been prepared to cut interest rates this week.
2. Trump: Drug tariffs are coming soon.
3. The Mayor of Los Angeles has lifted the curfew in downtown.
4. IEA Monthly Report: Downgrades oil demand growth expectations for this year and next.
5. Musk's XAI is negotiating to raise $4.3 billion through equity financing.
6. The World Gold Council: 95% of central banks expect gold reserves to increase in the next 12 months.
7. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office: The 'Build Back Better' plan will increase the fiscal deficit by $2.8 trillion.
8. Federal Reserve spokesperson: If not for the risks posed by tariffs to prices, the Federal Reserve would have been prepared to cut interest rates this week.
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2025.6.17 Same Day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Levels: 2610-2650-2680-2710
Support Levels: 2540-2525-（2500-2480）
Bitcoin
Resistance Levels: 108200-109000-（109500-110000）
Support Levels: 106500-105500-
A sudden news announcement before work today called for the evacuation of Tehran, Iran, causing a sharp drop in the market. Following this, the market will consolidate and may rebound again. Today, we will take a long position once more; starting tomorrow, we may slowly transition to a bearish market.
For Bitcoin, if the price exceeds 109000, it is not recommended to go long under any favorable conditions.
For setting stop losses, it is suggested to use 10-25 units for Ethereum and 500-1000 units for Bitcoin; for take profit, monitor and dynamically take profit near resistance and support levels.
It is crucial to control position management: for large funds, use 20x leverage with 10% of the position; for small funds, use 100x leverage with 2% of the position;
The above is for learning and exchange reference only. #btc #eth #比特币
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Levels: 2610-2650-2680-2710
Support Levels: 2540-2525-（2500-2480）
Bitcoin
Resistance Levels: 108200-109000-（109500-110000）
Support Levels: 106500-105500-
A sudden news announcement before work today called for the evacuation of Tehran, Iran, causing a sharp drop in the market. Following this, the market will consolidate and may rebound again. Today, we will take a long position once more; starting tomorrow, we may slowly transition to a bearish market.
For Bitcoin, if the price exceeds 109000, it is not recommended to go long under any favorable conditions.
For setting stop losses, it is suggested to use 10-25 units for Ethereum and 500-1000 units for Bitcoin; for take profit, monitor and dynamically take profit near resistance and support levels.
It is crucial to control position management: for large funds, use 20x leverage with 10% of the position; for small funds, use 100x leverage with 2% of the position;
The above is for learning and exchange reference only. #btc #eth #比特币
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2025.6.17——Jinyuan Reference News
1. Trump: Will temporarily suspend sanctions against Russia;
2. Netanyahu does not rule out the possibility of assassinating Khamenei;
3. Foreign media: Iran seeks talks with the United States and Israel to end hostilities;
4. US aircraft carrier 'Nimitz' heads to the Middle East;
5. US government may ban entry for citizens of 36 more countries;
6. US media: OpenAI's partnership with Microsoft is precarious;
7. US President Trump: Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately;
8. US media: US officials say the US will not proactively join Israel's military actions.
1. Trump: Will temporarily suspend sanctions against Russia;
2. Netanyahu does not rule out the possibility of assassinating Khamenei;
3. Foreign media: Iran seeks talks with the United States and Israel to end hostilities;
4. US aircraft carrier 'Nimitz' heads to the Middle East;
5. US government may ban entry for citizens of 36 more countries;
6. US media: OpenAI's partnership with Microsoft is precarious;
7. US President Trump: Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately;
8. US media: US officials say the US will not proactively join Israel's military actions.
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2025.6.16 Same Day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Levels: 2580-2600-2650-2670
Support Levels: 2515-2500-2480-(Prevent Spike Level 2450)
Bitcoin
Resistance Levels: 106100-106700-107500-108200
Support Levels: 105100-104900-104400 Long Position Stop Loss Level
Today follows last week's predicted rhythm, primarily focusing on long positions for a conventional strong Monday, considering short positions near significant resistance levels; the risk of going long increases as the week progresses; this week will still have a lot of news that could disrupt the market, so be cautious when trading, and if you're unsure, it's best to stay on the sidelines, remembering not to open positions frequently.
For trading, set stop losses for Ethereum: 10-25 units, for Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit should be dynamically adjusted based on proximity to resistance levels and support levels.
Always control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage at 10% position size, and small funds using 100x at 2% position size;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Levels: 2580-2600-2650-2670
Support Levels: 2515-2500-2480-(Prevent Spike Level 2450)
Bitcoin
Resistance Levels: 106100-106700-107500-108200
Support Levels: 105100-104900-104400 Long Position Stop Loss Level
Today follows last week's predicted rhythm, primarily focusing on long positions for a conventional strong Monday, considering short positions near significant resistance levels; the risk of going long increases as the week progresses; this week will still have a lot of news that could disrupt the market, so be cautious when trading, and if you're unsure, it's best to stay on the sidelines, remembering not to open positions frequently.
For trading, set stop losses for Ethereum: 10-25 units, for Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit should be dynamically adjusted based on proximity to resistance levels and support levels.
Always control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage at 10% position size, and small funds using 100x at 2% position size;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
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2025.6.13 Same Day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Level: 2506-2530-2555-2580
Support Level: 2465-2450 effective break look -2410-2390- (large direction may reach 2250 and below)
Bitcoin
Resistance Level: 104700-105000-106700
Support Level: 103300-103000-102000 (important threshold) - (101500-100000)
If the news about Sun's investigation is not very serious or fake news, then this drop belongs to a normal large-level high position fluctuation, and there will be a rebound next week.
This month, I believe there will be more news to stimulate violent fluctuations up and down.
Returning to today, it should be a trend of fluctuating downward, with a chance of a rebound from overselling, except for sudden news. Both long and short positions can be operated, but the long positions should not be overexposed. I will share more with everyone based on the market situation.
Repeatedly remind yesterday's big directional expectations:
★★★★★ Insert macro expectations:
Future key focus: Q3 debt ceiling negotiations and Federal Reserve policy direction.
Risks may arise in **Q3**, as the U.S. debt ceiling issue may lead to a government funding shortage in August-September, even creating a risk of technical default.
In July, especially after July 7th until mid-month, the expectation of black swan events is very high; from the perspective of monetary policy expectations, or big institution thinking, a major correction is needed to welcome the interest rate cut expectations after August-September to create greater space and momentum for the rise.
Interest rate cuts in August-September to hedge against U.S. debt risks.
General expectations:
June bullish tail market (upward spikes);
July market crash;
August bottoming out sideways;
September rise begins;
What to do?:
1. In June, look for opportunities to liquidate all spot positions (including BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and altcoins) into oil or RMB, without trying to profit from the last cent;
2. Start a separate account with small leverage to short gradually, for example: Bitcoin above 110,000 (to prevent 5000-10,000 point spikes hitting shorts) aiming for 20,000-30,000 points or more, other coins for 50% decline, but there is stop-loss risk;
For trading, suggest setting stop-loss for Ethereum: 10-25 units, for Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit by dynamically monitoring near resistance and support levels.
Be sure to control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage and 10% position, small funds using 100x and 2% position;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #比特币 #以太坊合约 #btc #eth
Ethereum Intraday
Resistance Level: 2506-2530-2555-2580
Support Level: 2465-2450 effective break look -2410-2390- (large direction may reach 2250 and below)
Bitcoin
Resistance Level: 104700-105000-106700
Support Level: 103300-103000-102000 (important threshold) - (101500-100000)
If the news about Sun's investigation is not very serious or fake news, then this drop belongs to a normal large-level high position fluctuation, and there will be a rebound next week.
This month, I believe there will be more news to stimulate violent fluctuations up and down.
Returning to today, it should be a trend of fluctuating downward, with a chance of a rebound from overselling, except for sudden news. Both long and short positions can be operated, but the long positions should not be overexposed. I will share more with everyone based on the market situation.
Repeatedly remind yesterday's big directional expectations:
★★★★★ Insert macro expectations:
Future key focus: Q3 debt ceiling negotiations and Federal Reserve policy direction.
Risks may arise in **Q3**, as the U.S. debt ceiling issue may lead to a government funding shortage in August-September, even creating a risk of technical default.
In July, especially after July 7th until mid-month, the expectation of black swan events is very high; from the perspective of monetary policy expectations, or big institution thinking, a major correction is needed to welcome the interest rate cut expectations after August-September to create greater space and momentum for the rise.
Interest rate cuts in August-September to hedge against U.S. debt risks.
General expectations:
June bullish tail market (upward spikes);
July market crash;
August bottoming out sideways;
September rise begins;
What to do?:
1. In June, look for opportunities to liquidate all spot positions (including BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and altcoins) into oil or RMB, without trying to profit from the last cent;
2. Start a separate account with small leverage to short gradually, for example: Bitcoin above 110,000 (to prevent 5000-10,000 point spikes hitting shorts) aiming for 20,000-30,000 points or more, other coins for 50% decline, but there is stop-loss risk;
For trading, suggest setting stop-loss for Ethereum: 10-25 units, for Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit by dynamically monitoring near resistance and support levels.
Be sure to control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage and 10% position, small funds using 100x and 2% position;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #比特币 #以太坊合约 #btc #eth
See original
2025.6.13——Jinyuan Reference News
（Mostly positive news data, U.S. inflation continues to decline, raising expectations for two interest rate cuts within the year. U.S. stocks have risen slightly, but the cryptocurrency market is hesitant to rise, which is concerning.
Are the main forces using the Sun cutting Huobi incident (regardless of its truth) to conduct a preemptive drill to test the waters?）
1. Tariffs - ① Trump will sign a key part of the U.S.-UK trade agreement in a few days.
② Canadian Prime Minister: Progress has been made in U.S.-Canada trade negotiations.
③ Trump: Auto tariffs may be raised in the near future.
④ The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a new process for auto tariff exemptions and will impose tariffs on steel household appliances starting from the 23rd, including washing machines and refrigerators.
2. Middle East Situation - U.S. media: Israel is considering military action against Iran in the coming days, with an attack possibly as early as Sunday. U.S. media: The U.S. has informed Israel that it will not directly participate in actions against Iran.
3. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending June 7 was recorded at 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, marking a new high since the week of October 5, 2024. The U.S. core PPI for May recorded a month-on-month rate of 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.3%. Traders have fully priced in two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the year.
4. Trump calls Powell an idiot and urges him to cut rates by 200 basis points.
5. Informed sources: Most G7 countries plan to bypass Trump to lower the price cap on Russian oil. JPMorgan maintains its 2025 oil price forecast but warns that in the worst-case scenario, oil prices could double.
6. Trump: There are over 15,000 people on the waiting list for the $5 million immigrant golden card.
7. The Trump administration will revoke the legal status of immigrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela, affecting hundreds of thousands of people.
8. Trump ends California's electric vehicle mandate. Trump: Likes Tesla and other electric car companies; Musk really likes me.
9. Over 7,000 personnel have been deployed in Texas, U.S. to "maintain law and order."
10. Informed sources: Most G7 countries plan to bypass Trump to lower the price cap on Russian oil.
12. A Boeing 787 passenger plane with 242 people on board crashed in India, resulting in 265 deaths, with only one passenger surviving. The FAA has issued new airworthiness directives for certain Boeing 787 aircraft.
13. Trump claims that the U.S. and China have reached an agreement, with the Foreign Ministry responding.
14. Unofficial news, rumors suggest that Sun has been put under investigation. #热门话题
（Mostly positive news data, U.S. inflation continues to decline, raising expectations for two interest rate cuts within the year. U.S. stocks have risen slightly, but the cryptocurrency market is hesitant to rise, which is concerning.
Are the main forces using the Sun cutting Huobi incident (regardless of its truth) to conduct a preemptive drill to test the waters?）
1. Tariffs - ① Trump will sign a key part of the U.S.-UK trade agreement in a few days.
② Canadian Prime Minister: Progress has been made in U.S.-Canada trade negotiations.
③ Trump: Auto tariffs may be raised in the near future.
④ The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a new process for auto tariff exemptions and will impose tariffs on steel household appliances starting from the 23rd, including washing machines and refrigerators.
2. Middle East Situation - U.S. media: Israel is considering military action against Iran in the coming days, with an attack possibly as early as Sunday. U.S. media: The U.S. has informed Israel that it will not directly participate in actions against Iran.
3. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending June 7 was recorded at 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, marking a new high since the week of October 5, 2024. The U.S. core PPI for May recorded a month-on-month rate of 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.3%. Traders have fully priced in two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the year.
4. Trump calls Powell an idiot and urges him to cut rates by 200 basis points.
5. Informed sources: Most G7 countries plan to bypass Trump to lower the price cap on Russian oil. JPMorgan maintains its 2025 oil price forecast but warns that in the worst-case scenario, oil prices could double.
6. Trump: There are over 15,000 people on the waiting list for the $5 million immigrant golden card.
7. The Trump administration will revoke the legal status of immigrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela, affecting hundreds of thousands of people.
8. Trump ends California's electric vehicle mandate. Trump: Likes Tesla and other electric car companies; Musk really likes me.
9. Over 7,000 personnel have been deployed in Texas, U.S. to "maintain law and order."
10. Informed sources: Most G7 countries plan to bypass Trump to lower the price cap on Russian oil.
12. A Boeing 787 passenger plane with 242 people on board crashed in India, resulting in 265 deaths, with only one passenger surviving. The FAA has issued new airworthiness directives for certain Boeing 787 aircraft.
13. Trump claims that the U.S. and China have reached an agreement, with the Foreign Ministry responding.
14. Unofficial news, rumors suggest that Sun has been put under investigation. #热门话题
See original
2025.6.12 Same Day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference
Ethereum
Ethereum
Daytime Resistance Levels: 2810-2830-2850 - Chances in the evening: 2875-2906
Daytime Support Levels: 2750-2730-2700 - If it rises again and then falls back, chances to look at 2688-2571
Bitcoin remains the same, looking at a fluctuating market:
Resistance Levels: 109800-11W-111000-112000
Support Levels: Below 108000-107200-106500
Last night, the US market dropped as much as it rose; the upward momentum is starting to weaken. Regular operations are generally bearish for Thursday and Friday, first looking for a slight rise in the morning and then bearish. In the evening, it should be similar to last night, first rising and then falling, with the premise of watching the highs and lows of the European market to predict the US market, which will form a high-level fluctuating pattern;
Beware of uncontrollable news events, challenges are significant, and manage positions well.
The safe point for short positions in Bitcoin is that the space is small. Ethereum's position is high, but independent one-sided trends cannot be ruled out. There is not much problem in day trading short positions.
★★★★★ Interlude on Macro Expectations:
Future Focus: Third Quarter Debt Ceiling Negotiations and Federal Reserve Policy Trends.
Risks may arise in the **third quarter**, as issues with the US debt ceiling could lead to government funding shortages in August-September, or even technical default risks.
In July, especially after July 7th until mid-month, the probability of a black swan event is very high; from the perspective of monetary policy expectations or large institutional thinking, a significant correction is needed to welcome the interest rate cut expectations after August-September, creating more space and momentum for further rises.
Interest rate cuts in August-September to hedge against US debt risks.
General Expectations:
Bullish tail market in June (upward spikes more);
Market crash in July;
Bottom consolidation in August;
Market rise starts in September;
What to do?:
1. In June, find opportunities to liquidate all spot holdings (including BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and altcoins) into oil or RMB, not to earn the last cent;
2. Start a separate account with small leverage to short in batches, e.g., Bitcoin above 110,000 (to prevent upward spikes of 5000-10,000 points hitting shorts) aiming for 20,000-30,000 points above, while other coins aim for a 50% drop but have stop-loss risks;
Set stop-loss for trades, suggest Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit near resistance and support levels dynamically.
Be sure to control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage at 10% position, and small funds using 100x leverage at 2% position;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
Ethereum
Ethereum
Daytime Resistance Levels: 2810-2830-2850 - Chances in the evening: 2875-2906
Daytime Support Levels: 2750-2730-2700 - If it rises again and then falls back, chances to look at 2688-2571
Bitcoin remains the same, looking at a fluctuating market:
Resistance Levels: 109800-11W-111000-112000
Support Levels: Below 108000-107200-106500
Last night, the US market dropped as much as it rose; the upward momentum is starting to weaken. Regular operations are generally bearish for Thursday and Friday, first looking for a slight rise in the morning and then bearish. In the evening, it should be similar to last night, first rising and then falling, with the premise of watching the highs and lows of the European market to predict the US market, which will form a high-level fluctuating pattern;
Beware of uncontrollable news events, challenges are significant, and manage positions well.
The safe point for short positions in Bitcoin is that the space is small. Ethereum's position is high, but independent one-sided trends cannot be ruled out. There is not much problem in day trading short positions.
★★★★★ Interlude on Macro Expectations:
Future Focus: Third Quarter Debt Ceiling Negotiations and Federal Reserve Policy Trends.
Risks may arise in the **third quarter**, as issues with the US debt ceiling could lead to government funding shortages in August-September, or even technical default risks.
In July, especially after July 7th until mid-month, the probability of a black swan event is very high; from the perspective of monetary policy expectations or large institutional thinking, a significant correction is needed to welcome the interest rate cut expectations after August-September, creating more space and momentum for further rises.
Interest rate cuts in August-September to hedge against US debt risks.
General Expectations:
Bullish tail market in June (upward spikes more);
Market crash in July;
Bottom consolidation in August;
Market rise starts in September;
What to do?:
1. In June, find opportunities to liquidate all spot holdings (including BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and altcoins) into oil or RMB, not to earn the last cent;
2. Start a separate account with small leverage to short in batches, e.g., Bitcoin above 110,000 (to prevent upward spikes of 5000-10,000 points hitting shorts) aiming for 20,000-30,000 points above, while other coins aim for a 50% drop but have stop-loss risks;
Set stop-loss for trades, suggest Ethereum: 10-25 units, Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit near resistance and support levels dynamically.
Be sure to control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage at 10% position, and small funds using 100x leverage at 2% position;
The above is for learning and communication reference only. #btc #eth
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