2025.6.13 Same Day Short-term Strategy Direction Reference

Ethereum Intraday

Resistance Level: 2506-2530-2555-2580

Support Level: 2465-2450 effective break look -2410-2390- (large direction may reach 2250 and below)

Bitcoin

Resistance Level: 104700-105000-106700

Support Level: 103300-103000-102000 (important threshold) - (101500-100000)

If the news about Sun's investigation is not very serious or fake news, then this drop belongs to a normal large-level high position fluctuation, and there will be a rebound next week.

This month, I believe there will be more news to stimulate violent fluctuations up and down.

Returning to today, it should be a trend of fluctuating downward, with a chance of a rebound from overselling, except for sudden news. Both long and short positions can be operated, but the long positions should not be overexposed. I will share more with everyone based on the market situation.

Repeatedly remind yesterday's big directional expectations:

★★★★★ Insert macro expectations:

Future key focus: Q3 debt ceiling negotiations and Federal Reserve policy direction.

Risks may arise in **Q3**, as the U.S. debt ceiling issue may lead to a government funding shortage in August-September, even creating a risk of technical default.

In July, especially after July 7th until mid-month, the expectation of black swan events is very high; from the perspective of monetary policy expectations, or big institution thinking, a major correction is needed to welcome the interest rate cut expectations after August-September to create greater space and momentum for the rise.

Interest rate cuts in August-September to hedge against U.S. debt risks.

General expectations:

June bullish tail market (upward spikes);

July market crash;

August bottoming out sideways;

September rise begins;

What to do?:

1. In June, look for opportunities to liquidate all spot positions (including BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and altcoins) into oil or RMB, without trying to profit from the last cent;

2. Start a separate account with small leverage to short gradually, for example: Bitcoin above 110,000 (to prevent 5000-10,000 point spikes hitting shorts) aiming for 20,000-30,000 points or more, other coins for 50% decline, but there is stop-loss risk;

For trading, suggest setting stop-loss for Ethereum: 10-25 units, for Bitcoin: 500-1000 units; take profit by dynamically monitoring near resistance and support levels.

Be sure to control position management, with large funds using 20x leverage and 10% position, small funds using 100x and 2% position;

The above is for learning and communication reference only. #比特币 #以太坊合约 #btc #eth