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💥 Possible Bitcoin Crash in the Near Future — A Rational Scenario with Numbers
1. Current Price (approximately): $120,000–130,000 After a rapid rise — an overheated market, mass FOMO, a lot of leverage and derivatives.
📉 Potential Trigger for the Drop:
— The Fed sharply tightens monetary policy (rates rise above expectations). — A large ETF starts taking profits, withdrawing $1–2 billion. — Regulations: SEC blocks a major exchange or attacks Tether/USDT. — Global risk-off — crisis in traditional markets (for example, S&P 500 crash).
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🔻 Possible Drop Dynamics:
Stage BTC Price Comment
Initial Crash ~$100,000 First wave of profit-taking Panic $80,000–$70,000 Stops are triggered, futures liquidations Deep Drawdown $55,000–$45,000 Mass retail capitulation Potential Bottom ~$40,000 Strong support level and interest from long-term investors
🧠 What Happens Next?
Total Drop from Peak: -65%–70% This corresponds to classic Bitcoin corrections after growth cycles: — 2014: -85% — 2018: -84% — 2022: -77% — 2025? — possibly not an exception.
Recovery Time: from 12 to 24 months Price may fluctuate between $40k and $70k for years before a new surge
— People shout: "To the moon! 🚀" — You take a loan, pledge your cat, mother-in-law, and old bike — all in Bitcoin!
130,000... 128,000... 115,000... 📉 – "Well, this is a pullback before 200k" 💦 – "Hands are steady! Diamond hands!" 📱 And Binance doesn't open anymore...
Then: — 98k: "This is a flat" — 75k: "Buying on the dip" — 43k: "Just locking in losses" — 17k: "At least I gained experience"
Bitcoin: like an ex — first lifts you to the sky, and then blocks you everywhere. 😭#BTC120kVs125kToday #BTC $BTC $BNB
— First — memes: "It's just a correction", "I'm buying the dip" "On the contrary, it's good that it's falling"
— Then: 🔔 Binance is lagging 📰 Media: "Bitcoin died for the 479th time" 📉 Down 20% in an hour 😱 Panic in Telegram channels 💀 Someone accidentally sold Ether for 5 bucks
— In the end: 🥲 You turn off the chart, you go to drink tea and tell yourself: "Well, next time I'll definitely catch the bottom"
💥 Failed entry into futures: pain and experience 💥
Decided to enter futures at $BTC — it seemed like "the moment". Entered with leverage, the price seemed to be going in the right direction… but suddenly — a reversal. 🫠 Minus stop, minus deposit, minus mood for the day.
📉 Mistake? Entering on emotions. 📊 Lesson? Don't trade without a clear plan and don't go where the risk isn't justified.
This is not a defeat — it's experience. The main thing: analyze mistakes, draw conclusions, and move on.
Once, while scrolling through the news over breakfast, I came across an article about a token that was about to be launched on Binance. I decided to take the risk. I registered, completed the verification, deposited some USDT, and bought this token at the launch.
A couple of hours later, the price doubled. I sold half. The next day — more growth, and I sold the rest. My first profit — 120 dollars in a day. Not millions, but I understood the main thing: you can really earn here if you think and don't be greedy.
Since then, I haven't become a trader, but I studied the project, mastered staking, and even participated in Launchpad a couple of times. Binance became for me not just an exchange — it was my first experience in managing digital assets. And you know what? It was cool.$BTC $ETH $XRP
At this moment, people are under attack by AI. The AI clones your data and determines your preferences, and based on your data, it copies your account. After cloning, it obtains all your data and transforms it into your version of AI.