Brandt highlights that the upcoming period could mark a tradable top in Bitcoin’s price cycle, tied closely to the Bitcoin halving event.
Why Are the Next Six Weeks Vital for Bitcoin?
In a recent tweet, Brandt explained his analysis of Bitcoin’s historic four-year cycle: $BTC “According to how I view the cycles in Bitcoin — low to high with the halving marking the midpoint (+/- one to two weeks) — a tradable top could occur within the next six or so weeks.”
The Bitcoin halving, which happens roughly every four years, cuts new BTC supply by 50%, historically triggering a powerful price rally. Brandt’s insight suggests that Bitcoin’s current rally might be approaching its peak, signaling potential price volatility ahead.
Bitcoin Price Update: Holding Above $117K
After dipping to $112,000 on August 2, Bitcoin has bounced back, trading above $117,000 — holding steady within the range it dominated in July. BTC recently hit a record high of over $123,000 on July 14 and remains up 3.6% week-over-week, showing strong momentum.
Is the Classic Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Over?
Traditionally, Bitcoin’s price cycles have revolved around the halving event: • A surge in price after halving • Reaching an all-time high • A sharp correction (down 70%-80%) leading to a crypto winter • Consolidation period before the next halving drives prices higher again
However, experts like Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan suggest this well-known cycle may be changing or ending due to: • The rise of Bitcoin ETFs • Increased institutional investor interest • Evolving regulatory landscape
Hougan notes that Bitcoin’s performance in 2026 will be crucial to determine if this cycle is truly dead — and he remains optimistic about BTC’s future.
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