sohaib_khaan

🔸 For the past four weeks we have been repeating one thing only that $BTC will crash up to $74K. Now it exactly crashed up to the $74,450 level we mentioned as the first support zone and the second was at $73,660. Just after tapping the first support zone it bounced back up to $81K due to Trump's 90-day tariff postponed decision. Here is an attached image of how it played out.

In today article we are going to discuss following topics:-
BTC Technical Analysis BTC Volume Analysis BTC Fundamental Analysis My Personal Portfolio Management

1. BTC Technical Analysis 
🔸 If we look technically is continuously dropping and completely in downtrend in every bigger time frame like 1D, 1W.
🔸 Currently forming a falling wedge whose breakout can ignite a bullish move. So far, continuous rejection.
🔸 If we keep this setup in mind and no breakout currently expected due to lack of demand we can see another fall up to $70K zone.
🔸 So in short words if I say, technicals are bearish we can see another crash up to $70K in the next few days.

2. BTC Volume Analysis 

🔸 If we look on volume it can provide a better direction of the market.

🔸 Look at the above chart, two candles marked with 2 arrows green and red. Also a price move with green oval shape and a volume with green arrow.
🔸 If we look at the red arrow marked bar it is showing strength in price as volume increased too much but price after that moved upward. (Exactly at the low of $74,450 we marked bottom near on that basis).
🔸 Just after that red arrow price bar Trump postponed tariffs for 90 days. That caused a huge upward move up to $81K+ with 3/2 volume as compared to red bar volume showing exit of money entered in red arrow bar. It’s showing bulls are also bullish for the short term and expecting another dump.
🔸 So we should also exit at $81K+ if the market allows and wait for the crash.
🔸 Another thing marked in green oval shape. Price is increasing but volume is decreasing. That is a sign of weakness.
🔸 It is showing people are not interested in market rise. So it is also showing #bitcoin should go down.
🔸 In short words volume is also bearish and showing another dump up to $72K where recent lows will be sweeped.
3. BTC Fundamental Analysis 
🔸 The most important thing according to the current market situation is fundamental.
🔸 If we look at fundamental news there are two things. First one iran & israel 💩 conflict and second one Trump another 104% tariff on china. 
🔸 First one is not very active right now. Once it happens we will discuss it. Right now we will discuss only tariffs.
🔸 Currently Trump postponed tariffs implication on all countries for next 90-days except china.
🔸 Also 104% more tariffs applied on china by Trump. That is a completely bearish sentiment.
🔸 Until trade war reaches a final decision we are bearish fundamentally.

4. My Personal Portfolio Management

🔸 As I always said, 40% analysis and 60% management matter. So, here is how I am going to manage my portfolio.
🔸 Currently 13 coins buying orders triggered out of 20. For some coins 2, for some 1 and for 1 coins 3 buying orders triggered. Still I am holding 63%+ in stable coins. Here is proof:

🔸 Right now I am looking for profit booking. If the market allows to visit up to $80K or + I will plan my exit and will try to shift at least 95% to stable coins.
🔸 Once I sell I will inform you too and will wait for another crash.
🔸 If the market crashes without visiting the $81K zone my remaining 63% USDT will be used to buy the dip.
🔸 That is how I am planning to deal with market moves.
🔸 If I wind up then I will say book profits all the way up to $81K partially if you bought on a recent crash and once you book profit wait for another crash up to $73K or $70K. We will inform you once we buy again.

🔸 If you find this article helpful then do not forget to like repost and share with friends.

Many of my followers have been asking why a single tweet from an influencer can have a major impact on the market.
Because I value your questions, I’ve put together a clear and detailed explanation to address all doubts and enhance your understanding.
Take your time to read and grasp the insights, and if you find them helpful, feel free to share!

Real-Life Example: Imagine a Popular Market Vendor

Think of a popular market vendor in your community who sells tomatoes. Everyone knows this vendor because they’ve been in the market for years, and their tomatoes are always fresh and affordable. Now, imagine one day, the vendor loudly announces:
"Tomatoes will be scarce next week because of heavy rains destroying the farms! Stock up now before prices go up!"
What happens next?
1. Immediate Reaction: People in the market panic and rush to buy as many tomatoes as they can. They don’t want to run out or pay higher prices later. This sudden increase in demand causes the price of tomatoes to go up immediately.
2. Hype Builds: As more people hear about the potential scarcity, even those who don’t need tomatoes right now start buying them. Some might even buy extra to resell at a higher price later. This drives the price up even more.
3. Long-Term Impact: If the vendor’s prediction turns out to be true (rains really did destroy the farms), the price of tomatoes stays high because there’s a genuine shortage. But if the vendor was wrong and tomatoes are still plentiful, the price might drop back to normal once people realize there’s no real scarcity.

How This Relates to Markets and Tweets
Now, let’s apply this to Bitcoin or altcoins:
1. Influential Person Tweets: When someone like Elon Musk or a government official tweets about Bitcoin, it’s like the tomato vendor announcing a potential scarcity. Their words carry weight because people trust their influence.
- Example: "Bitcoin is the future of money! Governments are adopting it!"
2. Market Reaction:
- Immediate Reaction: Traders and investors rush to buy Bitcoin, fearing they’ll miss out on a good opportunity. This increased demand causes the price to go up (pump).
- Hype Builds: As more people see the price rising, they also jump in, hoping to profit. This further drives the price up.
- Long-Term Impact: If the tweet aligns with real-world developments (like actual government adoption), the price might stay high. But if it’s just hype with no real backing, the price could drop later (dump).

Why Does This Happen?
- Trust in Influence: Just like people trust the tomato vendor’s announcement, they trust influential figures’ tweets.
- Fear and Greed: People act out of fear (of missing out or losing money) or greed (wanting to make quick profits).
- Speculation: Many traders act quickly on news or tweets, hoping to profit from short-term price movements.

📝 note 📌⬇️
A single tweet can act like the tomato vendor’s announcement—sparking a chain reaction of buying or selling. However, the long-term impact depends on whether the tweet aligns with real-world fundamentals. For beginners, it’s important to understand that tweets can cause short-term volatility, they don’t always reflect the true value of an asset.
I hope you have understood 😊❤️ now..kindly like 👍 comment and share 📌 and make sure you are following me so that you don’t miss any update ❤️