Rise with Sela
Bitcoin Hodler since 2018.
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The United States recently launched targeted strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, escalating geopolitical risks and increasing market risk aversion. Gold surged, crude oil hit new highs, while Bitcoin saw a decline, falling from 105,000 to around 100,000.
Why? Because Bitcoin is both "digital gold" and highly influenced by liquidity. In the short term, an escalation of war may drive Bitcoin to become a safe haven asset and rise; however, if the conflict expands and financial markets experience severe volatility, tightening liquidity combined with market panic could lead to a short-term correction in BTC.
Currently, Bitcoin hovers above 100,000, seemingly strong, but not "set in stone." If the market encounters the following situations, breaking below the 100,000 support is not impossible:
1️⃣ The Federal Reserve strengthens hawkish expectations, capital flows back to dollar-denominated safe haven assets;
2️⃣ Escalation of the conflict leads to a significant decline in traditional markets, prompting investors to sell risk assets for cash;
3️⃣ ETF fund inflows weaken, on-chain activity declines, and the market enters a period of adjustment.
In the medium term, geopolitical turmoil combined with a fiat currency credit crisis will continue to enhance the attractiveness of Bitcoin as a "hard asset." Any sharp decline is more likely to be an opportunity to accumulate rather than a trend reversal.
Short-term attack events may intensify market volatility, but the fundamentals of Bitcoin remain unchanged. Maintain emotional stability and be wary of technical breakdowns; the key support below remains the 100,000 round figure, and if it retraces, attention can be focused on the strong support in the 92,000 to 95,000 range.
📌 Investors need to be cautious of short-term black swans while also recognizing long-term logic: Bitcoin is the "new neutral asset" in times of war and currency crises.
#比特币 #以色列伊朗冲突 #BTC走势 #加密货币
Why? Because Bitcoin is both "digital gold" and highly influenced by liquidity. In the short term, an escalation of war may drive Bitcoin to become a safe haven asset and rise; however, if the conflict expands and financial markets experience severe volatility, tightening liquidity combined with market panic could lead to a short-term correction in BTC.
Currently, Bitcoin hovers above 100,000, seemingly strong, but not "set in stone." If the market encounters the following situations, breaking below the 100,000 support is not impossible:
1️⃣ The Federal Reserve strengthens hawkish expectations, capital flows back to dollar-denominated safe haven assets;
2️⃣ Escalation of the conflict leads to a significant decline in traditional markets, prompting investors to sell risk assets for cash;
3️⃣ ETF fund inflows weaken, on-chain activity declines, and the market enters a period of adjustment.
In the medium term, geopolitical turmoil combined with a fiat currency credit crisis will continue to enhance the attractiveness of Bitcoin as a "hard asset." Any sharp decline is more likely to be an opportunity to accumulate rather than a trend reversal.
Short-term attack events may intensify market volatility, but the fundamentals of Bitcoin remain unchanged. Maintain emotional stability and be wary of technical breakdowns; the key support below remains the 100,000 round figure, and if it retraces, attention can be focused on the strong support in the 92,000 to 95,000 range.
📌 Investors need to be cautious of short-term black swans while also recognizing long-term logic: Bitcoin is the "new neutral asset" in times of war and currency crises.
#比特币 #以色列伊朗冲突 #BTC走势 #加密货币
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U.S. Airstrike on Iran's Nuclear Facilities: A Signal of Victory, or a New Powder Keg in the Middle East?
On June 22, 2025, the U.S. launched a sudden airstrike on Iran's Fordow nuclear enrichment facility. President Trump called it "a magnificent military victory," but behind this operation lies a complex geopolitical chess game.
1. Military Action: Is the "glorious victory" still in question?
After the attack, Trump claimed that U.S. stealth bombers precisely destroyed Iran's underground nuclear facility at Fordow and safely returned, marking a "technically perfect" military victory. However, analysis from Andrew Dowdle, the Middle East bureau chief of the Wall Street Journal, reminds us that it is still too early to judge whether this action was truly "successful."
1. Military Action: Is the "glorious victory" still in question?
After the attack, Trump claimed that U.S. stealth bombers precisely destroyed Iran's underground nuclear facility at Fordow and safely returned, marking a "technically perfect" military victory. However, analysis from Andrew Dowdle, the Middle East bureau chief of the Wall Street Journal, reminds us that it is still too early to judge whether this action was truly "successful."
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Unprecedented Debt Tsunami: Is Your Wallet Safe Under $37 Trillion Debt?
Dear investor friends, have you been shocked by the recent news about the soaring U.S. national debt? $37 trillion! This is a staggering figure, and what is more unsettling is that 25% of our tax revenues are being used to pay the interest on this huge debt. This is not just a cold statistic; it is like a tsunami on the horizon, reigniting questions about inflation, long-term fiscal stability, and the future of the dollar.
As a veteran who has navigated the cryptocurrency market for many years and a self-media creator concerned about macroeconomic trends, I deeply understand the anxiety and confusion in everyone's hearts: in this context, where should our investment portfolio go? Are Bitcoin and stablecoins, these emerging digital assets, a safe haven in times of crisis, or will they sink along with all risk assets? Today, I will delve into this unprecedented debt crisis and share my investment thoughts and asset allocation strategies.
As a veteran who has navigated the cryptocurrency market for many years and a self-media creator concerned about macroeconomic trends, I deeply understand the anxiety and confusion in everyone's hearts: in this context, where should our investment portfolio go? Are Bitcoin and stablecoins, these emerging digital assets, a safe haven in times of crisis, or will they sink along with all risk assets? Today, I will delve into this unprecedented debt crisis and share my investment thoughts and asset allocation strategies.
#Bitcoin is holding steady — but the real story is what it isn’t doing.
Since May 22, $BTC has been stuck in a tight 5% range (~$106.6K–$111.7K), even with a wave of bullish news: Trump Media plans to raise $2.5B to build a Bitcoin treasury. That’s not nothing.
And yet? Crickets.
Meanwhile, U.S. stocks are ripping. The S&P 500 is up 22% from April’s lows. But here’s the kicker: Bitcoin led that move, rallying early and now cooling off while equities play catch-up.
$BTC dominance is now over 64%. It’s towering above altcoins like $ETH and $SOL, both still wrestling with their 200-day moving averages. Market indecision is thick — we’re stuck between “blast-off” and “burnout.”
💡 Bitcoin’s current price is ~$14K above its 200DMA. Strong, but… drifting.
Options markets suggest traders are betting on more sideways action — with eyes on a breakout by July. $110K remains the key battleground.
Zoom out, though, and the crypto space is far from quiet:
🔸 Circle ($USDC) just updated its IPO plans to raise $600M at a $5.4B valuation.
🔸 Sui Foundation is stepping in to fully repay users hit by a $223M DeFi exploit.
🔸 $SUI and $CETUS prices are rebounding fast.
And we’ve got a packed macro week ahead:
📅 Fed minutes (May 28)
📅 U.S. GDP revision (May 29)
📅 NVIDIA earnings (May 28)
📅 FTX Round 2 repayments (May 30)
TL;DR:
The market’s taking a breath — but the pieces are moving. Watch for signs of life. The next leg could belong to the alts… if Bitcoin gives the green light.
#ETH #SUI #Solana
Since May 22, $BTC has been stuck in a tight 5% range (~$106.6K–$111.7K), even with a wave of bullish news: Trump Media plans to raise $2.5B to build a Bitcoin treasury. That’s not nothing.
And yet? Crickets.
Meanwhile, U.S. stocks are ripping. The S&P 500 is up 22% from April’s lows. But here’s the kicker: Bitcoin led that move, rallying early and now cooling off while equities play catch-up.
$BTC dominance is now over 64%. It’s towering above altcoins like $ETH and $SOL, both still wrestling with their 200-day moving averages. Market indecision is thick — we’re stuck between “blast-off” and “burnout.”
💡 Bitcoin’s current price is ~$14K above its 200DMA. Strong, but… drifting.
Options markets suggest traders are betting on more sideways action — with eyes on a breakout by July. $110K remains the key battleground.
Zoom out, though, and the crypto space is far from quiet:
🔸 Circle ($USDC) just updated its IPO plans to raise $600M at a $5.4B valuation.
🔸 Sui Foundation is stepping in to fully repay users hit by a $223M DeFi exploit.
🔸 $SUI and $CETUS prices are rebounding fast.
And we’ve got a packed macro week ahead:
📅 Fed minutes (May 28)
📅 U.S. GDP revision (May 29)
📅 NVIDIA earnings (May 28)
📅 FTX Round 2 repayments (May 30)
TL;DR:
The market’s taking a breath — but the pieces are moving. Watch for signs of life. The next leg could belong to the alts… if Bitcoin gives the green light.
#ETH #SUI #Solana
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Why are people always bearish at bottoms and bullish at tops?
Dear friends:
Thank you for reading this article. Today I would like to share with you topics related to investment psychology.
When cryptocurrencies fall, we spend a lot of time analyzing, trying to predict the exact bottom, and generally being very cautious.
But when the market goes up, we become confident and buy directly without doing much analysis.
Why are we always like this?
Fear and greed — these two emotions seem to drive most of our behavior in the cryptocurrency markets.
When fear takes over, we view everything with a gloomy and depressing eye. Twitter/X feeds are filled with doomsday warnings of further collapse and calls for us to surrender.
Thank you for reading this article. Today I would like to share with you topics related to investment psychology.
When cryptocurrencies fall, we spend a lot of time analyzing, trying to predict the exact bottom, and generally being very cautious.
But when the market goes up, we become confident and buy directly without doing much analysis.
Why are we always like this?
Fear and greed — these two emotions seem to drive most of our behavior in the cryptocurrency markets.
When fear takes over, we view everything with a gloomy and depressing eye. Twitter/X feeds are filled with doomsday warnings of further collapse and calls for us to surrender.
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Why the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Won’t Cryptocurrency Betrayal?
#BTC #比特币 #加密货币 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The Israel-Hamas conflict is an enduring and deep-seated geopolitical issue that has attracted global attention for years.
However, despite the conflict affecting many people’s lives, the cryptocurrency space has remained largely unaffected by it.
In Gaza, the Palestinian Health Ministry reported at least 232 Palestinian casualties and more than 1,600 injuries from Israeli airstrikes and ground clashes with Hamas militants. In addition, Hamas claimed to have captured dozens of Israelis, including soldiers, which was confirmed by the Israeli military.
The Israel-Hamas conflict is an enduring and deep-seated geopolitical issue that has attracted global attention for years.
However, despite the conflict affecting many people’s lives, the cryptocurrency space has remained largely unaffected by it.
In Gaza, the Palestinian Health Ministry reported at least 232 Palestinian casualties and more than 1,600 injuries from Israeli airstrikes and ground clashes with Hamas militants. In addition, Hamas claimed to have captured dozens of Israelis, including soldiers, which was confirmed by the Israeli military.
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