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美国近日发动对伊朗核设施的定点打击，地缘风险飙升，市场避险情绪升温。黄金大涨，原油突破新高，而比特币则出现下挫，从10万5000一度跌到10万附近。 为什么？因为比特币既是“数字黄金”，也高度受流动性影响。短期内，战争升级可能推动比特币成为避险资产而上涨；但一旦冲突扩大、金融市场波动剧烈，流动性紧缩+市场恐慌反而会导致BTC短线回调。 当前比特币徘徊在10万美元上方，看似强劲，但并非“铁板一块”。如果市场出现如下情况，跌破10万美元支撑并非不可能： 1️⃣ 美联储强化鹰派预期，资本回流美元避险资产； 2️⃣ 战事升级引发传统市场大幅下挫，投资者抛售风险资产套现； 3️⃣ ETF资金流入减弱，链上活跃度回落，市场进入调整期。 中期而言，地缘动荡+法币信用危机，将持续增强比特币“硬资产”的吸引力。任何剧烈下跌都更可能是加仓机会，而不是趋势反转。 突袭事件短线或加剧市场波动，但比特币基本面未变。稳住情绪，警惕技术面破位，下方关键支撑仍是10万美元整数位，若回踩，可关注9.2-9.5万美元区域的强支撑。 📌 投资需警惕短期黑天鹅，也要认清长期逻辑：比特币是战争与货币危机中的“新中立资产”。 #比特币 #以色列伊朗冲突 #BTC走势 #加密货币
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美国突袭伊朗核设施：胜利的信号，还是中东新火药桶？
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It should be.
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史无前例的债务海啸：37万亿美元巨债下，你的钱袋子安全吗？
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Hope that comes true sooner.
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