招财猫plus
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Whether the big Vs on the square are shouting long or short, everyone has their own reasons. I think what they say makes sense, but when you follow them, you find that most of them don’t make money. I have also followed those who paid hundreds of U. The square issued all profits. I followed them one by one, and I stopped loss for 4 consecutive times. The fifth one was a loss to protect my principal. The probability is not as good as if I bought it myself. I patiently followed 15 orders with a small account, and finally ended up with a liquidation. They also led continuous losses in the group, maybe several groups, and there are always people who guessed right continuously. Retail investors thought they found faith, but in fact, they quietly withdrew like me. The rest is survivor bias.
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Government Anti-Involution, Expectations for De-capacity Policies, and Bull Market Outlook
Internal message: The national-level promotion of the "anti-involution" policy aims to optimize social resource allocation, enhance production efficiency, and improve people's livelihood, which will have structural impacts on various sectors in the stock market. Below are the main sectors expected to benefit along with logical analysis:
---
### **1. Large Consumption Sector (Core Beneficiary)**
- **Logic**: The anti-involution policy will release residents' consumption potential by reducing ineffective overtime, safeguarding vacation rights, and increasing workers' income, thus promoting consumption upgrades.
- **Sub-Sectors**:
- **Discretionary Consumption**: Snacks (e.g., Liangpin Shop), travel (Ctrip, China Youth Travel), film and entertainment (Wanda Film), sports industry, etc., benefiting from increased leisure time and improved willingness to consume.
---
### **1. Large Consumption Sector (Core Beneficiary)**
- **Logic**: The anti-involution policy will release residents' consumption potential by reducing ineffective overtime, safeguarding vacation rights, and increasing workers' income, thus promoting consumption upgrades.
- **Sub-Sectors**:
- **Discretionary Consumption**: Snacks (e.g., Liangpin Shop), travel (Ctrip, China Youth Travel), film and entertainment (Wanda Film), sports industry, etc., benefiting from increased leisure time and improved willingness to consume.
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July 8 BTC Times 11:30
Cat Fan Internal Content:
1. Current Trend Judgment
Price Position: Current price 107,796.5, below all moving averages (MA7, MA25, MA69), indicating a bearish trend in both the short and medium term.
Moving average arrangement: MA7 (107,952.8) @ MA25 (107,998.1) @ MA69 (108,431.5), showing a bearish arrangement, indicating that the market is in a downtrend.
Conclusion: Be wary of further downside risks.
2. Key Support and Resistance
24-hour high and low: highest 109,667.3, lowest 107,400.0. Current price is close to the intraday low; if it breaks below 107,400, it may accelerate the decline.
Psychological Levels: 110,000 (resistance), 105,000 (support). If rebounding, it must break above MA7 (107,952.8) to alleviate the downtrend.
1. Current Trend Judgment
Price Position: Current price 107,796.5, below all moving averages (MA7, MA25, MA69), indicating a bearish trend in both the short and medium term.
Moving average arrangement: MA7 (107,952.8) @ MA25 (107,998.1) @ MA69 (108,431.5), showing a bearish arrangement, indicating that the market is in a downtrend.
Conclusion: Be wary of further downside risks.
2. Key Support and Resistance
24-hour high and low: highest 109,667.3, lowest 107,400.0. Current price is close to the intraday low; if it breaks below 107,400, it may accelerate the decline.
Psychological Levels: 110,000 (resistance), 105,000 (support). If rebounding, it must break above MA7 (107,952.8) to alleviate the downtrend.
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Technical analysis is fine, but be cautious of the dog fund making one last aggressive pull to lure in the bulls.
#比特币巨鲸动向 2025 July 5: Evidence of three signals of the dealer secretly unloading: (Exclusive to Cat Powder members)
Signal 1: Price hits a new high but trading volume shrinks
From the chart, we can see that BTC previously peaked at $113,954.63, but the most recent rebound only reached $110,995.50 and couldn't go higher. The key point is that as the price approaches the previous high, the trading volume bars below have clearly shrunk (Vol: 8,903.3650), which is a typical "price-volume divergence"—the price wants to rise, but there isn’t enough buying support, indicating that the dealer is quietly unloading rather than genuinely trying to push the price up.
Signal 2: MACD indicator shows "top divergence"
Although the price reached a new high around June 20, the MACD indicator below (DIF: 847.79 DEA: 619.73 MACD: 228.05) did not reach a new high in sync, instead being lower than the previous peak. This situation of "price rising while the indicator does not" is professionally termed top divergence, a typical sign of the dealer pulling out while pushing up. It’s like a vendor shouting loudly to attract your attention while secretly reducing the quantity.
Signal 3: Moving average system begins to become "entangled"
Looking at three key moving averages: MA7(107,911.21) has flattened, while MA25(106,128.38) and MA99(98,620.09) are still rising, but the slope has clearly slowed down. This phenomenon of short-term moving averages "sticking together" indicates that the market has lost its clear direction, which is a common "boiling frog" stage when the dealer is unloading—making you feel it’s just a normal adjustment while they are quietly retreating.
Current stage judgment
Currently, BTC is at $108,062.8, which is 1.04% lower than the 24-hour high, but the marked price (108,063.2) and spot price are almost flat, indicating that there is no strong bullish sentiment in the futures market either. Combining with Wyckoff theory, this is likely a late feature of the "distribution phase"—the dealer has already unloaded most of their inventory, leaving only the final cleanup work.
At this time, the Cat Army should be particularly cautious and not be lured into buying by a sudden rebound. Remember: when the dealer wants you to see an "opportunity," it often is precisely the trap they have set up. When $BTC btc crashes, the altcoins will only crash harder.
Signal 1: Price hits a new high but trading volume shrinks
From the chart, we can see that BTC previously peaked at $113,954.63, but the most recent rebound only reached $110,995.50 and couldn't go higher. The key point is that as the price approaches the previous high, the trading volume bars below have clearly shrunk (Vol: 8,903.3650), which is a typical "price-volume divergence"—the price wants to rise, but there isn’t enough buying support, indicating that the dealer is quietly unloading rather than genuinely trying to push the price up.
Signal 2: MACD indicator shows "top divergence"
Although the price reached a new high around June 20, the MACD indicator below (DIF: 847.79 DEA: 619.73 MACD: 228.05) did not reach a new high in sync, instead being lower than the previous peak. This situation of "price rising while the indicator does not" is professionally termed top divergence, a typical sign of the dealer pulling out while pushing up. It’s like a vendor shouting loudly to attract your attention while secretly reducing the quantity.
Signal 3: Moving average system begins to become "entangled"
Looking at three key moving averages: MA7(107,911.21) has flattened, while MA25(106,128.38) and MA99(98,620.09) are still rising, but the slope has clearly slowed down. This phenomenon of short-term moving averages "sticking together" indicates that the market has lost its clear direction, which is a common "boiling frog" stage when the dealer is unloading—making you feel it’s just a normal adjustment while they are quietly retreating.
Current stage judgment
Currently, BTC is at $108,062.8, which is 1.04% lower than the 24-hour high, but the marked price (108,063.2) and spot price are almost flat, indicating that there is no strong bullish sentiment in the futures market either. Combining with Wyckoff theory, this is likely a late feature of the "distribution phase"—the dealer has already unloaded most of their inventory, leaving only the final cleanup work.
At this time, the Cat Army should be particularly cautious and not be lured into buying by a sudden rebound. Remember: when the dealer wants you to see an "opportunity," it often is precisely the trap they have set up. When $BTC btc crashes, the altcoins will only crash harder.
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Ether sold at 2401 to take profit, and reversed to place a long order, going all in on longs. Even if tonight Iran bombs Israel's head off or the U.S. goes to bomb Iran's underground nuclear facilities at 80-100 meters deep (Israeli technology can only penetrate 6 meters deep, U.S. technology can go deeper), it doesn't matter. Once the bad news is fully out, it will rally strongly. The probability of the U.S. intervening is already 65%. The funds are very panicked, but this is the opportunity.
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$BTC 106400-106800 empty, take profit 103800-101600 partial take profit, loss 1500 points
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Air Force preparation, $BTC large pancake long position breaks 105000 to take profit, add short position for every 200 points rise, take profit at 101000!!! Just do it!!!
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Is there anyone who understands and can explain whether this strategy should follow $ETH ?
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A giant shadow scared retail investors into dropping their chips. The core reason is the lack of confidence. When you understand why to buy at the head and shoulders bottom and know at what position the market turns bad, you won't trade based on feelings like I did back in the day, facing liquidation after liquidation. Having technical analysis is like going to battle with a gun, while trading based on feelings is like going in empty-handed. The results, of course, are different.
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Trading means going long at support levels and going short at resistance levels. After placing orders, you should go to the bar, no need to watch, just earn $BTC in rice.
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Really Damn Big V Dragon
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Interpreting the China-U.S. trade relationship is a barometer for the global economy. The resumption of negotiations is seen by the market as a potential positive signal, greatly alleviating the uncertainty of escalating trade wars. However, risks remain: if negotiations do not achieve substantial progress, the market may retract recent gains, 974 emptied 2 million, touching 93 is not a problem.
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Got used to connecting 92-93 to 95 this time, let's see if I can connect to the gap of 986, loss of 99150
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Is there a reverse brother who bought the big pancake and crashed it for 100u? It's a bit unbearable with such a rise.
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Today is Easter, Americans have a holiday in advance, the fluctuations are not related to the institutions, if the dog house makes a sneak attack in the early morning, I tend to lean towards a downward liquidation.
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BTC is likely to experience a downward fluctuation; a reversal to a stable upward trend is currently unlikely and the conditions do not support it. 79,000 to 80,000 points is a dense transaction support level. If there are no major negative factors, the market is unlikely to drop below this level. However, if there are major negative factors, 75,000 points is the limit for a pullback and also an opportunity for a small bottom fishing!
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