爷兔了Crypto

Is it too much to say that it's animalistic? For a few dozen U in airdrop, I've wiped out all my savings.

Classic Federal Reserve rhetoric: hawkish on the outside, dovish on the inside, open stance for you to ponder

Once the minutes are out, the familiar formula returns:
—— Overall hawkish: "Inflation is still not stable enough."
—— But remains open: "A rate cut in September is not out of the question, let's see the data."

What does this rhetoric resemble?
• Lifting weights while loudly proclaiming to gain muscle, but secretly ordering three scoops of ice cream;
• Acting like a hawk in the boardroom, but becoming a polite dove in the press release;
• The market is left with just one question: "Who are you really talking about?"

Let’s translate their "sandwich":
1. First, lay down a slice of hawkish bread: Don't expect us to ease off right now.
2. In the middle, add some data dependency: If employment and inflation weaken, we will "consider it."
3. Finally, cover it with an open attitude: September might be possible, but not guaranteed.

The Federal Reserve continues to perform the "hawkish exterior, dovish heart" act, leaving the market to fill in the plot. Feel free to critique, but positions must adhere to the rules—because they can always say two sides, while we can only survive with discipline. $SOL

YZY Incident: 129 SOL 'Priority Fee', +760% Arbitrage — Another Familiar Script

• On-chain tracking shows: a certain address bought 1.89 million YZY for 450,000 USDC at an average price of $0.24, and then sold 1.59 million YZY near $2.12, exchanging for 3.37 million USDC;
still holding 303,400 YZY (about $510,000). Realized + unrealized profits are approximately $3.4 million (+760%).
• To rush in at the earliest moment, this address even paid a priority fee of 129 SOL (about $24,000).
• A KOL hinted on X that this project has a similar 'script' to the previous $LIBRA. Whether true or not, the structure and path are indeed highly similar to past 'scam' events.

Common Points of Such 'Scripts'
1. Immediate Launch: Early runners use high priority fees/MEV to jump the queue, easily pushing up the curve with extremely low circulation + thin liquidity.
2. Narrative Amplification: Anonymous KOLs/rumors drive traffic, retail investors buy in after a big bull candle.
3. Structural Cashing Out: Early large holders sell off in batches, even if the price does not drop to zero, the win rate is firmly in the hands of the early movers.
4. Historical Resonance: Change the code, change the story, but the core remains 'first mover—dumping—leaving retail investors with volatility'.

Hard Rules for Risk Control (Extract Yourself from the 'Script')
• Do not chase new openings for 30–60 minutes; any intraday surge over +150% only aims for 'quick in and out'.
• Single bet ≤ 1% of portfolio, each with a fixed stop loss of -3% to -5%; double up only after recouping initial investment, let remaining funds run for profit.
• If you see abnormal priority fees/top ten holdings too high/permissions not relinquished — directly PASS.
• Treat such targets as entertainment/casino plays, do not use 'retirement funds' or 'heavy positions' to prove courage.
• If you want to make mid-term investments, prioritize agreements and leaders with cash flow/TVL/ecosystem position.

History does not simply repeat, but resonance is never absent. The on-chain path of YZY tells us: when the 'first moment' is bought with high priority fees, retail investors have already lost in terms of time. Write the red flag checklist and risk control rules into your trading SOP — not being the last one to take the baton is the hardest and most important victory in this market cycle. #BNB创新高 $ETH

Don't say I want to break my thigh, I want to break the chicken leg!!! I bought 5000U before, and the cost is 45.3$ETH

The local dog on X chain has erupted again tonight, reaching a high of 1700 and a low of 754, focusing on excitement! The market value is currently very low, you can buy some lottery tickets for 200U $BTC

It stabilized a bit, but I missed the opportunity and can't get back in, feeling uncomfortable 😭
Today was really exhausting, the 4-hour chart looks like it's just going up no matter how I look at it!

When others fear, I am greedy! When others suffer small losses, I 😭😭😭!$SOL

The stock market these days is like your boyfriend; after a lot of fussing, just when you think it's about to rise, it immediately goes soft!!! Stop-loss points are very important!!!

It seems that everything has returned to the starting point!

Classic gambling to the end, everything you need!!! Not afraid of your losses, just afraid that you suddenly think you're capable

The data meets expectations, even reaching a new low, significantly increasing confidence for a rate cut in September, so feel free to go for it!!!$SOL

It's comfortable now, the rebound strength is acceptable, raise the stop-loss price and continue to hold $ETH $SOL

This counterfeit coin contract $API3 cannot be played at all, the hanging order at 1.53 price is also more than 1.54, but I ended up with a transaction at 1.5 and earned 200U less. Then I placed another order with a stop loss at 1.46, but it executed at 1.43 and I lost over 250 again, so back and forth, I lost more than 450, it's like being robbed, I admit defeat.

Opening order intraday rebound, $ETHFI opened a long position at 1.075, $INJ opened a long position at 13.64

Tonight, two sets of US housing data, the currency price is likely to move this way

What will be announced?
• New housing starts and building permits (watching the speed at which the US is building houses and granting permits).
• Expectations are slightly worse than last month.

How does it affect currency prices? In one sentence
• Slower construction and permits → Economy is cooling → Rate cuts are more likely → Currency prices are easier to rise
• Faster construction and permits → Economy is heating up → Rate cuts are more difficult → Currency prices are likely to fall

Three simple scenarios
1. Much worse than expected (numbers significantly smaller)
• Moves in a favorable direction, BTC/ETH rise first, altcoins may follow.
2. About the same as expected
• Minimal impact, market looks at news from each sector (ETF, RWA, rotation).
3. Much better than expected (numbers significantly larger)
• Short-term pressure, may drop first, especially high-volatility altcoins.

Operational tips
• After the data is released, wait 5–15 minutes for the second wave to decide;
• Don’t add high leverage before the event, maintain stop-loss/profit-taking to avoid 'news spikes'.

It's that simple: Weak data → tends to rise; Strong data → tends to fall; About the same → little impact. $SOL

Take profit, too slow. Small profit exit, can take off now $SOL $SUI

Sol target price 190, Sui target price 3.8, stop loss line higher than opening price, let's take profit.

Small warehouse intraday line takes rebound, Sol opening cost 180.5, Sui opening cost 3.55

The sky is very hot, the heart is very cool, only the little returns from financial management provide a bit of warmth $SOL

There has been too much news this week, especially regarding Trump's involvement in the Russia and Ukraine events. Funds are being particularly cautious; while others are at war, we are paying military expenses, and large capital is coming out to seek safety. Additionally, there are many core data releases this week, and the market is waiting for Powell's speech on Friday. Before Friday, it is highly likely to be a repeated fluctuation! $ETH $SOL