The Market's Collective Misdiagnosis of Rate Cuts! Powell to Release Nuclear-Level Signals on Friday
Now, the entire online community is wildly spreading the idea that the Federal Reserve will definitely cut rates in September, with some even claiming the probability exceeds 90%, but 99% of people are wrong. Currently, the major Wall Street firms are quietly retreating, while only retail investors are frantically buying in. The divergence between the two sides has reached a historical extreme, and what’s even more frightening is that the latest inflation data, employment data, and tariff impacts do not support a rate cut.
On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at the global central bank annual meeting, and his true purpose may be to personally crush the market's fantasy of rate cuts. If you are still blindly following the trend, you will likely be heavily harvested by the market next. Today, I will use the hardest data to expose this rate cut scam, and after reading, you will understand why Powell might drop a hard-core bomb? Why the probability of a rate cut in September will be halved? What should ordinary people do now?
Seeing a lot of people adding positions at $ORDI , fantasizing that Audi can break historical highs again, this is quite ridiculous. It's fine to play short-term, but many people believe that for the Bitcoin ecosystem to thrive, it must include ordi, so they cleverly built up quite a bit of ordi. However, they don't understand finance; the major players won't lift them up. After managing to trap so many people, why would they raise the price to let them out? Even if they want to go long on this track, they would avoid ordi and choose a coin that isn't as heavy to pump. It's similar to the previous AI track being so hot, but WLD just won't go up for the same reasons.
$ETH 8.15 Ethereum price today: Ethereum seems to be entering a downtrend, medium to long-term short positions above 4700 can be continued (Ethereum contract trading)
The counterfeit compression is almost done, opportunities can only be in August. If we can hold on for the first half of the month, after the 9th it will be sunny, because the expectations for interest rate cuts will get more and more intense. Guys, let's keep it up.
Buying 20,000 in a month means 240,000 in a year! He needs to raise money, and raising money takes time.
Binance News
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Strategy acquired 21,021 bitcoins through STRC products last week
According to Foresight News, NLNico monitoring shows that Strategy acquired 21,021 bitcoins through STRC products last week, and no other bitcoin purchases were made.
The counterfeit has started to play by itself, every cycle has to be done once. I don't believe it won't happen this time. If it doesn't happen, the dealer has no chance to play in the future. 🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨🔨
He is trying to trick you into getting off the bus
Binance News
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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin will test $100,000, Ethereum will test $3,000
According to Foresight News, Arthur Hayes wrote that following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the market believes that the US tariff bill will expire in the third quarter. He noted that no major economy can create credit quickly enough to boost nominal GDP. Therefore, Bitcoin will test $100,000 and Ethereum will test $3,000.
"When the Federal Reserve Chairman speaks, the market either surges or crashes - tonight, a single word from Powell will determine whether August is a 'bull retracement' or 'bear invasion'!" Key Signals: No Hope for Rate Cuts: July interest rates are definitely unchanged, but the probability of a rate cut in September has soared to 90%. If Powell releases dovish signals, BTC could spike to 125,000. Whale Activity: Large holders have sold 42,000 BTC in the past week; 120,000 is the critical line between bulls and bears. Falling below 118,000 could trigger a $500 million liquidation. Monthly Strategy: Spot Traders: Take profit in batches above 123,000, holding back to buy in the 105,000-110,000 range. Contract Traders: Go long if it breaks 121,500, short if it falls below 118,000, with a strict 1% stop loss. Risk Warning: August has traditionally been the 'ghost month' for the crypto market, with an average decline of 12% over the past five years. Beware of major players selling off on good news! Still, the same saying: if you're still losing in the crypto circle, then one of the phrases I often say is: “It’s not that you can’t, it’s that your method is wrong.” This rolling recovery model I have refined is ready to share, but only with those who are seriously looking to turn things around. Please do not disturb unless sincere. I am @财月女神 . Bull markets may drop sharply, but only those who layout in advance can enjoy the rebound profits!
The White House Task Force has released a preview report to advance the development of a regulatory framework for digital assets.
According to TechFlow, on July 30, the U.S. White House Digital Asset Markets Working Group released an important report, recommending that the SEC and CFTC enable digital asset trading at the federal level and provide clear guidance.The report supports the integration of DeFi technology into the mainstream financial system, promotes the development of innovative financial products through regulatory sandboxes, promotes the implementation of the GENIUS Act, a stablecoin regulatory framework, and clarifies tax guidelines for cryptocurrency mining and staking activities.The report opposes the issuance of CBDC and recommends the formulation of relevant laws to prohibit it. It also makes recommendations on banking services for crypto companies, requiring the establishment of clear capital rules and increasing transparency in crypto companies' access to bank accounts.