BTC交易公子扶苏
💰自由投资人 🏅️交易分析师 推特：@FU SU01全网同步微博公众号：交易公子扶苏
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🔥Gathering Benefits! Hurry to secure mutual commitment!
New friends don't get lost, old fans quickly assemble~ From now on, follow + like + comment on this post to immediately follow back and gain your crypto companions!
Whether it's market analysis, strategic insights, or interesting news from the community, the future will be shared with you~ If you find that I 'slipped' and missed following back, just drop a reminder in the comments, and I'll arrange it in no time! 🚀$BTC $ETH $SOL #马斯克计划成立美国党 #长期持有策略 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
New friends don't get lost, old fans quickly assemble~ From now on, follow + like + comment on this post to immediately follow back and gain your crypto companions!
Whether it's market analysis, strategic insights, or interesting news from the community, the future will be shared with you~ If you find that I 'slipped' and missed following back, just drop a reminder in the comments, and I'll arrange it in no time! 🚀$BTC $ETH $SOL #马斯克计划成立美国党 #长期持有策略 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
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25/01/052️⃣4️⃣ Year Market Operation Summary and Outlook for 2️⃣5️⃣ Year Market Trends!
25/01/052️⃣4️⃣ Year Market Operation Summary and Outlook for 2️⃣5️⃣ Year Market Trends
What is happening now is very similar to the period at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024.
In terms of growth: the increase from 24900 to 49000 and from 52500 to 108353 is about double.
In terms of patterns: after a 224-day oscillation in the range of 24900—31800, it broke through; the rising flag pattern oscillated for 238 days in the range of 49000—74000.
After breaking through 40,000 in 23, it formed a spreading triangle; after breaking through 90,000 in 24, it also formed a spreading triangle, which lasts about 35 days.
In terms of timing: previously, we mentioned that after oscillating for more than 7 months, the beginning of each month tends to have turning points, so the probability of a turning point in the first week of next month is relatively high. (This was mentioned in the article on 24/12/29, reminding that the adjustment is about to end, and it is the best time to buy in batches for bottom-fishing, coinciding with the crypto president taking office during the Spring Festival!)
What is happening now is very similar to the period at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024.
In terms of growth: the increase from 24900 to 49000 and from 52500 to 108353 is about double.
In terms of patterns: after a 224-day oscillation in the range of 24900—31800, it broke through; the rising flag pattern oscillated for 238 days in the range of 49000—74000.
After breaking through 40,000 in 23, it formed a spreading triangle; after breaking through 90,000 in 24, it also formed a spreading triangle, which lasts about 35 days.
In terms of timing: previously, we mentioned that after oscillating for more than 7 months, the beginning of each month tends to have turning points, so the probability of a turning point in the first week of next month is relatively high. (This was mentioned in the article on 24/12/29, reminding that the adjustment is about to end, and it is the best time to buy in batches for bottom-fishing, coinciding with the crypto president taking office during the Spring Festival!)
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The Trump administration has released a 166-page digital asset policy report, establishing the regulatory roadmap for cryptocurrency in the United States. The report focuses on five main directions:
1. Authorizing the CFTC to regulate non-securities digital assets through the CLARITY Act, supporting innovation.
2. Terminating "Choke Point 2.0", clarifying banks' authority in areas like custody and stablecoins.
3. Strengthening the dollar's position through the GENIUS Act, prohibiting central banks from issuing CBDCs.
4. Combating illegal finance, clarifying DeFi compliance responsibilities, and protecting self-custody.
5. Reforming taxation, clarifying the tax implications of mining and staking, and including wash sale rules.
The report has received positive feedback from the industry, marking a key step towards regulatory transparency, but unresolved issues such as crypto reserves and legislative progress still present uncertainties, signaling a new phase of institutional development in the U.S. cryptocurrency market. $BTC $ETH $XRP #白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议
1. Authorizing the CFTC to regulate non-securities digital assets through the CLARITY Act, supporting innovation.
2. Terminating "Choke Point 2.0", clarifying banks' authority in areas like custody and stablecoins.
3. Strengthening the dollar's position through the GENIUS Act, prohibiting central banks from issuing CBDCs.
4. Combating illegal finance, clarifying DeFi compliance responsibilities, and protecting self-custody.
5. Reforming taxation, clarifying the tax implications of mining and staking, and including wash sale rules.
The report has received positive feedback from the industry, marking a key step towards regulatory transparency, but unresolved issues such as crypto reserves and legislative progress still present uncertainties, signaling a new phase of institutional development in the U.S. cryptocurrency market. $BTC $ETH $XRP #白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议
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U.S. SEC Announces New Standards for Crypto ETP Listings:
● Listing Standards: Futures tracking cryptocurrencies listed on the Coinbase derivatives exchange for over 6 months will receive ETP listing approval (EPT includes ETF).
● Involved Cryptocurrencies: About a dozen common candidate cryptocurrencies, consistent with previous expectations of those with a win rate of 85% or higher.
● Timeline: The ETPs for the relevant cryptocurrencies may be listed in September/October, with specific dates yet to be determined.
In summary: In the future, altcoins have a certain opportunity to be listed through ETF$BTC $XRP $SOL #白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 .
● Listing Standards: Futures tracking cryptocurrencies listed on the Coinbase derivatives exchange for over 6 months will receive ETP listing approval (EPT includes ETF).
● Involved Cryptocurrencies: About a dozen common candidate cryptocurrencies, consistent with previous expectations of those with a win rate of 85% or higher.
● Timeline: The ETPs for the relevant cryptocurrencies may be listed in September/October, with specific dates yet to be determined.
In summary: In the future, altcoins have a certain opportunity to be listed through ETF$BTC $XRP $SOL #白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 .
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Powell's speech leans hawkish, suppressing rate cut expectations
The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive time of holding steady, in line with market expectations.
Powell stated that the September policy adjustment is undecided, needing to observe the impact of tariffs on inflation and the economy, emphasizing the stability of long-term inflation expectations.
As a result, the probability of a rate cut in September dropped from 65% to slightly below 50%, and U.S. Treasury yields rose.
Analysts believe Powell is not influenced by political pressure, and the market's reaction is moderate, with the interest rate path generally clear.
Powell's hawkish remarks led to a brief decline in risk assets, but the market quickly rebounded, with U.S. stocks turning from decline to increase, and Bitcoin experiencing a drop followed by a rebound. $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #稳定币热潮
The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive time of holding steady, in line with market expectations.
Powell stated that the September policy adjustment is undecided, needing to observe the impact of tariffs on inflation and the economy, emphasizing the stability of long-term inflation expectations.
As a result, the probability of a rate cut in September dropped from 65% to slightly below 50%, and U.S. Treasury yields rose.
Analysts believe Powell is not influenced by political pressure, and the market's reaction is moderate, with the interest rate path generally clear.
Powell's hawkish remarks led to a brief decline in risk assets, but the market quickly rebounded, with U.S. stocks turning from decline to increase, and Bitcoin experiencing a drop followed by a rebound. $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #稳定币热潮
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Ethereum reserves are coming, which may benefit the following coins:
● Ethereum (ETH): The increase in Ethereum reserves indicates a rising market demand, and recognition from institutions and investors will enhance its value. Additionally, with upgrades to the Ethereum network, such as the Pectra upgrade, performance and security will improve, and the annualized yield from staking will significantly increase, attracting more users to stake ETH and further pushing its price up.
● Stocks of companies related to Ethereum reserves: For example, SharpLink (SBET), as the first company to use ETH as a strategic reserve, saw its stock price rise sharply due to the purchase of ETH. Additionally, companies like BMNR and BTBT, originally mining companies, may see their stock prices gain a higher sentiment premium due to their Ethereum reserves when ETH prices rise.
● DeFi tokens in the Ethereum ecosystem: Uniswap (UNI), as the native token of the largest decentralized exchange on Ethereum, is closely linked to ETH. The development of ETH will drive its trading activity, benefiting it. Other DeFi lending protocol tokens, such as Aave (AAVE), will see Ethereum's performance improvements make DeFi applications more stable and efficient, attracting more users and driving token prices up.
● Layer 2 (L2) tokens of Ethereum: Ethereum upgrades and ecosystem development will contribute to the prosperity of L2 networks, such as Optimism and other L2 project tokens, which may benefit from increased usage of L2 networks and ecosystem expansion.
● Mainstream meme coins on the Ethereum chain: Meme coins on the Ethereum chain, represented by Pepe (PEPE), are closely linked to the Ethereum ecosystem. When the ETH market heats up, these meme coins often receive more attention, and inflows of capital may drive their prices up.
● Oracle tokens: Chainlink (LINK), as a token providing decentralized oracle services, plays an important role in Ethereum smart contract applications. The development of the Ethereum ecosystem will increase the demand for oracle services, thus benefiting LINK. $ETH $UNI #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #上市公司加密储备战略
● Ethereum (ETH): The increase in Ethereum reserves indicates a rising market demand, and recognition from institutions and investors will enhance its value. Additionally, with upgrades to the Ethereum network, such as the Pectra upgrade, performance and security will improve, and the annualized yield from staking will significantly increase, attracting more users to stake ETH and further pushing its price up.
● Stocks of companies related to Ethereum reserves: For example, SharpLink (SBET), as the first company to use ETH as a strategic reserve, saw its stock price rise sharply due to the purchase of ETH. Additionally, companies like BMNR and BTBT, originally mining companies, may see their stock prices gain a higher sentiment premium due to their Ethereum reserves when ETH prices rise.
● DeFi tokens in the Ethereum ecosystem: Uniswap (UNI), as the native token of the largest decentralized exchange on Ethereum, is closely linked to ETH. The development of ETH will drive its trading activity, benefiting it. Other DeFi lending protocol tokens, such as Aave (AAVE), will see Ethereum's performance improvements make DeFi applications more stable and efficient, attracting more users and driving token prices up.
● Layer 2 (L2) tokens of Ethereum: Ethereum upgrades and ecosystem development will contribute to the prosperity of L2 networks, such as Optimism and other L2 project tokens, which may benefit from increased usage of L2 networks and ecosystem expansion.
● Mainstream meme coins on the Ethereum chain: Meme coins on the Ethereum chain, represented by Pepe (PEPE), are closely linked to the Ethereum ecosystem. When the ETH market heats up, these meme coins often receive more attention, and inflows of capital may drive their prices up.
● Oracle tokens: Chainlink (LINK), as a token providing decentralized oracle services, plays an important role in Ethereum smart contract applications. The development of the Ethereum ecosystem will increase the demand for oracle services, thus benefiting LINK. $ETH $UNI #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #上市公司加密储备战略
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The reasons Powell's Federal Reserve is reluctant to cut interest rates
Not due to confusion and waiting but rather intentional
Cutting rates too early could reignite inflation
Policy easing will only occur before a system collapse
Inflation remains with the injection of cheap funds
This was the problem of the 1970s
Premature rate cuts led to a spiraling inflation
The infamous "stop-and-go" policy
The plateau period is a stress test
This is not a pause for reflection
But rather a deliberate "smoke screen" phase
A poor balance sheet, cash flow structure
Stagnant companies are doomed to fail
The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring potential cracks
Rising default rates, layoffs, widening credit spreads
Only then will they take action
The Federal Reserve is defending its credibility
The Federal Reserve under Powell knows well
Long-term inflation control outweighs short-term pain
It is unwise to ease policy too early and not help vulnerable groups
Unless absolutely necessary, do not provide free money $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #稳定币热潮
Not due to confusion and waiting but rather intentional
Cutting rates too early could reignite inflation
Policy easing will only occur before a system collapse
Inflation remains with the injection of cheap funds
This was the problem of the 1970s
Premature rate cuts led to a spiraling inflation
The infamous "stop-and-go" policy
The plateau period is a stress test
This is not a pause for reflection
But rather a deliberate "smoke screen" phase
A poor balance sheet, cash flow structure
Stagnant companies are doomed to fail
The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring potential cracks
Rising default rates, layoffs, widening credit spreads
Only then will they take action
The Federal Reserve is defending its credibility
The Federal Reserve under Powell knows well
Long-term inflation control outweighs short-term pain
It is unwise to ease policy too early and not help vulnerable groups
Unless absolutely necessary, do not provide free money $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #稳定币热潮
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A Review of Ethereum's Ten-Year Development Journey Since Its Genesis in 2015
From the initial vision of a 'World Computer' to gradually transforming into a financial settlement layer, and then to a modular blockchain and Real World Assets (RWA) narrative. Reviewing Ethereum's technological development, market positioning, and the continuous adjustment of its narrative reveals its role shift within the crypto industry and potential future directions.
Key Points
In 2014, Ethereum's founding vision was to become a 'World Computer' to run decentralized applications, but in reality, it mainly became a financial settlement layer.
The mining of the genesis block on July 30, 2015, marked the beginning of Frontier, and the Ethereum Foundation was established to promote the development and application of Ethereum technology.
The DAO incident in 2016 exposed the contradictions of technological idealism, leading to a community split and the birth of Ethereum Classic (ETC).
The ICO boom in 2017 transformed Ethereum from a 'World Computer' into a token issuance platform, exposing the gap between technological vision and market demand.
The success of DeFi in 2020 allowed Ethereum to find a market fit but also exposed performance bottlenecks, prompting adjustments in the technological roadmap.
The rise of Layer 2 solutions in 2021 marked Ethereum's transition from a single chain to a modular ecosystem.
In 2022, The Merge combined the existing execution layer with the consensus layer of the beacon chain, transitioning Ethereum from PoW to PoS.
In 2024, moving from 'Changing Finance' to 'Connecting Reality', Ethereum attempts to tell a more pragmatic story closer to the mainstream world through RWA, gradually becoming the institution's preferred choice; in the same year, 21Shares, Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, Fidelity, and Invesco were approved to start trading on July 23.
In 2025, Ethereum Reserve Sharplink Gaming launched a $1 billion stock issuance plan to purchase Ethereum $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #上市公司加密储备战略 .
From the initial vision of a 'World Computer' to gradually transforming into a financial settlement layer, and then to a modular blockchain and Real World Assets (RWA) narrative. Reviewing Ethereum's technological development, market positioning, and the continuous adjustment of its narrative reveals its role shift within the crypto industry and potential future directions.
Key Points
In 2014, Ethereum's founding vision was to become a 'World Computer' to run decentralized applications, but in reality, it mainly became a financial settlement layer.
The mining of the genesis block on July 30, 2015, marked the beginning of Frontier, and the Ethereum Foundation was established to promote the development and application of Ethereum technology.
The DAO incident in 2016 exposed the contradictions of technological idealism, leading to a community split and the birth of Ethereum Classic (ETC).
The ICO boom in 2017 transformed Ethereum from a 'World Computer' into a token issuance platform, exposing the gap between technological vision and market demand.
The success of DeFi in 2020 allowed Ethereum to find a market fit but also exposed performance bottlenecks, prompting adjustments in the technological roadmap.
The rise of Layer 2 solutions in 2021 marked Ethereum's transition from a single chain to a modular ecosystem.
In 2022, The Merge combined the existing execution layer with the consensus layer of the beacon chain, transitioning Ethereum from PoW to PoS.
In 2024, moving from 'Changing Finance' to 'Connecting Reality', Ethereum attempts to tell a more pragmatic story closer to the mainstream world through RWA, gradually becoming the institution's preferred choice; in the same year, 21Shares, Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, Fidelity, and Invesco were approved to start trading on July 23.
In 2025, Ethereum Reserve Sharplink Gaming launched a $1 billion stock issuance plan to purchase Ethereum $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #上市公司加密储备战略 .
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The technical trading points are indeed important
But if you have no understanding of Bitcoin
You still cannot safely reach the other side
The capital logic of the bull market has changed
Continue to maintain reading and persist in learning $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊十周年 #币安HODLer空投TREE #稳定币热潮
But if you have no understanding of Bitcoin
You still cannot safely reach the other side
The capital logic of the bull market has changed
Continue to maintain reading and persist in learning $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊十周年 #币安HODLer空投TREE #稳定币热潮
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The US SEC approves the physical redemption mechanism for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊十周年 #币安HODLer空投TREE #上市公司加密储备战略
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Strategy completed $2.521 billion financing and purchased 21,021 bitcoins at an average price of approximately $117,256 each.
As of July 30, Strategy holds 628,791 bitcoins, with a total purchase cost of approximately $46.8 billion and an average price of about $73,227. STRC will be listed on Nasdaq on July 30 with the trading number $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊十周年 #币安HODLer空投TREE #上市公司加密储备战略 .
As of July 30, Strategy holds 628,791 bitcoins, with a total purchase cost of approximately $46.8 billion and an average price of about $73,227. STRC will be listed on Nasdaq on July 30 with the trading number $BTC $ETH $XRP #以太坊十周年 #币安HODLer空投TREE #上市公司加密储备战略 .
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25/07/29 BTC daily line false breakdown, monthly line about to close, ETH remains strong
25/07/29 BTC daily line false breakdown, monthly line about to close, ETH remains strong
Bitcoin's daily line shows a false breakdown, a 4-hour descending wedge breakout retest, and the monthly line is about to close, so pay attention to the volatility in the next few days. Keep an eye on the changing period in the first week of next month.
Ethereum reached a new high yesterday, and today it is pulling back, with the lowest drop also around 3700 showing a short-term rebound. The previously mentioned 4-hour ascending triangle is still in operation.
Today I will mention a few indicators. The first is BTC D, the market cap ratio of Bitcoin. Many people feel that Bitcoin has peaked and is about to start a correction. However, my view has always been that since 2021, Bitcoin has been leading the market. Although there has been a ten percent correction in the last week or two, it is still above the ascending trend line and has not broken down. It is also still within this range, so whether it has peaked is still uncertain. If it continues to rebound and cannot create a new high before falling again, then we can consider that the probability of BTC D peaking is relatively high.
Bitcoin's daily line shows a false breakdown, a 4-hour descending wedge breakout retest, and the monthly line is about to close, so pay attention to the volatility in the next few days. Keep an eye on the changing period in the first week of next month.
Ethereum reached a new high yesterday, and today it is pulling back, with the lowest drop also around 3700 showing a short-term rebound. The previously mentioned 4-hour ascending triangle is still in operation.
Today I will mention a few indicators. The first is BTC D, the market cap ratio of Bitcoin. Many people feel that Bitcoin has peaked and is about to start a correction. However, my view has always been that since 2021, Bitcoin has been leading the market. Although there has been a ten percent correction in the last week or two, it is still above the ascending trend line and has not broken down. It is also still within this range, so whether it has peaked is still uncertain. If it continues to rebound and cannot create a new high before falling again, then we can consider that the probability of BTC D peaking is relatively high.
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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has postponed its decision on the Grayscale Solana ETF, with the new deadline set for October 10, 2025 $SOL
#上市公司加密储备战略 #BNB创新高 #Strategy未增持BTC
#上市公司加密储备战略 #BNB创新高 #Strategy未增持BTC
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If the news is true
The approval of the XRP spot ETF is not far away
XRP will become the first approved altcoin spot ETF$XRP
$BTC #币安HODLer空投TREE #ETH重返3800
The approval of the XRP spot ETF is not far away
XRP will become the first approved altcoin spot ETF$XRP
$BTC #币安HODLer空投TREE #ETH重返3800
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On July 27, BTC briefly fell before returning, ETH rises above 3800, is the altcoin season coming in the second half of the year? $BTC $ETH $XRP #ETH重返3800 #GalaxyDigital抛售比特币 #以太坊交易量反超比特币
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25/07/27 BTC false breakdown and return, ETH rises again to 3800, is the altcoin season coming in the second half of the year?
25/07/27 BTC false breakdown and return, ETH rises again to 3800, is the altcoin season coming in the second half of the year?
Bitcoin's weekly and monthly lines are about to close; the weekly line is likely to form a doji, while the monthly line has risen for four consecutive months, setting a new historical high. On the short term, there was a false breakdown on the daily line that recovered, which also aligns with the expectations. Previously, it was expected to drop to 114000 to fill the CME gap, but it only dropped to around 114700 before rebounding, and the current price is around 118000.
Ethereum formed a doji and has had a large bullish candle this month with an increase of over 50%. The weekly chart is likely to form a doji but the pullback is relatively weak, rising again above 3800. If it breaks through 3860, there is a chance to continue challenging the resistance at 4000 to 4100.
Bitcoin's weekly and monthly lines are about to close; the weekly line is likely to form a doji, while the monthly line has risen for four consecutive months, setting a new historical high. On the short term, there was a false breakdown on the daily line that recovered, which also aligns with the expectations. Previously, it was expected to drop to 114000 to fill the CME gap, but it only dropped to around 114700 before rebounding, and the current price is around 118000.
Ethereum formed a doji and has had a large bullish candle this month with an increase of over 50%. The weekly chart is likely to form a doji but the pullback is relatively weak, rising again above 3800. If it breaks through 3860, there is a chance to continue challenging the resistance at 4000 to 4100.
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