I have been immersed in the cryptocurrency industry for nearly a decade, fully experiencing the rise and fall of the market.
From the frenzy of ICOs to the boom of DeFi mining
From the speculative trends of altcoins to the steady investments in mainstream coins
I have almost witnessed and participated in all market forms.
After years of practical training and data validation
I found that the strategies that can truly sustain profits are actually quite simple:
Counter-cyclical layout and arbitrage across cycles.
Specifically, it means gradually building positions in mainstream assets in the bottom regions of bear markets and patiently waiting to exit gradually during the peaks of bull markets. Historical data clearly reveals the cyclical patterns of bull and bear markets in the cryptocurrency market: Bull markets usually last for 6 to 12 months, while bear market adjustments often last for 18 to 24 months, with a complete cycle lasting about 3 to 4 years. As long as this strategy is strictly followed, each cycle can lock in at least 300% or more of guaranteed returns.
This rate of return may seem unremarkable, but combined with its high certainty and compound effect, long-term returns far exceed those of traditional stocks, funds, and other investment channels. The core of success lies in strictly adhering to discipline, overcoming human weaknesses, and not being swayed by short-term fluctuations.
I am optimistic that my second brother can stabilize at 1800 today.
The current price is hovering between support and resistance levels, and the overall structure appears slightly bullish as the price is well above MA200 and large holders are leaning towards long positions.
Comprehensive analysis of technical indicators
MACD:
Market sentiment Large holder positions: Long positions about 62.84% vs short positions 37.16%, and among large holder accounts, long positions account for 72.22%. This indicates that institutional funds are overall leaning towards long positions. Funding rate: Currently at -0.0050%, slightly bearish but the magnitude is very small, having an insignificant impact on trading costs. Volume in the last 24 hours: The trading volume is 3,516,631 ETH, with stable volume, indicating a high level of market activity (the overall trading volume is quite active).
From the perspective of market sentiment:
Large holders' long positions are about 62.84% vs short positions 37.16%, and among large holder accounts, long positions account for 72.22%, indicating that institutional funds are overall leaning towards long positions.
The trading volume is 3,516,631 ETH, with stable volume, indicating a high level of market activity (the overall trading volume is quite active).
As of now, there has been no sign of any downturn, so how can we talk about a pullback?
May Altcoin Season Frenzy: These 4 Meme Coins Have Explosive Potential!
The market is optimistic about the upcoming altcoin season in May
I will recommend four MEME coins that may see significant price increases in the future: Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), PEPE, and BONK, and analyze their potential and risks.
MEME coins, as a unique branch of the cryptocurrency market, attract a large number of investors with their humorous cultural background and viral dissemination characteristics. From the original Dogecoin to the later Shiba Inu, MEME coins have not only become a paradise for speculators but have also gradually evolved into community-driven financial experiments. In the cryptocurrency market of 2025, with the continued fermentation of the Bitcoin bull market and the push from social media, MEME coins are expected to usher in a new wave of popularity.
According to historical patterns, the cryptocurrency market generally operates on a roughly four-year cycle: three years of bear markets followed by one year of a bull market.
During the bull market year, the first eight months are usually characterized by repeated fluctuations and consolidation, followed by a sharp rise in the middle two months, culminating in a peak during the final two months.
This bull market, strictly speaking, began in October 2023, and we are currently in a mid-stage consolidation phase.
The real explosive growth has yet to arrive, and it is expected to kick off around June or July of this year, concluding around October 2025.
Of course, this is merely a speculation based on past trends and may not be 100% accurate, but previous cycles have indeed followed a similar rhythm.
The cryptocurrency market will not always increase, nor will it continuously decline. Its growth rate is too rapid, necessitating short-term surges to catch up with the market capitalization of gold. Therefore, within the four-year cycle, the real wealth window may be concentrated in the final 3-4 months. Missing this window might mean waiting in vain, or even incurring losses.
Similarly, a market crash is the “great cleanup” of the crypto space, eliminating junk projects and short-term speculators. When a bear market arrives, aside from BTC and ETH, it’s best to liquidate other assets. The only cryptocurrency that may truly traverse the cycle is Bitcoin.
The wisest strategy at present is to remain patient and avoid impulsive actions. If you have already established your positions, maintain confidence in your choices. Minor adjustments are fine, but don’t make drastic moves lightly.
The real frenzy of a bull market is still on the way, and that will be the golden moment for harvesting!
In the past month, SUI has doubled in price, which is extremely rare for a large market cap public chain.
In September last year, I analyzed mainstream Layer 1 public chains and compared the situations of SUI and APT. At that time, SUI had an average daily trading volume of over 10 million transactions, while APT had only over 800,000 transactions. Additionally, the SUI Foundation has been very active, promoting development.
Back then, SUI was still relatively unknown, with a price of only $0.86; by the beginning of this year, it had soared to $5, and many people even called it the "next SOL."
Over the past year, SUI has invested a lot of effort in ecological construction, and only those who have deeply experienced its ecosystem can truly appreciate its efficiency and potential.
The President of the United States can have no achievements
But cannot have no actions
Chinese Foreign Ministry responds: The U.S. should stop self-directed performances!
The Foreign Ministry firmly debunks rumors: There have been no discussions on tariffs between China and the U.S. at all!
At today's regular press conference of the Foreign Ministry, a reporter mentioned the U.S. claiming that China and the U.S. are negotiating on tariffs.
In response, Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiajun unequivocally replied:
"Yesterday, I, along with my colleagues from the Ministry of Commerce, clearly clarified this point. There have been no discussions or negotiations between China and the U.S. on tariffs at all. The U.S. should not speak for itself and confuse the public!"