Kaspa's Supply Dynamics Signal Strong Holder Conviction
The inactive supply of $KAS has quietly reached new highs across nearly all time frames which is a really powerful and meaningful signal of growing confidence among long-term holders:
69% of the circulating supply hasnโt moved in 3+ months
52% held for 6+ months
32% for 1+ year
12.6% for 2+ years
3.56% untouched for 3+ years
This trend clearly shows that conviction is rising, and liquidity is tightening!
It's simple math, as more $KAS you moves and stack into cold storage, the available supply on the market shrinks which creates the kind of conditions that often precede major upward price revaluations aka supply shock!. I believe #Kaspa tends to reward patience, and right now, patience is being shown in size.
Kaspaโs fundamentals are speaking clearly and confidently.
After Whale #2's heavy $KAS purchase yesterday, I fitted a polynomial regression model to this whale's #Kaspa purchase activity and achieved an Rยฒ score of ~0.9769.
In my opinion It suggests the whale's buying pattern follows a highly predictable curve over time. This level of fit indicates consistent, possibly algorithmic accumulation behavior rather than random or reactive trading. Such predictable activity points to a long-term accumulation strategy which can be a valuable signal because it shows smart money is accumulating Kaspa.
For your information, the final average buy price for this whale right now is 0.1228$ and this whale is in 30% loss , if it has bought the real price, but we know that this is highly unlikely as this whale has most probably bought all the purchases OTC.
$KAS is moving in the power law corridor . As we can see we bounced off from the bottom at slightly below the 0.05 quantile , something that had happened just once in #Kaspa 's early days. In hindsight we can arguably view the lasst year price action as a bear market for kaspa.
The top of this corridor , 0.95 quantile could potentially take us to more than $1 in 5-6 months .
Another factor for reaching $1 is much higher daily volumes , because price/volume also follows a power law with and R^2 of 0.93 NFA Crypto Proselyte