Cash of King

October 24 Cash Of King 【Self-Developed Monitoring Tool】 Brings You the Dense Order Zones for BTC / ETH

1: Order Data Distribution
BTC
Above: 67678 to 69708 has a large number of dense order volumes
Below: 65172 to 64242 has a large number of dense order volumes
Largest Order Size: 69766
ETH
Above: 2656 to 2722 has a large number of dense order volumes
Below: 2416 to 2388 has a large number of dense order volumes
Largest Order Size: 2388

2: Volatility Data
BTC
Implied Volatility (IV): Slightly rising, at a high level
Historical Volatility (RV): Rapidly rising, at a low level
ETH
Implied Volatility (IV): Slightly rising, at a high level
Historical Volatility (RV): Rapidly rising, at a low level
Ps: The term structure differential is narrowing, and the volatility surface is abnormally double-peaked

3: Strike Analysis
Overall Put Ratio of Options: 54.6%
BTC-ETH-OI: Slight differentiation, BTC-OI is at a low level
ETH-OI is at the median, leaning towards large holders
OI is at an extremely low level
Ps: Pay attention to mild grinding, and watch for steps after repeated fluctuations.

October 23 Cash Of King 【Self-developed Monitoring Tool】 brings you the dense order areas for BTC/ETH;

1: Order Data Distribution
BTC
Above: 69630 to 70846 has a large amount of dense limit orders
Below: 66538 to 64466 has a huge amount of dense limit orders
Maximum Order Unit: 65868

ETH
Above: 2656 to 2722 has a large amount of dense limit orders
Below: 2606 to 2526 has a huge amount of dense limit orders
Maximum Order Unit: 2526

2: Volatility Data
BTC
IV slightly decreased, at a high level
RV significantly decreased, at an extremely low level

ETH
IV slightly decreased, at a high level
RV significantly decreased, at a recent extremely low level

Volatility Surface: High stilt, term structure disparity is large (space premium is extremely high)

3: Strike Analysis
BTC-ETH-OI slightly decreased, at a recent low, leaning towards large holders
OI is at an extremely low level
Note: "Mom, I'm going to deliver food" and "To the Moon - Mom, I'm going to buy Earth" alternate appearance

#币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 #ETHBTC汇率新低 #盘整行情分析 #BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

On October 22, Cash King [Self-developed Order Monitoring Model] brought you BTC/ETH data! !

Order data distribution
BTC
Bottom: 66060 to 64460 There are a lot of buy orders
Above: 69626 to 70969 There are a lot of intensive orders
Maximum order position: 65826

ETH
Bottom: 2538 to 2506 There are a lot of buy orders
Above: 2688 to 2718 There are a large number of intensive orders
Maximum order level: 2547

Volatility data
BTC
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down, at a high level
Historical volatility (RV): rapidly down, at a recent low

ETH
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down, at a high level
Historical volatility (RV): rapidly down, at a recent low
Volatility surface: double-warp, large difference in term structure

Exercise analysis
Same-day exercise: mainly bullish
Note: Combined with option block transactions, beware of large crushing fluctuations after "dead cat jump"
Overall bearish side of options accounted for: 54.4%

Latest block transactions
BTC-ETH-OI: sharply down, at a medium level, biased towards large investors
OI dropped rapidly, at an extremely low level, pay attention to repeated fluctuations,
Beware of the "Battle of Maling"

Overall situation
In the current market environment, volatility has increased, traders need to operate with caution, and pay attention to major support and resistance levels. At the same time, observe the changes in open contracts to determine market trends

#BTC #ETH #美降息25个基点预期升温 #市场动态

📈 Recently, ECB economists Ulrich Bindseil and Jürgen Schaaf published a paper titled "The Distributional Consequences of Bitcoin," delving into the limitations and impacts of Bitcoin.

💡 They believe that Bitcoin will continue to rise in the foreseeable future, but this may also brew a huge bubble without economic fundamentals, prompting countries to strengthen regulations on cryptocurrencies.

Italy: Increased the capital gains tax on Bitcoin.
Netherlands: Proposed an exit tax.
United Kingdom: If money earned from cryptocurrencies is used to buy a house, a mortgage cannot be applied for.

🔍 We will conduct a thematic interpretation, welcome to follow our channel for more information!

#比特币 #欧央行 #加密货币 #投资

Attention! Attention!

Single bar rapid fluctuation after slow rolling!

On October 21, Cash is King brings you the options market data of BTC and ETH!

Data distribution
BTC
Dense orders above: 69777 to 71076
Dense orders below: 68032 to 64132
Maximum order level: 64486
ETH
Dense orders above: 2848 to 2896
Dense orders below: 2628 to 2486
Maximum order level: 2526

Volatility data
BTC Implied volatility (IV): A sharp increase, at an extremely high level
Historical volatility (RV): A sharp decrease, at an extremely low level in recent times ETH
Implied volatility (IV): Climbing up, at an extremely high level
Historical volatility (RV): Flat, at a recent low level
Volatility surface: Stilts, large term difference

Exercise analysis
Exercise on the day: Mainly bullish
BTC
69500 ​​to 70000: There are a large number of bearish exercises, pay attention to the risk area formed.
ETH
2800: A large number of options are bullish, pay attention to the high volatility after the liquidation.

Latest bulk transactions
Futures side of major options exchanges
BTC: 70300 Add a sell order
ETH: 2789 Add a sell order

Overall situation
Overall bullish side of options: 58.2%
BTC-ETH-OI slightly differentiated: BTC-OI: in the middle
ETH-OI: at a recent high, biased towards large households OI (open contracts): a sharp drop, at a high level

Pay attention to the volatility of "Grass Mud Horse" and the "Punic Wars"
#BTC突破7万大关 #BTC #ETH

October 18 Market Dynamic Analysis

1. Order data distribution
Bitcoin ($BTC):
There is a large amount of intensive trading orders in the 68368 to 69326 area above. There was also significant buy order below in the 66508 to 64418 area. Maximum order size: 64519.

Ethereum ($ETH):
There are relatively intensive buying orders in the 2655 to 2721 area above. There are also a large number of orders in the 2572 to 2481 area below. Maximum order size: 2526.
Note: A sell order emerged at the 68260 price point, in contrast to the buy order at the 59300 price point.

2. Volatility data
Bitcoin (BTC):
Implied Volatility (IV): Up slightly and at recent lows. Realized Volatility (RV): Sharply down, at extreme lows.
Ethereum (ETH):
Implied Volatility (IV): Slightly higher, still at recent lows. Realized Volatility (RV): Significant decline, indicating lack of market activity.
Volatility surface: The current difference is relatively high, so we need to pay attention to market changes.
Reminder: Exercise caution when experiencing rapid fluctuations.

3. Exercise analysis
The current market is mainly bullish: Bitcoin (BTC): There are more bearish exercise situations at 64,000 points. Ethereum (ETH): There is also a put strike at 2500.

4. Latest block transactions
Market situation:
The bullish and bearish ratios are close, and the market sentiment is slightly cautious.
Positions and Trader Sentiment:
Bitcoin holdings are lower. Ethereum’s holdings are higher.
Note: You need to pay attention to market fluctuations in order to adjust your strategy in a timely manner.

5. Overall situation
Overall bullish share of options: 50.8%
Ps: The bullish side is slightly above 50%, indicating that market sentiment is relatively cautious.
Position differentiation:
BTC & ETH: OI is extremely divergent: BTC-OI is at a low level. ETH-OI is at recent highs, favoring large investors. OI is at extremely low levels.
Ps: "Battle of Guandu" reminds you to pay attention to the emergence of extremely fast rolling fluctuations.
Summarize

This market dynamics indicates that there is a certain risk of volatility, and investors should remain vigilant and manage risks reasonably to achieve stable transactions.

#比特币 #市场动态 #投资策略 #风险管理 #波动率分析

Why are prices in catching-up economies low?

In addition to comparing CPI year-on-year and month-on-month in the time dimension, prices also need to be compared in space, that is, the domestic price level and the international price level. For example, the consumption level in large cities is generally high, and the consumption level in rural areas is low. This is the distribution of prices in space.
On the surface, the difference in price levels lies in local income, etc., but more importantly, an environment with low price levels is more conducive to backward economies to quickly accumulate capital through savings. Therefore, for developing countries with a strong desire to catch up with developed economies, they will inevitably tend to control residents' income and labor surplus to complete the rapid accumulation of original capital.

We often say that development can cover up all problems, but there is no eternal development. The economy itself has cycles, and suppressed residents' income and domestic demand often break out during counter-cyclical times. At this time, if the government continues to maintain the idea of ​​​​investment to stimulate the economy, it will suffer a great loss, because the money transmission chain is too long. It is more reasonable to focus more on ensuring people's livelihood, such as improving pension and medical benefits for people outside the system, increasing the duration and amount of youth unemployment benefits, and stabilizing asset prices by using special bonds to repurchase foreclosed properties and build long-term rental housing.

1. Order data distribution
$BTC
There are a lot of concentrated orders from 62488 to 64964 above. There are a lot of concentrated orders from 60221 to 59426 below. The maximum order level: 59788.
$ETH
There are a lot of concentrated orders from 2446 to 2569 above. There are a lot of concentrated orders from 2352 to 2326 below. The maximum order level: 2341.
Note: The huge orders prompted by BTC and ETH yesterday have been largely digested. The recent order data is extremely abnormal. Don't hold orders.

2. Volatility data
BTC:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down, at a high level
Ps: High IV usually indicates that the market's expectations for future price fluctuations have increased.
Realized volatility (RV): slightly up, at an extremely low level
Ps: Extremely low RV may indicate a lack of market activity.
ETH:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down. Actual volatility (RV): slightly down, at an extremely low level
Ps: The lower RV reflects the lack of market activity.
Volatility surface: abnormally high, with a large term difference.

3. Exercise analysis
The exercise on that day was mainly bullish, combined with the option block trading: BTC: There were a large number of bearish exercises at 64,000. ETH: There were a large number of bearish exercises at 2,500.
Note: The pattern of building steps, beware of the rapid single-root fluctuations after back and forth.

4. The latest block trading
Overall situation of options:
Putative end ratio: 54.4%
Ps: The put end is slightly higher than 50%, indicating that the market sentiment is cautious.
Positions and trader sentiment:
BTC & ETH: OI is severely differentiated: BTC-OI is at a low level. ETH-OI is at an extremely high level, biased towards large investors. OI difference is significantly differentiated, BTC-OI is at an extremely low level, and ETH-OI is at a high level.
Ps: ETH data is extremely abnormal, and you need to pay attention to mild extreme volatility and "stair climbing" phenomenon.

Yesterday's market: 59300 traded a large number of buy orders, with the same proportion as 65280 sell orders.

This market dynamic shows the potential risk of extreme volatility, especially when the market orders and volatility data are abnormal, investors need to remain vigilant, operate cautiously, and avoid blindly holding positions.

#比特币 #以太坊 #市场动态 #投资策略

$ETH Big market is coming! !
On October 10, Cash Of King brings you today's data sharing!

1. Order data distribution
$BTC :
There are a large number of concentrated orders at 62488 to 64964 above.
There are a large number of concentrated orders at 60221 to 59426 below.
Maximum order level: 59788.
ETH:
There are a large number of concentrated orders at 2446 to 2569 above.
There are a large number of concentrated orders at 2352 to 2326 below.
Maximum order level: 2341.
Note: The huge orders prompted by BTC and ETH yesterday have been largely digested. The recent order data is extremely abnormal. Don't hold orders.

2. Volatility data
BTC:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down, still at a high level
Ps: High IV usually indicates that the market expects more future price fluctuations.

Realized volatility (RV): extremely low, extremely low
Ps: Extremely low RV may indicate a lack of market activity.

ETH:
Implied volatility (IV): hovering at a high level
Ps: Continued high IV indicates market uncertainty.

Realized volatility (RV): extremely low, extremely low
Ps: Extremely low RV also reflects insufficient market activity.

Volatility surface: abnormally high, with a huge term difference.

3. Exercise analysis
The day's exercise is mainly bullish,
Combined with large option transactions:
BTC: 62,000 has a large number of exercise bullish support.
ETH: There are a large number of exercise bearish at 2,600, pay attention to the resistance formed.
Note: After experiencing the extreme single-bar market after the crush, the "To the Moon" trend after the downward injection still needs attention.

4. Latest bulk transactions
BTC:
There are a large number of buy orders from 58926 to 57029 below.
ETH:
There are a large number of buy orders from 2246 to 2031 below.

5. Overall situation
Bearish side ratio: 52.1%
Ps: The bearish side is slightly higher than 50%, indicating that market sentiment is cautious.

Positions and trader sentiment:
BTC & ETH: OI is in the middle, biased towards large households, and OI is at an extremely low level.
Tips:
This market dynamic shows the potential risk of extreme volatility, especially when the market order and volatility data are abnormal, investors need to be vigilant, operate cautiously, and avoid blind positions.
#6万保卫战 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #市场预测 Dynamics #投资策略

October 9, $BTC $ETH data report
Note, there are fluctuations today!!

BTC/ETH data analysis on October 8

Hong Kong stocks HSI rose again by 9.23% during the National Day holiday, laying the foundation for the high opening of A-shares after the holiday.

Bairen Medical issued an announcement on October 7 that it would use new re-lending tools to increase its holdings of stocks, and then changed to use its own or self-raised funds. This morning, Bairen Medical rose by 20%.

Many banks have opened 7x24-hour bank-securities transfer services and advanced the time of three-party transfer business to ensure liquidity.

Xu Zhong, vice president of the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors, pointed out that the creation of new monetary tools does not mean that the central bank will directly expand its balance sheet, but it is to improve the long-term market system. Bank credit funds cannot enter the stock market, which is still a red line
 
Qin Shuo: From policy-driven bull market to new quality long bull market
 
After the opening, many brokerage exchanges failed, and the time for breaking the trillion-yuan trading volume was refreshed again (unlike the failure of the Shanghai Stock Exchange server, this time only affected some brokerages)
 
 
At 10:18 on October 8, the financial management department has conducted window guidance, and bank credit funds are strictly prohibited from entering the stock market in violation of regulations
 
National Development and Reform Commission: Continue to issue ultra-long-term special treasury bonds; expand the scope of support for local special bonds; study tax support for unemployment insurance, assist enterprises to stabilize employment; expand domestic demand and increase policies to benefit people's livelihood and promote consumption.
 
Summary: The official attitude is that monetary policy and fiscal policy will work together to improve fundamental expectations. While building confidence, we should lay a good foundation, but don't let capital prices be quickly copied. Combined with the previous trend of the national team CICC mainly buying broad-based ETFs, it can be seen that the country hopes to go slow and long this time. Try to be like the United States in the future, and invest in indexes to make the whole people rich. It can be expected that policies will not pour cold water on the market in the short term, but will frequently use other means to calm the market.

Cash of King: Observation on the Chinese stock market on October 8

Good afternoon, everyone! During your lunch break, I would like to share some of my views on the A-share market on October 8, hoping to provide some reference for everyone.

News analysis
The increase is too fast: Recently, some securities firms have announced that they will no longer accept quotes for individual stock options, which may be a signal of overheated market.
Trading volume surges: The trading volume of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing has exceeded 2 trillion, showing the influx of funds.
Strengthened financial supervision: Financial management departments have begun window guidance and clearly prohibit bank credit funds from entering the stock market to maintain market stability.
Market observation
Today, the market opened high and then fell back. The current price is in the middle area of ​​today's time-sharing range. This fluctuation reflects the changes in the mood of market participants.

Personal opinion
From the news perspective, the simple understanding is that the current market funds and participants are relatively crowded. Market participation funds are growing exponentially, and financial policies are also conducting credit control. I personally think this is both for market regulation and risk control.

The market opened high and then fell. I think this is normal. After all, it is impossible to keep rising. There will definitely be a pullback. The current market situation is overheated and the future direction is full of uncertainty. In this case, we need to pay attention to risk management and retracement control.

It is recommended that you set a retracement price that you can accept. If the price falls below this point, no matter what news happens around, you must leave the market in time to protect your profits. If the price does not fall below the set retracement level, we can continue to hold, and gradually increase the preset retracement price as the price rises to protect our potential profits.

The above is my view on the market and my operating ideas. It is not an investment suggestion. It is for your reference only. I wish you all a smooth investment and big profits!

A-shares experience severe volatility: Market review on October 8
In today's trading, China's stock market experienced significant fluctuations, investor sentiment was mixed, and market trends attracted widespread attention.
At 9:26, during the call auction stage, some investors reported that they were unable to perform buying operations. With the opening of the market,
By 9:30, the price limit across the board showed strong buying power. However, this optimistic trend did not last long.
At 9:45, an abnormal situation occurred in the options market, and a market maker could not be found to undertake call options (calls), triggering market concerns about liquidity. Immediately afterwards,
At 9:50, the GEM's implied volatility (IV) quickly rose to 180, indicating that the market's expectations for future price fluctuations have increased significantly.
Subsequently,
At 9:52, the Shanghai Composite Index began to correct, and market sentiment turned cautious.
By 10:35, the FTSE A50 index had fallen by 10%, further exacerbating investors' concerns.

This series of changes was described by market participants as a vivid experience lesson. Many so-called "investors" who poured in with "stud" loans were regarded as "original sins that have not changed for thousands of years", reflecting the problems in the capital market. Risks and opportunities coexist.

Cash of King reminds everyone that when facing market fluctuations, investors should remain calm and rational, and evaluate risks reasonably to avoid unnecessary losses.