On October 4, Cash of King used its own tools to analyze and bring you today’s options order status.
1. Futures trends of major exchanges
There is a large amount of intensive trading orders above 62288 to 63226.
There is a large amount of intensive order volume from 59716 to 58996 below.
Maximum order size: 59281
There is a large amount of intensive trading orders above 2366 to 2428.
There is a large amount of intensive trading orders between 2308 and 2276 below.
Maximum order size: 2428
2. Volatility situation
BTC:
Implied Volatility (IV): Stairs up, at high levels
Realized Volatility (RV): Down slightly, at extreme highs
ETH:
Implied Volatility (IV): Down slightly, still high
Realized Volatility (RV): Down slightly, at extreme highs
Ps: A high IV usually indicates increased market expectations for future price fluctuations.
Ps: RV reflects the past price fluctuations of an asset.
3. Volatility surface
Volatility surface: stilts, large term differences.
Ps: A large term structure gap may indicate a significant difference in volatility expectations between short-term and long-term contracts, which may reflect the market's different views on risks in certain time periods.
4. Exercise option analysis
The options exercised on the day are mainly bullish:
BTC: 63,000 to 65,000 are heavily exercised bearish, watch for resistance forming.
ETH: There is a large number of bearish strikes at 2450, watch for resistance forming.
Pay attention to combining options with large-volume transactions to avoid inertial thinking.
5. Overall status of options
Bullish share: 51.6%
Ps: The bullish side accounting for more than 50% indicates that the market as a whole is biased towards the bullish side, which may reflect investors’ expectations for future price increases.
6. Futures trends of major exchanges: refer to yesterday
7:. Positions and Trader Sentiment
BTC & ETH:
Open interest (OI) is at recent lows, favoring large traders.
OI rose slightly and is at an extremely low level. ("Trojan horse")
Ps: "Trojan horse" represents possible potential risks.
