Cash of King analyzed by its own tools on October 3
Bringing you today’s options order status
The order volume of intensive trading at the top: 62489 to 65006
The order volume of intensive trading below: 59826 to 58906
Maximum order size: 59286
The order volume of intensive trading at the top: 2488 to 2546
The order volume of intensive trading below: 2432 to 2318
Maximum order size: 2546
2. Volatility situation
BTC
Implied Volatility (IV): Down slightly, still high
Realized Volatility (RV): Rapidly rising, at extremely high levels
ETH
Implied Volatility (IV): Down, at highs
Realized Volatility (RV): Rapidly rising, at extremely high levels
PS: A high IV usually indicates increased market expectations for future price fluctuations
PS: RV reflects the past price fluctuations of an asset
5: Volatility surface: abnormal, large difference in term structure
PS: Large term structure differences may indicate significant differences in volatility expectations between short-term and long-term contracts, possibly reflecting different market perceptions of risk over certain time periods.
4. Exercise option analysis
BTC: Massive puts concentrated in the 65,000 to 67,000 range
ETH: Massive puts concentrated at 2500
5. Observation on option block trading: Extremely fast single bars crush fluctuations, focus on moderation to accumulate strength
6. Overall status of options
Bearish share: 57.6%
PS: The proportion of bearish prices exceeding 50% indicates that the market as a whole is biased toward bearishness, which may reflect investors’ expectations of future price declines.
8: Futures trends of major exchanges
BTC
Add new buy orders from 59986 to 59026 below, refer to yesterday’s data
7. Positions and trader sentiment may cause trends
BTCÐ
Open interest (OI) has dropped sharply, is at a low level, and is biased towards large investors, note: "Yue Fei's Northern Expedition"
PS: "Yue Fei's Northern Expedition" represents a possible strong rebound, but we need to be alert to changes in market sentiment.
