I see a lot of people have been banned today, two of my friends' accounts were also banned, basically they were playing with their own money, and they can still be banned?
Current Trend Analysis Daily Structure: BTC is currently in a high-level consolidation phase, with strong resistance near the previous high of 111980. The daily chart shows a rebound for two consecutive days but failed to effectively break through the previous high. Although MACD is in the golden cross zone, the momentum bars are relatively weak, indicating that the bullish momentum has not yet increased significantly.
Hourly Structure: After a short-term rebound above 107800, there was a quick pullback, currently retesting the EMA60 support around 106000-106200; MACD shows signs of a top divergence, indicating a need for short-term adjustments.
Key Moving Averages: EMA60 and EMA144 are entangled near 106510 and 106364, forming the current trend inflection point.
Volume Performance: Increased volume on the rebound + decreased volume on the pullback, which is a healthy washout structure, but the trapped positions above are still heavy.
Trading Strategy Bullish Strategy
Entry Point: After consolidating in the 105800-106200 range, stabilize above EMA60/EMA144 to attempt a light position entry.
Stop Loss: Below 104800 (breaking the structure confirms a weak turn to bearish)
Take Profit: 107800 / 109500 / Previous High 111980 (take profit in batches)
Bearish Strategy
Entry Point: When rebounding near 107800 without breaking, and forming an upper shadow to suppress, attempt a short position.
Stop Loss: Above 108400
Take Profit: 106200 / 105000 / Extreme Support 104000
Operational Suggestions Signal Confirmation: Bulls may wait for stabilization with decreased volume around 106000 or a breakout with increased volume before re-entering, while bears should primarily focus on shorting when the rebound does not break the previous high.
Position Control: The overall market is still leaning towards strong consolidation; light positions for probing are advisable, and it is important to avoid chasing prices and excessive heavy positions.
Emotional Management: The market has been volatile for several days; do not blindly operate emotionally due to short-term fluctuations. Strictly execute the entry and exit point settings and respect stop losses. (This does not constitute investment advice)
Current Trend Analysis (Combined Daily + 1-Hour Chart) Daily Level: Price has pulled back near EMA60 and stopped falling, with multiple lower shadows indicating effective support below. Currently, a small bullish candle has formed, but overall it remains in a high-level consolidation area;
MACD is below the zero line, with the two lines parallel, showing no obvious volume divergence in the short term;
Trading volume has decreased, indicating limited active selling pressure below, with more of a wait-and-see sentiment;
1-Hour Level: Price has just broken through the EMA60 resistance around 106200 but is once again facing pressure, resulting in a pullback;
After the MACD's bullish crossover at a low level, momentum has slowed, and there is a high possibility that the short-term correction is coming to an end;
Currently, the overall formation resembles a "V-shaped rebound + flag consolidation" pattern, but the right shoulder has not yet formed a new high;
The 106600~106800 range is a short-term resistance zone. It is not advisable to aggressively chase highs before a significant volume breakout.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
Bullish Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider entering light long positions when prices stabilize near 104200
Stop Loss Position: Below 103000 (if broken, the short-term structure will deteriorate completely)
Take Profit Target: 106000-106500 range
Bearish Strategy:
Entry Point: You may try short positions when encountering resistance in the 106500-106800 range
Stop Loss Position: Above 107800 (if broken, quickly stop loss and withdraw short positions)
Take Profit Target: 104400 - 103000
Summary of Operation Suggestions:
Current price is located in the mid-axis consolidation area, and market volume has not increased, making the risks of chasing highs and lows higher;
You may wait for the price to approach key levels of 106500 or 104200;
If BTC still struggles to stay above 106800 in the next 24 hours, the bullish structure may pause, entering range consolidation or even weakening; (Does not constitute investment advice)
1. Daily Trend Structure The main trend is still in the pullback correction phase of a continuing bull market, but the recent two consecutive bearish candles have clearly broken the short-term bullish rhythm. Additionally, yesterday closed with a medium bearish candle, confirming the support at EMA60, and it is currently oscillating above it.
MACD is converging again after a golden cross at a high level and is about to form a death cross, indicating that short-term momentum is waning.
Trading volume has moderately increased, suggesting that the current selling pressure has not yet been fully released, and the bulls have not completely absorbed the sell-off.
2. 1-Hour Chart Structure A significant spike followed by a pullback has just formed, along with a death cross at EMA, currently the price is under pressure below EMA60 and EMA144 (moving average resistance zone).
MACD failed after a golden cross below the zero line, transitioning into sideways oscillation with weak directional movement. In the short term, a weak rebound or consolidation may occur.
Volume has significantly decreased, indicating that the rebound lacks strength and the upward momentum is weak.
Lower support levels: 104000 (previous daily support) / 102500 (previous low range) / 100372 (previous low extreme defense) Bearish Strategy (Recommended Priority) Entry Point: Rebound to around 106500 meets resistance and fails
Stop Loss: Above 107800 (breaks above rebound)
Take Profit: 104000 / 102500 / 100500 (in batches)
1. Signal Confirmation Bears need to wait for a rebound resistance before entering (a stagnation bearish candle appears on the 5-minute or 15-minute level)
Bulls need to confirm the appearance of a bullish candle at the daily level before considering an attempt (preferably a strong volume bullish candle)
2. Position Control The daily structure is clearly weakening, and the rebound is weak, making it unsuitable for heavy one-sided bets at current levels (Does not constitute investment advice)
MA60 and MA144 are both in a bullish arrangement, the long-term trend remains upward;
However, currently there have been three consecutive days forming upper shadow + bearish candlestick combinations, indicating clear resistance at high levels;
MACD death cross is forming, red bars are shortening, momentum is weakening;
Today’s decline has increased volume, exceeding 8K in transaction volume, marking the highest recently, indicating concentrated capital outflow behavior.
1-Hour Chart Level:
A large bearish candlestick has directly broken through the previous high platform and MA60 support;
There is almost no effective support below, and bearish momentum is very strong;
MACD has quickly broken down, green bars are lengthening, and the decline is very obvious;
Current price is near a strong support area around 103000, but there are no obvious signs of a stop in decline.
🎯 Precise Trading Strategy ✅ Bearish Strategy (Recommended) Entry Price: If it rebounds to the 104500 - 105000 range and fails to break through, a short position can be taken.
Stop Loss Level: 105700 (breakthrough structure + moving average band)
First Take Profit Level: 102800
Second Take Profit Level: 101500
⛔️ Bullish Strategy (Cautious Observation) Prerequisite: Need to see a stop in decline signal in the 102500~103000 range, and a volume Pin Bar or engulfing bullish candlestick must appear.
Otherwise, it is not recommended to chase rebounds currently, as it may continue to plunge and trigger stop losses.
Better, I was frantically increasing the trading volume yesterday and got squeezed badly. Fortunately, I can recover a bit; otherwise, I would have lost a lot. It would be even better if the dog庄 could pull the market up. How are you guys doing?
Bitcoin ahr999 holding coin indicator: It is a tool used to evaluate the timing of Bitcoin investments. It combines the price of Bitcoin and its 200-day cost of dollar-cost averaging, helping investors determine whether the market is undervalued or overvalued.
Below 0.45: Bitcoin may be undervalued and is suitable for buying. 0.45 to 1.2: Bitcoin price is reasonable and suitable for dollar-cost averaging. Above 1.2: Bitcoin may be overvalued and caution is needed.
During bull market peaks, this indicator can reach 10 or even exceed 10. Recently, it has been hovering below 1. So there's no need to panic; Bitcoin's bull market still has a way to go.
Bitcoin ahr999 holding coin indicator: It is a tool used to evaluate the timing of Bitcoin investments. It combines the price of Bitcoin and its 200-day cost of dollar-cost averaging, helping investors determine whether the market is undervalued or overvalued.
Below 0.45: Bitcoin may be undervalued and is suitable for buying. 0.45 to 1.2: Bitcoin price is reasonable and suitable for dollar-cost averaging. Above 1.2: Bitcoin may be overvalued and caution is needed.
During bull market peaks, this indicator can reach 10 or even exceed 10. Recently, it has been hovering below 1. So there's no need to panic; Bitcoin's bull market still has a way to go.