董峰俊-财经博主

Bitcoin focuses on two points tonight
1: Support area above 106K, forming a double bottom below the door (if supported, it will return to the previous wide range oscillation, and may even usher in a new wave of increase)
2: Pressure at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, if it cannot break through, the downward trend will continue, and there is a high probability of a big coin below 100K with a 9 in the first digit)

The author personally leans towards the latter, breaking below 100K, a big coin with a 9 in the first digit
$BTC #加密市场回调

Just now, the big sun has surged, and there will be a certain continuation at the short-term level. Friends in the bearish camp should not enter aggressively; instead, they can patiently wait to short after the next wave of surge. The 4-hour big candlestick has reached the upper band of the Bollinger Band and has not quickly closed, indicating that the buying pressure in the short term is still quite strong. Pay close attention to the resistance level around 90600 above, as this will be the watershed for bulls and bears in the 4-hour cycle.

From the perspective of the larger cycle, the subjective view should still maintain a bearish outlook. The pullback has not yet ended, and reversal signals have not yet appeared. Today's strategy remains to short on rebounds.

Short on the rebound of the big coin in the 90000-90600 range, with a target of 87000-86000$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币流动性

The Bitcoin faces resistance, forming a long upper shadow, initiating a downward trend, and there is still some space below. Do not rush to buy the dip; instead, observe the changes and wait for the bottom to be established. Only after confirming the reversal signal should one consider placing long positions; it is still too early. Today, the outlook for Bitcoin remains bearish.

Short Bitcoin around 90300, target 85000-84000.
Short Ethereum around 3060, target 2880-2830.
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储降息预期升温 $BTC $ETH

The momentum for Bitcoin is relatively weak, the upper space is getting narrower, and we are currently entering the next downside range. The mindset remains to keep a main bearish outlook without doubt; what needs to drop will still drop. Bears may be late but will never be absent. Go short on Bitcoin at 89600-90400, with a target of 85000-84000. Go short on Ethereum at 3060-3100, with a target of 2960-2880#ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH .

In the short term, the price of Bitcoin has been oscillating in this low range, bouncing up and down, creating a false impression and slowly shaking the firm mindset. Now is a critical period for maintaining a firm mindset; one must not be misled.

In the 4-hour structural chart, although there is short-term support holding at the bottom, the overall trend is just continuously testing the lower support without showing a strong rebound after the tests. This indicates that the overall market buying momentum is not very strong; there are no long-term holders, and buying is primarily based on short-term strategies after testing the bottom, making it difficult to maintain a sustained upward movement in the coin price. Therefore, the market outlook still maintains a bearish direction.

First support below: 83700, second support: 80600

First resistance above: 90500, second resistance: 92600, third resistance: 94500

Today's strategy
Short on Bitcoin when it rebounds to the 88800-89500 range, targeting 84500-83700.
Short on Ethereum when it rebounds to the 3000-3040 range, targeting 2880-2830.
#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

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The Bitcoin price is still bearish tonight, and there is undoubtedly more room below. The bottom support has not yet been reached, and the current trend is probing Bitcoin 80000, with a very high possibility of Ethereum 2600.

The support levels to pay attention to below are Bitcoin 83500 and Ethereum 2730. If it successfully breaks down, at the very least, it will pierce through to a new low position below. For those looking to buy the dip, it is not yet the right time; just be patient. $BTC $ETH #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

Last night, Bitcoin experienced a downward probe without providing an effective rebound. Instead, it oscillated and recovered throughout the day. Currently, from an overall structural perspective, there is still room for further decline in the market, and the trend is also showing a downward pattern. The short-term trend is quite clear, and shorting Bitcoin is the preferred option. Therefore, the most important thing is to determine at which position to short. Pay attention to the upper resistance range of 88800-89500,

Short Bitcoin when it rebounds to 88800, add to the short position at 89500, with a stop-loss at 90200.

Short Ethereum when it rebounds to 2980, add to the short position at 3040, with a stop-loss at 3088#美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 $BTC $ETH .

From the perspective of the 4-hour structure chart and technical indicators, there has been a significant pullback from the previous high, and the short-term trend shows characteristics of being under pressure and fluctuating.

The current price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, operating between the middle band and the lower band, and the lower band has not yet shown a significant downward opening, indicating that although the short-term is weakening, it has not entered an extreme downward trend and is still within the range defined by the Bollinger Bands.

From the perspective of the Bollinger Band pattern, the short-term moving averages show a downward turning trend, diverging from the price, reflecting a decrease in short-term upward momentum. The price quickly fell back after rising near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which is a typical technical correction after being overbought, and during the correction process, the trading volume did not show extreme increases, indicating that the bears have not yet formed a sustained selling trend.

Short-term attention should be paid to the effectiveness of support at 89300 (Bollinger Bands lower band). If this position can hold, the price is likely to fluctuate and repair between the middle band and the lower band, with a subsequent attempt to rebound towards the middle band at 91500; if the lower band is effectively broken, the probability of further probing the previous low of 87600 increases. On the upside, the resistance at 94500 Bollinger Bands upper band needs to be closely monitored; only by regaining the upper band can the short-term pressure pattern be reversed and the upward trend restarted.

Intra-day trading suggestions

For Bitcoin, consider going long in the 89300-88800 range, targeting 92000-92800.

For Ethereum, consider going long in the 3130-3100 range, targeting 3250-3280.
$BTC $ETH #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

Daily level: The market has formed a bottom support structure, and the upward pattern is gradually taking shape. Bullish signs are emerging, and the $100,000 mark will become a key pivot for the bulls and bears.

4-hour level: Prices are receiving strong support from the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with bulls pushing the large bullish candlestick upward, effectively opening up upward space. Currently, although there is a brief pullback, the pullback strength is weak, and the overall Bollinger Bands are showing an upward trend. The probability of the coin price continuing to rise is high, and the overall strategy is to maintain a low long position.

Bitcoin: A pullback to the 91500-92000 range can set up long positions, targeting the 95000-96000 range.

Ethereum: A pullback to the 3220-3260 range can set up long positions, targeting the 3440-3480 range.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH

Daily level: The market has formed a bottom support structure, and the upward pattern is gradually taking shape. Bullish signs are emerging, and the $100,000 mark will become a key pivot for the bulls and bears.

4-hour level: Prices are receiving strong support from the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with bulls pushing the large bullish candlestick upward, effectively opening up upward space. Currently, although there is a brief pullback, the pullback strength is weak, and the overall Bollinger Bands are showing an upward trend. The probability of the coin price continuing to rise is high, and the overall strategy is to maintain a low long position.

Bitcoin: A pullback to the 91500-92000 range can set up long positions, targeting the 95000-96000 range.

Ethereum: A pullback to the 3220-3260 range can set up long positions, targeting the 3440-3480 range.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH

As early as the 20th of this month, while everyone was still bearish and looking for new lows, Xiao Dong had already posted, preparing to find a suitable bottom-fishing position.

Now the daily price level has quietly returned above the trend line, as shown in Figure 2, stabilizing above 88.8K. Only then can the bulls be considered to have officially sounded the horn for a counterattack. The current pattern is already very obvious, and the main direction to maintain going forward should go without saying.

Now the overall pattern has met expectations as described in Figure 1, so we should research the upward target. For the time being, the market has not made much effort to rise but is slowly returning to the overall long cycle trend. Therefore, Xiao Dong's provisional upward target is set at the 100,000 mark. There is still a probability of reaching a historical new high before the end of the year, so the upward target will be continuously updated in the article. Please follow Xiao Dong to check for subsequent updates on the ultimate upward target $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 .

The pancake is currently testing a critical area. Whether the daily line can stand above 88.8K and stabilize above it, only then can the bulls officially sound the horn for counterattack. Otherwise, it will continue to be suppressed by the trend line (as shown by the red trend line in the picture).

I still maintain my view on the overall trend. The bottom is being touched below, and we will see the bulls exerting their strength later, with considerable room for upward movement. Just like mentioned in yesterday's article, the death cross appearing in the market is not a bad thing; on the contrary, it can be seen as the beginning of an upward trend for the cryptocurrency circle. Looking back at history is always so similar, and it will replay the sequence $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 .