加密文丞

Contracts, for most people, are a double-edged sword, while for a small number, they are a tool for wealth. If you want to trade contracts, first understand the content below.
1. Suppose the probability of liquidation is 0.1%. After 1,000 trades, the total probability of liquidation reaches 63%. After 2,000 trades, the probability is 87%. The probability of liquidation is merely a theoretical assumption. In actual operations, due to the typical normal distribution of price movements, as leverage increases, the probability of liquidation grows exponentially, meaning the probability of liquidation with 10x leverage is much higher than with 5x leverage.

The big one is coming!!!
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$BTC took a wave, the recent market fluctuations are not large, snacks 1200 points!

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We must admit that throughout history, humanity's desire for 'quick wealth' seems to be ingrained in our bones; no matter how we look at it, we cannot let go. In this crypto space, they have firmly grasped this 'soft spot' of human nature. Look, various 'hundred times coin myths' and 'ten times in three months' stories fly everywhere, just like sprinkling chili powder, directly hitting your dopamine, making that itch in your heart surge. Take Ordi coin in 2023, for example, it skyrocketed from 0.1 to 1 dollar, the growth was like a rocket. Some people easily earned ten times through dollar-cost averaging. This thrill of 'buying low and selling high' is much more satisfying than scrolling through short videos. Just like trader Lao Luo Sheng said: 'This market is a jungle; the ones who survive are not just the bold ones, but those who understand the 'greed' strategy.'

It is possible, but compared to previous bull markets, the difficulty has increased. It is becoming increasingly difficult to make money in the cryptocurrency space; why has it become harder to make money?
1. Changes in Market Rules: Failure of Historical Rules: Early investors discovered certain market rules, especially through the bull markets of 2017 and 2021, but these rules are no longer applicable in the current market environment. Many people rely on past experiences and patterns, and when the market changes, they do not adjust their strategies in time, leading to losses or missed opportunities.
2. Changes in Market Participants: Changes in Capital Structure: More institutions and formal capital are entering the market, and these large funds have stronger operational capabilities and information advantages. They can position themselves during market downturns and hold large positions before a bull market arrives. In contrast, retail investors often react slowly and are easily swayed by market sentiment. The Operations of Market Makers: Market makers manipulate the rises and falls of major cryptocurrencies and meme coins, interfering with retail investors' judgment. They can profit by inducing retail investors to chase highs and sell lows through market sentiment manipulation.

Of course!
From January 2025 to March of this year, with a principal of 50,000 small funds in one month, I quickly accumulated and made 200,000! In fact, there are ways to quickly expand small funds. I will share the methods below. If you plan to invest in the cryptocurrency market, please take a few minutes to read my answer word for word, as it may save your life and a family. Many originally happy families have fallen apart due to the pursuit of the unattainable dream of making a fortune in the cryptocurrency market. I believe I can continue on the path of trading because I have been studying diligently. In addition to understanding the fundamentals and analyzing news, I have also studied technical indicators, as well as forming a self-stable profit trading system! Now let me talk about some techniques for winning: First, you need to look at market sentiment and atmosphere. If the trading volume is large but the price hasn't fallen, then it may be time to stop the decline. If the trading volume is large but the price can’t rise, then it may be the end of a short-term rise. The requirements for trading volume during an uptrend and downtrend are different. During an uptrend, trading volume must continue to increase steadily. If it suddenly decreases or there is a particularly large volume, then the uptrend may be nearing its end. During a downtrend, as long as the trading volume increases at some key positions, the downtrend will continue. You also need to pay attention to some key points, such as resistance levels, support levels, and trend lines. When reaching these positions, you must act quickly. I personally like to use Fibonacci retracement to predict these points. When watching the market, you need several time windows: the one-minute line is used for finding entry and exit timing, the three-minute line is used for monitoring the wave after entry, and the half-hour or hourly line is used for monitoring intraday trend changes. If you hit a stop loss, don’t rush to recover. A stop loss means that this order is done; the next one is a new beginning. Don’t let previous operations affect you. The last trick is simple and practical, even if you are a beginner, you can easily profit: we divide our position into three parts. When the price breaks through the 5-day line, buy one part; when it breaks through the 15-day line, buy another part; if it breaks through the 30-day line, buy the last part as well. You must strictly follow this. If the price breaks through the 5-day line and then has no strength to break through the 15-day line and instead falls back, as long as it doesn’t break the 5-day line, we hold steady. If it breaks, sell immediately. Similarly, after breaking the 15-day line, if it doesn’t have the strength to break the 30-day line and falls back but doesn’t break the 15-day line, we continue to hold; if it breaks, sell one part first. If it breaks the 30-day line and then falls back, sell in the same way. When selling, do the opposite. When the price is high, if it falls below the 5-day line in one day, sell one part first. If it doesn’t continue to fall, we keep the rest. If all the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day lines are broken, don’t hesitate, sell everything, and don’t think it will come back. This method is very simple, but the key is that you must be able to stick with it. After buying, the buying and selling rules are set, and you must strictly follow the rules to make steady profits. Learn these few rules, and you can easily make a profit in the cryptocurrency market!

I have been trading cryptocurrency for 10 years, with 6 years as a professional trader, totaling over 1800 days. From initially entering the market with a capital of 200,000, over these years, I have experienced various pressures, pains, and confusions, ultimately achieving enlightenment by simplifying trading techniques, making them less complex. In just three years, I easily withdrew 48 million in the cryptocurrency market! My journey in cryptocurrency trading (the five stages of trading growth)
1.【Entering the Cryptocurrency Market】When I first came into contact with the cryptocurrency market, like everyone else, I relied on luck to buy whichever coin looked good. I don’t know if it was good luck or if beginners have a grace period, but in the first six months, my assets grew tenfold. At this point, I became overconfident! However, it was proven that when a person is too pleased with themselves, it may be the time to stumble, and reality will mercilessly slap you in the face. When my assets were halved in a single order, I realized that the trading market is ruthless, and good luck will not always be with you!

I know an old veteran who entered the crypto space with 100,000 yuan and now has a market value of 42 million. He once told me something that made a big impact. He said: 'In this market, it's all a rabble; you just need to control your emotions, and this market is an ATM! In the crypto world, your trading strategy is your 'secret weapon.' The following sayings are crystallized from practical experience, so hurry and save them! Entry section: Dip your toes in the crypto waters, prepare first; enter steadily, refuse to rush. Sideways section: Low-level sideways creates new lows, heavily buy the dip is the right time; high-level sideways and then peaks, sell decisively without hesitation. Volatility section: Sell at peaks, buy quickly on dips; watch and wait during sideways, reduce trading. Sideways means using sideways to replace declines, hold tight to your chips, and the rise may come in the next second: during rapid rises, be wary of sharp declines, and be ready to secure profits; during slow declines, it is a good time to gradually add positions. Timing for buying and selling: Don't sell at peaks; don't buy on dips; during sideways, don't trade. Buy on a bearish candle, sell on a bullish candle; reverse operation can stand out. Buy when there’s a big drop in the morning, sell when there’s a big rise in the morning: Don't chase highs in the afternoon, buy after a big drop in the afternoon the next day; don't cut losses on a big drop in the morning, if it doesn’t rise or fall, take a break: Hold on through losses seeking to break even, excessive greed is not advisable. Risk awareness section: A calm lake can lead to high waves, and there may be big waves ahead; after a big rise, there must be a pullback, and K-lines may show a triangle for many days. In an upward trend, look for support; in a downward trend, look for resistance. Full position trading is a big taboo; stubbornness is unworkable; in the face of impermanence, know when to stop, grasp the timing of entry and exit. Trading cryptocurrencies is actually trading mindset; greed and fear are the biggest enemies; be cautious with chasing highs and cutting losses; a calm mind brings freedom. Besides the sayings, I have also organized several super practical trading methods, whether you are a novice or a seasoned player, you can benefit from them. Oscillation trading method: Most market conditions are in oscillation patterns, using high sells and low buys within a range is the foundation for stable profits. Utilize the BOLL indicator and box theory, combined with technical indicators and patterns to identify resistance and support. Follow short-term buying and selling principles, and avoid greed. Breakthrough trading method: After a long period of consolidation, the market will choose a direction; entering after a breakthrough can yield quick profits. However, it requires accurate trend-following trading method: After breaking through the market structure, a one-sided trend will form, and trading with the trend is key to profit. Enter trades during pullbacks or rebounds, referring to K-lines, moving averages, BOLL, trend lines, etc., and mastering their application can make you adept. Resistance and support trading method: When the market encounters key resistance or support levels, it often meets resistance or gains support. Entering trades at this time is a common strategy, using trend lines, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, parabolic indicators, etc., to accurately judge resistance and support levels. Pullback and rebound trading method: After significant rises or falls, a brief pullback or rebound will occur, taking advantage of these opportunities can yield easy profits. The main basis is judging K-line patterns; good market feel can help you accurately grasp high and low points. Time period trading method: Morning and afternoon sessions have small fluctuations, suitable for conservative investors; although the time to profit is long, the market is easier to grasp; evening and early morning sessions have large fluctuations, suitable for aggressive investors; they can make quick profits but with higher difficulty and strict requirements for technical and judgment skills.

There are many areas to learn, especially for beginners.
Otherwise, how can you make money in this market? Is it really that easy to make money just by clicking a mouse?
Most people do not make money. What you need to do is to be part of the 20% in the 80/20 rule. Become one of the few, and do not become part of the crowd. I have a few warm tips I want to share with new traders who have just stepped into the cryptocurrency trading world:
1 Understand the basics: Before truly investing funds, ensure you have a clear understanding of the basic concepts of blockchain, cryptocurrencies, and trading. This can help avoid making wrong decisions due to ignorance.

Recently, a friend came to me to complain that he bought a token of a 'star project' on a certain exchange, and as soon as he bought in, it plummeted, and now he is stuck. I asked him: 'Do you know who the core team of this project is? What ecosystems are there? How many real users are there?' He didn’t know any of that; he just jumped in after hearing others boast. This is too typical—most people lose money, not because the market is bad, but because of the huge information gap. 1. The winners in the crypto world are never lucky. Do you think those who get rich quickly rely on 'holding spot' or 'high-leverage contracts'? Wrong, the only three types of people who really make money are: ✅ Techies: For example, programmers who can discover vulnerabilities in a project early or participate in testnet mining, and cash out directly when the token goes live. A friend of mine earned $500,000 last year by testing nodes for a new chain with zero cost. ✅ Resource holders: Those who have traffic, communities, and can help projects with marketing. Do you know how much some 'call-out big shots' charge to promote a coin? Starting from $50,000, and they get the tokens at a much lower cost than you. ✅ Information holders: Those who can get insider news in advance. For example, when a certain exchange is about to list a new coin, insiders have already accumulated chips at low prices off the market, just waiting for the launch to pump and dump. 2. Why do ordinary people always get wrecked? �� Trap 1: What you think is 'good news' is actually 'bad news.' A coin suddenly skyrockets, the community and media go crazy promoting it, and you get tempted and jump in. What happens? The market makers already have sell orders set at high levels, waiting for you to enter and dump. �� Trap 2: Contracts are just gambling; 99% of people will lose. 'Open 100x leverage, one shot to financial freedom!'—this kind of story is best taken with a grain of salt. I've seen too many people get liquidated in one night, losing even their principal. Exchanges love gamblers because they earn fees regardless of the price movement. �� Trap 3: Small coins = high-risk lottery. If a certain animal coin or celebrity coin skyrockets 100 times, do you think 'could I be the next one to buy'? Wake up, these coins have extremely poor liquidity; after the market maker pumps, you won't even be able to sell, and you'll just watch it go to zero. 3. How should ordinary people play? ☒ Don’t touch contracts! Don’t touch small coins! Use spare cash to buy some BTC, ETH, and hold it long-term; that’s better than aimlessly messing around. ☑ Learn to read on-chain data (like the movements of large wallets, inflows and outflows from exchanges), which is more reliable than looking at K-lines. ☑ Improve your understanding instead of gambling on luck; in this market, the ones with higher knowledge always earn the money from those with lower understanding. The last blunt truth: If you neither understand technology nor have insider information but still want to get rich through trading coins—there’s no difference. The ones making money in the crypto world are always a minority; most people are just fuel. Invest rationally, and don’t let yourself become the 'story protagonist' who gets harvested.

Many people are very puzzled about the fate of retail investors, wondering why they are always the ones being harvested and have never heard of big players being harvested. Those who control resources can harvest retail investors without scruples in this wild world. These resilient retail investors, who can spring back to life after being burnt by wildfires, make me feel bitter when I think about it; you can say they are pitiful, but upon closer thought, they are actually more detestable.
From the first day of entering the cryptocurrency world, every pore of him is infected with the virus of greed, spreading freely among each other in the crypto space. However, this virus does not benefit them; instead, it mutually influences them to lose money together in the cryptocurrency world, falsely named as 'keeping warm together,' when in fact they are just a group of rabble.

Essentials! Newbies in the crypto world, pay attention, I will teach you 3 tricks that will definitely improve your profitability!
1. In a bear market crash, regardless of how much the coins you hold drop, quickly switch to coins among the top 30 by market cap.
2. Only look at the 4-hour chart, ignoring everything else. If there are many green bars compared to red bars within 3 months, buy in and wait for the rise.
3. Change your mindset. During a bear market, focus on those with rapidly rising trading volumes that make it into the top ten. Engage in short-term trading, frequently change hands, and do not hold! For those trading altcoins, the main trend should still follow Bitcoin's trend. If Bitcoin is falling, even if altcoins surge today, you should still trade short-term and take profits, because this is often a personal pump by the project team or whales. There could be many reasons; anyway, it's not a trend. Don't just buy and hold, as it could very well crash by tomorrow!