加密文丞

Total liquidation is not a technical issue, but rather you fundamentally do not understand position management! I have seen too many people turn contracts into gambling, wanting to turn 50,000 in capital into 500,000 overnight, only to be washed out of the market in three days.

The truth is: the traders who can truly survive have mastered a set of 'anti-instinct' position strategies. The secret to turning 50,000 into 250,000 is that, believe it or not, I never open a position exceeding 10%, I set my stop loss firmly at 2%, and only dare to increase my position with profits after confirming the trend.

During last year's big waterfall, while others were crying out from liquidation, I instead rolled out a 3x return using profits. This is not luck, but a deep understanding of the mathematical game of 'small losses, big gains'.

Too many people fall into a deadly misconception: treating high leverage as a money printer, desperately adding to positions when losing, and rushing to take small profits. In the end, they are either blown out by sudden volatility or worn out in a choppy market. When you heavily invest, it consolidates; when you stop loss, it reverses; when you urgently need money, the market starts moving.

True trading masters live like a merciless machine: cutting losses decisively when needed, and holding steady like a rock when necessary. They are not more accurate in predicting, but lose less when making mistakes.

'If you are still underwater, unable to see the big market trend, going long when it drops and going short when it rises, follow my homepage for daily free sharing of profit secrets'

#X平台封号

$ETH

Do you think making money by trading cryptocurrencies relies on K-lines, news, or luck?

Naive!
The only people who survive in this market and make big money are those who have been rubbed against the ground by the market, lost so much they wanted to jump off a building, and finally gritted their teeth and got back up.
1. If you don’t get liquidated, you will always be a rookie.
If you’ve never been liquidated, you simply don’t understand what ‘pain’ means.
If you haven’t experienced going from making 1 million to losing it all, you will never understand what ‘despair’ means.
The market won’t reason with you; it will only teach you how to be human in the harshest way:
Lose 50% of 1 million, leaving you with 500,000, but to break even on that 500,000, you have to make 100%!
Climbing from the 1st floor to the 100th floor takes 1 hour, but jumping down from the 100th floor takes only 30 seconds.
Remember:
Your principal is your life; whoever touches your principal, you must cut them off!
Even if you’ve doubled your money 100 times, as long as you hit zero once, you are completely out.
2. Why are most people just fodder?
Because they can’t control themselves at all!
They can compare prices for shoes for 3 days, but only take 3 seconds to decide to buy cryptocurrencies!
The pain of losing 1,000 is 10 times stronger than the joy of making 1,000!
Frequent trading can eat up 140% of your principal in fees in a year! (Don’t believe it? Do the math yourself!)
What do real hardcore traders do?
Think ahead:
How much do I want to make in this market movement?
How much must I cut my losses?
How much must I withdraw first when I make a profit?
Never go all in: buy in batches, only increase your position when making a profit, and always leave yourself an escape route.
Be patient and wait for opportunities: the crypto circle is a place where 'three years of no activity means three years of profit'; moving recklessly = finding death!
3. Top-tier thinking: what you want is not small money, but a change in destiny!
If you are trading with 10,000 and can’t sleep at night over fluctuations of a few hundred bucks—get out early; you are not suited for this game!
How do real big players think?
The goal is 10 million; they don’t even care about the fluctuations of 1 million!
When a trend comes, hold on tight; if there is no trend, it’s better to sleep than to make reckless moves!
Trading is counterintuitive; you need to endure more than 99% of people.
The market won’t eliminate those with poor skills; it will only eliminate those with a collapsed mindset.
Do you want to be the fodder who 'exits completely after liquidation' or the winner who 'can rise again after losing everything'?
#加密市场反弹
#特朗普比特币金库
$SUI
$ETH

Mental Defense Battle: Better to Miss Profit Opportunities than to Let Losses Destroy Your Mindset

Perhaps this view is somewhat conservative, but in the current environment where contract trading has many shortcomings, this is a relatively effective approach for individual investors to achieve positive returns.

For individual participants, there is an essential difference between unrealized profits and actual losses. When there are no profits, in many cases, your analysis and judgment are actually reasonable; it’s just that due to a lack of courage to stick to your views and insufficient confidence to participate, you miss out on profit opportunities, leaving only regret and some slight disappointment. There will still be many opportunities in the future; as long as you are good at learning from past experiences, you can still pursue returns with a good mindset.

On the other hand, losses indicate that there has been a misjudgment in analysis and require serious reflection. More importantly, they can disrupt the mindset for subsequent operations. When facing a losing position, the first thought is often how to explain it to family and friends, followed by annoyance at one's own mistakes, especially when seeing others making profits, creating a strong desire to make up for losses and recover returns.

Live trading poses significant challenges for individual participants; sometimes a 2% profit may require a lot of effort, while a 2% loss can happen in an instant. When losses occur, the capital is directly reduced, and to make up for the loss, one needs to earn double returns. Losses themselves can make people more cautious, leading to doubts about their decision-making abilities, and a desperate desire to profit can lead to impulsive actions, loss of calm, and an increased risk-taking mentality, making it easier to make mistakes again, with potentially more severe consequences.

Therefore, it is crucial to avoid losses even if it means not making a profit, especially when there is uncertainty in grasping market trends. One must always keep this in mind. Only by viewing market fluctuations with a calm mindset, not being greedy or panicking, and not pursuing precise bottom-fishing or peak-escaping, but rather operating in line with the trends, can one be more likely to achieve goals. Conversely, one may gradually fall into the trap of blind trading.

If you have repeatedly incurred losses in the trading market, feel free to leave a message in the comments section 168, and we can discuss it together!

#卡尔达诺稳定币提案

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

#特朗普比特币金库

$BTC $ETH $BNB

June 13 BTC.ETH. Afternoon Thoughts. Waking up to find Bitcoin opened the floodgates with a drop of 5000 points, how many people were swept away by the flood?

In the morning, the news of Israel striking Iran caused both Bitcoin and Ethereum to drop simultaneously.

From the daily K-chart perspective, the drop in Bitcoin was quick, but it did not break below the 100300 level. We anticipated this wave of decline yesterday, focusing on the bullish trend in both our strategy and live trading. However, we did not predict such a deep drop. Currently, the low point is around 102500, and the 1-hour K-line appears to be forming a rebound. The chance of breaking below at the close of the 1-hour candle at 12:00 is low.
BTC trading advice: 103190-103690, with defense below at 102300. Target 105800 with a breakout looking at 107300-108100 (I have already entered at the current price).
ETH trading advice: 2470-2480, with defense at 2425. Target 2550 with a breakout looking at 2592-2637!
#加密市场回调
#以色列伊朗冲突
#币安Alpha理财中心
$BTC
$ETH

Trump's interest rate cut shocks the crypto world! Bitcoin is set to surge to $110,000

1. Interest rate cut = injecting ‘steroids’ into the market
Trump's logic is simple: lowering interest rates reduces the cost of borrowing, encouraging businesses and the public to spend and invest more, while saving the government some debt interest. If the Federal Reserve really goes ahead with this, more money will circulate in the market, and a portion of that hot money is likely to flow into high-risk assets like Bitcoin—after all, during the Fed's massive monetary easing in 2020, Bitcoin skyrocketed from $5,000 to $65,000. Recently, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $106,000, and an interest rate cut could push it higher.

2. As the dollar weakens, Bitcoin strengthens
Lowering interest rates will weaken the dollar, while Bitcoin is often seen as “digital gold” that fights inflation. Currently, U.S. CPI data is lower than expected, temporarily easing inflationary pressures, but Trump's tariff policies may drive prices up in the future. If expectations of dollar depreciation strengthen, more people may turn to Bitcoin as a safe-haven choice, especially as institutional funds enter the market through ETFs.

3. The market is already betting on Fed actions
Although the probability of a rate cut in June is zero, traders are betting on a 75% chance of a rate cut in September. With Trump stirring things up, market sentiment will be even more sensitive. Bitcoin might test $110,000 in the short term, but if the Federal Reserve does not comply, it could crash back to the support level of $103,000. On-chain data shows that large holders have been quite active recently, which could be a signal of a storm brewing.

4. Don't forget the risks
Trump and Fed Chairman Powell have been at odds, and Powell may hold firm against cutting rates for the sake of central bank independence. Additionally, rate cuts could trigger asset bubbles, and there are opposing voices within the Fed. If inflation data suddenly rebounds, or if Trump's tariffs cause prices to soar, the Fed may need to hit the brakes, and Bitcoin could take a hit.

As the market continues to change, we need to closely monitor market signals to seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment 168, and we'll navigate the bull market together to seize this major opportunity!

#特朗普 #山寨币ETF展望

As long as retail investors do the following six points, turning 100,000 into 5 million is not difficult. These six points seem simple, but very few can truly achieve them. Here are the 'Six Iron Laws' of the cryptocurrency world that will help you navigate the market smoothly!

1. Understand stop-loss and take-profit. Trading cryptocurrencies is for profit, not for holding indefinitely. When the position trend goes wrong, sell decisively to avoid unnecessary losses. Don't be greedy when making money in the crypto world, and don't hesitate when facing losses.

2. Don't pursue absolute highs and lows. The market will always have lower lows and higher highs, which ordinary people find hard to grasp accurately. We just need to buy in the bottom area and sell in the top area, capturing the major trend.

3. Volume and price must match perfectly. Rising without volume or reaching new highs without volume is often a signal for the major players to exit or a sign of exhaustion in the rise. It’s better to miss out than to chase, to avoid becoming a bag holder.

4. Be quick to react. When favorable news appears in the market, quickly find the relevant sectors and projects. If you miss the first tier, timely position in the second tier can also yield good returns.

5. Learn to take breaks. The main upward trend in prices lasts for a short time; the rest is mostly oscillation or pullback. Capture the main upward trend, and during other times, learn to rest to avoid losses from frequent trading.

6. A market crash is the biggest good news. A market crash often nurtures bigger opportunities. Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy. When the market crashes, don’t panic; choose quality assets and build positions in time, waiting for a rebound.

Success is not accidental; opportunities are also for those who are prepared. Follow me (Wen Cheng on cryptocurrency) for tips on doubling your gains through compounding. In the future, regardless of the market conditions, I will be with you all the way. Finally, I wish all traders in the cryptocurrency world who are still struggling to reach the shore soon.

#交易心理 #币安Alpha上新

$BTC $ETH $SOL

How much leverage is reasonable for perpetual contracts!

Let me briefly explain what a perpetual contract is. A perpetual contract, as its name suggests, is a contract that has no expiry date. In the current cryptocurrency derivatives trading market, perpetual contracts are considered a relatively new type of contract. The meaning of a perpetual contract is that, provided you do not experience a liquidation, if you do not actively close your position, you can hold this contract indefinitely. So how much leverage is reasonable when trading? Yesterday someone asked me this question, so today I’ll discuss it.

Yesterday, during a conversation with a fellow trader, he mentioned that he typically uses 50x leverage or 30x leverage. For Bitcoin, 30x leverage requires 16 USDT, 50x leverage requires 10 USDT, and 100x leverage requires 5 USDT. Under the same market conditions, my personal suggestion is to use only 100x leverage. Why? Because once you use leverage in trading, whether it’s 1x or 100x, there are inherent risks involved. Under the same market conditions, the returns generated with 1x leverage are vastly different from those with 100x leverage. Some may argue that 1x leverage has lower risk, which is true; however, for Bitcoin, if you use 1x leverage, currently one contract will require over 470 USDT. Without significant price increases, you will definitely incur losses due to transaction fees, and even if there is a minor increase, the profits will be minimal. What I want to express is that since you have chosen to trade with leveraged contracts, you should maximize the use of this leverage and only use 100x leverage.

In many cases, what happens is that traders use limited funds to engage in contracts that do not align with their current capital. With insufficient margin, they cannot support the current market conditions, and may get liquidated in a slightly volatile market. When the profitable market conditions arise later, they have no connection to you at all, and at that point, the contracts we held become invalidated. Therefore, when engaging in perpetual contracts, under the conditions that allow it, we should adequately prepare our margin to avoid any unforeseen circumstances. Regardless of what investment we undertake, there are risks involved, and what we need to do is to minimize those risks to the lowest level possible!

#合约交易 #看懂K线 #币安HODLer空投RESOLV
$ETH
$BTC
$SOL

I have seen too many people rush into the market with tens of thousands of dollars, fantasizing about making ten times their money in a year, only to be completely cleaned out in less than six months.
Do you think you can make money just by reading a few books and learning a few indicators?
You’re wrong.
Those who study MACD crossovers and crossunders every day end up becoming the fodder for the market.
Real profits never come from 'predicting,' but from waiting.
Waiting for what?
Waiting for that big opportunity that only happens once or twice a year.
For example:
In March 2020, when the global pandemic crashed the market, and Bitcoin dropped to $3,800, would you dare to go all in?
They only dare to 'buy high and sell low' in volatile markets, ultimately grinding their capital away with fees and slippage.
Small funds looking to turn around don’t rely on 'stable profits,' but on seizing one big trend and heavily increasing their positions.
My approach is very simple:
Initial position 10% (testing, cut it if wrong)
After floating profits of 30%, add 50% of the profits to the position (let the profits run)
If it falls below the trend line, close everything (never cling to the battle)
The key is not the win rate, but the risk-reward ratio.
99% of people die on these three things:
Frequent trading (getting itchy if not trading for a day, ultimately losing capital to fees)
Making small profits and taking big losses (taking profit at 5% but holding on through a 20% loss)
Not daring to take big positions (seeing the right direction but only putting in 0.1 lots, missing the chance to get rich)
(Real profits are never in technical indicators, but in the extreme emotions of the market)
Every big drop is an opportunity!!!
If you want to accurately time buy and sell points in advance, follow Wen Cheng closely. The market changes rapidly; don't wait until you miss out to hit your thigh!

BTC market activity is insufficient, and the risk of decline is increasing!
#BTC price fluctuations are intensifying, market activity is insufficient, and the risk of decline is increasing!

BTC price fluctuates in the range of 10930-11198, trading volume has increased but has not sustained a significant rise, indicating that while market activity has improved, a strong buying or selling trend has not formed.

Technical indicators show that the MACD line is above the signal line, but the gap between them is not large, and the MACD histogram is starting to shorten, indicating that upward momentum is weakening and there is a risk of decline.

In the KDJ indicator, the K value is less than the D value, and the J value is at a low level, indicating that the market may be in an oversold condition, with the possibility of a pullback or decline.

Overall, BTC prices may decline, and investors should be cautious.
#CPI数据来袭

#看懂K线

$BTC

If you are currently at a loss and want to treat trading cryptocurrencies as a second career in the future, please read carefully; there will definitely be gains, and it's recommended to bookmark this!
About the methods of getting out of a loss:
First: Based on your current position:
1. If you are a trader with a slight loss, you can use the rebound market to exit or reduce your position at a high point.
2. If you are a trader with a significant loss, you can consider building a position at a high point or averaging down to lower the average cost, which will give you psychological leverage before the market moves.
Second: Based on the trend status of the cryptocurrency bought:
1. If the cryptocurrency you purchased is in a downtrend, once the downward trend is confirmed and established, it is advisable to stop loss immediately; you must not harbor unrealistic hopes. Because sometimes, any hesitation may lead to significant losses, making it difficult to extricate yourself in the end.
2. If the cryptocurrency you purchased is in a balanced oscillation trend, there is no need to stop loss immediately; patiently wait for the cryptocurrency to enter a high point of the oscillation cycle. Once you can break even or the loss is minimal, you should decisively exit the market.
3. If the cryptocurrency you purchased is in an upward trend, there is no need to stop loss; patiently hold for a while, and you will definitely break even or even potentially make significant profits!
4. Sharing an operation from a follower since June!
#加密市场反弹

#看懂K线

$ETH
$BTC

Do you think traders rely on skills? Wrong!

1. Psychological Quality and Emotional Control: Able to remain calm amidst market fluctuations and avoid emotional trading. Patience: Waiting for the right trading opportunity without rushing. Discipline: Strictly following the trading plan and not arbitrarily changing strategies.

2. Analytical Ability Technical Analysis: Mastering tools such as charts and indicators to identify market trends and signals. Fundamental Analysis: Understanding the impact of economic data and international situations on the market. Risk Management: Able to assess the risk and return of each trade and manage positions wisely.

3. Knowledge Reserve Market Understanding: Familiar with the operating rules and characteristics of different markets. Tool Mastery: Proficient in using trading platforms and related software. Continuous Learning: Keeping up with market dynamics and constantly updating knowledge.

4. Execution Ability Quick Response: Able to make and execute trading decisions swiftly. Accurate Operation: Ensuring orders are accurate to avoid operational errors.

5. Risk Awareness Stop-Loss Awareness: Setting stop-loss points and cutting losses in a timely manner. Diversified Investment: Avoiding excessive concentration and spreading risks.

6. Adaptability Market Changes: Able to adjust strategies based on market changes. Stress Management: Maintaining high efficiency under high-pressure environments.

7. Physical Quality Health Management: Maintaining good physical condition to cope with high-intensity work.

8. Follow to avoid getting lost. I have been navigating the market for many years, deeply understanding the opportunities and traps within. If your investments are not going well, there are daily layouts and unpredictable shares and comments 168🚗

#看懂K线

#加密市场反弹

#纳斯达克加密ETF扩容

$BTC $ETH $SOL

In the cryptocurrency world, it's never too late to start at any moment; the real obstacle lies in the lack of courage to take the first step. Recently, market volatility has significantly intensified, and whether you are a short-term investor who prefers quick trades or a medium to long-term participant focusing on the future, there are richer entry opportunities available. In fact, once you understand the patterns and structures of the market, seizing investment opportunities will no longer be difficult. Currently, the market is steadily developing along a trajectory of slow oscillation upward.

From a technical analysis perspective, after breaking through key resistance levels and opening up upward space, the market has entered a phase of adjustment. After continuous rises, it is normal to see technical corrections. Analyzing the market structure trends, there is still potential to break through previous highs in the future. Therefore, the current operational strategy suggests focusing mainly on oscillation thinking and closely tracking market movements. In the smaller cycle level, prices continue to oscillate in the upper range, which can be viewed as a consolidation process for building momentum, with a high probability that the subsequent trend will continue to favor the bulls. Based on this, short-term operations may prioritize a buy-on-dips strategy. It is particularly noteworthy that since yesterday, the market's rebound momentum has been strong, further validating the rationale for buying in line with the trend.

Bitcoin can be positioned for long positions in the range of 109200 - 108700, with a target price looking above 110000; Ethereum is recommended for long positions in the range of 2770 - 2750, with a target price looking towards 2850.

#看懂K线
#加密市场反弹
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

Years in the crypto world have led to trading rules summarized from real experiences, and I believe they will definitely help you!

1. Only chase strong coins: Focus on high-quality coins with an upward trend, and stay away from coins that are declining.
2. Lock in the market's main line: When there is no clear main line, risks outweigh opportunities; it's better to stay out than to act blindly.
3. Scientifically diversify positions: Operate with multiple accounts, holding no more than 4 coins at a time to avoid putting all eggs in one basket.
4. Avoid ineffective trading: Frequent buying and selling is a wealth killer; unless you have top-notch short-term skills, minimize activities.
5. Know when to stop: Pause trading and adjust your mindset after a big loss, and stay clear-headed after a big gain to prevent profit erosion.
6. Enter the market in batches to hedge: Even for coins you are optimistic about, don't invest heavily all at once; build your position in batches to spread risk.
7. Refuse to over-monitor: Spending 1-2 hours a day on review is sufficient; closely watching real-time data can disturb your mindset.
8. Strictly follow the trading plan: Formulate strategies through review before trading, but prediction does not equal forecasting; respect market choices.
9. Risks outweigh rewards: It’s better to miss an opportunity than to take risks and incur losses; there will always be opportunities in the market.
10. Utilize trading logs effectively: Record the details and lessons of each trade, as this is a core tool for enhancing trading skills.
11. Accurately capture hotspots: Operate according to the process of “prediction - trial and error - confirmation - correction - scaling up,” ensuring that trial and error costs are controllable.
12. Persist in deep review: Regularly revisit trading records, turning failures into experiences to achieve cognitive enhancement.
#特朗普马斯克分歧

#韩国加密政策

#币安Alpha上新

$BTC $ETH $SOL

Is this year still suitable for entering the cryptocurrency market for investment?

As we enter 2025, although BTC is standing at a high of $100,000, most mainstream coins have not broken through the peaks of November 2021, such as Dogecoin at $0.17, ADA at $0.62, and ETH at just over $2,500, without breaking through $4,000. Some coins are still hovering at the floor price, such as ASX, GALA, SAND, MANA, etc. A bull market is not just a bull market for the leading coins; only when most coins rise above their previous highs can we call it a true bull market. Therefore, observe and identify which coins are at historical lows, seize the opportunity to get in, and make sure to hold on. Do not switch every three days, and do not sell until you reach a high point. The bull market has just begun to fluctuate; get on board steadily and reach the peak of gold mountain.
#我的COS交易
#BTC

Summary of 10 experiences in cryptocurrency trading over the past few years for everyone's reference. If you lose money, come find me.
Cryptocurrency with market maker support:
When the market crashes and your cryptocurrency doesn't drop, there's a high probability that there is a market maker supporting it. Such cryptocurrencies either have solid fundamentals or potential favorable news. Hold on firmly, as there is significant profit potential ahead.
Beginner's moving average guide:
Beginners should pay more attention to macro information when buying and selling. For short-term trading, observe the 5-day moving average, hold if above, exit if it breaks; for medium-term, focus on the 20-day moving average and operate similarly. Stick to a simple moving average strategy and act decisively.
Short-term adaptation strategy:
If the cryptocurrency bought does not move for three days, change it immediately. If it drops after buying and incurs a 5% loss, cut losses decisively, use funds efficiently, and avoid further losses.
Timing for rebound from oversold conditions:
If a cryptocurrency has halved from a high and has fallen for nine consecutive days, it may have little room left to fall, and a rebound is imminent. Buy decisively to capture the rebound.
Investment logic for leading cryptocurrencies:
When entering the cryptocurrency market, chase leading cryptocurrencies that have strong upward momentum and resilience to downturns. Don't hesitate due to high prices or significant drops; buy when the upward trend is established and sell during reversals.
Balancing bottom-fishing and trends:
Don't be fixated on bottom-fishing, as falling cryptocurrencies may have no bottom. Investments should follow trends, accurately grasp entry timing, and have a high probability of profit when entering during an upward trend.
Building a trading strategy:
Don't become complacent after a single profit in the cryptocurrency market; continuous profitability is the challenge. After each profit, review whether the strategy was effective or based on luck, and build a strategy that suits you.
Using a cash position strategy:
Hold cash when uncertain about the market, as fund safety is paramount. The goal of entering the cryptocurrency market is to steadily increase assets, without engaging in gambling-like investments, as trading relies on success rates and profit-loss ratios.
Key points for investing in new cryptocurrencies:
In the early stages, new cryptocurrencies may see price increases due to favorable market sentiment and influx of funds, but they may lack fundamental support. Changes in market sentiment can lead to a rapid price drop as funds exit, so investment should be cautiously assessed.
Consensus and wealth in the cryptocurrency market:
Digital currencies develop through consensus mechanisms, where participants earn wealth through belief and effort, showcasing the power of consensus in the cryptocurrency market and its wealth-creating potential.
If someone feels confused due to market fluctuations, not knowing how to respond to being in a losing position, or feels misled during the trading process, remember to keep learning.
#我的COS交易 #Strategy增持比特币