红莲_
Open Trade
BNB Holder
High-Frequency Trader
2.3 Years
知乎同名（有需可联） 邀请码：HONGKIAN 擅长波段操作 不定期解盘
57 Following
38 Followers
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In-depth | Long-term Preview of the Market (June, July, August)
Here, I will first throw out a core judgment:
The overall market basic plate is expected to welcome a brief small-scale explosive trend around mid to late June.
However, from the overall trend in July and August, the bearish sentiment in the market will still dominate.
However, extending the timeline to the end of the year, the market will welcome a favorable situation.
This judgment is mainly based on the following points:
Firstly, it is almost a foregone conclusion that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates. Although many in the market are skeptical about this, I believe the Federal Reserve will definitely lower interest rates. Analyzing from a political perspective, Trump's influence is like a powerful undercurrent, and his sphere of influence is continuously expanding, making it difficult to easily retract now. If the Federal Reserve does not take positive measures such as lowering interest rates for regulation, the forces associated with Trump are likely to face the risk of collapse. Moreover, the reforms promoted by Trump are unprecedented, which undoubtedly poses a serious threat to the cake of vested interests. In this context, if the Federal Reserve does not lower interest rates this time, its inaction will be exposed, and the subsequent chain reaction will be unimaginable.
The overall market basic plate is expected to welcome a brief small-scale explosive trend around mid to late June.
However, from the overall trend in July and August, the bearish sentiment in the market will still dominate.
However, extending the timeline to the end of the year, the market will welcome a favorable situation.
This judgment is mainly based on the following points:
Firstly, it is almost a foregone conclusion that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates. Although many in the market are skeptical about this, I believe the Federal Reserve will definitely lower interest rates. Analyzing from a political perspective, Trump's influence is like a powerful undercurrent, and his sphere of influence is continuously expanding, making it difficult to easily retract now. If the Federal Reserve does not take positive measures such as lowering interest rates for regulation, the forces associated with Trump are likely to face the risk of collapse. Moreover, the reforms promoted by Trump are unprecedented, which undoubtedly poses a serious threat to the cake of vested interests. In this context, if the Federal Reserve does not lower interest rates this time, its inaction will be exposed, and the subsequent chain reaction will be unimaginable.
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#科技巨头入场稳定币
According to reports, Apple, Google, Airbnb, and Elon Musk's X are in preliminary talks with cryptocurrency companies to integrate stablecoins into their payment systems, aiming to reduce fees and simplify global payment processes. This news follows the successful IPO of stablecoin issuer Circle, with its stock price soaring 40% after an initial rise, indicating that stablecoins are accelerating their penetration into traditional finance and tech giants.
I believe that stablecoins could become one of the important methods for global payments in the future, but it is unlikely to become the default method in the short term.
The possibility of stablecoins becoming the default method for global payments: Stablecoins have advantages such as relatively stable prices, low transaction costs, and fast settlement speeds. In 2024, stablecoins facilitated over $27.6 trillion in transactions, surpassing the total of Visa and Mastercard combined. As regulations gradually improve, with Hong Kong becoming the world's first financial center to fully regulate stablecoins, and the U.S. also advancing related legislation, the development environment for stablecoins will become more favorable. Moreover, an increasing number of financial institutions and companies are participating in the stablecoin market, with tech giants like Apple and Google planning to integrate them into their payment systems, all of which contribute to the popularization of stablecoins. However, stablecoins face challenges such as regulatory uncertainty and technical risks, and the global payment system is large and complex, with traditional payment methods dominating and user habits being difficult to change quickly, making it challenging for stablecoins to become the default payment method in the short term.
According to reports, Apple, Google, Airbnb, and Elon Musk's X are in preliminary talks with cryptocurrency companies to integrate stablecoins into their payment systems, aiming to reduce fees and simplify global payment processes. This news follows the successful IPO of stablecoin issuer Circle, with its stock price soaring 40% after an initial rise, indicating that stablecoins are accelerating their penetration into traditional finance and tech giants.
I believe that stablecoins could become one of the important methods for global payments in the future, but it is unlikely to become the default method in the short term.
The possibility of stablecoins becoming the default method for global payments: Stablecoins have advantages such as relatively stable prices, low transaction costs, and fast settlement speeds. In 2024, stablecoins facilitated over $27.6 trillion in transactions, surpassing the total of Visa and Mastercard combined. As regulations gradually improve, with Hong Kong becoming the world's first financial center to fully regulate stablecoins, and the U.S. also advancing related legislation, the development environment for stablecoins will become more favorable. Moreover, an increasing number of financial institutions and companies are participating in the stablecoin market, with tech giants like Apple and Google planning to integrate them into their payment systems, all of which contribute to the popularization of stablecoins. However, stablecoins face challenges such as regulatory uncertainty and technical risks, and the global payment system is large and complex, with traditional payment methods dominating and user habits being difficult to change quickly, making it challenging for stablecoins to become the default payment method in the short term.
ETHUSDT
Short
Closed
PNL (USDT)
+6.88
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Today's overall market strategy should primarily be bearish. The market has been in a sideways trend for two consecutive days, and under the current market conditions, the likelihood of major funds continuing to accumulate positions on a large scale is very low. In the absence of clear positive support, with bulls and bears in a tug-of-war and the trend unclear, the market is unlikely to generate effective upward momentum. Investors need to respond cautiously and guard against potential downward risks.
$USDC $BTC
$USDC $BTC
Today's PNL
2025-06-08
-$1.97
-0.02%
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The downtrend tonight allows for gradual entry into short selling.
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To be honest, I'm bearish tonight～
What does everyone think?
What does everyone think?
涨
0%
跌
0%
0 votes • Voting closed
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Trump is fighting Russia again?
#乌克兰给了普京轰炸他们的理由
#乌克兰给了普京轰炸他们的理由
My Futures Portfolio
0 / 200
Minimum 10USDT
Copy trader have earned in last 7 days
695.77
USDT
7D ROI
+13.02%
AUM
$509.72
Win Rate
100.00%
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Today's tasks are completed—bingo～
If you want to connect with friends, you can first create a small warehouse to follow.
Friends who want to discuss trends can also contact me on Zhihu (same name and avatar)～
If you want to connect with friends, you can first create a small warehouse to follow.
Friends who want to discuss trends can also contact me on Zhihu (same name and avatar)～
My Futures Portfolio
0 / 200
Minimum 10USDT
Copy trader have earned in last 7 days
695.77
USDT
7D ROI
+13.02%
AUM
$509.72
Win Rate
100.00%
See original
Do you think the cryptocurrency space is the only opportunity for contemporary young people?
What other opportunities are there? Feel free to share in the comments.
What other opportunities are there? Feel free to share in the comments.
是
不是
4 day(s) left
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Today's Market Analysis (2025.6.6)
Big Pancake: You can go long near 103000, aiming for 104000, with a 1000-point fluctuation range, stop loss near 122000.
Second Pancake: You can go long near 2450, aiming for 2520, with a 70-point fluctuation range, stop loss near 2400.
The above conclusions are valid before the U.S. stock market opens.
I would like to emphasize again that tonight's U.S. stock market is very important, please pay attention to adjusting your trading strategy in time.
My personal trading for today has ended, you can check the trading information on the homepage.
(Personal opinion, please do not take it seriously)
(If you want to chat, feel free to contact me)
(Same name and profile picture on Zhihu)
(Follow Honglian, make money every day)
$BTC $ETH
#特朗普马斯克分歧 #美国初请失业金人数 #加密市场回调 #USDC
Big Pancake: You can go long near 103000, aiming for 104000, with a 1000-point fluctuation range, stop loss near 122000.
Second Pancake: You can go long near 2450, aiming for 2520, with a 70-point fluctuation range, stop loss near 2400.
The above conclusions are valid before the U.S. stock market opens.
I would like to emphasize again that tonight's U.S. stock market is very important, please pay attention to adjusting your trading strategy in time.
My personal trading for today has ended, you can check the trading information on the homepage.
(Personal opinion, please do not take it seriously)
(If you want to chat, feel free to contact me)
(Same name and profile picture on Zhihu)
(Follow Honglian, make money every day)
$BTC $ETH
#特朗普马斯克分歧 #美国初请失业金人数 #加密市场回调 #USDC
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BNB can be continuously purchased
Specific point: Buy long up to 655
$BNB
（Personal opinion, do not take it seriously）
（If you want to chat, feel free to contact me）
（Same name and avatar on Zhihu）
（Follow Honglian, earn money daily）
Specific point: Buy long up to 655
$BNB
（Personal opinion, do not take it seriously）
（If you want to chat, feel free to contact me）
（Same name and avatar on Zhihu）
（Follow Honglian, earn money daily）
BNB/USDT
Buy
Price/Amount
639.99/0.506
See original
#交易类型入门
There are essential differences in asset ownership, leverage sources, settlement mechanisms, and risk structures among the three types of trading methods in cryptocurrency trading: spot, leverage, and contract.
1. Spot Trading
- Core Logic: Instant buying and selling of actual assets
- Leverage and Risk:
- Leverage Multiple: 1x (no leverage)
- Maximum Loss: Principal goes to zero (when the coin price drops to 0)
- Typical Scenario:
> Buying 0.025 BTC with 1000 USDT, if BTC rises to 45,000 USDT, profit is 125 USDT (25% increase).
2. Margin Trading
- Core Logic: Spot collateralized borrowing to amplify principal
- Leverage and Risk:
- Leverage Multiple: 2-100x (platform-set maximum)
- Liquidation Mechanism: When the value of collateralized assets ≤ borrowed principal + interest, automatic liquidation is triggered.
- Maximum Loss: May exceed principal (liquidation risk is low, but the borrowing gap needs to be covered).
There are essential differences in asset ownership, leverage sources, settlement mechanisms, and risk structures among the three types of trading methods in cryptocurrency trading: spot, leverage, and contract.
1. Spot Trading
- Core Logic: Instant buying and selling of actual assets
- Leverage and Risk:
- Leverage Multiple: 1x (no leverage)
- Maximum Loss: Principal goes to zero (when the coin price drops to 0)
- Typical Scenario:
> Buying 0.025 BTC with 1000 USDT, if BTC rises to 45,000 USDT, profit is 125 USDT (25% increase).
2. Margin Trading
- Core Logic: Spot collateralized borrowing to amplify principal
- Leverage and Risk:
- Leverage Multiple: 2-100x (platform-set maximum)
- Liquidation Mechanism: When the value of collateralized assets ≤ borrowed principal + interest, automatic liquidation is triggered.
- Maximum Loss: May exceed principal (liquidation risk is low, but the borrowing gap needs to be covered).
See original
The #交易对 trading pair refers to a combination of two assets used for buying and selling in financial markets, usually denoted as A/B, indicating the purchase of asset A with asset B. For example, in the cryptocurrency market, BTC/USDT represents purchasing BTC with USDT. Trading pairs are the basis for asset exchange, and different trading pairs provide different market options and price discovery mechanisms. Investors use trading pairs for asset allocation, arbitrage, or speculative operations. The variety and number of trading pairs offered by exchanges directly impact market liquidity and trading activity.
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I'm really sorry, but today I seized the opportunity to enter the market early and exit in time, successfully making a profit. If anyone is interested, you can check out my profile for the details of this trade.
Based on the current market situation, I personally tend to be bullish. However, for specific entry, take profit, and stop loss points, I will need to study carefully this afternoon and will share with everyone once I'm sure.
(Personal opinion, please do not take it seriously)
(If you want to chat, feel free to contact me)
(Same name and profile picture on Zhihu)
(Follow Hong Lian, earn money every day)
#加密市场回调
#美国加征关税
#特朗普马斯克分歧
Based on the current market situation, I personally tend to be bullish. However, for specific entry, take profit, and stop loss points, I will need to study carefully this afternoon and will share with everyone once I'm sure.
(Personal opinion, please do not take it seriously)
(If you want to chat, feel free to contact me)
(Same name and profile picture on Zhihu)
(Follow Hong Lian, earn money every day)
#加密市场回调
#美国加征关税
#特朗普马斯克分歧
See original
Today's Market Analysis (2525.6.5)
Big Pie: You can short around 15500, take profit around 14500 (stop loss at 16000)
Second Pie: You can short around 2600, take profit around 2540 (stop loss at 2630)
The US stock market tonight and tomorrow night is very important, please pay attention to adjust your trading strategy in a timely manner.
(Personal humble opinion, please do not take it seriously)
(If you want to chat, feel free to contact me)
(Follow Hong Lian, make money every day)
$BTC $ETH
#特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库
#交易流动性
#USDC
Big Pie: You can short around 15500, take profit around 14500 (stop loss at 16000)
Second Pie: You can short around 2600, take profit around 2540 (stop loss at 2630)
The US stock market tonight and tomorrow night is very important, please pay attention to adjust your trading strategy in a timely manner.
(Personal humble opinion, please do not take it seriously)
(If you want to chat, feel free to contact me)
(Follow Hong Lian, make money every day)
$BTC $ETH
#特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库
#交易流动性
#USDC
看涨
33%
看跌
67%
3 votes • Voting closed
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