Aiman艾曼_BNB

A crypto trader lost $50 million in USDT after an address poisoning attack, reported Bijing.com. Scam Sniffer revealed the scam involved a fake address generated by an automated script. The victim sent 49,999,950 USDT to the attacker, who quickly converted it to DAI and ETH before using Tornado Cash. The victim is offering a $1 million reward and has filed a lawsuit. With such incidents rising, altcoins to watch may face pressure in the volatile crypto market.
👉what to know:
A crypto user lost $50 million in USDT after falling for an "address poisoning" scam, where a scammer created a wallet address that closely resembled the intended destination address.The scammer sent a small "dust" amount to the victim's transaction history, causing the victim to copy the address and send $49,999,950 USDT to the scammer's address.The victim has published an onchain message demanding the return of 98% of the stolen funds within 48 hours, offering a $1 million white-hat bounty, and threatening legal escalation and criminal charges if the funds are not returned.
A crypto user lost $50 million in USDT after falling for an address poisoning scam in a massive onchain exploit.

The theft, spotted by Web3 security firm Web3 Antivirus, occurred after the user sent a $50 test transaction to confirm the destination address before transferring the rest of the funds.

How to lose $50M in under an hour. This is one of the largest on-chain scam losses we’ve seen recently.

A single victim lost $50M in $USDT to an address poisoning scam. The funds had arrived less than 1h earlier.

Within minutes, a scammer created a wallet address that closely resembled the destination, matching the first and last characters, knowing most wallets abbreviate addresses and show only prefixes and suffixes.
The scammer then sent the victim a tiny “dust” amount to poison their transaction history. Seemingly believing the destination address was legitimate and properly entered, the victim copied the address from their transaction history and ended up sending $49,999,950 USDT to the scammer’s address.

These small dust transactions are often sent to addresses with large holdings, poisoning transaction histories in an attempt to catch users in copy-paste errors, such as this one. Bots conducting these transactions cast a wide net, hoping for success, which they achieved in this case.
Blockchain data shows the stolen funds were then swapped for ether ETH:$2,977.36 and moved across multiple wallets. Several addresses involved have since interacted with Tornado Cash, a sanctioned crypto mixer, in a bid to obfuscate the transaction trail.

In response, the victim published an onchain message demanding the return of 98% of the stolen funds within 48 hours. The message, backed with legal threats, offered the attacker $1 million as a white-hat bounty if the assets are returned in full.

Failure to comply, the message warns, will trigger legal escalation and criminal charges.
“This is your final opportunity to resolve this matter peacefully,” the victim wrote in the message. “If you fail to comply: we will escalate the matter through legal international law enforcement channels.”

Address poisoning exploits no vulnerabilities in code or cryptography, but instead takes advantage of user habits, namely, the reliance on partial address matching and copy-pasting from transaction history.
👉Why Address Poisoning Scams Are So Dangerous:
This type of scam, known as address poisoning, does not hack wallets or steal private keys. Instead, they exploit human habits and wallet design limitations. Many users only check the beginning and ending characters of an address, which scammers take advantage of.
Lookonchain's shared image clearly shows how repeated small transfers were used to trick the victim into copying the wrong address.
Crypto Scams Hit $90 Billion
The incident came up in the midst of a broader security crisis gripping the cryptocurrency industry, which has now lost nearly $90 billion to hacks and exploits since its inception.

November alone saw over $276 million stolen, pushing 2025 losses beyond $9.1 billion, meaning roughly 10% of all historical crypto losses have occurred within the past 12 months.

Mitchell Amador, CEO of Immunefi, warned that the threat landscape is fundamentally shifting.

“The threat landscape is shifting from onchain code vulnerabilities to operational security and treasury-level attacks,” he told Cryptonews. “As code hardens, attackers target the human element.”
Despite 2025 being the worst year for hacks on record, Amador emphasized these losses stem from operational failures rather than smart contract vulnerabilities.

“While 2025 was the worst year for hacks on record, those losses were driven primarily by traditional Web2 infrastructure failures and operational security breakdowns, not onchain code,” he explained.
👉In short:
The $50 million USDT loss highlights the growing risks in the crypto space, where address poisoning scams exploit human errors rather than technical vulnerabilities. While this incident alone shocked the market, it comes amid a broader security crisis that has seen the cryptocurrency industry lose nearly $90 billion to hacks, exploits, and operational failures in 2025, underscoring the increasing importance of careful transaction practices and operational security for all crypto users.
#bitcoin $BTC

The 30% drop in Bitcoin market depth signals challenges in absorbing large transactions amidst thinning liquidity.
Bitcoin’s inability to reclaim $90,000 👉Bitcoin is trading in a structurally constrained range as heavy overhead supply between $93K and $120K and late-December options expiries cap upside momentum, according to Glassnode. The sharp Dec. 17 whipsaw—where BTC surged above $90K before rapidly reversing—was driven by thin liquidity and options positioning, not excessive leverage, with futures open interest declining and funding rates staying near neutral. Dense loss-bearing supply from recent buyers continues to sell into rallies, keeping price below key levels like the $95K–$101.5K cost-basis zone, while patient demand has so far defended support near the True Market Mean around $81K. Spot demand and corporate buying remain selective and episodic, reinforcing range-bound conditions. Until overhead sellers are absorbed or options-related gamma effects fade after late-December expiries, Bitcoin is likely to remain pinned between roughly $81K and $93K.👈 is looking less like a debate about narratives and more like a test of market plumbing.
For the better part of 2025, the surface story was institutional momentum. The US moved toward a workable regulatory perimeter, capped by President Donald Trump signing the GENIUS Act to federalize payment stablecoins.

At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs normalized exposure within brokerage channels, and the broader crypto economy traded as if it had finally graduated into the asset-class mainstream.

This resulted in a rally that drove Bitcoin to a new all-time high 👉Bitcoin set a new cycle high on Oct. 3, breaking above its Aug. 14 peak of $123,731 as a steady October advance accelerated with supportive macro and flow conditions. Improving risk appetite saw BTC reclaim $120,000 on Oct. 2, aided by a U.S. government shutdown that disrupted key economic data and increased expectations for further Fed easing later in the month. This backdrop has favored risk assets and hard-asset hedges, while spot Bitcoin ETF demand surged with $1.3 billion in net inflows between Oct. 1–2, helping absorb supply and reinforce dip-buying. Additional support came from the Fed’s September rate cut and expectations of another cut, alongside options dynamics where a major quarterly expiry reset positioning and heavy call interest between $115,000 and $125,000 helped open room for further upside into Q4.👈 of $126,223 in early October.
However, by Oct. 10, the microstructure deteriorated as a violent unwind erased roughly $20 billion in leveraged positions across crypto venues. This forced BTC's price down by 30% from its 2025 highs, and the asset registered its first red October in several years.

Since then, the Bitcoin market has ground lower 👉Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer argues Bitcoin may have завершed another four-year halving cycle in both price and time, with October’s peak near $125K–$126K aligning with historical topping windows and signaling the end of the “green zone” bull phase. While remaining a long-term bull, Timmer expects a cyclical “winter” that could last about a year and test support in the $65,000–$75,000 range, a zone that also fits broader historical drawdown models implying a 35%–55% decline over 12–18 months. Since the peak, BTC has struggled to regain resistance amid macro headwinds, futures deleveraging, tighter dollar liquidity, weaker ETF flows, and rising demand for downside protection, all consistent with prior late-cycle cooling phases. Analysts remain divided, with some viewing recent weakness as a liquidity-driven reset rather than a confirmed bear market, but sustained ETF inflows and a decisive reclaim of the cycle highs are seen as critical to invalidating the post-peak thesis heading into 2026.👈 thanks to thinned liquidity, lower trading volumes, and larger holders selling into rebounds.

These dynamics go a long way toward explaining why Bitcoin is currently struggling below $90,000, rather than treating that level as a staging point for new highs.
These dynamics go a long way toward explaining why Bitcoin is currently struggling below $90,000, rather than treating that level as a staging point for new highs.

👉The Oct. 10 hangover:
The liquidation event mattered because it fundamentally altered the risk appetite of the marginal liquidity provider.

In a deep market, volatility is painful but tradable. Market makers quote size near the mid-price, arbitrage desks keep venues aligned, and large flows clear without forcing price gaps.

After Oct. 10, the incentives flipped. Dealers tightened risk limits, and the market began to trade with significantly reduced shock absorption.
That brittleness is evident in the behavior of larger holders. CryptoSlate previously reported how BTC whales have continued offloading the top crypto👉Long-term Bitcoin holders are realizing profits at levels not seen since the 2016–2017 bull market, according to Glassnode, with roughly 2.37 million BTC in realized gains during the 2024–2025 cycle—worth about $260.7 billion at current prices. This surge in profit-taking signals rising sell-side pressure as investors capitalize on Bitcoin’s extended rally and gradually reduce exposure. Bitcoin peaked at $124,167 on Aug. 14 and has since pulled back to around $110,761, down nearly 11%, reflecting a familiar cycle pattern in which strong upward moves are followed by calmer phases driven by widespread profit-taking.👈, thereby dampening market momentum even after the leverage purge.

Moreover, the market shift is also evident in data on Bitcoin's volumes and depth.

According to the firm, the combined spot and derivatives volumes across centralized exchanges dropped 24.7% month over month to $7.74 trillion, the sharpest monthly decline since April 2024.

Spot volumes slid 21.1% to $2.13 trillion, while derivatives volumes fell 26.0% to $5.61 trillion. Notably, the derivatives market share slipped to 72.5%, the lowest since February 2025.

A market can print high prices on low turnover, but the dynamic changes immediately when participants need to move size.

👉Depth is down:
The clearest warning signal for Bitcoin is its current market depth, which measures the visible buy and sell interest near the mid-price.

This is where the “trillion-dollar illusion” becomes tangible. Market capitalization is merely a mark-to-market calculation; liquidity is the ability to convert intent into execution without paying a hidden tax in slippage.

When order books are thick and spreads are predictable, institutional strategies, rebalancing on schedule, hedging without slippage shocks, are feasible. Liquidity compounds: dense flow invites tighter quoting from market makers, lowering costs and pulling in more participation.

The reverse, however, is self-fulfilling. Thin liquidity drives up trading costs, forces participants to step back, and ensures the next shock leaves a deeper scar.

Bitcoin’s aggregated 2% market depth has fallen roughly 30% from its 2025 high. In practical terms, this is the difference between a market that can absorb a fund rebalancing without drama and one that gaps through levels when that same flow hits.
A snapshot from Binance, the largest crypto exchange by trading volume, illustrates the point.
Both 0.1% and 1% market depth on BTC pairs have risen significantly over the past few years, eclipsing pre-2022 crash highs.

As of Bitcoin’s last record high in October 2025, 1% market depth on Binance exceeded $600 million.

Since then, that depth has dropped to under $400 million as of press time.

Binance is not a blanket proxy for global liquidity, but it serves as a useful bellwether for the health of the visible order book.

However, when the world’s leading venue shows thinner books near the mid-price, it explains why rallies stall the moment momentum traders encounter real selling.
👉ETF flows and the migration of liquidity off-exchange:
The second structural shift involves where liquidity now lives, particularly as the ETF complex has matured.

Data from SosoValue shows that investors have pulled more than $5 billion from U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs since Oct. 10.

In a deeper tape, a demand shock of that magnitude is absorbed gradually. In a thinner market, it creates a “push-pull” dynamic in which price stalls at round numbers because every rally runs into a wall of redemptions, profit-taking, and whale distribution.

Meanwhile, regulatory plumbing changes have further altered how flows enter and exit the system. In July, the SEC voted to permit in-kind creations and redemptions for crypto ETP shares, a move designed to align these products with commodity ETPs.

Operationally, in-kind flexibility gives authorized participants (APs) more options for sourcing and delivering Bitcoin, including via internal inventory, OTC counterparties, and prime-broker channels.
While this reduces friction under normal conditions, it reinforces a broader trend: liquidity is increasingly being internalized away from visible exchange order books.

This migration explains the current paradox: Bitcoin remains a massive, institutionally held asset, yet it feels mechanically fragile.

Private liquidity is not obligated to display itself during a panic. When stress hits, spreads widen, sizes shrink, and activity ricochets back onto public venues precisely when public depth is at its weakest.
#bitcoin $BTC

$BTC
A debate on X over seemingly conflicting bitcoin forecasts from Fundstrat analysts drew a response from Tom Lee, highlighting differing mandates and time horizons.
👉where to focus on:
X users flagged what appeared to be conflicting bitcoin outlooks from Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and Sean Farrell.Lee endorsed a post arguing the views reflect different mandates and time horizons, not internal disagreement.The episode highlights how public commentary can blur distinctions between short-term risk management and long-term macro views.
A debate on X over whether Fundstrat analysts are sending mixed signals on bitcoin intensified over the weekend, prompting a response from the firm’s co-founder that appeared to endorse a more nuanced explanation of the differing views.

According to screenshots shared on X, the document, which appears to be Fundstrat's internal 2026 crypto strategy guidance, warns of a "meaningful drawdown" in the first half of 2026. The report sets downside targets of Bitcoin (BTC) falling to $60,000-$65,000, Ether (ETH) dropping to $1,800-$2,000, and Solana (SOL) declining to $50-$75 before potentially presenting buying opportunities later in the year.
The material has not been publicly released by Fundstrat, and its authenticity has not been independently confirmed by Cointelegraph at the time of publication. However, multiple crypto-focused accounts, including Wu Blockchain, claim the document was distributed to internal clients.
Lee is a managing partner and the head of research at Fundstrat. The circulating 2026 crypto outline has been apparently written by Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at the firm.

Tom Lee calls ETH "grossly undervalued"
The circulating outlook stands in Contrast to statements Lee made on stage at Binance Blockchain Week in Dubai earlier this month. Speaking publicly, Lee said Bitcoin could reach $250,000 within months and called Ether at around $3,000 "grossly undervalued”
Lee argued that if Ether were to return to its eight-year average ratio against Bitcoin, its price could approach $12,000. A revisit of 2021 relative levels would imply prices near $22,000, while an ETH/BTC ratio of 0.25 would suggest valuations north of $60,000, according to Lee's presentation.
In November, Lee also claimed Ether is starting on the same path that saw Bitcoin's price multiply over 100 times since 2017. "We believe ETH is embarking on that same Supercycle," he said.
Fundstrat’s head of digital asset strategy, Sean Farrell, says $BTC to $60k as base case, 1H 2026.

Fundstrat’s head, Tom Lee, says $BTC to ATH’s, even up to $200k, by end of Jan 2026.

👉Is this normal for funds to contradict each other within?
The juxtaposition quickly gained traction on X, with users questioning whether Fundstrat was contradicting itself or offering unclear guidance to clients.

That framing drew a detailed response from another X user, “Cassian” (@ConvexDispatch), who said he was a Fundstrat client and argued the debate was misleading. Cassian wrote that the firm’s senior figures operate with different mandates rather than a single unified forecast, distinguishing between long-term macro views, portfolio-level risk management and technical analysis.
According to the post, Farrell’s comments reflect a defensive positioning framework focused on drawdown risk, flows and cost bases, rather than a long-term bearish thesis on bitcoin. Cassian said Farrell had reduced crypto exposure within Fundstrat’s model portfolio as a risk-management decision, while remaining constructive on longer-term adoption trends beyond early 2026.

Lee’s role, by contrast, was described as more focused on macro liquidity cycles and structural shifts in markets, including the idea that institutional adoption and exchange-traded products are changing bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle dynamics. Technical analyst Mark Newton was also cited as operating independently, with views based strictly on chart structure rather than macro narratives.

Lee, who is also the chief investment officer at asset management firm Fundstrat Capital and the executive chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR), appeared to acknowledge that explanation by responding, “Well stated,” to Cassian’s post on X, a move likely to be widely interpreted by market participants as a tacit agreement with the characterization.

While neither Lee nor Farrell has issued a formal public statement addressing the screenshots directly, Lee’s response suggested that the differing outlooks are not mutually exclusive.

At the time of writing, bitcoin was trading around $88,283, up about 0.5% over the past 24 hours, while the broader crypto market was up by the same amount.

#TomLee #bitcoin

👉$530M Japan Sell-off US Bonds: Yen Weakness and Crypto Market Impact?
The financial world got its biggest shock after $530 billion Japan sell-off US bonds news surfaced in the industry. The shock got even more interesting because, for the first time in 30 years, the Bank of Japan raised its interest rates.

Let’s dive into what this U.S. treasury bonds sell-off news bonds and the new rate hike mean for the crypto market and investors.
Japan Sell-Off US Bonds: Is $530M Stocks Enough To Fix The Economy
The country's decision to sell $530 billion in U.S. treasury bonds is one of the largest financial moves in recent history. They are trying to fix the debt crisis by bringing money back home.

Just a few hours earlier, the Bank of Japan interest rate decision came,👉(Global markets, including crypto, are under pressure as investors await the Bank of Japan’s expected 25 bps rate hike to 0.75% at its December 18–19 meeting, which would be the first increase in 11 months and the highest level in decades. Even without official confirmation, markets have largely priced it in, reviving fears of yen carry trade unwinding—where higher borrowing costs force investors to exit leveraged positions in risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. This uncertainty comes just days after a U.S. Fed rate cut that paradoxically triggered volatility and declines across crypto, adding to confusion. Historically, BOJ tightening cycles have coincided with sharp Bitcoin corrections, fueling concerns of further downside, while current price action shows mixed signals as traders remain cautious. Overall, the crypto market remains highly sensitive to central bank moves, with Japan’s policy decision seen as a key factor that could either trigger deeper deleveraging or mark a final shakeout before stabilization.)👈 which increased by 25 basis points (0.25%). For the past 30 years, the government kept rates at zero or even negative.

Because of this, the 10-year yield for Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) has jumped to 2%, the highest since the dot-com bubble in 1999. This move basically ends the "carry trade"—where people borrowed cheap money to invest in expensive things elsewhere.

👉The Ripple Effect: Yen Weakness and Debt Crisis Are Growing
Even with the Bank of Japan rate hike, the Japanese Yen has become very weak. Right now, $1 is worth about 161.50 Yen. This is much higher than the 150 level we saw earlier in 2025.
According to Robin Brooks , Chief FX Strategist, this weak Yen is a "scary" sign of country debt crisis. According to Brooks, the country needs to:

Cut government spending.
Raise taxes.
Sell off government assets to stop the Yen from crashing further.

If they don't fix this debt problem, the Yen weakness would go even worse, causing trouble for the whole country’s economy.
👉What Does This Sell-Off Mean for the Crypto Market?
While the world watches the unfolding economic drama, crypto investors are also on edge. When the $530M Japan sell-off of US bonds officially implements, it pulls "easy money" out of the world.

This usually makes the crypto market drop. Financial Experts like Symbiote say, past rate hikes by the BoJ in 2024 and 2025 led to significant drops in Bitcoin (BTC) prices, approximately 26% in July 2024 and 25% in January 2025.
Now, with the BoJ raising rates to 0.75%, the highest since 1995, there’s a possibility that $BTC could experience a similar drop.

👉Ethereum and Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why it Might Drop
Bitcoin Price Analysis : Right now, as per CoinMarketCap chart, it is trading around $88,219, reflecting a slight increase of 0.12% in the last 24 hours.

Support: The most important safety floor is at $87,000. If it falls below this, the price could crash to $80,000 or even $70,000.
Resistance: $90,000.The Prediction: Symbiote believes Bitcoin could drop by 30% soon. In the short term, it might hit $80,000–$85,000. However, if things settle down, it could eventually reach $100,000 in the long run.
Ethereum Price Analysis: $ETH is currently priced at $2,981 reflecting a slight increase of 0.12% in the last 24 hours. While it surged a little today, it is still under pressure from the potential Japan sell-off US bonds news and rate hike.

Support: Its safety floor is at $2,900. If things get worse, it might dip to $2,700.
Resistance: It needs to break $3,000 to opt for a bullish trend.
The Prediction: Coingabbar’s top crypto analysts believe, ETH might drop to $2,750 in the short term. But its long-term future depends on the global economy getting stable again.
👉In short:
The Japan sell-off of U.S. bonds and the rate hike mean that the crypto market might stay "red" for a while. Bitcoin and Ethereum are both at risky levels.

If they break their safety floors at $87,000 and $2,900, prices could drop much further. For now, it is best for traders to be careful and keep an eye on Japan’s debt crisis.
#JapanUSDeal $BTC

On-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant has revealed why the XRP price keeps crashing, recently dropping below the psychological $2 level. The platform noted that the XRP ETF approval has failed to stop the selling pressure but instead looks to have escalated it.
👉Why The XRP Price Is Crashing Despite ETF Success:
In a CryptoQuant report, analyst PelinayPA revealed that the XRP price is facing significant selling pressure from whales holding between $100,000 and 1m XRP and those holding above 1m. These XRP whales are (said to account for the majority of inflows into the crypto exchange Binance. )
👉A long-dormant XRP whale has moved tokens held for more than five years, realizing an estimated $721.5 million in profit, according to Glassnode data. The transfer involved coins last active between five and seven years ago, far beyond the long-term holder threshold, and caused a sharp spike in XRP’s Realized Profit metric as the assets were moved around December 11 when XRP traded near $2.00—well above their estimated $0.40 cost basis.

Since the transaction, XRP has seen a modest pullback in line with the broader market, dipping to around $1.86 before recovering near $1.94, a move that followed a period of strong bullish sentiment on social media, a pattern that has historically coincided with short-term weakness in digital asset prices.👈
These transfers indicate that these whales are typically looking to offload these coins, which is putting selling pressure on the XRP price. PelinayPA noted that after each major inflow spike on the chart, the XRP price forms a lower high and lower low structure, suggesting that supply is overwhelming demand at the moment.

The CryptoQuant report noted that this happens because there is no strong new spot buyer in the market. The continuous increase in available supply is also said to keep pushing the XRP lower, even though the whales are not aggressively dumping. Meanwhile, PelinayPA highlighted key price levels to watch out for as the price continues to crash.

The analyst stated that, based on the inflow intensity and price reactions, the first major support zone stands between $1.82 and $1.87. She noted that this range marked where the price briefly stabilized and where small buyers appeared. However, XRP still risks crashing to the $1.50 and $1.66 range if the large outflows continue. The chart does not indicate that the altcoin could rally anytime soon with this selling pressure.
👉Whales Took Advantage Of The ETF Narrative:
The CryptoQuant report stated that, in theory, the XRP ETF process was expected to create institutional demand and push the price higher through spot buying. However, that hasn’t been the case, as there have instead been high-volume XRP inflows to Binance. PelinayPA explained that whales were the first to act as ETF approval expectations increased. 👇
👉Bitcoin on-chain data shows a divergence in exchange flows, with BTC increasingly moving into Binance while other centralized exchanges continue to see accelerated withdrawals. CryptoQuant reports that Bitcoin reserves on Binance are rising despite overall exchange balances declining, suggesting a consolidation of liquidity on the world’s largest exchange that could lead to heightened volatility. Analysts note that while many investors are moving BTC into self-custody, inflows to Binance may reflect increased trading, hedging, or positioning by larger market participants, a pattern that has previously preceded major price moves. At the same time, long-term holders appear to be reducing sell pressure, signaling that the current dynamics may support a bullish long-term outlook despite short-term market uncertainty.👈
The analyst further revealed that XRP accumulated in advance for the ETF narrative was transferred to exchanges and used as sell-side liquidity. Basically, whales sold the ETF approval story to retail investors. As a result, the XRP price faces significant selling pressure every time it approaches the $1.95 level.

PelinayPA reiterated that expecting a bullish move before exchange inflows decline would be an unrealistic assumption. However, it is worth noting that the XRP ETFs have been successful so far, accumulating over $1 billion in net assets in just over a month since their launch.
#xrp $XRP

Wyoming Republican cites exhausting sessions during government shutdown for decision to not run for re-election

WASHINGTON—Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R., Wyo.), a prominent ally of the crypto industry, said she would retire at the end of her term in early 2027, citing job demands that mounted during the government-shutdown fight.
👉What to know:
U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis, a dedicated friend to crypto causes, has decided to exit the Senate after her first term.Lummis said in a statement that she doesn't have another six years in the tank, but she intends to deliver major legislation to President Donald Trump's desk next year.
U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis, who has arguably been the closest friend to the crypto sector in Congress, won't seek another term, she said in a statement on Friday.

The first-term lawmaker will call it quits after her six-year term ends in January 2027, leaving a Republican seat open in extremely red Wyoming, but also removing a major ally for the digital assets industry. Lummis has been the inaugural chair of the first subcommittee dedicated to crypto matters at the U.S. Banking Committee, where she's pushed crypto-friendly legislation as a top priority.

Even now, she's among the leading negotiators for the crypto market structure bill, which will draw members back to the bargaining table after the holiday break. She'll still be there in what may be a final push for the industry's top legislative goal in 2026.
“Deciding not to run for re-election does represent a change of heart for me,” Lummis, 71 years old, said in a statement. “But in the difficult, exhausting session weeks this fall I’ve come to accept that I do not have six more years in me. I am a devout legislator, but I feel like a sprinter in a marathon. The energy required doesn’t match up.” She said.
Over and over, Lummis has introduced bills meant to ease a path toward regulatory acceptance and the government embrace of crypto. Those have included broad market structure efforts, crypto tax proposals and the legislation to establish the government's bitcoin stockpile.

Though the congressional midterm elections in 2026 will be a high-stakes political battlefield in which the party majorities in both chambers will be on the line, the last time a Democrat held a Senate seat in Wyoming was in the 1970s. In Lummis' 2020 campaign👉 Wyoming’s incoming U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis aims to educate her colleagues in Congress about bitcoin, emphasizing its role as a “great store of value.” A Republican and former U.S. House member, Lummis plans to make cryptocurrency awareness a key part of her agenda while also focusing on reducing government debt, border security, and opposing the “Green New Deal.” Known as a fossil fuel advocate with an “A+ Rating” from the NRA, she brings extensive public service experience, including terms in the Wyoming state legislature and as state treasurer, to her new role in the Senate.( I didn't mention the detail it's just a summary of Lummis's 2020 campaign) 👈, she took almost 73% of the vote.
“I am honored to have earned the support of President Trump and to have the opportunity to work side by side with him to fight for the people of Wyoming,” Lummis said in her statement. She said she'll be “throwing all my energy into bringing important legislation to his desk in 2026 and into retaining commonsense Republican control of the U.S. Senate.”
Crypto advocates are already lamenting her departure. Ji Kim, CEO of the Crypto Council for Innovation, called her a "leading champion for digital assets in Washington."

"Her deep understanding and conviction have helped elevate digital assets policy and strengthen U.S. innovation and leadership," Kim said in a statement on Friday.
#allythepoet $BTC

#KİTE $KITE
Stablecoins are often thought of as tools for human users, but the next phase of adoption may come from a different source: AI agents. Platforms like @KITE AI are building the first stablecoin chain designed specifically for agents transacting autonomously at scale, opening a new chapter for digital currency adoption.

Unlike consumer-focused stablecoins, GoKiteAI enables AI agents to operate independently, performing transactions, coordinating activities, and participating in the digital economy without direct human oversight. This infrastructure is built to support the growing AI ecosystem, where machines are increasingly capable of making economic decisions on their own.

👉Backing and Vision:

GoKiteAI is backed by PayPal, highlighting the project’s credibility and commitment to bridging stablecoins with real-world use. By focusing on agent-level adoption, the platform sets the foundation for autonomous economic activity at internet scale, rather than relying solely on consumer wallets.

👉Why This Matters:

The AI economy demands reliable and efficient financial infrastructure. By giving AI agents the tools to transact seamlessly, GoKiteAI enables stablecoins to be used in ways traditional consumer-focused adoption cannot achieve. This approach lays the groundwork for a future where autonomous agents drive the use of digital currencies, creating a new type of economic activity online.

👉The Future of Stablecoins in the AI Era:

The infrastructure that agents need is being built today. GoKiteAI’s stablecoin chain is specifically designed to support large-scale autonomous transactions, which could accelerate adoption across AI-powered platforms and services. This development highlights a critical insight: stablecoins may go mainstream not through people, but through the agents operating within digital ecosystems.

By focusing on the unique needs of AI agents, GoKiteAI is positioning itself at the forefront of a new wave of blockchain adoption—one that emphasizes functionality, scalability, and integration with autonomous systems. The project signals a shift in how stablecoins may be used in the future, moving beyond human wallets to the infrastructure that powers the AI economy.
$KITE

Arthur Hayes just laid out his Bitcoin roadmap for the next three months — and it ends at $200,000.
👉Where to focus on:
Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by early 2026Federal Reserve liquidity plays a central role in his bullish outlookInstitutional adoption strengthens the crypto market rally narrativeThe Fed’s new programme creates cash the same way quantitative easing did, Hayes argues.
Bitcoin will stay stuck between $80,000 and $100,000 until investors figure this out.Liquidity cycles and Bitcoin’s supply dynamics support long-term growth
Arthur Hayes has once again ignited the crypto conversation with a bold outlook on Bitcoin’s future. The former BitMEX CEO believes the market stands at the edge of a powerful shift. He argues that returning Federal Reserve liquidity could push Bitcoin toward $200,000 by early 2026. His view arrives as global investors closely watch monetary policy signals.

The Bitcoin price prediction does not rely on hype or short-term price moves. Hayes bases his thesis on macro liquidity cycles, credit expansion, and capital rotation. He believes Bitcoin thrives when central banks inject liquidity into financial systems. That pattern has repeated across previous market cycles.
As inflation cools and economic growth slows, Hayes expects policymakers to act. He sees the Federal Reserve easing financial conditions again. That shift, according to him, could spark another historic crypto market rally. Bitcoin often leads such rallies when liquidity increases.
👉How Federal Reserve Liquidity Shapes Bitcoin’s Long-Term Trajectory:
Arthur Hayes places Federal Reserve liquidity at the center of his outlook. He believes liquidity acts as fuel for speculative and risk assets. When money flows freely, investors search for assets with asymmetric upside. Bitcoin consistently benefits during such phases.
The Bitcoin price prediction gains strength when viewed through historical cycles. In 2020, aggressive liquidity injections lifted Bitcoin from under $10,000 to new highs. Hayes sees similar conditions forming again, although at a slower pace. The direction matters more than the speed.
He also highlights the role of declining real yields. When returns on traditional assets weaken, capital looks elsewhere. Bitcoin absorbs that excess liquidity effectively. Hayes believes this trend will repeat as rate cuts return to policy discussions.
👉‘This ain’t QE’
In December, the Fed began buying $40 billion of short-term government debt each month through RMP.

For the Fed, this isn’t economic stimulus — just a boring technical adjustment to keep the banking system running smoothly.
Unlike the Fed’s infamous money printing programme from 2008 to 2020 that had end dates and limits, this new programme can run forever with no ceiling.
“This ain’t QE,” Hayes wrote. “This is money printer go fucking brrrrr!”
Here’s how it works in plain English, according to Hayes. The Fed creates new money out of thin air and uses it to buy government debt.

Then, the people who sold that debt now have fresh cash to either buy more government debt or lend it to hedge funds that buy government debt.
Either way, that new money ends up paying for government spending.

When the government spends that money, it flows into the economy — driving up prices of everything from stocks to Bitcoin.

👉Why Arthur Hayes Believes $200,000 Is Achievable by Early 2026:
Hayes does not randomly select the $200,000 level. He ties it to Bitcoin’s supply structure and demand dynamics. Bitcoin supply growth continues to shrink after each halving. Demand, however, expands through institutions, ETFs, and global investors.

The Bitcoin price prediction also reflects changing investor behavior. Large funds now treat Bitcoin as a macro hedge. They view it alongside gold and long-duration assets. That shift increases demand during liquidity expansions.
Hayes also points to Bitcoin’s reflexive nature. Rising prices attract attention, which fuels more inflows. That feedback loop strengthens during a crypto market rally. He believes this effect could accelerate once Bitcoin breaks previous highs.

👉Institutional Adoption Strengthens the Bullish Outlook:
Institutional participation has changed Bitcoin’s market structure. Spot Bitcoin ETFs now provide easy access for traditional investors. Hayes believes this channel will magnify the impact of Federal Reserve liquidity.
Institutions allocate capital differently from retail investors. They deploy large sums over longer periods. During a crypto market rally, these flows provide stability and scale. Hayes views this shift as a key difference from previous cycles.

He also argues that regulatory clarity supports long-term demand. While uncertainty remains, progress continues. Institutions feel more comfortable holding Bitcoin today than ever before. That confidence strengthens the $200,000 outlook.
👉What This Prediction Means for Long-Term Bitcoin Investors:
Arthur Hayes encourages investors to think strategically. He views Bitcoin as a macro asset, not a short-term trade. Liquidity cycles reward patience and conviction. The Federal Reserve liquidity narrative reinforces Bitcoin’s role as a hedge. It also highlights Bitcoin’s sensitivity to monetary policy. Investors who understand this dynamic gain an edge.
While $200,000 may sound ambitious, Hayes believes the path remains logical. Macro forces, institutional demand, and supply constraints support his thesis. The Bitcoin price prediction reflects structure, not speculation.
👉In short:
Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin will surge to $200,000 by March 2026, once investors realize the Fed’s new Reserve Management Purchases program is effectively printing money like QE. He expects BTC to stay between $80K–$100K through 2025, then rally sharply in early 2026, retaking $124K before hitting $200K, with a pullback afterward but remaining well above $124K.
#bitcoin #ArtherHayes $BTC

$KITE #KİTE @KITE AI
As the digital asset market matures, attention is gradually shifting from short-term trading narratives toward tokens that are designed to support real network activity. Utility tokens, in particular, are being evaluated less on price movement and more on how effectively they function within their respective ecosystems. Comparing newer projects like kITE coin with established networks such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana helps highlight how different design goals shape long-term relevance in Web3.

At their core, utility tokens are meant to enable participation. They are typically used to pay network fees, access services, support governance, or secure protocol operations. From that perspective, kITE coin is structured around internal functionality rather than external speculation. Its role is closely tied to how users interact with the network itself. Bitcoin, by contrast, remains largely focused on monetary use. While additional layers and tools have expanded what can be built around it, its base layer is optimized for security and value transfer rather than application-level utility.

Ethereum introduced a major shift by enabling smart contracts, allowing decentralized applications to operate directly on-chain. This flexibility turned Ethereum into a foundational platform for DeFi, governance frameworks, and tokenized assets. Solana approached the same problem from a performance angle, prioritizing throughput and low transaction costs. As a result, it has attracted applications that require fast execution, such as exchanges and real-time platforms. Both networks support utility tokens, but they do so through different technical architectures and economic trade-offs.

kITE coin follows a more contained model. Instead of depending heavily on third-party integrations, its utility is embedded within its own ecosystem. Features such as staking, service access, and network incentives are built directly into the protocol. This design encourages sustained participation, where value is derived from usage rather than constant external liquidity or attention from broader markets.

Token incentives also vary widely across networks. On open platforms like Ethereum and Solana, value often comes from interoperability and wide adoption, which can be powerful but also introduces complexity and competition for block space. kITE coin appears to take a narrower approach by linking benefits—such as fee reductions, execution preferences, or governance influence—directly to user contribution within the network. This creates a clearer connection between participation and utility.

Scalability remains a key factor in determining whether a token can support long-term use. Solana emphasizes high throughput, Ethereum continues to scale through upgrades and layer-two solutions, and kITE coin positions itself between these approaches by focusing on parallel processing while maintaining network verification standards. This balance aims to support growth without sacrificing reliability.

Adoption patterns reflect these differences. Ethereum benefits from a large and established developer ecosystem, while Solana attracts teams focused on performance-sensitive applications. kITE coin, as a newer entrant, is expanding more selectively. Its adoption appears concentrated in areas where simplified onboarding and built-in incentives offer practical advantages. This suggests that utility tokens do not need universal reach to be effective, but rather a clear role within a well-defined ecosystem.
$KITE

Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer argues the "green zone" bull phase is over, predicting a cyclical winter that tests the mid $60k range.
Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer said Bitcoin may have completed another halving cycle in both price and time, and he placed support in the $65,000–$75,000 zone.

Sharing a “Bitcoin analogs” chart, the Fidelity director of global macro wrote,

“While I remain a secular bull on Bitcoin, my concern is that Bitcoin may well have ended another 4-year cycle halving phase, both in price and time.”

He added that October’s high near $125,000 fit historical bull-market alignments and that “Bitcoin winters have lasted about a year,” making 2026 a potential “year off.”

👉Bitcoin analogs point to a late-cycle cooling phase as time catches up with price:
The chart bands Bitcoin's history into bull (green blocks) and drawdown (red blocks) regimes, then overlays prior-cycle “top analogs” (notably 2013 and 2017) to map how late-cycle advances have tended to roll into a cooling window.
Its core message is that the time component has kept pace with the price component.

Prior peaks cluster into a topping window followed by a retracement phase that can run close to a year, which is why Timmer tied his call to both the rally’s duration and the peak’s level.
That setup overlaps with a late-cycle framework laid out in
👉Bitcoin may have already entered a new bear market after peaking near $126,000 on Oct. 6, as timing, macro pressure, and market flows increasingly align with prior cycle tops. Historically, Bitcoin has peaked roughly 520–550 days after each halving, placing the current cycle’s likely top window in mid-October to late November, which the market has so far failed to surpass. Since the high, price has remained below resistance amid a macro shock triggered by new U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports, sharp futures deleveraging, tighter dollar liquidity signaled by elevated Fed repo usage, and increased demand for downside protection in derivatives. With U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs acting as the marginal buyer, sustained inflows are now critical; continued choppy or negative flows would reinforce the case that the cycle top is in.

If this proves correct, historical drawdowns suggest a potential 35–55% decline over the next 12–18 months, implying downside risk toward roughly $82,000–$57,000, unless renewed ETF demand and a decisive breakout above $126,000 revive late-cycle upside.👈
In that mapping, Bitcoin’s Oct. 6 print near $126,200 arrived inside the projected window.
It was followed by stalled follow-through and broad-range trade, with key support near $108,000.

More recent tape has tested whether the post-peak phase is turning into a deeper reset.

A liquidity and positioning read👉Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 has reignited bear-market fears, but quantitative analysts largely view the move as a liquidity-driven reset rather than a confirmed cycle downturn. Data shows heavy profit-taking by long-term holders, with millions of coins potentially redistributed since mid-2025, while weaker ETF and corporate demand, falling futures funding rates, and tightening dollar liquidity have reduced speculative appetite. On-chain models highlight $95,000 as the market’s critical support, as a majority of recent capital has a higher cost basis and unrealized losses remain below levels that historically define full bear markets. Analysts remain split: some warn a sustained break below $95,000 could trigger deeper sentiment deterioration, while others argue temporary dollar scarcity and leverage washouts are masking continued institutional accumulation, leaving the broader bullish thesis intact if key support holds.👈
The same report cited CheckOnChain estimates of roughly $34 billion in monthly sell-side pressure as older coins returned to exchanges into softer demand.
👉The Signs of a post-peak reset, and how deep it could go:
Timmer’s $65,000–$75,000 band also falls inside the drawdown math presented in CryptoSlate’s bear-band model.
The framework notes that prior bear markets have lasted 12 to 18 months, with peak-to-trough declines of around 57% in 2018 and 76% in 2014.

It then argues that ETFs and deeper derivatives could change the path while leaving room for meaningful downside.

Using a 35%–55% drawdown band from $126,272 yields a trough zone around $82,000–$57,000, a bracket that contains Timmer’s support zone and ties it to a transparent range rather than a single point target.

The same math implies a low window that could land in late 2026 into early 2027 if the reset follows historical duration bands.
The largest point of contention is whether the four-year template remains a workable baseline or whether market structure has diluted it.

In comments on the cycle’s fading influence, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan argued that ETFs, broader institutional access, and regulatory progress have reduced the boom-bust mechanics that once defined the cycle.

He expects ETF-driven adoption to play out over a longer horizon, a view that clashes with the idea of 2026 as a designated “off-year.”

👉Why 2026’s macro backdrop could turn ETF flows into Bitcoin’s dominant price driver:
Even if cycle timing weakens, macro conditions can still shape the path because they influence ETF flow behavior.
A 2026 macro outlook cited Bank of America’s base case for 2.4% US real GDP growth in 2026 and a rates regime easing toward the mid-3% range by end-2026, a backdrop that can keep real yields mildly positive.

The same piece noted that Bitcoin ETFs can swing by more than $1 billion in a day, making ETF flows a primary transmission channel for shifts in yields and the dollar into spot demand.

For 2026, the near-term decision points cluster around where holders' and flows' support meet.

The $95,000 cost-basis shelf frames a first stress test for positioning, while the $76,000 support map sits near the top of Timmer’s band and inside the broader drawdown bracket.
Timmer’s analog framing is that if the last phase ended in both price and time, the next phase is a winter that can last about a year, with support centered in the $65,000–$75,000 region.
#bitcoin $BTC