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The Dark Price of Crypto Wealth: A Chronicle of 65 Violent Incidents
The dismemberment incident on the beaches of Dubai is just the tip of the iceberg. The 65 violent attacks on cryptocurrency holders in 2025 reveal a harsh reality – digital wealth is pushing its holders into dangerous situations in the physical world.
In 2025, as the crypto market capitalization soared, violent crimes against holders surged simultaneously. Hasib Qureshi, managing partner at Dragonfly, analyzed the 'ransomware attack' database and found that there were 65 such incidents this year, significantly increasing compared to previous years.
1. Wave of Crime: The Number and Severity of Violence Rise in Tandem
In 2025, as the crypto market capitalization soared, violent crimes against holders surged simultaneously. Hasib Qureshi, managing partner at Dragonfly, analyzed the 'ransomware attack' database and found that there were 65 such incidents this year, significantly increasing compared to previous years.
1. Wave of Crime: The Number and Severity of Violence Rise in Tandem
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Divergence in Japan-U.S. Monetary Policy: The Game of Interest Rate Hikes and Waiting
The commitment to raise interest rates by the Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, at the New Year meeting contrasts with the signals of a slowdown in rate cuts shown in the Federal Reserve's dot plot, creating a clear picture of divergence in global monetary policy, as if the central banks of the two major countries are moving in opposite directions on different paths of economic recovery.
The Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, clearly stated that if the economy and inflation continue to improve, the central bank will continue to raise interest rates. He particularly emphasized 'continuing to raise interest rates based on the improvements in the economy and inflation,' highlighting Japan's determination for monetary normalization.
Meanwhile, after completing a rate cut in December 2025, the latest dot plot from the Federal Reserve shows that there may only be one rate cut in 2026, indicating a historic divergence in policy paths between the two major central banks.
The Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, clearly stated that if the economy and inflation continue to improve, the central bank will continue to raise interest rates. He particularly emphasized 'continuing to raise interest rates based on the improvements in the economy and inflation,' highlighting Japan's determination for monetary normalization.
Meanwhile, after completing a rate cut in December 2025, the latest dot plot from the Federal Reserve shows that there may only be one rate cut in 2026, indicating a historic divergence in policy paths between the two major central banks.
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Polymarket now has 'insider betting', U.S. emergency legislation to block
A mysterious Polymarket account accurately bet $32,500 before the arrest of the Venezuelan president, earning $400,000 within 24 hours, with a return exceeding 1200%—this perfect gamble ultimately triggered a legislative storm.
At the end of December 2025, a newly created Polymarket account made 4 trades, all betting that the U.S. would take action against Venezuela. The account bought a contract for 'Maduro will step down by January 31' at approximately $0.07.
When U.S. President Trump officially announced the arrest of Maduro, this account had already made over $400,000 in profit. Market data showed that the relevant contract prices began to rise unusually hours before Trump's official announcement. Almost at the same time, a user named 'AlphaRaccoon' accurately bet on the almost overlooked winner just before Google released its annual trending search list, with a single-day profit exceeding $1 million.
At the end of December 2025, a newly created Polymarket account made 4 trades, all betting that the U.S. would take action against Venezuela. The account bought a contract for 'Maduro will step down by January 31' at approximately $0.07.
When U.S. President Trump officially announced the arrest of Maduro, this account had already made over $400,000 in profit. Market data showed that the relevant contract prices began to rise unusually hours before Trump's official announcement. Almost at the same time, a user named 'AlphaRaccoon' accurately bet on the almost overlooked winner just before Google released its annual trending search list, with a single-day profit exceeding $1 million.
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Maduro's Downfall, 60 Billion Bitcoin Shadow Reserves Mystery
600,000 bitcoins dispersed across digital wallets around the world, the whereabouts of the key figures holding these asset private keys remain a mystery, and a financial shadow war surrounding 3% of the global bitcoin supply has just begun.
1. Gold, Oil, and Mining Machines: The Three Major Sources of Shadow Reserves
This enormous wealth, referred to as 'shadow reserves', did not come into existence out of thin air. According to public information disclosed by analyst Serenity, the Maduro regime in Venezuela has primarily employed three paths to circumvent international sanctions since 2018, building this vast reserve of cryptocurrency assets.
1. Gold, Oil, and Mining Machines: The Three Major Sources of Shadow Reserves
This enormous wealth, referred to as 'shadow reserves', did not come into existence out of thin air. According to public information disclosed by analyst Serenity, the Maduro regime in Venezuela has primarily employed three paths to circumvent international sanctions since 2018, building this vast reserve of cryptocurrency assets.
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How the Venezuelan situation affects gold prices, cryptocurrency prices, and oil prices?
After explosive news of the U.S. military raid capturing Venezuelan President Maduro, the financial market exhibited divergent trends. Spot gold briefly surged, Bitcoin remained above $90,000, and international oil prices even opened lower.
At the beginning of the new year in 2026, the U.S. military actions against Venezuela shocked the world. The day after the action, U.S. crude oil futures opened down 1% to $56.76 per barrel, and Brent crude also fell to $60.08 per barrel. On the same day, spot gold opened higher, briefly surpassing $4370 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.87%.
One, event review
● On January 3, 2026, the U.S. launched a large-scale military raid codenamed 'Absolute Resolve' against Venezuela, capturing President Maduro and his wife and sending them to the U.S. Trump announced at a subsequent press conference that the U.S. would 'temporarily take over' Venezuela and promote the reconstruction of its oil resources.
At the beginning of the new year in 2026, the U.S. military actions against Venezuela shocked the world. The day after the action, U.S. crude oil futures opened down 1% to $56.76 per barrel, and Brent crude also fell to $60.08 per barrel. On the same day, spot gold opened higher, briefly surpassing $4370 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.87%.
One, event review
● On January 3, 2026, the U.S. launched a large-scale military raid codenamed 'Absolute Resolve' against Venezuela, capturing President Maduro and his wife and sending them to the U.S. Trump announced at a subsequent press conference that the U.S. would 'temporarily take over' Venezuela and promote the reconstruction of its oil resources.
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AiCoin Daily Report (January 06)
1. Vitalik: Ethereum will not collapse, should accept slower speeds
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated that Ethereum is not the entire world, but rather a platform that provides specific features for those who need it. He emphasized that Ethereum should adhere to its principles and recognize costs, even if it means going against the trends. He compared Ethereum to Linux, rather than Google, arguing that compromise would only make it resemble a large corporation's 'slightly decentralized' version. Vitalik pointed out that Ethereum will not collapse and should calmly accept the possibility of slower speeds. - Original text
2. Japan's Finance Minister supports the inclusion of cryptocurrency in traditional markets
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated that Ethereum is not the entire world, but rather a platform that provides specific features for those who need it. He emphasized that Ethereum should adhere to its principles and recognize costs, even if it means going against the trends. He compared Ethereum to Linux, rather than Google, arguing that compromise would only make it resemble a large corporation's 'slightly decentralized' version. Vitalik pointed out that Ethereum will not collapse and should calmly accept the possibility of slower speeds. - Original text
2. Japan's Finance Minister supports the inclusion of cryptocurrency in traditional markets
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KOL Consensus 2026: The End of the Old Cycle and the Birth of a New Order
At the end of 2025 and the beginning of 2026, key opinion leaders in the cryptocurrency field began to voice their opinions, which rarely converged and collided, jointly outlining a clear picture of an industry turning point: the old era dominated by retail sentiment and fixed halving cycles is coming to an end, while a new order constructed by institutional capital, compliance frameworks, and real utility is slowly and surely emerging.
I. The End of the Old Cycle and the 'Institutionalized' New Narrative
The most notable consensus is the collective abandonment of the 'Four-Year Cycle Theory' that has persisted for many years.
I. The End of the Old Cycle and the 'Institutionalized' New Narrative
The most notable consensus is the collective abandonment of the 'Four-Year Cycle Theory' that has persisted for many years.
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2026 Cryptocurrency Market: Three Major Variables Determine Direction
Liquidity undercurrents, political bets, and cycle reconstruction will together compose a new market narrative.
The financial market of 2025 ends amid the booming of traditional assets and the unexpected silence of cryptocurrencies, leaving investors with a core suspense: does Bitcoin's historic annual decline a year after the halving mean that its old cyclical laws have completely failed?
In this round of broad asset price increases, the underperformance of 'digital gold' forces the market to shift its focus to deeper driving logic. In 2026, the answer will no longer simply lie in the quadrennial halving event, but will depend on the complex variations of global macro liquidity, the reshaping of the U.S. political landscape, and the cryptocurrency market's own difficult transformation from 'narrative' to 'infrastructure.'
The financial market of 2025 ends amid the booming of traditional assets and the unexpected silence of cryptocurrencies, leaving investors with a core suspense: does Bitcoin's historic annual decline a year after the halving mean that its old cyclical laws have completely failed?
In this round of broad asset price increases, the underperformance of 'digital gold' forces the market to shift its focus to deeper driving logic. In 2026, the answer will no longer simply lie in the quadrennial halving event, but will depend on the complex variations of global macro liquidity, the reshaping of the U.S. political landscape, and the cryptocurrency market's own difficult transformation from 'narrative' to 'infrastructure.'
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Polymarket 'prophetic' predictions, becoming a hotbed for insider trading?
A mysterious account created less than a week ago placed a $30,000 bet late at night on the resignation of Venezuelan President Maduro, and 12 hours later, as Trump announced the success of the military action, this account made a windfall of $400,000, with a return of over 1200%.
On the Polymarket platform, a prediction contract regarding 'Will Maduro resign before January 31?' soared from 5 cents to nearly $1 in just a few hours, with trading volume surpassing $120 million.
Late on the Friday night before Trump officially announced the raid, someone had already placed large bets on 'yes' through newly created anonymous accounts, which were almost entirely focused on Venezuela-related markets.
On the Polymarket platform, a prediction contract regarding 'Will Maduro resign before January 31?' soared from 5 cents to nearly $1 in just a few hours, with trading volume surpassing $120 million.
Late on the Friday night before Trump officially announced the raid, someone had already placed large bets on 'yes' through newly created anonymous accounts, which were almost entirely focused on Venezuela-related markets.
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4 PM, official live broadcast: Beginner's special丨Stop messing around! This is the optimal on-chain gameplay for 2026 (red envelope distribution)
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Enter the live broadcast room to receive a 10% membership discount coupon, and there are also red envelopes to distribute!
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Enter the live broadcast room to receive a 10% membership discount coupon, and there are also red envelopes to distribute!
Every Monday afternoon lock in AiCoin - Group chat - Live broadcast, more tactical skills and practical cases are waiting for you to acquire~
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A Week Ahead: Geopolitical Fire, Non-Farm Payrolls Set the Tone
1. Venezuela is under attack, and the oil and gold markets are on high alert
At the beginning of the new year, the global market had not fully awakened from the holiday when it was startled by explosions from the Caribbean direction. In the early hours of January 3, local time, the United States launched a military strike against Venezuela, with the action quickly escalating. Trump announced the capture of President Maduro and his wife, while Venezuela declared a nationwide state of emergency and called for armed resistance.
● Incident development and escalation: This action did not come without warning. The Trump administration has been pressuring the Maduro regime for months, including increasing troop deployments, targeting drug trafficking boats, and labeling it a terrorist organization. However, this direct military strike, especially reportedly conducted without adequately notifying Congress, marks a sharp deterioration in the situation. There are reports that the U.S. military may launch a second round of attacks, casting a huge shadow over future developments. Domestic opposition has emerged in the U.S., criticizing it as a 'foolish military adventure,' highlighting the controversy of the action.
At the beginning of the new year, the global market had not fully awakened from the holiday when it was startled by explosions from the Caribbean direction. In the early hours of January 3, local time, the United States launched a military strike against Venezuela, with the action quickly escalating. Trump announced the capture of President Maduro and his wife, while Venezuela declared a nationwide state of emergency and called for armed resistance.
● Incident development and escalation: This action did not come without warning. The Trump administration has been pressuring the Maduro regime for months, including increasing troop deployments, targeting drug trafficking boats, and labeling it a terrorist organization. However, this direct military strike, especially reportedly conducted without adequately notifying Congress, marks a sharp deterioration in the situation. There are reports that the U.S. military may launch a second round of attacks, casting a huge shadow over future developments. Domestic opposition has emerged in the U.S., criticizing it as a 'foolish military adventure,' highlighting the controversy of the action.
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The Changes in Venezuela: How Will It Affect Gold Prices, Cryptocurrency Prices, and Oil Prices?
After the explosive news of the U.S. military raid capturing Venezuelan President Maduro broke, the financial markets showed a diverging trend; spot gold surged momentarily, Bitcoin remained above $90,000, and international oil prices even opened lower.
At the beginning of the New Year 2026, the United States' military action against Venezuela shook the world. The day after the action, U.S. crude oil futures opened down 1% at $56.76 per barrel, while Brent crude oil also fell to $60.08 per barrel. On the same day, spot gold gapped higher, briefly breaking through $4,370 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.87%.
1. Event Review
● On January 3, 2026, the United States launched a large-scale military raid against Venezuela, code-named 'Absolute Resolve,' capturing President Maduro and his wife and sending them to the United States. Trump announced at a subsequent press conference that the U.S. would 'temporarily take over' Venezuela and promote the reconstruction of its oil resources.
At the beginning of the New Year 2026, the United States' military action against Venezuela shook the world. The day after the action, U.S. crude oil futures opened down 1% at $56.76 per barrel, while Brent crude oil also fell to $60.08 per barrel. On the same day, spot gold gapped higher, briefly breaking through $4,370 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.87%.
1. Event Review
● On January 3, 2026, the United States launched a large-scale military raid against Venezuela, code-named 'Absolute Resolve,' capturing President Maduro and his wife and sending them to the United States. Trump announced at a subsequent press conference that the U.S. would 'temporarily take over' Venezuela and promote the reconstruction of its oil resources.
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Galaxy Digital: Can Bitcoin reach $250,000?
The options market pricing for Bitcoin in 2026 shows that the probabilities of dropping to $50,000 or rising to $250,000 are nearly equal. Behind this extreme divergence, an industry transformation driven by regulation, products, and capital is accelerating.
In December 2025, a report published by the Galaxy Digital research team (2026 forecast) has sparked widespread attention in the cryptocurrency industry. The report paints a contradictory picture: the short-term outlook for Bitcoin is described as 'too chaotic to predict accurately', yet it claims that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2027.
In December 2025, a report published by the Galaxy Digital research team (2026 forecast) has sparked widespread attention in the cryptocurrency industry. The report paints a contradictory picture: the short-term outlook for Bitcoin is described as 'too chaotic to predict accurately', yet it claims that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2027.
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The US stock market must crash in the first quarter, I’m just saying, the PE is simply holy shit, and it still shortens the short position and nurtures the long position, not sure who to short first.
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Single-day fundraising of $470 million: Bitcoin ETF ignites institutional capital frenzy
On the first trading day after the New Year's holiday, institutional funds of $471 million flooded into the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF market like a burst dam, with BlackRock's single fund attracting $287 million, setting the highest record since mid-November last year.
On the first trading day of 2026, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF market attracted a remarkable net inflow of $471 million, with BlackRock's IBIT alone accounting for $287 million.
Bitcoin price responded by returning to over $90,000, and Ethereum also broke through the $3,100 mark.
1. Record at the beginning of the year
● On January 2, 2026, the net inflow into the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF reached $471 million, the highest single-day net inflow since November 19, 2025.
On the first trading day of 2026, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF market attracted a remarkable net inflow of $471 million, with BlackRock's IBIT alone accounting for $287 million.
Bitcoin price responded by returning to over $90,000, and Ethereum also broke through the $3,100 mark.
1. Record at the beginning of the year
● On January 2, 2026, the net inflow into the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF reached $471 million, the highest single-day net inflow since November 19, 2025.
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SEC Changes, PEPE Carnival: New Year's Cryptocurrency Roller Coaster
The tax regulatory network of 48 countries around the world tightened overnight, bringing anonymous cryptocurrency transactions into the sunlight.
On New Year's Day, while most people were immersed in the joy of the New Year, the cryptocurrency market experienced a thrilling 'roller coaster' ride. Led by Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies plummeted late at night on January 1, with Bitcoin diving from $89,000 to around $87,000.
In just 24 hours, the total liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency market exceeded $228 million, with the number of liquidated individuals reaching 163,900, most of whom were bullish investors.
On New Year's Day, while most people were immersed in the joy of the New Year, the cryptocurrency market experienced a thrilling 'roller coaster' ride. Led by Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies plummeted late at night on January 1, with Bitcoin diving from $89,000 to around $87,000.
In just 24 hours, the total liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency market exceeded $228 million, with the number of liquidated individuals reaching 163,900, most of whom were bullish investors.
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2026 Cryptocurrency Market: Consensus, Divergence, and Investment Roadmap
As the narrative of value storage gives way to the pragmatism of payment settlement and information forecasting, the new rules of the game on Wall Street are being redefined.
The dramatic fluctuations and market corrections of 2025 were like a stress test for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem. As the market catches its breath after the turmoil, the world's leading financial institutions have not retreated; instead, they have drawn a new roadmap for 2026 with unprecedented clarity.
From BlackRock and Fidelity to JPMorgan, the outlook from authoritative institutions reveals a distinct market landscape: the 'four-year cycle theory' is receding, and an era of 'structural maturity' driven by institutional capital, regulatory frameworks, and real utility has arrived.
The dramatic fluctuations and market corrections of 2025 were like a stress test for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem. As the market catches its breath after the turmoil, the world's leading financial institutions have not retreated; instead, they have drawn a new roadmap for 2026 with unprecedented clarity.
From BlackRock and Fidelity to JPMorgan, the outlook from authoritative institutions reveals a distinct market landscape: the 'four-year cycle theory' is receding, and an era of 'structural maturity' driven by institutional capital, regulatory frameworks, and real utility has arrived.
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Where are the 185 billion cryptocurrency assets flowing?
According to the latest report released by the blockchain data platform Sentora on December 30, 2025, the holding structure of global cryptocurrencies is undergoing a profound transformation.
The data shows that there are currently 368 entities worldwide holding cryptocurrencies with a total value exceeding 185 billion USD. Notably, companies primarily focused on digital asset treasury (DAT), which include publicly listed companies and private enterprises, hold 73% of those assets, becoming an absolute dominant force.
At the same time, the total amount of cryptocurrencies held by government agencies still accounts for more than a quarter, maintaining a significant scale. This data clearly reveals that the holders of cryptocurrencies are rapidly shifting from early individual investors to strategic holders at the corporate and national levels.
The data shows that there are currently 368 entities worldwide holding cryptocurrencies with a total value exceeding 185 billion USD. Notably, companies primarily focused on digital asset treasury (DAT), which include publicly listed companies and private enterprises, hold 73% of those assets, becoming an absolute dominant force.
At the same time, the total amount of cryptocurrencies held by government agencies still accounts for more than a quarter, maintaining a significant scale. This data clearly reveals that the holders of cryptocurrencies are rapidly shifting from early individual investors to strategic holders at the corporate and national levels.
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USDT Issuance of 1 Billion: A Liquidity Feast or a Harbinger of Concerns?
On December 30, 2025, at 10:23 PM, a brief alert from the blockchain tracking platform Whale Alert dropped a deepwater bomb in the cryptocurrency market: the stablecoin giant Tether minted 1 billion USDT in one go on the TRON network.
This transaction with the hash value d74cb39a7c3e3e... instantly ignited every corner from exchanges to community forums. Market sentiment rapidly heated up with cries of '100% bullish', as if this newly added 1 billion 'digital dollars' was the clarion call about to flood into the crypto market.
However, behind the clamor of emotions, this massive issuance is more like a multi-faceted prism, reflecting the deep-seated demand in the current crypto market, the fierce ecological competition, and the persistent long-term concerns.
This transaction with the hash value d74cb39a7c3e3e... instantly ignited every corner from exchanges to community forums. Market sentiment rapidly heated up with cries of '100% bullish', as if this newly added 1 billion 'digital dollars' was the clarion call about to flood into the crypto market.
However, behind the clamor of emotions, this massive issuance is more like a multi-faceted prism, reflecting the deep-seated demand in the current crypto market, the fierce ecological competition, and the persistent long-term concerns.
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Despite the significant trade deficit of the Eastern manufacturing powerhouse with the EU, it has depreciated by nearly 8%, which has severely impacted European industry.
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BinanceHODLerBREV
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😱🚨Binance Makes a Huge Airdrop Move! Listing Date Announced, All Eyes on This Altcoin.🤯👀
#Binance , the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, has officially announced Brevis ($BREV ) as the 60th altcoin in its HODLer Airdrop program! 🧵👇
🟡 Who will receive the Airdrop?
📅 December 17, 2025, 03:00 UTC – December 19, 2025, 23:59 UTC
Players who deposited BNB into the following products between these dates:
✅ Easy Earning
✅ On-Chain Returns
will automatically receive the BREV airdrop reward.
⏰ Listing Details
🗓 January 6, 2026 – 14:00 UTC
📊 Opening Pairs:
• #BREV /USDT
• BREV/USDC
• BREV/BNB
• BREV/DENE 🇹🇷
💼 Airdrop winners' tokens will be processed and transferred to spot budgets 1 hour before the listing.
🎁 Airdrop and Tokenomics
🔹 Airdrop reward: 15,000,000 BREV
🔹 Marketing campaigns: 5,000,000 BREV
🔹 Total / Maximum supply: 1,000,000,000 BREV
🔹 Circulating supply at listing time: 250,000,000 BREV (25%)
⚠️ The circulating supply ratio is noteworthy!
🧠 What is Brevis (BREV)?
Brevis;
🔗 Blockchain
📊 Data
🤖 Artificial intelligence
It is introduced as a next-generation platform that offers classifiable, trustless, and verifiable scheduling among systems.
📄 Detailed research reports will be published within 48 hours of the announcement.
💡 HODLer Airdrop Advantage
Thanks to the Binance HODLer Airdrop program:
✔️ Past BNB balances are not taken into account
✔️ No additional transactions are required
✔️ Rewards are automatically credited
BNB is held! 🔥
$BNB
#ETHWhaleWatch #CPIWatch #BinanceHODLerBREV
Crypto Ahmet
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ETHWhaleWatch
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