📆 September 17, 2:00 p.m. EST (20:00 CET) — The U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision today, and markets are bracing for what is widely expected to be the first rate cut of 2025.
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📉 Market Expectations
96% probability: 0.25% cut
4% probability: 0.50% cut
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⚖️ The Backdrop
Jobs: Employment growth has slowed, strengthening the case for easing.
Inflation: Price pressures remain sticky, partly due to new tariffs under President Trump, which limit the Fed’s room to cut aggressively.
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🏛️ Politics at Play
Trump: Pushing for faster, deeper cuts.
Powell: Stresses decisions will remain data-driven, not political.
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🔮 What’s Next?
Markets aren’t just focused on today’s move — the real question is how Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals the path for October and December meetings.
Expect strong market reactions across:
Stocks
Bonds
Gold
Crypto
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📊 Key Takeaways
✅ High chance of a 0.25% cut today
❌ Only 4% chance of a 0.50% cut
🔥 Fed caught between weak jobs and sticky inflation
👉 Today’s decision will set the tone for global markets through year-end
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#Fed #RateCuts #Markets #Crypto #Gold
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