Markets

Global markets are heading into a new week under pressure from geopolitics, economic data, and central banks. After the recent failed summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Alaska, attention now shifts to Washington, where Trump is set to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday. In the background, however, investors are closely watching one key event – the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

Crypto and Wall Street Under Pressure
On Wall Street, renewed inflationary pressure has been pushing bond yields and the dollar higher. Bitcoin briefly set a new all-time high (ATH) above $124,000 over the weekend, only to quickly retreat back to around $118,000. Meanwhile, the crypto fear and greed index shows rising greed, as investors brace for a pivotal week.

Zelenskyy Between Trump and Ukraine’s Survival
The first key event is Monday’s meeting in the Oval Office. Trump continues to push for a quick peace deal, while Zelenskyy is walking a tightrope between Washington’s pressure and the existential defense of his nation. The meeting could significantly sway market sentiment, which remains highly sensitive to every shift in the war negotiations.

Fed and Economic Data Take Center Stage
Geopolitics is not the only concern. On Wednesday, the Fed will release the minutes from its July meeting, offering deeper insight into how divided officials are over the path of interest rates. Investors are betting on a rate cut as soon as September, but the central bank remains caught between tariff-driven inflation and weakening labor market data.
Thursday will bring the first flash PMI data for August, seen as an early test of how Trump’s new tariffs are impacting the U.S. economy. With PMI releases also coming from Europe, Japan, and Canada, traders will be able to gauge whether the slowdown is spreading globally.
The most anticipated moment comes Friday, when Powell delivers his keynote at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium. Markets are anxiously waiting to see whether he will confirm a path toward monetary easing. The situation is further complicated by Trump’s public calls for Powell’s removal. Powell faces the task of calming investors — or leaving them in suspense. Either way, his words will set the tone for the weeks ahead.

Institutions Buy the Dip, Retail Holds Back
In the digital asset space, a clear divergence has emerged: institutions are buying the dips, while retail investors are pulling back. Data from SoSoValue show that bitcoin ETFs recorded two consecutive weeks of inflows in August — first $246.75 million, followed by an even stronger $547 million.
Ethereum has outpaced Bitcoin in this regard. Its ETFs saw $326.83 million in inflows during the first week of August, followed by a record-breaking $2.85 billion the next week. ETH’s price has climbed more than 7% in the past week and 25% in the past month, currently trading around $4,537.
Bitcoin, meanwhile, has remained relatively stable at around $118,408, up 27% year-to-date.

#markets , #economy , #WallStreet , #Fed , #TRUMP

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