Forecast

First, the conclusion:

• Short-term bullish bias but weak momentum: Price 4753, above EMA7(4750) and EMA25(4743), far above EMA99(4701) → Structurally still bullish dominant;

• RSI(6/12/24 ≈ 57/56/54): Slightly bullish, not overheated;

• MACD 0.24, DIF≈DEA: Just turned positive/weak golden cross, very little momentum, needs "volume" to cooperate for further movement;

• Insufficient volume: Current Vol≈1.57K significantly lower than MA(5)=8.72K, MA(10)=14.40K → Short-term breakthrough needs to increase volume, otherwise more like range oscillation.

Key Levels (by priority)

Resistance:

• ① 4770–4775

• ② 4800 round number

• ③ 4888 (24h high point, not considered a level that can be passed in one go)

Support:

• ① 4750/4743 (EMA7/EMA25 overlap zone, if lost it will turn weak)

• ② 4725 (the node level in your list)

• ③ 4701 (bull-bear dividing line)

• ④ 4689 → 4677 → 4654 (stepped support zone)

Next, 3 possible scenarios

A. Continuation of upward movement (probability depends on volume)

• Condition: 15m candlestick closes above 4775, while trading volume increases to ≥MA(10).

• Target: 4800 → 4825/4835 → 4880–4890.

• Risk: If the volume does not meet expectations or is a false breakout, it can easily be pushed back to 4750.

B. Range oscillation (currently more like this)

• Range: 4700–4775 back and forth;

• Strategy: Do not chase at the upper edge, watch for short opportunities; do not sell at the lower edge, lightly buy on dips, reduce operations at the middle (≈4740–4755), wait for edge signals.

C. Weakening pullback (volume continues to shrink + breaks below moving average zone)

• Trigger: Break below 4740 and 15m continuously closes below it;

• Target: 4725 → 4701 (strong support); if 4701 is lost, pay attention to 4689/4677/4654 for staggered buying positions.