The conclusion of $ETH is here

📊 Current Market (ETHUSDT)

• Latest Price: 4549.58

• Price Change: -2.21%

• 24h Range: 4310.00 – 4667.38

• Trading Volume: 8.4943 million ETH (high capital activity)

• OI (Open Interest): 2.13 million contracts, valued at approximately 9.63 billion USDT, indicating frequent capital inflow and outflow in contracts, and potential for accelerated market volatility.

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🔎 Technical Indicators

1. Moving Average EMA

• EMA(7) = 4505.03

• EMA(25) = 4464.60

• EMA(99) = 4477.78

👉 Short-term (7EMA) > Medium to Long-term (25, 99EMA), indicating that the market is in a strong upward structure in the short term.

2. RSI

• RSI(6) = 79.94 (severely overbought)

• RSI(12) = 71.77 (overbought)

• RSI(24) = 63.66 (relatively high)

👉 The short-term is overheated, and there may be pressure for profit-taking.

3. MACD

• DIF = 24.88

• DEA = 16.52

• MACD = 8.36 (red bar, momentum is still increasing)

👉 Bullish momentum remains strong, and no turning signal has appeared yet.

4. Trading Volume & Average Volume

• Vol: 141,092 (current)

• MA(5): 143,698

• MA(10): 180,859

👉 Trading volume has decreased compared to the previous period, indicating some hesitation in chasing long positions.

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⚖️ Comprehensive Judgment

• Short-term (1h-4h): Price has broken above the EMA moving average system, in a strong zone, but RSI is overbought, and a quick pullback may occur at any time.

• Medium-term (daily): The upward trend is still maintained, as long as it does not fall below the 4460–4470 range, bulls remain dominant.

• Risk Point: RSI is too high → prone to short-term sharp declines and shakeouts.

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🛠 Operational Thinking

• Short-term Long Position: Buy on pullbacks 4470–4500, aiming for 4600–4660.

• High Position Defense: If it falls below 4440, be cautious of accelerated pullbacks, which may test 4380–4310.

• Short Selling Strategy: If it continues to push into the 4650–4680 range and RSI > 80, consider light short positions to capitalize on a retracement.