挣一千万收手

The conclusion of $ETH is here
📊 Current Market (ETHUSDT)
• Latest Price: 4549.58
• Price Change: -2.21%
• 24h Range: 4310.00 – 4667.38
• Trading Volume: 8.4943 million ETH (high capital activity)
• OI (Open Interest): 2.13 million contracts, valued at approximately 9.63 billion USDT, indicating frequent capital inflow and outflow in contracts, and potential for accelerated market volatility.

⸻

🔎 Technical Indicators
1. Moving Average EMA
• EMA(7) = 4505.03
• EMA(25) = 4464.60
• EMA(99) = 4477.78
👉 Short-term (7EMA) > Medium to Long-term (25, 99EMA), indicating that the market is in a strong upward structure in the short term.
2. RSI
• RSI(6) = 79.94 (severely overbought)
• RSI(12) = 71.77 (overbought)
• RSI(24) = 63.66 (relatively high)
👉 The short-term is overheated, and there may be pressure for profit-taking.
3. MACD
• DIF = 24.88
• DEA = 16.52
• MACD = 8.36 (red bar, momentum is still increasing)
👉 Bullish momentum remains strong, and no turning signal has appeared yet.
4. Trading Volume & Average Volume
• Vol: 141,092 (current)
• MA(5): 143,698
• MA(10): 180,859
👉 Trading volume has decreased compared to the previous period, indicating some hesitation in chasing long positions.

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⚖️ Comprehensive Judgment
• Short-term (1h-4h): Price has broken above the EMA moving average system, in a strong zone, but RSI is overbought, and a quick pullback may occur at any time.
• Medium-term (daily): The upward trend is still maintained, as long as it does not fall below the 4460–4470 range, bulls remain dominant.
• Risk Point: RSI is too high → prone to short-term sharp declines and shakeouts.

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🛠 Operational Thinking
• Short-term Long Position: Buy on pullbacks 4470–4500, aiming for 4600–4660.
• High Position Defense: If it falls below 4440, be cautious of accelerated pullbacks, which may test 4380–4310.
• Short Selling Strategy: If it continues to push into the 4650–4680 range and RSI > 80, consider light short positions to capitalize on a retracement.

$ETH
Feeling analysis is good, give it a follow

$ETH First, let’s state the conclusion

🔹 Price and Moving Averages
• Current Price: $4,487, Change: -3.37%.
• EMA(7): 4,467, EMA(25): 4,441, EMA(99): 4,474
👉 The short-term moving averages are supporting the price from below, and EMA(7) > EMA(25), indicating that the short-term trend remains bullish. However, the price is hovering near EMA(99), which is a key support/resistance area.

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🔹 Technical Indicators
• RSI(6): 65.29, RSI(12): 62.25, RSI(24): 57.18
👉 All RSIs are above 50, indicating that the short-term is in a relatively strong zone, but not yet overbought (>70), suggesting there is upward momentum, but it may face pullback pressure at any time.
• MACD: DIF 15.28, DEA 8.23, Histogram +7.05
👉 MACD is still in a bullish red histogram, indicating that bullish momentum is still strengthening.

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🔹 Volume & Open Interest
• 24h Trading Volume: 8.4665 million ETH, Trading Amount: 37.8 billion USDT, the increase is quite significant.
• O.I. (Open Interest): 2.11M, funds are entering the market, and the long-short competition is intense.
👉 This usually means that there will be relatively large fluctuations in the market ahead.

⸻

🔹 Resistance and Support
• Upper Resistance:
• 4,535 (near 24h high)
• 4,600 (round number resistance + previous high area)
• Lower Support:
• 4,440 (EMA25)
• 4,310 (24h low)

⸻

📈 Trend Summary

Overall:
• Short-term (1h-4h): Bulls are dominant, both MACD and RSI support the continuation of the rebound.
• Medium-term (daily level): The price is oscillating near EMA99, and if it cannot stabilize above 4,500, it is very likely to fall back to confirm support.
• Operational Strategy:
• Short-term Long Position: Pay attention to the pullback support in the 4,440-4,460 range, may try to buy low, with targets looking towards 4,530-4,600.
• If it falls below 4,440, be cautious of a pullback to 4,310.
• Risk control point is suggested to be below 4,370.

#$ETH
🔎 1-Hour Level (ETHUSDT)
1. Price Position
• Currently around 4418, below EMA(99)=4489, indicating that the major trend is still bearish.
• Short-term moving averages (EMA7, EMA25) are entangled, with prices hovering around them → The market is in a consolidation phase.
2. K-Line Structure
• The most recent large bearish candle hit 4310, followed by a rebound, but the highest was only 4453, indicating weak rebound momentum.
• The current price is in a narrow fluctuation range of 4400–4450.
3. Indicators
• RSI is around 50, showing balance between bulls and bears, with no strong direction.
• MACD green bars are shortening → Bearish momentum is weakening, but has not completely turned strong.

⸻

📈 Trend Interpretation
• Short-term (15min): Range fluctuation, suitable for high selling and low buying.
• Medium-term (1 hour): Sideways consolidation in a downtrend; if it does not break through 4480–4500, the major direction remains bearish.

⸻

📊 Operation Suggestions
1. Short-term Long Position (Quick In and Out)
• Entry: Support stabilizing in the 4400–4410 range
• Target: 4450–4480
• Stop Loss: Below 4385
2. Rebound Short Position (In Line with Major Trend)
• Entry: 4450–4480 range (especially near EMA99 = 4489)
• Target: 4380–4400
• Stop Loss: Above 4510
3. Conservative Approach
• Wait for the price to effectively break above 4500, then consider chasing long (target 4600+).
• Alternatively, if it breaks below 4380, confirm a continued downward trend, then chase short (target 4300).

$ETH 🔎 Technical Analysis
• Price: Latest $4,434, down -5.85%, in a relatively low volatility range.
• Moving Averages:
• EMA(7)=4,427, EMA(25)=4,415 → Short-term moving average is above the long-term moving average, indicating signs of a short-term rebound.
• However, EMA(99)=4,510 is clearly above the price, indicating that the overall trend is still bearish.
• Volume: 24h transaction amount 42.346 billion USDT, volume increased on decline → Bearish momentum is strong.
• RSI: 6-period RSI=60, 12-period=56, 24-period=49 → After overselling correction, it returned to neutral zone, currently no extreme signals.
• MACD: DIF=5.04 > DEA=-1.65, MACD=6.69 → Bullish momentum just emerged, showing short-term rebound potential.

📊 Structural Interpretation
• Support Level: 4,310 (yesterday's low), with strong support below in the 4,300 - 4,280 range.
• Resistance Level: 4,510 (EMA99), followed by the 4,575 - 4,600 range.
• Short-term Trend: After a big drop, entering a correction, rebound space is limited, overall trend is still in a downward channel.

🎯 Operation Strategy
1. Short-term long position (quick in and out):
• Can buy low in the 4,380 - 4,420 range, target at 4,500 - 4,520, stop-loss below 4,300.
2. Medium-term short position (following the trend):
• If the rebound does not break 4,510 - 4,575, suitable for high short, target back to 4,300.
3. Wait and see: If unsure, wait for the price to stabilize above 4,600 before considering a long position.

👉 Currently leaning towards a short-selling strategy after a rebound, with short-term profits to be taken, but overall direction still requires caution in chasing long positions.

$ETH 2025、8、26号
First, the conclusion
📉 Today's Trend Summary
1. Overall Trend: The short-term trend remains bearish, and the daily level is still in a downward trend; the EMA bearish arrangement has not changed.
2. Support Below: 4310 has been tested and is a strong short-term support; if it breaks again, it is likely to test the 4200-4250 range.
3. Resistance Above: The first resistance is at 4480-4520; if it breaks out with volume, it may rebound to around 4600.
4. Volume Characteristics: Today is a typical "panic sell-off + low-level support"; short-term may oscillate to form a bottom, but a trend reversal still needs confirmation.

⸻

🎯 Trading Suggestions
• Short-term Trading:
• Aggressive: You can buy on dips in the 4300-4350 range, targeting 4480-4520, with a stop loss below 4270.
• Conservative: Wait for the price to stabilize above EMA25 (about 4410-4420) and break out with volume before considering a follow-up rebound trade.
• Medium-term Trend:
• Only when ETH re-establishes above 4600 and stabilizes can it be considered to have escaped the downward trend and entered a rebound cycle.
• If the rebound is blocked and falls back, be cautious of the risk of a second dip to 4200.

$ETH

🔎 Current Trend Analysis
1. Price Position
• Latest Price 4618.62, down slightly from the previous chart.
• In the short term, it has broken below EMA7 (4633) and EMA25 (4627), indicating a weakening of bullish momentum.
• Key support below is at 4518 (previous low).
2. Indicator Signals
• RSI(6)=40.29, has dropped from the overbought zone, indicating a weak short-term trend with still a risk of further decline.
• MACD is still showing red bars, but the bars are shortening, and the fast and slow lines are tending to converge, showing signs of weakening.
• Trading Volume: After a surge and then a decrease in volume, indicating insufficient willingness of funds to chase higher prices.
3. K-Line Formation
• A wave of spike and retreat has occurred, and it is currently testing short-term moving average support.
• If the support at 4610~4600 does not hold, it may continue to test the 4550-4580 range.

⸻

📈 Trading Strategy
• Short-term Long Position: It is not recommended to chase long positions now; it is better to wait for a pullback and stabilization in the 4550-4580 range before considering.
• Short-term Short Position: If 4610 cannot effectively hold, consider a light short position, targeting 4580 / 4550.
• Take Profit and Stop Loss:
• Long Position: Entry point 4560-4580, stop loss 4540, target 4630-4680
• Short Position: Entry point if it breaks below 4610, stop loss 4645, target 4580-4550

⸻

✨ Summary:
After a short-term spike, the market has retreated, and the momentum is weakening. The current trend is a bearish consolidation.
👉 It is recommended to observe mainly, with light trading operations; a better entry point for long positions may be in the 4550-4580 range.

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$ETH
🔎 Trend Analysis
1. Price Position
• Current price 4634.52, rebounding from the low of 4518, with a significant short-term increase.
• It has already surpassed EMA7 (4618) and EMA25 (4615), indicating that short-term rebound momentum exists.
• However, the upper EMA99 (4693) remains a key resistance level, and there may be obstacles around 4680~4700 in the short term.
2. Indicator Situation
• MACD: Green bars turning red and gradually expanding, indicating enhanced bullish momentum in the short term.
• RSI(6)=69.22, already close to the overbought range, caution is advised when chasing prices in the short term.
• Trading Volume: The rebound is accompanied by an increase in volume, indicating that funds are entering the market, but after consecutive rises, a pullback may be needed for confirmation.
3. Pattern
• A small V-shaped rebound has formed, indicating a strengthening short-term trend.
• However, overall, this is still just a rebound; only a valid breakout above 4700 and maintaining that level could open up more space.

⸻

📈 Trading Suggestions
• Aggressive
You can lightly enter long positions around 4620~4630, targeting 4680-4700, with a stop-loss set below 4590.
• Conservative
Wait for the price to pull back near EMA25 (4615~4620) and enter long positions after stabilizing, which carries less risk.
• Risk Reminder
RSI is close to overbought; chasing prices can easily lead to losses, it is recommended to build positions in batches and strictly set stop-losses.

$ETH First, let's state the conclusion

🔹 Operation Ideas
1. Short-term trading:
• Price is fluctuating in the range of 4,600-4,555. If the trading volume decreases, a short-term long position can be attempted to bet on a rebound.
• Target: Reduce positions near 4,640 / 4,720.
• Stop loss: Below 4,540.
2. Medium-term ideas:
• Currently, the downtrend has not completely reversed, and the moving averages are clearly bearish. If 4,720 cannot be effectively broken, it remains a strategy of shorting on rebounds.
• If it subsequently falls below 4,555, it may test the support range of 4,500-4,480.

⸻

👉 Currently, it is a weak rebound area fluctuating. It is advisable to operate with light positions and enter and exit quickly, and not to heavily chase up or panic sell.

Market Analysis

Situation:

⸻

🔹 Price and Moving Averages
• Current price: Around 4,605 (drop of -3.43%)
• EMA(7): 4,603 (almost coinciding with the current price, short-term moving averages are pressing down)
• EMA(25): 4,642 (forming pressure above)
• EMA(99): 4,721 (stronger mid-term trend pressure)

👉 This indicates that we are currently in a short-term, phase downtrend, with prices running below the moving average system, making it easy for rebounds to face pressure.

⸻

🔹 Technical Indicators
• RSI(6) = 45.6 (slightly stabilizing in the short term, but still weak)
• RSI(12/24) = 36.88 / 37.35 (mid-term is close to the oversold area, indicating that bearish momentum is still strong, but the downward space may be limited)
• MACD: DIF -32.79, DEA -35.56, histogram +2.76 (although still below the zero axis, the green bars are shortening → indicating signs of volume reduction, possibly entering a consolidation phase)

⸻

🔹 Trading Volume
• 24h trading volume 8.2686 million ETH, trading amount 39.371 billion USDT → Significant decrease in volume and drop, indicating obvious capital outflow.
• However, the low point of 4,555 has already shown signs of a rebound, indicating that there are buyers stepping in below.

⸻

🔹 Support and Resistance
• Support level: 4,555 (24h low), further support in the range of 4,520-4,500.
• Resistance level: 4,642 (EMA25), 4,720 (EMA99), and further above around 4,800.

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$ETH First, let's state the conclusion

✅ Trading Strategy (Short-term focused) (in a volume contraction situation)
• Aggressive: You can try light long positions around 4610-4630, targeting 4680-4700, with a stop loss below 4580.
• Conservative: Wait for a rebound to the 4680-4700 range before considering short positions, following the overall trend, with a stop loss above 4720.
• If you already have positions, it is recommended to reduce short positions for profit-taking and to hold light long positions for a rebound; do not heavily invest.

📉 Trend Analysis
1. Moving Averages EMA
• EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99), showing a bearish arrangement, with short to medium-term trends leaning bearish.
• The candlesticks have been consistently below EMA(7), indicating insufficient rebound strength.
2. RSI Oversold
• RSI(6) = 12.67, extremely oversold;
• RSI(12) = 24.62, also close to the oversold zone.
→ The short-term decline has been too rapid, and a technical rebound could happen at any moment.
3. MACD
• DIF = -27.24, DEA = -20.24, MACD histogram is expanding, indicating that the downward momentum still exists;
• However, the values are already low, nearing a short-term bottom area.
4. Trading Volume
• Recently, several bearish candlesticks have declined with increased volume, indicating selling pressure;
• However, in this situation, if bearish momentum weakens slightly, it may trigger a short-term rebound.
5. Key Price Levels
• Just recently bottomed around 4615, temporarily stopping the decline and rebounding;
• Upper pressure is at 4650-4700;
• Lower support is seen in the 4600-4580 range.

$ETH Let's state the conclusion first

🔹 Comprehensive Analysis
1. Trend: Currently in a bearish trend, prices are running below the moving averages.
2. Support Level: 4,667 (today's low) — if it breaks, we may look towards the 4,630-4,600 range.
3. Resistance Level: 4,710 (EMA7) — only after breaking through can we expect to challenge the 4,730-4,760 range.
4. Indicator Signals: RSI oversold + MACD green bars shrinking → short-term rebound may be possible, but the overall trend remains bearish.

⸻

✅ Trading Suggestions (for reference):
• Short-term: Pay attention to the support zone around 4660-4680; if it stabilizes here, a wave of oversold rebound may occur.
• Rebound Pressure: 4708 (EMA7) — 4732 (EMA25).
• If it breaks below 4660 → be wary of further declines to the 4630-4600 range.
• Position Control: In a downward trend, try light positions in short trades, primarily focusing on shorting.
🔹 Current Price
• Current Price: 4,687.65 USDT (drop -2%)
• Mark Price: 4,688.81 USDT
👉 It has clearly broken below EMA7, EMA25, and EMA99, entering a weak zone in the short term.

⸻

🔹 Moving Averages (EMA)
• EMA(7): 4,708.33
• EMA(25): 4,732.31
• EMA(99): 4,764.00
👉 All three moving averages are above the current price, indicating that short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends are pressuring the price, a typical downward pattern.

⸻

🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• RSI(6): 28.62 (oversold zone)
• RSI(12): 35.99 (close to oversold)
• RSI(24): 40.83
👉 The short-term RSI has entered the oversold range, and there may be a short-term rebound in the market, but overall it still leans weak.

⸻

🔹 MACD
• DIF: -17.75
• DEA: -16.77
• MACD: -0.97 (green bar)
👉 Bearish momentum is dominant, but the shrinking green bars indicate that the bearish pressure may be weakening; subsequent observation is needed to see if a bottom divergence forms.

⸻

🔹 Trading Volume
• Trading Volume: 65,954 ETH, recently declined with increased volume
👉 Increased volume downtrends usually indicate significant selling pressure, but it may also be approaching a stop-loss zone after a short-term sell-off.

$ETH First, let's state the conclusion
& Operation Ideas
1. Short-term trend: Weak oscillation, with certain support at the 4660–4700 range.
2. Rebound resistance: First look at EMA(7) = 4737, if it can break through, then look at around EMA(25) = 4755.
3. Operation Ideas:
• Aggressive: Lightly try long positions near 4700, target 4750–4780, set stop loss below 4660.
• Conservative: Wait for price stabilization and a volume breakout at 4750, then consider following up with long positions.
• Bearish: If the rebound does not reach 4750/4780 and falls back with volume, consider shorting.

🔎 Market Analysis
• Current price: $4,723.53 (-1.26%)
• 24h range: $4,667.24 – $4,957.67
• Moving average situation:
• EMA(7) = 4,737.41
• EMA(25) = 4,754.88
• EMA(99) = 4,773.94
👉 The price is currently below all moving averages, indicating a bearish short-term trend.

⸻

📊 Technical Indicators
• RSI
• RSI(6) = 35.70
• RSI(12) = 41.16
• RSI(24) = 43.84
👉 Close to the oversold range (below 30 is considered severely oversold), currently showing weakness, but there is potential for a short-term rebound.
• MACD
• DIF = -14.23
• DEA = -15.55
• MACD bars = +1.32 (red bars are shortening)
👉 The bearish trend has slowed down, indicating a possible rebound brewing at lower levels.
• Volume (Vol)
• 20,845 (volume of the last K-line)
• MA(5) = 39,841.6
• MA(10) = 41,348.2
👉 Volume is below the average line, suggesting that the downward momentum may be insufficient.
• Open Interest (O.I.)
• 2.26M, nominal value 10.7B
👉 Overall contract open interest remains high, indicating that funds are still in the market and have not exited on a large scale.

$ETH Ethereum Contract Analysis
First, let's state the conclusion

📊 One Day Trend Analysis
1. Morning → Noon
• May continue the 4730–4770 range fluctuation, short-term funds are defending above EMA7.
2. Afternoon → Evening
• If there is a volume breakout above 4770–4780, it may lead to a spike, targeting 4808–4835.
• If it struggles to break above 4770, it is likely to retrace to the 4710–4670 area to seek a bottom.

⸻

🎯 Trading Strategy (Only for Today)
• Upward Path:
• Short-term stabilization at 4730–4740 → Attack 4770
• Break above 4780 → Aim for 4808–4835
• Downward Path:
• Break below 4730 → First watch 4710
• Break below 4710 → Probe down to 4670
• Suggestions:
• Short-term Long: Lightly enter long positions around 4730–4740, with a stop loss at 4710, aiming for 4770–4780.
• Conservative Strategy: Wait for a breakout above 4780 before chasing long, otherwise just observe.
• Short Opportunities: If the rebound fails and breaks below 4710, consider lightly shorting, targeting 4670.

⸻

👉 In summary:
Today is very likely to be a day of fluctuation with a bias towards rebound, with the key focus on the resistance level of 4770–4780, whether it can break through will determine if the day will be “rebound strong” or “continue to fluctuate.”
Pay attention to take profit and stop loss!!!

$ETH control well hand ha

$ETH Take profit and stop loss must be set properly

$ETH Some are happy, some are worried.

$ETH knows the benefits of stop loss, which has been emphasized all along!!!

$ETH First, let's get to the conclusion

✅ Operation suggestions
• Short-term: Approaching 5,000, consider taking profits in batches or lightly hedging short positions, waiting for a pullback confirmation.
• Medium-term: If it can firmly stay above EMA25 (4,850+), the trend remains healthy, and pullbacks are opportunities.
• Risk control: If it falls below 4,800, be cautious of deeper adjustments.

📊 Current Market Interpretation (ETHUSDT)
• Latest price: $4,949.28 (increase +4.00%, nearing 5,000 threshold)
• 24h range: 4,717.68 – 4,957.67 (basically in an upward channel, recently refreshed high points)
• Trading volume: 3.9974 million ETH, trading amount 19.245 billion USDT (increased volume indicates strong willingness of funds to chase the rise)

📈 Technical Indicators
• Moving Averages:
• EMA(7): 4,920.87
• EMA(25): 4,855.44
• EMA(99): 4,787.56
→ Current price is far above short, medium, and long-term moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend.
• RSI:
• RSI(6): 76.39
• RSI(12): 75.20
• RSI(24): 71.21
→ All RSIs are above 70, indicating the market has entered an overbought zone, and there may be pullback pressure at any time in the short term.
• MACD:
• DIF: 44.01
• DEA: 34.41
• MACD: 9.59
→ MACD red bars continue to expand, showing that bullish momentum is still increasing, but the values are already high, indicating a risk of overheating.

🔎 Comprehensive Judgment
1. Trend: ETH is currently in a strong upward phase, breaking through EMA7, EMA25, EMA99, and the trading volume is significantly increasing, with active capital inflow.
2. Short-term risk: RSI has been overbought, nearing the 5,000 USD integer threshold, making it easy to see short-term profit-taking pressure.
3. Key levels:
• Resistance level: 5,000 – 5,050 (integer psychological level + previous high area)
• Support level: 4,920 (EMA7) → 4,855 (EMA25) → 4,800 (EMA99)
Remember to take profits and set stop losses!!!