“LAYER breaks below the 0.6 value anchor! Are the major players quietly accumulating? Buy the dip below 0.55 vs short the rebound at 0.65, who will be the next wave of retail investors to be harvested!”

【Market Quick Summary】

The chips have poured down from the “rich and handsome zone” of 0.6-0.66, the current price of 0.552 has fallen into the lower edge of the 70% value zone, with contract funds continuously net outflowing -4.19M for 5 days, yet accompanied by a quiet increase in buy orders on the order book— the market is “nurturing a short-term rebound in despair.”

【Range Structure and Volume Distribution】

1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC = 0.600, the upper selling pressure accounts for 67% of Down Vol, considered a “ceiling” in the short term.

2. High Volume Node (HVN): 0.598-0.602, 0.630-0.635, both attempts to break through were blocked, forming a pullback buffer zone.

3. Low Volume Node (LVN): 0.546-0.553 (current price zone), the trading volume is less than 1/5 of the adjacent HVN, the price can quickly pass through; if it breaks out with volume, it can accelerate.

4. 70% Value Zone: 0.564-0.654; the current price has fallen below the lower edge of 0.564, entering the “oversold edge.”

【Momentum Verification】

· LVN 0.552: Up Vol 51%, long-short balance, need to wait for >60% buyer volume confirmation.

· POC 0.600: Down Vol 67%, bears still dominate.

· Contract positions change over 24h +2.78%, but long-short ratio dropped from 2.05 to 2.00, short-term bulls reduce positions, bears did not increase, downward momentum is weakening.

【Bollinger Bands & MA】

· Price is running at the lower band, MA200 deviates -8.9%, RSI 42, short-term oversold.

· The middle band 0.555 overlaps with LVN, if it breaks out with volume, a pullback to POC can be anticipated.

【Trading Strategy】

A. Aggressive Short-term Long:

Entry 0.549-0.552 (LVN retracement + buy orders on the order book), stop loss 0.543 (recent HVN below 0.546, 0.5×ATR ≈ 0.006), target 0.564 (VAH)/0.600 (POC), risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.3.

Trigger Condition: 15min Up Vol > 60% and breakout above 0.555.

B. Conservative Rebound Short:

Entry 0.598-0.602 (near POC), stop loss 0.607 (upper HVN outside 0.605), target 0.565, risk-reward ratio ≈ 1.8.

Trigger Condition: RSI > 55 and Down Vol > 65%.

【Risk Warning】

· Losing 0.543 will open the gap to 0.52, invalidating Strategy A.

· Macroeconomic headwinds or contract longs reducing positions again, limiting the height of the rebound.

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