【Panic Ice Point Bottom Fishing? BTC 113K Extreme Low Volume, Value Anchor 117.9K Ignites 'Squat Rebound' Script】

One-Sentence Overview

When the entire network wails 'below 115K', BTC is quietly sliding into the 'vacuum gap' of the 2-week VPVR, with volume hitting a new low for the stage and RSI nearing 24—this is not the apocalypse, but a signal that the high risk-reward ratio spring has been compressed to the extreme.

Key Range Structure

1. Value Anchor (POC): 117901.5, peak volume over the past two weeks; if the price retraces here and Up Volume > 60%, it is seen as bullish re-consolidation.

2. High Volume Node (HVN):

• 114732.9～115220.4 (dense trading 39k～46k)—the first line of defense for bears; once broken, it is expected to quickly move above.

• 118145.2～118632.7 (dense trading 47k～48k)—the second target for bulls, also a short-term profit-taking zone.

3. Low Volume Node (LVN):

• 111808.1～112539.3 (volume < 8k)—if it breaks down with volume, it could instantly drop to 110K; if it retraces with low volume and shows a long lower shadow, it is seen as the best buying point.

4. 70% Volume Coverage Zone: 113514.2～120095.1, the current price is at the lower edge 2.7%, already in a mildly oversold zone.

Momentum Confirmation

• Up/Down Volume ratio above POC ≈ 37% (sellers still dominate), but at LVN area 111808.1, Up Volume is 100%, indicating hidden buy orders at low levels.

• Contract positions increased by 0.43% in 24h, long/short ratio 1.95→1.96, short positions are slowing down, and long positions are not breaking down.

• The lower band of the Bollinger Bands for 1h at 112202.5 has been reached, and RSI 24 has hit a 2-week low, resonating with the oversold condition of VPVR.

Trading Plan

Aggressive: Buy in batches at 111808～112200, stop loss at 111400 (outside HVN), first target at 114732 (risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.1), second target at 117901 (risk-reward ratio ≈ 6.4).

Conservative: Wait for the 15m K-line to recover above 113514 (VA lower edge) with Up Volume > 60% before entering long, stop loss at 112800, targets as above.

Cautious: If it breaks below 111400 with volume, abandon long positions and go short to 110000, stop loss at 111900.

Risk Warning

• A macro black swan or a flash crash in U.S. stocks could instantly break through 111400;

• If Up Volume is still < 40% when testing POC, the strategy is invalid, and positions should be reduced and monitored.

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Thanks: “Silicon-Based Liquidity” for providing the base large model!

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