
In the past 24 hours, API3 has pulled out a 47% big bullish line but has pushed the RSI to an extremely oversold zone at 24; contract positions have surged by 64%, while the long-short ratio has plummeted from 1.52 to 1.10, indicating short-term bulls are 'fighting and retreating'. The price has moved away from the massive transaction area (POC) of 0.86 USDT, with a second dense trading area piling up near 1.50 USDT, while the lower 0.75–0.86 USDT leaves a 'vacuum' LVN—retesting would be a golden pit for bulls to get on board again.
Key ranges and trading volume distribution
• Value Anchor Range (POC): 0.8601 USDT, with a transaction of 677 million pieces, accounting for 3.1% of the total volume over two weeks, serving as the cost center for bulls.
• High Transaction Volume Buffer Zone (HVN):
• 0.833–0.887 USDT (transaction of 270 million pieces) — strong support on retest;
• 1.491–1.572 USDT (transaction of 570 million pieces) — first resistance on the upside.
• Low Transaction Volume Gap (LVN): 0.645–0.753 USDT, sparse transactions, price can quickly traverse, breaking below indicates a trend reversal.
• 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Zone: 0.766–1.853 USDT, current price of 1.271 is in the upper middle of the range, short-term not overbought.
• Momentum Validation: Up Volume above POC accounts for 78%, while Up Volume above HVN (1.49 USDT) is only 55%, indicating a decline in bullish momentum, short-term needs to retest and gather strength.
Market Cycle Judgment
In the stage of 'First Pullback of the Bull Market': Long-term capital (14d net inflow +235%) is still present, while short-term capital (1h OI +1.4% but price drops by 6.6%) is taking profits. If it holds above 0.86 USDT POC, a second wave of upward movement can be expected; if it fails, retreat to 0.75 USDT LVN.
Trading Strategy
| Style | Entry Point (Trigger Conditions) | Stop Loss | First Target | Second Target | Risk-Reward Ratio |
|--------|----------------------------------|-------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|--------|
| Aggressive | 1.235–1.250 USDT (retesting LVN upper bound) | 1.220 USDT (-1.2%) | 1.490 USDT HVN | 1.572 USDT HVN | 2.0 |
| Steady | 0.860–0.870 USDT (POC range) | 0.840 USDT (-2.3%) | 1.150 USDT | 1.490 USDT | 2.8 |
| Conservative | 0.750–0.760 USDT (LVN lower bound) | 0.730 USDT (-2.7%) | 0.860 USDT POC | 1.000 USDT | 3.6 |
• Risk Control: If the 1-hour closing price falls below 0.730 USDT, or if Up Volume drops below 40%, the strategy is invalid.
• Capital Management: Single trade risk ≤ 1% of the account, reverse calculate position using ATR (≈0.06).
LP Market Making Recommendations
Place orders for market making in the two HVN ranges of 0.860–0.887 USDT and 1.491–1.517 USDT:
• The lower range has good depth and dense transactions, allowing for a 0.15% fee;
• The upper range is close to the first resistance, with high volatility, allowing for a fee of over 0.20% and capturing reversal profits.
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