“Still holding on to 0.26? Can LISTA rebound violently to 'value anchor' 0.33 after an 8% drop?”

Quick Summary

LISTA fell another 4.5% in 24 hours, with the price deviating from MA200 by -8.7%, landing right at the lower edge of the 70% value area of the two-week VPVR; contract positions increased by 7.38% over 7 days but accompanied by a negative funding rate, indicating that shorts are 'selling high and covering low'. If the 0.26 LVN gap holds, a short-term mean reversion to 0.30-0.33 may occur.

Key Interval Structure

• Value Anchor POC: 0.332 (47.76 million USDT traded, UpVol 55%)

• Major HVN: 0.282-0.284, 0.288-0.290 (buffer zone, stop-loss reference)

• Major LVN: 0.216-0.250 (low-volume void, breakthrough/pullback accelerator)

• 70% Value Area: 0.270-0.352; current price 0.263 is outside the zone ≈ -1.1×ATR, mildly oversold

Momentum Validation

• Above POC, 0.33 area UpVol 55%, buying pressure remains dominant

• Below LVN near 0.25 DownVol 100%, no resistance → if it breaks down with volume, it will accelerate

• 1h Bollinger Band lower boundary 0.259, RSI 37, short-term oversold resonance

Cycle Judgment

Mid-term remains in a downward shock channel (highs gradually decreasing), while short-term enters an “oversold + increasing short positions” phase, providing a technical rebound window.

Trading Strategy

Aggressive: Current price 0.263-0.265 enter with a small position, stop-loss at 0.258 (LVN upper edge -0.5ATR), targets 0.285/0.300/0.332, risk-reward ratio ≈ 1:2.6

Conservative: Wait for 15m level to show UpVol > 60% and a candlestick with a long lower shadow or engulfing, then enter at 0.260-0.262, same stop-loss.

Cautious: If it breaks and retests 0.270 HVN without breaking, then consider chasing long, stop-loss at 0.266, target 0.300.

Risk Warning

• If it breaks down with volume below 0.258, the LVN vacuum will point to 0.24, strategy failure, stop-loss immediately

• If the funding rate continues to be deeply negative, short covering may be delayed, reduce positions

LP Market Making Suggestions

It is recommended to place dual-sided orders in the 0.250-0.285 range:

• Lower edge 0.250 serves as LVN support, high transaction probability;

• Upper edge 0.285 is the recent HVN, strong support for pullbacks;

• Interval width ≈ 13%, capturing mean reversion volatility and earning fees.

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Thanks: “Silicon-based Liquidity” for providing the foundational large model!

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