【Panic Liquidation】SUI falls below 3.5, are the main players secretly accumulating? A single ambush at LVN, profit-loss ratio of 3.8 times!

Summary in one sentence

The "waterfall" appears fierce, but in the LVN "void" between 3.26-3.35, buying has quietly lined up; as long as 3.4 is held, it is a bear trap.

Key interval structure and transaction volume distribution

1. Value anchoring area: POC 3.74, current price 3.45 is -7.8% away from it, on the edge of "oversold".

2. High transaction volume area:

• HVN 3.49-3.51 (transaction 186 million), the first rebound buffer above;

• HVN 3.72-3.75 (transaction 220 million), medium-term heavy pressure.

3. Low transaction volume gap:

• LVN 3.26-3.35 (transaction <0.5 million), price can quickly cross, suitable for pullbacks to go long or breakouts to short.

4. 70% transaction volume coverage area: 3.43-3.93; current price is close to the lower edge, RSI 34, short-term oversold.

Momentum verification:

• LVN 3.26-3.35 interval Up Volume ≈0%, bears dominate; but the order book buy orders are 1.86 times, short-term buying is ambushed.

• Down Volume near POC 58%, not yet absolutely dominant, will fully turn bearish only if it breaks below 3.26.

Auxiliary judgment:

• Bollinger band lower edge 3.39, MA200 3.75, deviation -8.1%, deviation too large.

• 24h OI -0.79%, funding rate still positive, bulls are not completely dead.

Market cycle

Mid-term oscillating downwards, short-term entering "oversold + buying ambush" stage, if 3.4 is held, there is hope for a rebound to POC.

Trading strategy

• Entry: 3.40±0.02 pullback to the upper edge of LVN, 30m close to make a long (aggressive); conservative wait for 3.35 second confirmation.

• Stop loss: below 3.26 the nearest HVN outer edge 3.25, or entry K-line low point -0.5×ATR≈3.30.

• Target: ① 3.49 HVN (short-term), ② 3.74 POC (swing).

• Profit-loss ratio:

Entry 3.41, stop loss 3.30 (-0.11), target 3.74 (+0.33) → 0.33/0.11 ≈ 3.0.

Risk warning:

If the 1h entity breaks below 3.26 and increases volume, the strategy fails, reverse and short to 3.10.

LP Market Making Suggestions

It is recommended to dual-currency market-making in the 3.35-3.50 range:

• Lower edge 3.35 as LVN support, upper edge 3.50 as a dense sell wall in the order book;

• Range amplitude ≈4.5%, funding rate positive, single order revenue + transaction fees can cover impermanent loss.

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Thanks: “Silicon-based liquidity” provides the underlying large model!

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