
When retail investors are scared away by consecutive declines, and contract bulls flee in panic, SOL is quietly sliding into the bottom of the 'value corridor' - here lies a rapid rebound with a high profit-loss ratio, just a ticket away.
Key Interval Structure
1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC 178.05, the most densely traded in the past two weeks, current price is about 1.2% below, considered as the 'last fortress of bulls' in the short term.
2. High Trading Volume Zone:
• HVN-1 176.60~176.96: Last night, buy orders concentrated to protect the market, if the pullback does not break, it can be seen as the bullish bottom line.
• HVN-2 177.69~178.41: The upper edge of POC, the first rebound is likely to meet resistance, can be used as a T+0 profit-taking reference.
3. Low Trading Volume Gap:
• LVN-1 172.99~173.35: Few short positions above, once a volume breakout occurs, the price will quickly rush to 175.0.
• LVN-2 155.27~156.72: If extreme panic occurs, inserting a needle here is the 'golden pit'.
4. 70% Trading Volume Coverage Zone: 167.20~202.64, current price is at the lower edge, RSI 35.5 shows mild oversold, with mean reversion momentum.
5. Momentum Verification:
• In the range of 176.60~176.96, Up Volume is 52%, long-short balance; after breaking 177.0, Up Volume needs to be >60% to confirm a bullish counterattack.
• Order Book: Buy/Sell orders ratio is 2.61, near-end buy orders exceed 2.28 million USDT, short-term buying pressure supports.
Market Cycle
The weekly chart is still in a mid-bull market correction, with three consecutive daily declines + a seven-day decline in open interest of 5.34%, indicating a clear feature of emotional freezing point, corresponding to the 'end of oscillation' phase, which may V-reverse at any time.
Trading Strategy
• Entry:
Aggressive - Current price 176.99±0.5 place 1/3 position;
Conservative - Wait for a pullback to LVN-1 173.0±0.5 place 1/2 position;
Cautious - Wait for a 15-minute close to re-establish above 177.5 before adding positions.
• Stop Loss: Recent HVN-1 lower edge 175.9 -0.5×ATR(≈1.2)=174.7.
• Target:
Short-term - HVN-2 178.05 (+0.6%);
Swing - POC 178.05~180.0 (+1.7%).
• Profit and Loss Ratio:
Aggressive plan: (178.05-176.99)/(176.99-174.7)=1.06/2.29≈1:2.16
Conservative plan: (178.05-173.0)/(173.0-174.7)=5.05/1.3≈1:3.9
Risk Warning
If the 1-hour close falls below 174.7 and the trading volume increases, it is considered a loss of bullish control; macro black swan or BTC waterfall will directly invalidate.
LP Market Making Suggestions
Place bilateral liquidity in the range of 175.0~178.1:
• The lower edge 175.0 is a large wall on the order book (5.05 million USDT buy orders), providing hard support;
• The upper edge 178.1 corresponds to the dense zone of POC, a natural resistance.
The range width ≈3.1%, with an annualized transaction fee >20% to cover impermanent loss, suitable for medium to low-risk LP.
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