In this turbulent and exhilarating crypto market, every wave of action feels like a roller coaster, sometimes peaking, sometimes crashing. Have you ever confidently declared 'all in' while frantically refreshing the green rankings, only to resolve 'never to trade crypto again' amidst a red waterfall? 😵💫#美SEC批准流动性质押
Don't rush! In this issue, we will take you through several popular coins — #dexe , #solana (SOL), #hedera (HBAR), and Bitcoin (#BTC ) — from technical aspects, on-chain data to market sentiment, let's see if the current wave of rebound is the 'real bull coming,' or the 'silence before the leeks party'? 🌊
📈 DEXE: Before breaking $10, 'good things take time'?
Among many coins with weak price trends, DEXE's recent performance can be described as 'astonishing.'
In the past 24 hours, it rose over 8%, briefly peaking at $8.31, becoming the leading asset of the day. Bullish? Don't rush to hop on; a closer look at the data reveals some 'subtle contrasts' are occurring.
💸 Supported by the perpetual market, DEXE's popularity is soaring!
This wave of increase is largely driven by contract funds.
According to data from CoinGlass, approximately $1.7 million of bullish funds have flowed into DEXE's perpetual contracts in the past few days, and the financing rate has been positive since July 21 — indicating that the sentiment for going long has never cooled down. 🔥
🧠 Simply put:
The contract market has been saying: 'I am bullish, and I want to add positions!'
Moreover, this time it's not just contract investors taking action; the spot market is also starting to follow suit. In just the past 12 hours, nearly $27,000 of spot buying has flowed in.
Spot + perpetual contracts working in tandem sounds pretty stable? But wait, don't FOMO!
😬 Trading volume 'falling off'? Dangerous signals hidden in the details...
While the price is rising, one key data point is 'secretly declining' — trading volume.
Latest data shows that DEXE's trading volume has shrunk by 34% in the past 24 hours, dropping from the previous day's high to $14.5 million, evaporating nearly $5 million in active trading volume overnight.
This could be a bit dangerous...
⛔ Price is rising but volume is not following, which usually means:
It's the market makers controlling the price up to attract retail investors to enter the market;
Or the market buying pressure is decreasing, and selling pressure is lurking, making it easy to 'crash back.'
In summary:
A price increase without volume is like a sports car without an engine; it looks fast, but it can stall at any time.
📉 A/D indicator is sending out a 'cautiously bullish' signal ⚠️
Let's take another look at the on-chain A/D (Accumulation/Distribution) indicator, which is still in the negative zone (about 2.17 million DEXE), indicating that previous selling pressure was quite strong.
But the good news is that the A/D has started to show signs of warming up in the past few days — although it hasn't turned positive yet, it is moving towards positive territory.
👉 If it continues to strengthen, it will be a signal of 'market re-accumulation,' meaning the bulls are quietly accumulating positions, and there may still be upward space.
Conversely, if this trend suddenly reverses, it is likely to be 'false lifting, real selling.'
🧾 Can we enter now? It depends on your strategy:
Medium-term players wait for a more stable pullback; don't chase highs.
Short-term surfers should closely watch volume and A/D; both need to increase for it to be a real trend.
For those already in the market, remember to set stop losses and take profits; don’t dream of it flying to the moon directly. 🚀
DYOR, be steady, the crypto circle doesn't advocate for martial ethics. 🙃
🦾 SOL: Whales and retail investors joining forces, is $206 within reach?
Looking at Solana, its recent trend has a feel of 'the king's return.' It has just 'stepped correctly to jump' from the critical position of $155 and is now gathering momentum, feeling that 'bullish scent' is coming back, those who understand know. 🐂
It’s not an exaggeration to say that whether you are a chartist or a blockchain enthusiast, the current attitude towards SOL can be summarized in one sentence:
👉 'I won't say anything, but I'm quietly accumulating.'
Let's take a look together at whether this wave of market action is truly a prelude to takeoff, or the 'last bait' from the main players?
📊 Technical analysis: Gold rebound zone + RSI oversold = Bull market initiation formula?
The starting point for this rebound is actually quite significant.
SOL has just rebounded from the intersection of two upward trend lines, overlapping with the golden retracement zone (0.618-0.7) — this is one of the most classic reversal signals in technical analysis.
Moreover, the random RSI indicator is also in the oversold area. In simple terms, it means 'selling too aggressively, the market is about to collapse,' which is usually a signal for price rebound ⚡️
💡 Technical combination:
Bottom support has not been broken.
Momentum indicators are at the bottom.
The pullback just happens to touch the golden zone.
Does the rhythm of this pullback and subsequent surge resemble previous explosive rises? You know what I mean. 😉
🔍 On-chain data: Whales are accumulating, and retail investors are not holding back. 🐋💸
The technical chart looks good, but the on-chain data is more direct — the flow of funds is the ballot box.
According to CryptoQuant's data, Solana's whales have quietly placed orders to accumulate at the current price level, without alarming the market, making a fortune silently.
Meanwhile, Hyblock's data shows that the number of small buyers under $1 million is surging, indicating that retail investors' confidence is also warming up.
This is getting interesting:
🐳 + 🐜 = Dual support for the market
Whales vote with money, and retail investors assist; this 'double support' situation is often not a short-term rebound but prepares to walk a decent trend.
📌 What to look at next? Target: $206! 🎯
Currently, the biggest challenge facing SOL is the 'hardcore checkpoint' at $206. This was a previous local high where bulls were pushed back by the bears.
Now, the key is whether the funds of whales and retail investors have enough firepower to break through together. If they continue to add positions, this 'ceiling' could very well turn into a springboard. 🔥 The technical side also has highlights; RSI has just been repaired, momentum is rising, and positions are gradually locking up, overall leaning bullish.
⚠️ But don't forget that the overall situation still depends on BTC; once Bitcoin 'sneezes,' altcoins are generally affected, and SOL is no exception. The market's volume is still not strong; failing to break through $206 may lead to consolidation or even a pullback. For those wanting to participate, it's best to keep an eye on the $180-$190 range for pullbacks and not rush in; take profit and stop loss is your best armor. 🛡️
📣 In conclusion:
SOL's current wave may not immediately break through the ceiling, but the bottom signals are indeed becoming increasingly solid. For those wanting to hop on, now is the key window for observation/surveillance. 🐂🚇
🪂 HBAR: Is the strong support pullback an opportunity or a trap?
Let's take another look at HBAR, which has been 'moving a bit backward' lately.
You may have also noticed — the price has directly slid below $0.264, resembling a 'slip halfway up the slope.' But don't rush to short, as this correction might just provide an opportunity for the bulls to hop on! 🎢
🧭 Is the pullback starting? 'Cooling down' after failing to break through $0.3.
Back on July 27, HBAR had 'stretched' up to $0.305, almost touching the strong resistance zone above $0.3. But it couldn't hold, and retreated after the surge.
This also verifies what the analysis circle said earlier: $0.285-$0.3 is HBAR's supply pressure zone, which is significant. 📉
What we're seeing now is this 'reasonable' decline. It can be understood as a temporary backward step after a failed charge to replenish supplies. The key is whether this 'backward step' is paving the way for the next round of increase? 👀
💡 Support area exposed! Below $0.234 is the key area to monitor.
From the technical chart, HBAR has not yet broken the previous high and low points ($0.223). So from a broader structure, it still leans towards a bullish state; although it is a bit weak in the short term, it hasn't reached the point of 'collapse.'
📊 FRVP and long-term trading volume zones indicate that $0.234 is the first layer of support, and $0.223 is the second layer. If it breaks below that, we will have to look at the 'strong magnetic liquidity zone' near $0.218.
🧪 Technical indicators: Bulls are catching their breath, but not hanging.
Looking at it now, several technical indicators are releasing signals of 'temporary weakness':
🔍 The A/D indicator has not been able to pull out an effective upward trend, indicating insufficient buying momentum. Looking at the flow of funds, the CMF has been below -0.05 for several days, representing that market funds are quietly flowing out.
Combining the liquidation heat map, AMBCrypto's assessment is that HBAR is likely to fall to $0.22 in the short term, or slightly lower. However, this downturn seems more like a 'test of support' rather than a 'trend reversal.'
🎯 How to view this? Now is not a time for panic, but a time to calmly observe.
Since mid-July, liquidity in the $0.218-$0.223 range has been continuously accumulating, acting like a 'price magnet' that easily draws the market towards it. In this situation, if it falls to this area, it might actually become a short-term opportunity.
🛑 But be cautious of extreme situations: if HBAR falls below $0.206, the market may enter a deep adjustment mode.
More importantly, BTC remains a key variable and cannot be overlooked.
As long as BTC can stay above $112,000, this wave of HBAR's pullback is likely to stop around $0.22 and then rebound.
But! If BTC experiences a second breakdown and falls below $110,000, the entire market could suffer, and HBAR would be no exception. At that point, don't try to catch the bottom; prioritize your safety first. 💀
✅ In summary: Now is not the time to run away, but to 'keep watch'!
Although HBAR is weak in the short term, the overall structure still favors the bulls. The current price is gradually approaching the 'strong liquidity support zone,' and once it hits the bottom and rebounds, it could be very strong. 🎯
📍 Operation suggestions:
Spot: Accumulate in batches around 0.22, preparing for a rebound;
Contracts: Mainly wait and see, act only when confirmed;
Risk Control: Closely monitor BTC dynamics, if it breaks 110K, don't get too attached.
💰 BTC: 'Smart DCA' strategy in action, accumulation phase before the bear turns into a bull?
Speaking of BTC, this 'leading brother' still firmly sits in the eye of the market storm. At the beginning of August, it briefly fell to $112,200 but quickly returned to oscillate around $116,000.
Interestingly, a strategy called 'Smart DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging)' is quietly gaining popularity.
💡 'Smart DCA': Not just dollar-cost averaging, but a smarter way to do it.
If you are still 'afraid to chase after a rise, and afraid to buy after a drop,' then you might really need to learn about this strategy: Smart Dollar-Cost Averaging.
This strategy has recently been highlighted by CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest. His core viewpoint is very simple:
Don't let emotions lead you.
Most people buy BTC out of fear of missing out (FOMO), but they often rush in at high points and hesitate at low points. Thus, this 'smart dollar-cost averaging' strategy comes into play — it will automatically buy when the BTC price is below the average cost price over 1 week to 1 month, adding to positions at regular intervals like quietly sweeping up tokens. 😎
Currently, this 'average cost price' is around $117,700. In other words, if BTC is fluctuating below this price, congratulations, you are in the 'buying zone' recommended by the system 🎯
🧠 Why is this strategy particularly friendly to retail investors?
Because it doesn't require you to monitor the market, analyze, or make decisions — it mechanically 'buys low, sells high,' bypassing all emotional distractions.
When BTC falls below the average price, short-term holders usually incur losses, leading to explosive emotions and increased selling pressure. Entering the market at this time allows you to pick up bargains while others panic. Once the price rises back above 117,700, the system will start taking profits in batches, gradually converting the previously accumulated tokens back to stablecoins.
In short: 'buy low + sell high' textbook operation relies entirely on setting logic in advance.
📊 Is Bitcoin really cheap now?
Currently, BTC's price is still between $116,000 and $117,000, and is still rotating below the 'increasing line' of smart DCA. This position is neither high nor low, but it is indeed a reasonable window for building positions.
Let's compare the data again:
Bitcoin's historical high was set at $122,838 on July 14, and the current price is still about 5.2% lower. The market is adjusting, but has not yet deviated from the bull market framework.
So, is this wave the 'last chance to buy BTC cheap'? We certainly can't guarantee it, but more and more on-chain indicators are beginning to show: this round of decline seems more like a buildup.
🧯 But it's not without risks, don't be too optimistic!
Don't rush to all in just because you see the 'accumulation phase,' there are still many warning signals in the market.
🔻 The net buying volume of BTC on Binance has turned negative: indicating that the buying power of large holders is weakening;
🧾 Bitcoin ETF funds are flowing out: this will directly affect the confidence of the spot market;
🧨 If it breaks below $105,000? Short-term panic may intensify!
These factors indicate: While we may be in the 'bottom range,' don't rush to All In until things are completely stable.
✅ Simple and straightforward conclusion: What should we do now?
✅ For those looking to hold BTC long-term, now is a good opportunity for low-position dollar-cost averaging;
🚫 It is not advisable to chase highs and kill lows, especially do not impulsively buy at the tail end of a rebound;
📉 If BTC unfortunately falls below $105,000, we need to reassess the entire market trend;
🧘♂️ Using 'Smart DCA' for dollar-cost averaging can help you avoid emotional operations of 'buy high, sell low.'
🔚 To sum up, take away one sentence:
Bitcoin's current price is not low, but relative to most people's holding costs, it is still at a position where 'quiet accumulation' can occur. Those who understand how to use the right strategy often enter the market quietly when others hesitate.
🔍 Summary: Is this a probe at the edge of a bull market, or a prelude to a new round of takeoff?
Whether you are looking at DEXE's potential ten-dollar dream, SOL's whale dispersal explosion, HBAR's support zone temptation, or BTC's intelligent accumulation signal, it is not difficult to see one core fact:
The market is still in a game of chance, but the bottom area is gradually being solidified.
Various assets, after experiencing short-term fluctuations and adjustments, are beginning to show clearer directional signals. This includes technical support, on-chain data collaboration, and the backing of 'smart strategies,' bringing new trading logic to the market.
But let’s not forget, the macro environment remains variable, and the dominant power still lies with BTC.
If you are still hesitating now, you might try participating with a small position, making decisions based on strategy rather than emotion. After all, in this market —
Those who can adjust their positions will always outlast those who can only shout orders. 😉
🚀 Final reminder: Pay attention to these potential outlooks.
If DEXE breaks through $8.5 in volume, it is expected to challenge $10;
If SOL can hold steady at $180, it is likely to break through the $206 resistance in one go;
If HBAR can precisely hold the $0.22 support, it is a short-term buying opportunity;
If BTC maintains below $117,700, then smart DCA continues to increase positions;
The overall market still needs to be cautious of the systemic risk of BTC breaking below $110,000.
Don't chase highs, and don't panic — remember to stay clear-headed, using logic to view the market and strategies to protect yourself.
Many people understand the trend, but few can keep up with the rhythm.
The crypto world changes rapidly, opportunities and risks coexist. Learning to enter and exit strategically, protecting your principal, is the way to move forward steadily and reap wealth and growth. ✍️
Remember to DYOR, manage risk well, and wish everyone smooth sailing in the crypto world! 🌊
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