On my social media and YouTube channel, I have repeatedly talked about the cyclicality of the cryptocurrency market. Based on it, I already set a period in 2022 in which I plan to realize profits from #Bitcoin - and it is August 2025 that constitutes the focal point of my strategy. By applying the #DCA approach not only at entry but also at exit, I have extended this period by several weeks before and after, which means that I should complete the realization of profits from the current bull market by November 2025 at the latest.

When it comes to specific selling levels - I have already realized two of them: the first around 84,700 USD, the second at 99,400 USD, selling a total of about 30% of my $BTC . But the question arises - does Bitcoin still have the strength to break the current ATH (123,000 USD)?

To assess this, I prepared an analysis of potential price targets. Based on Fibonacci ranges, I identified 4 main levels that could be achieved during this bull market:

  • ✅ 84,000 USD - achieved

  • ✅ 99,000 USD - achieved

  • 🔼 130,000 USD - next possible target

  • 🚀 152,000 USD - optimistic final scenario

Of course, this is not a guarantee - the cryptocurrency market can be unpredictable - but these are real levels worth monitoring in the context of the cycle's end.

🔍 What does the market say?

From a fundamental point of view, on-chain data and the macroeconomic environment support the thesis of further growth. Here are a few facts worth considering:

📉 BTC supply on exchanges is at its lowest levels in years - investors are moving their funds to cold wallets, indicating a desire to hold them long-term.

🐋 Whale accumulation remains high - institutions and big players are regularly buying BTC, which shows that they do not view current prices as a peak.

📈 Inflows into spot ETFs (especially in the US) are not slowing down - this, in turn, opens the door for a new wave of institutional investors and long-term capital.

💵 A weakening dollar index (DXY) and high US debt may fuel the narrative of Bitcoin as digital gold and a safe haven in the face of global economic tensions.

📊 Additionally, the charts show a clear contrast between the positions of large players and retail investors - the former are building long positions on BTC, while small players are trying to short the market. This is a classic pattern we have seen many times - and I probably don't need to remind you whose moves tend to be more accurate.

⏳ The halving cycle also speaks in favor of growth - in previous cycles, price peaks usually occurred 12 to 18 months after the halving. This took place in April 2024, so summer-autumn 2025 fits perfectly into this pattern (about 500 days after the halving - according to my profit realization strategy).

For comparison, this is how it looked in previous cycles:

  • 📅 Halving #1: 28.11.2012 → ATH: 30.11.2013 → 367 days later

  • 📅 Halving #2: 09.07.2016 → ATH: 17.12.2017 → ~526 days later

  • 📅 Halving #3: 11.05.2020 → ATH: 10.11.2021 → ~548 days later

🧩 This shows that the period between the 500th and 550th day after halving has historically been the most likely time to reach a peak. Therefore, August-November 2025 is a window that should be taken very seriously - and it is key in my strategy.

🎯 Summary

Will BTC surpass 130,000 USD in this bull market? Looking at both technical data and fundamentals, it seems that this is not the end, but rather another stage. And the level of 130k may not be the ceiling, but just a stop on the way to higher regions.

📌 My personal targets for 2025 are:

  • 134,000 USD

  • 152,000 USD
    These are the levels I will be particularly monitoring in the coming weeks or months.

Bitcoin can be purchased on the exchange #Binance :
👉 Link to the Binance exchange
(Referral link to the exchange - the post contains elements of collaboration. This is not investment advice.)

👊